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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California


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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, announced that it would target four California Republicans in 2024: Mike Garcia of the 27th district, Young Kim of the 40th district, Ken Calvert of the 41st district, and Michelle Steel of the 45th district. Garcia, Kim, and Steel all represent districts that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, while Calvert's district narrowly voted for Donald Trump. There were two other California Republicans who represent Biden-won districts, John Duarte of the 13th district and David Valadao of the 22nd district. The 13th, 22nd and 40th districts flipped to Trump in the 2024 presidential election, with Duarte losing to Adam Gray in a split ticket vote. Several California Republicans received assistance from Protect the House 2024, a joint fundraising committee launched by former U.S. Speaker of the House and California Republican Kevin McCarthy to support vulnerable House Republicans. Among the representatives included in the committee were Duarte, Valadao, Garcia, Calvert, and Steel, as well as Kevin Kiley of the 3rd district.

United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024primary election — March 5, 2024
Democratic4,341,05559.601255451
Republican2,836,25638.94884948
No party preference71,1440.982111
Green15,7410.22200
Peace and Freedom14,0420.19300
Libertarian4,9950.07200
7,283,233100.00241104

Results by district: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52

The incumbent was Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Doug LaMalfa (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Rose Penelope Yee (Democratic), financial advisor

Eliminated in primary

  • Mike Doran (Democratic), Shasta Union High School District board member
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Doug LaMalfa (R)$549,612$305,500$610,802
Rose Penelope Yee (D)$19,281$18,465$815
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid RNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   LaMalfa—80–90%   LaMalfa—70–80%   LaMalfa—60–70%   LaMalfa—50–60%

Primary election
Republican122,85866.7
Democratic41,66922.6
Democratic19,73410.7
184,261100.0
Republican208,59265.3
Democratic110,63634.7
319,228100.0
CountyDoug LaMalfaRepublicanRose Penelope YeeDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Butte50,97954.99%41,72945.01%9,2509.98%92,708
Colusa4,52868.37%2,09531.63%2,43336.74%6,623
Glenn7,19771.03%2,93628.97%4,26142.05%10,133
Lassen9,00480.12%2,23419.88%6,77060.24%11,238
Modoc3,00976.56%92123.44%2,08853.13%3,930
Shasta61,87670.82%25,48929.18%36,38741.65%87,365
Siskiyou13,22962.71%7,86537.29%5,36425.43%21,094
Sutter25,82668.10%12,09531.90%13,73136.21%37,921
Tehama19,28173.68%6,88826.32%12,39347.36%26,169
Yuba (part)13,66361.97%8,38438.03%5,27923.94%22,047

The incumbent was Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 74.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Chris Coulombe (Republican), cannabis executive and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Jared Huffman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Jason Brisendine (no party preference), businessman
  • Tief Gibbs (Republican), office manager
  • Jolian Kangas (no party preference), automotive business owner
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Jared Huffman (D)$485,944$377,881$1,036,873
Chris Coulombe (R)$64,851$52,815$12,422
Tief Gibbs (R)$25,938$22,080$3,858
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   Huffman—80–90%   Huffman—70–80%   Huffman—60–70%   Huffman—40–50%

Primary election
Democratic170,27173.4
Republican38,03916.4
Republican18,8348.1
No party preference3,2761.4
No party preference1,4110.6
231,831100.0
Democratic272,88371.9
Republican106,73428.1
379,617100.0
CountyJared HuffmanDemocraticChris CoulombeRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Del Norte4,44543.28%5,82656.72%−1,381−13.45%10,271
Humboldt40,87065.35%21,66634.65%19,20430.71%62,536
Marin112,69480.09%28,01219.91%84,68260.18%140,706
Mendocino24,26263.73%13,80836.27%10,45427.46%38,070
Sonoma (part)88,08771.92%34,38928.08%53,69843.84%122,476
Trinity2,52545.43%3,03354.57%−508−9.14%5,558

The incumbent was Republican Kevin Kiley, who was elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Jessica Morse (Democratic), former deputy secretary of the California Natural Resources Agency and runner-up for the 5th district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

  • Robert Smith (no party preference), operational programs director
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Kevin Kiley (R)$2,450,576$484,923$2,004,626
Jessica Morse (D)$805,745$349,729$660,378
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLikely RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyMarch 22, 2024
CNalysisLean RNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   Kiley—70–80%   Kiley—60–70%   Kiley—50–60%   Morse—50–60%   Morse—60–70%

Primary election
Republican137,39755.9
Democratic103,44342.1
No party preference5,0072.0
245,847100.0
Republican234,24655.5
Democratic188,06744.5
422,313100.0
CountyKevin KileyRepublicanJessica MorseDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Alpine26336.28%46263.72%−199−27.45%725
El Dorado (part)18,05253.73%15,54846.27%2,5047.45%33,600
Inyo4,66053.69%4,01946.31%6417.39%8,679
Mono2,50342.37%3,40557.63%−902−15.27%5,908
Nevada28,00445.67%33,31754.33%−5,313−8.66%61,321
Placer132,82558.31%94,97041.69%37,85516.62%227,795
Plumas6,04460.88%3,88339.12%2,16121.77%9,927
Sacramento (part)36,07554.62%29,97545.38%6,1009.24%66,050
Sierra1,11564.12%62435.88%49128.23%1,739
Yuba (part)4,70571.62%1,86428.38%2,84143.25%6,569

The incumbent was Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • John Munn (Republican), former Davis Joint Unified School District trustee and perennial candidate
  • Mike Thompson (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Andrew Engdahl (Democratic), tech sales account executive and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Niket Patwardhan (no party preference), software engineer
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Andrew Engdahl (D)$1,587$4,028$666
Mike Thompson (D)$1,215,934$1,608,631$1,235,136
John Munn (R)$59,561$52,560$7,000
Niket Patwardhan (NPP)$9,019$7,347$1,671
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   Thompson—70–80%   Thompson—60–70%   Thompson—50–60%   Munn—40–50%

Primary election
Democratic120,73662.5
Republican58,78730.5
Democratic11,4926.0
No party preference2,1161.1
193,131100.0
Democratic227,73066.5
Republican114,95033.5
342,680100.0
CountyMike ThompsonDemocraticJohn MunnRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Lake13,97053.18%12,29946.82%1,6716.36%26,269
Napa45,31770.14%19,29429.86%26,02340.28%64,611
Solano (part)31,40450.01%31,39449.99%100.02%62,798
Sonoma (part)89,32474.36%30,79325.64%58,53148.73%120,117
Yolo (part)47,71569.27%21,17030.73%26,54538.54%68,885

The incumbent was Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the district since 2009 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Mike Barkley (Democratic), attorney, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Wozniak (no party preference), freelance writer and candidate for this district in 2022 (no relation to Apple cofounder Steve Wozniak)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Tom McClintock (R)$633,193$638,946$131,787
Mike Barkley (D)$31,203$27,281$4,000
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid RNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   McClintock—60–70%   McClintock—50–60%

Primary election
Republican118,95858.5
Democratic66,68032.8
No party preference17,6368.7
203,274100.0
Republican227,64361.8
Democratic140,91938.2
368,562100.0
CountyTom McClintockRepublicanMike BarkleyDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Amador14,60766.57%7,33633.43%7,27133.14%21,943
Calaveras17,05166.06%8,76133.94%8,29032.12%25,812
El Dorado (part)46,89861.90%28,86238.10%18,03623.81%75,760
Fresno (part)34,64259.50%23,57840.50%11,06419.00%58,220
Madera (part)13,12867.36%6,36232.64%6,76634.72%19,490
Mariposa5,78662.49%3,47337.51%2,31324.98%9,259
Stanislaus (part)77,58759.69%52,39040.31%25,19719.39%129,977
Tuolumne17,94463.86%10,15736.14%7,78727.71%28,101

The incumbent was Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Christine Bish (Republican), realtor, runner-up for this district in 2020 and candidate in 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • Adam Barajas (Democratic), retail worker
  • Craig DeLuz (Republican), Robla school board member
  • Chris Richardson (Green), engineer and candidate for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022
  • Ray Riehle (Republican), businessman

Withdrawn

Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Ami Bera (D)$661,944$611,725$1,785,351
Christine Bish (R)$83,838$81,862$2,004
Craig DeLuz (R)$30,580$29,008$1,572
Ray Riehle (R)$47,775$41,338$6,436
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by precinct:   Bera—30–40%   Bera—40–50%   Bera—50–60%   Bera—60–70%   Bera—70–80%   Bera—>90%   Bish—30–40%   Bish—80–90%   Barajas—>90%   Tie—50%   No data

Primary election
Democratic76,60551.8
Republican29,62820.1
Republican15,77910.7
Republican14,3619.7
Democratic8,7115.9
Green2,6611.8
147,745100.0
Democratic165,40857.6
Republican121,66442.4
287,072100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Doris Matsui (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Tom Silva (Republican), former Galt Joint Union Elementary School District trustee

Eliminated in primary

  • David Mandel (Democratic), attorney
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
David Mandel (D)$72,240$49,283$13,517
Doris Matsui (D)$638,291$637,713$181,918
Tom Silva (R)$4,500$1,662$2,837
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic89,48556.5
Republican48,94330.9
Democratic20,05712.7
158,485100.0
Democratic197,42966.8
Republican98,34133.2
295,770100.0
CountyDoris MatsuiDemocraticTom SilvaRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Sacramento (part)183,64267.01%90,40632.99%93,23634.02%274,048
Solano (part)2860.87%1839.13%1021.74%46
Yolo (part)13,75963.48%7,91736.52%5,84226.95%21,676

The incumbent was Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Rudy Recile (Republican), consultant and runner-up for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
John Garamendi (D)$542,502$488,936$1,175,013
Rudy Recile (R)$10,852$10,496$850
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic100,19377.0
Republican29,94423.0
130,137100.0
Democratic201,96274.0
Republican71,06826.0
273,030100.0
CountyJohn GaramendiDemocraticRudy RecileRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Contra Costa (part)117,82778.03%33,18221.97%84,64556.05%151,009
Solano (part)84,13568.95%37,88631.05%46,24937.90%122,021

The incumbent was Democrat Josh Harder, who had represented the district since 2019 and was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Josh Harder (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Kevin Lincoln (Republican), mayor of Stockton (2021–present)

Eliminated in primary

  • Khalid Jafri (Republican), retired engineer and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022
  • John McBride (Republican), strength and conditioning coach

Withdrawn

  • Brett Dood (Republican), pastor (endorsed Lincoln)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Josh Harder (D)$2,402,615$767,804$2,784,412
Kevin Lincoln (R)$648,712$424,366$224,346
John McBride (R)$11,315$10,965$349
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLikely DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsJune 20, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyLean DMarch 22, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorJoshHarder (D)KevinLincoln (R)Undecided
NMB Research (R)February 18–20, 2024400 (LV)± 2.0%40%44%16%
Primary election
Democratic60,97849.7
Republican36,74430.0
Republican15,70712.8
Republican9,1507.5
122,579100.0
Democratic130,18351.8
Republican121,17448.2
251,357100.0
CountyJosh HarderDemocraticKevin LincolnRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Contra Costa (part)3,80943.26%4,99556.74%−1,186−13.47%8,804
San Joaquin (part)126,14652.20%115,51547.80%10,6314.40%241,661
Stanislaus (part)22825.56%66474.44%−436−48.88%892

The incumbent was Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Mark DeSaulnier (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Katherine Piccinini (Republican), property manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • Nolan Chen (Republican), systems engineer
  • Mohamed Elsherbini (no party preference), travel agency owner
  • Joe Sweeney (no party preference), businessman
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Mark DeSaulnier (D)$321,343$271,401$625,306
Nolan Chen (R)$5,760$3,274$2,485
Katherine Piccinini (R)$11,426$9,708$1,717
Joe Sweeney (I)$14,285$1,827$12,457
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic121,33465.5
Republican34,90018.9
Republican19,46510.5
No party preference7,6094.1
No party preference1,8251.0
185,133100.0
Democratic242,32566.5
Republican122,21933.5
364,544100.0
CountyMark DeSaulnierDemocraticKatherine PiccininiRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Alameda (part)12,35467.37%5,98332.63%6,37134.74%18,337
Contra Costa (part)229,97166.43%116,23633.57%113,73532.85%346,207

The incumbent was Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 84.0% of the vote in 2022. Later that year, Pelosi announced she would step down from House leadership. Pelosi announced that she would seek re-election in 2024.

Advanced to general

  • Bruce Lou (Republican), business owner
  • Nancy Pelosi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative and former Speaker of the House

Eliminated in primary

  • Jason Boyce (Democratic), software engineer
  • Eve Del Castello (Republican), business consultant and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Marjorie Mikels (Democratic), attorney
  • Larry Nichelson (Republican), retired teacher
  • Bianca Von Krieg (Democratic), actress and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Jason Zeng (Republican), data engineer
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Marjorie Mikels (D)$10,000$1,200$8,000
Nancy Pelosi (D)$5,027,157$5,005,162$3,615,723
Bruce Lou (R)$51,519$38,550$12,968
Jason Zeng (R)$39,286$5,863$33,422
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by precinct:   Pelosi—40–50%   Pelosi—50–60%   Pelosi—60–70%   Pelosi—70–80%   Pelosi—80–90%   No data

Primary election
Democratic138,28573.3
Republican16,2858.6
Democratic9,3635.0
Democratic7,6344.0
Republican6,6073.5
Democratic4,3252.3
Republican3,4821.8
Republican2,7511.5
188,732100.0
Democratic274,79681.0
Republican64,31519.0
339,111100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Barbara Lee, who was re-elected with 90.5% of the vote in 2022. She did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.

Advanced to general

  • Lateefah Simon (Democratic), president of the Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors and California State University trustee
  • Jennifer Tran (Democratic), California State University East Bay professor and president of the Oakland Vietnamese Chamber of Commerce

Eliminated in primary

  • Tony Daysog (Democratic), vice mayor of Alameda and candidate for the 10th district in 2014
  • Glenn Kaplan (Democratic), bar owner and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Ned Nuerge (Republican), retired driving instructor, LaRouchite, and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Abdur Sikder (Democratic), San Francisco State University professor
  • Stephen Slauson (Republican), electrical engineer and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Andre Todd (Democratic), financial executive and former National Football League player
  • Eric Wilson (Democratic), nonprofit employee and candidate for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

  • Tim Sanchez (Democratic), Boeing executive

Declined

  • Nikki Fortunato Bas (Democratic), president of the Oakland City Council
  • Mia Bonta (Democratic), state assemblywoman from the 18th district (2021–present) (endorsed Simon)
  • Dan Kalb (Democratic), Oakland city councilor from the 1st district (2013–present) (ran for state senate)
  • Barbara Lee (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (ran for U.S. Senate)
  • Libby Schaaf (Democratic), former mayor of Oakland (2015–2023) (endorsed Simon)
  • Buffy Wicks (Democratic), state assemblywoman from the 14th district (2019–present) (endorsed Simon)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Tony Daysog (D)$18,760$18,298$461
Abdur Sikder (D)$21,938$18,366$3,571
Lateefah Simon (D)$1,110,109$836,790$273,318
Jennifer Tran (D)$148,095$97,686$50,408
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorLateefahSimon (D)JenniferTran (D)OtherUndecided
USC/CSUSeptember 14–21, 2024510 (LV)± 4.3%41%27%3%32%
Primary election
Democratic86,03155.9
Democratic22,99914.9
Democratic17,22211.2
Republican9,7106.3
Democratic6,7994.4
Democratic4,2522.8
Democratic2,8571.9
Republican2,5351.6
Democratic1,6321.1
154,037100.0
Democratic185,17665.4
Democratic97,84934.6
283,025100.0

The incumbent was Republican John Duarte, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2022. This was a rematch between the candidates from 2022 where Duarte previously defeated Gray by a slim margin. This was the closest House race in 2024 and one of the last to be called due to the close margin, California's state law allowing ballots to arrive a week after the election, and a high quantity of absentee votes which must be cured.

Ceres Courier erroneously declared Duarte the winner on November 13th claiming high confidence that the remaining vote total wouldn't allow Gray to overtake Duarte's lead of roughly 3,000 votes. Most networks declared Gray the winner in early December.

Republican Donald Trump carried the district by 5.4% in the concurrent presidential election.

Advanced to general

  • John Duarte (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Adam Gray (Democratic), former state assemblyman from the 21st district (2012–2022) and runner-up for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
John Duarte (R)$2,205,578$743,978$1,487,118
Adam Gray (D)$786,855$372,845$468,384
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorJohnDuarte (R)PhilArballo (D)AdamGray (D)Other/Undecided
RMG ResearchNovember 14–19, 2023300 (LV)± 5.7%21%2%21%55%
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Oct. 25, 2024Central Valley Journalism CollaborativeKXJZThe Maddy InstituteUniversity of California, MercedKristin LamVictor PattonBrianna VaccariYouTubePP
Oct. 31, 2024KTXLBrian DormanNikki LaurenzoKTXLPP
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsTilt D (flip)October 18, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D (flip)November 4, 2024
Elections DailyLean D (flip)November 4, 2024
CNalysisTilt D (flip)November 4, 2024
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorJohnDuarte (R)AdamGray (D)Undecided
USC/CSUSeptember 14–21, 2024311 (LV)± 5.6%45%46%9%

Primary results by county:   Duarte—60–70%   Duarte—50–60%   Gray—50–60%

Primary election
Republican47,21954.9
Democratic38,75445.1
85,973100.0
Democratic105,55450.04
Republican105,36749.96
210,921100.00
Democratic gain from Republican
CountyJohn DuarteRepublicanAdam GrayDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Fresno (part)11,44055.96%9,00444.04%−2,436−11.92%20,444
Madera (part)19,18757.11%14,41042.89%−4,777−14.22%33,597
Merced40,25348.55%42,65251.45%2,3992.89%82,905
San Joaquin (part)6,99546.45%8,06453.55%1,0697.10%15,059
Stanislaus (part)27,49246.66%31,42453.34%3,9326.67%58,916

The incumbent was Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Vin Kruttiventi (Republican), engineer
  • Eric Swalwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Alison Hayden (Republican), teacher and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
  • Luis Reynoso (Republican), Chabot–Las Positas Community College District trustee
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Eric Swalwell (D)$2,658,863$2,563,768$723,694
Vin Kruttiventi (R)$668,973$399,455$269,518
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic84,07566.7
Republican22,13417.6
Republican11,9489.5
Republican7,8126.2
125,969100.0
Democratic187,26367.8
Republican89,12532.2
276,388100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Kevin Mullin, who had represented the district since 2023. He was elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat.

Advanced to general

  • Anna Cheng Kramer (Republican), housing policy advisor
  • Kevin Mullin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Kevin Mullin (D)$454,937$440,677$36,794
Anna Kramer (R)$39,080$12,651$26,429
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic109,17275.3
Republican35,86824.7
145,040100.0
Democratic211,64873.1
Republican77,89626.9
289,544100.0
CountyKevin MullinDemocraticAnna Cheng KramerRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
San Francisco (part)25,28769.95%10,86330.05%14,42439.90%36,150
San Mateo (part)186,36173.55%67,03326.45%119,32847.09%253,394

The incumbent was Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. She did not seek re-election. Former San Jose mayor Sam Liccardo advanced to the general election a week after the primary. His challenger was state assemblyman Evan Low.

By April 3, Low and Santa Clara County supervisor Joe Simitian were tied with 30,249 votes each, and were expected to advance to the general election under a stipulation by California elections code regarding a second-place tie in primary elections. However, a recount was requested by two voters shortly thereafter. The recount request was controversial, with Low's campaign accusing Liccardo of being behind it. At the conclusion of the recount on May 1, Low ultimately edged out Simitian by a margin of 5 votes, with Low gaining 12 votes and Simitian 7.

Advanced to general

  • Sam Liccardo (Democratic), former mayor of San Jose (2015–2023)
  • Evan Low (Democratic), state assemblyman from the 26th district (2014–present)

Initially advanced to general but eliminated after recount

  • Joe Simitian (Democratic), Santa Clara County supervisor from the 5th district (1996–2000, 2013–present) and former state senator from the 11th district (2004–2012)

Eliminated in primary

  • Joby Bernstein (Democratic), financial advisor and graduate student
  • Peter Dixon (Democratic), cybersecurity executive and former U.S. State Department staffer
  • Rishi Kumar (Democratic), former Saratoga city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
  • Julie Lythcott-Haims (Democratic), Palo Alto city councilor
  • Ahmed Mostafa (Democratic), attorney
  • Peter Ohtaki (Republican), former mayor of Menlo Park and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Karl Ryan (Republican), businessman
  • Greg Tanaka (Democratic), Palo Alto city councilor and candidate for this district in 2022

Declined

  • Josh Becker (Democratic), state senator from the 13th district (2020–present)
  • Marc Berman (Democratic), state assemblyman from the 23rd district (2016–present)
  • Anna Eshoo (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (endorsed Simitian)
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic38,48921.1
Democratic30,24916.6
Democratic30,24916.6
Republican23,27512.8
Democratic14,6738.1
Democratic12,3776.8
Republican11,5576.3
Democratic11,3836.2
Democratic5,8113.2
Democratic2,4211.3
Democratic1,6510.9
182,135100.0
PartyCandidateVotes%.mw-parser-output .tooltip-dotted{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}±%
Democratic38,49221.1−0.005
Democratic30,26116.6+0.002
Democratic30,25616.6−0.001
Republican23,28312.8+0.001
Democratic14,6778.1−0.000
Democratic12,3836.8+0.001
Republican11,5636.3+0.001
Democratic11,3866.2−0.000
Democratic5,8143.2+0.001
Democratic2,4211.3−0.000
Democratic1,6520.9+0.000
182,188100.0
Democratic179,58358.2N/A
Democratic128,89341.8N/A
308,476100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022. Khanna had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate, but instead chose not to run and endorsed Barbara Lee.

Advanced to general

  • Anita Chen (Republican), teacher
  • Ro Khanna (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Joe Dehn (Libertarian), chair of the Santa Clara County Libertarian Party, former secretary of the Libertarian National Committee, and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022
  • Mario Ramirez (Democratic), photographer
  • Ritesh Tandon (Democratic), software engineer and Republican runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Ro Khanna (D)$6,592,854$2,367,495$9,513,880
Ritesh Tandon (D)$20,147$8,224$12,233
Anita Chen (R)$15,639$7,431$8,208
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic74,00462.9
Republican31,56826.8
Democratic5,7384.9
Democratic4,4983.8
Libertarian1,8391.6
117,647100.0
Democratic172,46267.7
Republican82,41532.3
254,877100.0
CountyRo KhannaDemocraticAnita ChenRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Alameda (part)26,12165.84%13,55534.16%12,56631.67%39,676
Santa Clara (part)146,34168.00%68,86032.00%77,48136.00%215,201

The incumbent was Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 65.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Peter Hernandez (Republican), former chair of the San Benito County Board of Supervisors and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Zoe Lofgren (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Luele Kifle (Democratic), IT consultant
  • Lawrence Milan (Democratic), bartender
  • Charlene Nijmeh (Democratic), chair of the Muwekma Ohlone Tribe

Declined

  • Sam Liccardo (Democratic), former mayor of San Jose (running in the 16th district)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Zoe Lofgren (D)$1,380,968$1,419,890$372,448
Charlene Nijmeh (D)$187,518$140,803$46,714
Peter Hernandez (R)$93,247$88,484$7,062
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic49,37051.2
Republican31,66532.8
Democratic10,63111.0
Democratic2,7142.8
Democratic2,0342.1
96,414100.0
Democratic147,67464.6
Republican80,83235.4
228,506100.0
CountyZoe LofgrenDemocraticPeter HernandezRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Monterey (part)39,85661.85%24,58538.15%15,27123.70%64,441
San Benito14,80354.98%12,11945.02%2,6849.97%26,922
Santa Clara (part)79,78167.38%38,62032.62%41,16134.76%118,401
Santa Cruz (part)13,23470.61%5,50829.39%7,72641.22%18,742

The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Jason Anderson (Republican), auto repair shop owner
  • Jimmy Panetta (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Sean Dougherty (Green), engineer
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Jimmy Panetta (D)$1,776,745$752,004$3,205,151
Jason Anderson (R)$13,024$1,276$11,748
Sean Dougherty (G)$6,506$3,716$2,789
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic132,71165.0
Republican58,28528.6
Green13,0806.4
204,076100.0
Democratic252,45869.3
Republican111,86230.7
364,320100.0
CountyJimmy PanettaDemocraticJason AndersonRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Monterey (part)58,46273.08%21,53226.92%36,93046.17%79,994
San Luis Obispo (part)24,20346.22%28,16253.78%−3,959−7.56%52,365
Santa Clara (part)80,44766.71%40,14933.29%40,29833.42%120,596
Santa Cruz (part)89,34680.23%22,01919.77%67,32760.46%111,365

The incumbent was Republican Kevin McCarthy, who was re-elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022. McCarthy resigned on December 31, 2023, after his removal as Speaker of the House. A special election was held in May 2024 to fill McCarthy's vacant seat, which was won by Vince Fong, a state assemblyman who had formerly served as McCarthy's district director.

Advanced to general

  • Mike Boudreaux (Republican), Tulare County sheriff and runner-up in the May 2024 special election for this district (withdrew July 2024, endorsed Fong)
  • Vince Fong (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • James Cardoza (no party preference), realtor (write-in)
  • Ben Dewell (no party preference), meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022
  • Stan Ellis (Republican), farmer
  • Kyle Kirkland (Republican), casino owner and chairman of the board for Fresno Chaffee Zoo
  • Kelly Kulikoff (Republican), mayor of California City
  • Andy Morales (Democratic), security officer
  • Matt Stoll (Republican), landscaping business owner and candidate for the 21st district in 2022
  • Marisa Wood (Democratic), teacher and runner-up for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

  • John Burrows (Democratic), spokesman for Fresno city councilor Nelson Esparza (endorsed Wood)
  • TJ Esposito (no party preference), businessman (remained on ballot)
  • David Giglio (Republican), businessman and candidate for the 13th district in 2022 (endorsed Boudreaux, remained on ballot)
  • Kevin McCarthy, former U.S. Representative and former Speaker of the House (endorsed Fong)

Declined

  • Garry Bredefeld (Republican), Fresno city councilor (ran for the Fresno County Board of Supervisors)
  • Tal Eslick (Republican), political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative David Valadao
  • Shannon Grove (Republican), state senator for the 12th district (2018–present) and former senate minority leader (2019–2021)
  • Devon Mathis (Republican), state assemblyman for the 33rd district (2014–present)
  • Jim Patterson (Republican), state assemblyman for the 32nd district (2016–present), former mayor of Fresno (1993–2001), and candidate for this district in 2002 and the 9th district in 2010
  • Cole Rajewski (Republican), political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative David Valadao
  • Pete Vander Poel (Republican), Tulare County supervisor (ran for re-election)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Mike Boudreaux (R)$280,633$155,635$124,997
Vince Fong (R)$768,246$613,008$155,237
Kyle Kirkland (R)$289,791$274,809$14,981
Matt Stoll (R)$20,100$3,457$16,642
Andy Morales (D)$142,062$140,139$1,923
Marisa Wood (D)$71,955$36,844$39,608
Ben Dewell (NPP)$1,785$1,742$605
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid RNovember 16, 2023

Primary results by county:   Fong—50–60%   Fong—30–40%   Boudreaux—30–40%   Boudreaux—50–60%

Primary election
Republican66,16041.9
Republican37,88324.0
Democratic33,50921.2
Republican6,4294.1
Democratic4,3812.8
Republican3,2522.1
Republican2,2241.4
No party preference1,5091.0
Republican1,1310.7
Republican7240.5
No party preference5410.3
No party preference90.0
157,752100.0
Republican187,86265.1
Republican100,92634.9
288,788100.0
CountyVince FongRepublicanMike BoudreauxRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Fresno (part)46,70259.83%31,35040.17%15,35219.67%78,052
Kern (part)110,31474.16%38,44025.84%71,87448.32%148,754
Kings (part)10,40253.74%8,95446.26%1,4487.48%19,356
Tulare (part)20,44447.96%22,18252.04%−1,738−4.08%42,626

The incumbent was Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the district since 2005 and was re-elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2022. Costa won re-election by 5.2 percentage points, a much narrower margin than what was predicted by pundits and outlets.

Advanced to general

  • Jim Costa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Michael Maher (Republican), aviation business owner and runner-up for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Jim Costa (D)$917,344$478,139$828,283
Michael Maher (R)$307,141$208,992$100,372
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyLikely DMarch 22, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic42,69753.0
Republican37,93547.0
80,632100.0
Democratic102,79852.6
Republican92,73347.4
195,531100.0
CountyJim CostaDemocraticMichael MaherRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Fresno (part)83,51556.12%65,29743.88%18,21812.24%148,812
Tulare (part)19,28341.27%27,43658.73%−8,153−17.45%46,719

The incumbent was Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Rudy Salas (Democratic), former state assemblyman from the 32nd district (2012–2022) and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • David Valadao (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Melissa Hurtado (Democratic), state senator from the 16th district (2018–present)
  • Chris Mathys (Republican), former Fresno city councilor (1997–2001) and candidate for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Chris Mathys (R)$337,867$337,142$1,225
David Valadao (R)$3,431,218$1,479,413$2,000,244
Melissa Hurtado (D)$84,532$84,162$369
Rudy Salas (D)$3,123,937$1,396,838$1,741,507
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupNovember 16, 2023
Inside ElectionsOctober 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 4, 2024
Elections DailyNovember 4, 2024
CNalysisTilt D (flip)November 4, 2024
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorDavidValadao (R)RudySalas (D)Undecided
Emerson CollegeOctober 22–26, 2024525 (LV)± 4.2%45%47%8%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 23–26, 2024350 (LV)± 5.2%45%45%10%
USC/CSUSeptember 14–21, 2024263 (LV)± 6.1%44%47%9%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)August 25–27, 2024400 (LV)44%46%10%
Change Research (D)August 10–17, 2024479 (LV)± 2.2%44%38%18%

Primary results by county:   Valadao—30–40%   Salas—30–40%

Primary election
Republican20,47932.7
Democratic19,59231.3
Republican13,74522.0
Democratic8,73314.0
62,549100.0
Republican89,48453.4
Democratic78,02346.6
167,507100.0
CountyDavid ValadaoRepublicanRudy SalasDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Kern (part)54,05850.60%52,78649.40%1,2721.19%106,844
Kings (part)10,84156.89%8,21443.11%2,62713.79%19,055
Tulare (part)24,58559.09%17,02340.91%7,56218.17%41,608

The incumbent was Republican Jay Obernolte, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Derek Marshall (Democratic), community activist and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Jay Obernolte (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Jay Obernolte (R)$791,628$283,636$878,145
Derek Marshall (D)$336,761$266,088$84,924
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid RNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Republican70,20863.4
Democratic40,47736.6
110,685100.0
Republican159,28660.1
Democratic105,56339.9
264,849100.0
CountyJay ObernolteRepublicanDerek MarshallDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Kern (part)3,12758.42%2,22641.58%90116.83%5,353
Los Angeles (part)2,40652.75%2,15547.25%2515.50%4,561
San Bernardino (part)153,75360.31%101,18239.69%52,57120.62%254,935

The incumbent was Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Salud Carbajal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Thomas Cole (Republican), campaign data analyst

Eliminated in primary

  • Helena Pasquarella (Democratic), teacher
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Salud Carbajal (D)$1,258,354$672,803$2,689,537
Thomas Cole (R)$10,370$8,920$14,500
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic102,51653.7
Republican71,08937.2
Democratic17,2939.1
190,898100.0
Democratic214,72462.7
Republican127,75537.3
342,479100.0
CountySalud CarbajalDemocraticThomas ColeRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
San Luis Obispo (part)57,34560.98%36,69039.02%20,65521.97%94,035
Santa Barbara114,29863.53%65,62836.47%48,67027.05%179,926
Ventura (part)43,08162.88%25,43737.12%17,64425.75%68,518

The incumbent was Democrat Raul Ruiz, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Ian Weeks (Republican), financial planner

Eliminated in primary

  • Ryan Dean Burkett (no party preference), retail worker
  • Miguel Chapa (Republican), mortgage broker
  • Oscar Ortiz (Democratic), Indio city councilor
  • Ceci Truman (Republican), businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Oscar Ortiz (D)$32,022$22,101$10,140
Raul Ruiz (D)$1,293,842$887,745$1,992,893
Miguel Chapa (R)$9,370$3,095$1,909
Ceci Truman (R)$112,573$84,004$28,569
Ian Weeks (R)$75,140$59,370$15,770
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic45,88245.1
Republican20,99220.6
Republican17,81517.5
Democratic10,17110.0
Republican5,8565.7
No party preference1,1291.1
101,845100.0
Democratic137,83756.3
Republican107,19443.7
245,031100.0
CountyRaul RuizDemocraticIan WeeksRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Imperial29,55456.12%23,10543.88%6,44912.25%52,659
Riverside (part)107,57456.45%82,99843.55%24,57612.90%190,572
San Bernardino (part)70939.39%1,09160.61%−382−21.22%1,800

The incumbent was Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Julia Brownley (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Michael Koslow (Republican), healthcare investigator and retired Department of Defense special agent

Eliminated in primary

  • Chris Anstead (Democratic), Agoura Hills city councilor
  • Bruce Boyer (Republican), businessman, dancer, and perennial candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Chris Anstead (D)$41,697$17,704$23,993
Julia Brownley (D)$879,078$465,567$762,703
Michael Koslow (R)$39,066$34,563$4,503
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic84,99751.4
Republican55,90833.8
Republican17,70710.7
Democratic6,8414.1
165,453100.0
Democratic187,39356.1
Republican146,91343.9
334,306100.0
CountyJulia BrownleyDemocraticMichael KoslowRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)15,62956.64%11,96643.36%3,66313.27%27,595
Ventura (part)171,76456.00%134,94744.00%36,81712.00%306,711

The incumbent was Republican Mike Garcia, who was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Mike Garcia (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • George Whitesides (Democratic), former NASA chief of staff and former CEO of Virgin Galactic

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Hill (Democratic), appraiser and perennial candidate

Withdrawn

  • Franky Carrillo (Democratic), member of the Los Angeles County Probation Oversight Commission (ran for state assembly, endorsed Whitesides)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Mike Garcia (R)$3,180,332$1,736,253$1,560,751
George Whitesides (D)$3,578,060$1,069,537$2,508,523
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupApril 18, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D (flip)November 4, 2024
Elections DailyLean RNovember 4, 2024
CNalysisTilt D (flip)November 4, 2024
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorMikeGarcia (R)GeorgeWhitesides (D)Undecided
USC/CSUSeptember 14–21, 2024522 (LV)± 4.3%46%48%6%
Impact Research (D)April 12–18, 2024650 (V)44%47%9%
Primary election
Republican74,24554.9
Democratic44,39132.8
Democratic16,52512.2
135,161100.0
Democratic154,04051.3
Republican146,05048.7
300,090100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

The incumbent was Democrat Judy Chu, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Judy Chu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • April Verlato (Republican), mayor of Arcadia

Eliminated in primary

  • Jose Castaneda (Libertarian), customer service representative
  • William Patterson (Peace and Freedom), consultant
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Judy Chu (D)$954,243$769,610$3,531,026
April Verlato (R)$198,176$37,739$160,437
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic99,26162.7
Republican52,36933.1
Peace and Freedom3,5032.2
Libertarian3,1562.0
158,289100.0
Democratic204,48964.9
Republican110,45535.1
314,944100.0
CountyJudy ChuDemocraticApril VerlatoRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)187,61268.36%86,83331.64%100,77936.72%274,445
San Bernardino (part)16,87741.67%23,62258.33%−6,745−16.65%40,499

The incumbent was Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. On November 20, 2023, he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2024.

Advanced to general

  • Benito Bernal (Republican), youth advocate, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2018
  • Luz Rivas (Democratic), state assemblywoman from the 43rd district (2018–present)

Eliminated in primary

  • Angelica Dueñas (Democratic), former president of the Sun Valley neighborhood council and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022

Declined

  • Tony Cárdenas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (endorsed Rivas)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Angelica Dueñas (D)$83,650$76,853$12,631
Luz Rivas (D)$344,596$191,449$136,748
Benito Bernal (R)$27,326$10,352$1,542
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic40,09649.3
Republican21,44626.4
Democratic19,84424.4
81,386100.0
Democratic146,31269.8
Republican63,37430.2
209,686100.0
CountyLuz RivasDemocraticBenito BernalRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)146,31269.78%63,37430.22%82,93839.55%209,686

The incumbent was Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. He did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.

Advanced to general

  • Alex Balekian (Republican), physician
  • Laura Friedman (Democratic), state assemblywoman from the 43rd district

Eliminated in primary

  • Francisco Arreaga (Democratic), former policy advisor to U.S. Representative Dan Goldman
  • Joshua Bocanegra (no party preference), software developer
  • Steve Dunwoody (Democratic), government affairs executive and former special assistant to the U.S. Deputy Secretary of Energy
  • Mike Feuer (Democratic), former Los Angeles City Attorney
  • Sal Genovese, community services director and perennial candidate
  • Maebe A. Girl (Democratic), Silver Lake neighborhood council board member and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Emilio Martinez (Republican), television producer
  • Nick Melvoin (Democratic), member of the Los Angeles Board of Education
  • Courtney Najera (Democratic), beautician
  • Anthony Portantino (Democratic), state senator from the 25th district
  • Jirair Ratevosian (Democratic), former senior advisor at the U.S. Department of State and former legislative director for U.S. Representative Barbara Lee
  • Ben Savage (Democratic), actor known for Boy Meets World
  • Sepi Shyne (Democratic), mayor of West Hollywood
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic46,32930.1
Republican26,82617.4
Democratic20,45913.3
Democratic18,87812.3
Democratic15,79110.3
Republican6,7754.4
Democratic6,1474.0
Democratic4,1342.7
Democratic2,8891.9
Democratic2,1261.4
Democratic1,1670.8
No party preference7800.5
Democratic7270.5
Democratic5320.3
Democratic4420.3
154,002100.0
Democratic213,10068.4
Republican98,55931.6
311,659100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Grace Napolitano, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2022. Napolitano decided to retire rather than seek re-election.

Advanced to general

  • Gil Cisneros (Democratic), former U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness (2021–2023) and former U.S. Representative from the 39th district (2019–2021)
  • Daniel Martinez (Republican), attorney and runner-up for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • Bob Archuleta (Democratic), state senator from the 30th district (2018–present)
  • Pedro Casas (Republican), clinical psychologist
  • Greg Hafif (Democratic), attorney
  • Kurt Jose (Democratic), businessman
  • Erskine Levi (American Solidarity Party), teacher
  • Mary Ann Lutz (Democratic), president of the Citrus College Board of Trustees, former mayor of Monrovia, and former policy advisor to incumbent Grace Napolitano
  • Marie Manvel (no party preference), former member of the Santa Monica Social Services Commission and runner-up for State Board of Equalization District 3 in 2022
  • Susan Rubio (Democratic), state senator from the 22nd district (2018–present)

Declined

  • Grace Napolitano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative (endorsed Archuleta)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Bob Archuleta (D)$513,580$494,266$19,314
Gil Cisneros (D)$4,641,856$4,534,715$107,140
Greg Hafif (D)$826,060$555,576$270,483
Mary Ann Lutz (D)$625,215$373,697$251,517
Susan Rubio (D)$554,685$396,341$158,343
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic23,88823.6
Republican19,46419.2
Republican17,07716.9
Democratic16,00615.8
Democratic10,15110.0
Democratic6,6296.5
Democratic4,9144.9
Democratic1,4151.4
No party preference1,1661.2
No party preference5340.5
101,244100.0
Democratic148,09559.7
Republican99,85640.3
247,951100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Brad Sherman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Brad Sherman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Larry Thompson (Republican), attorney and candidate for the 37th district in 2020

Eliminated in primary

  • Dave Abbitt (Democratic), digital media producer
  • Christopher Ahuja (Democratic), talent agent
  • James Shuster (Republican), retired businessman
  • Douglas Smith (Democratic), stage manager

Withdrawn

  • Trevor Witt (Democratic), driver
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Dave Abbitt (D)$2,240$0$2,240
Brad Sherman (D)$984,660$533,849$3,419,583
James Shuster (R)$5,421$6,911$0
Larry Thompson (R)$71,981$59,149$12,831
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic91,95258.6
Republican29,93919.1
Republican16,60110.6
Democratic12,6378.1
Democratic2,5041.6
Democratic1,6651.1
Democratic1,6351.0
156,933100.0
Democratic212,93466.2
Republican108,71133.8
321,645100.0
CountyBrad ShermanDemocraticLarry ThompsonRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)212,32866.25%108,16533.75%104,16332.50%320,493
Ventura (part)60652.60%54647.40%605.21%1,152

The incumbent was Democrat Pete Aguilar, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Pete Aguilar (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Tom Herman (Republican), property manager

Write-in candidates

  • John Mark Porter (Republican), disaster response coordinator and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Ernest Richter (Republican), retired businessman and candidate for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

  • Sarah Sun Liew (Republican), businesswoman, candidate for this district in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (ran for U.S. Senate)
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Pete Aguilar (D)$3,427,439$1,993,237$3,013,958
Tom Herman (R)$4,692$2,710$1,982
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic45,06557.1
Republican33,81542.8
Republican1040.1
Republican30.0
78,987100.0
Democratic137,19758.8
Republican96,07841.2
233,275100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Jimmy Gomez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • David Kim (Democratic), former MacArthur Park neighborhood council board member and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • David Ferrell (Democratic), attorney
  • Calvin Lee (Republican), businessman
  • Aaron Reveles (Peace and Freedom), teacher
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
David Ferrell (D)$9,072$5,930$3,141
Jimmy Gomez (D)$1,088,878$733,445$910,936
David Kim (D)$100,011$95,640$4,371
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic41,61151.2
Democratic22,70327.9
Republican11,49514.1
Peace and Freedom3,2234.0
Democratic2,3122.8
81,344100.0
Democratic105,39455.6
Democratic84,02044.4
189,414100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Mike Cargile (Republican), independent filmmaker and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
  • Norma Torres (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Melissa May (Democratic), former Mountain View School District trustee
  • Vijal Suthar (Republican), hotel manager
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Norma Torres (D)$453,582$529,935$271,829
Mike Cargile (R)$51,310$47,539$5,143
Melissa May (D)$13,394$12,041$1,352
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic39,05148.2
Republican32,08239.6
Democratic6,4327.9
Republican3,4914.3
81,056100.0
Democratic136,41358.4
Republican97,14241.6
233,555100.0
CountyNorma TorresDemocraticMike CargileRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)26,56766.75%13,23433.25%13,33333.50%39,801
Riverside (part)9,06649.27%9,33650.73%−270−1.47%18,402
San Bernardino (part)100,78057.47%74,57242.53%26,20814.95%175,352

The incumbent was Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Ted Lieu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Melissa Toomim (Republican), journalist and candidate for the 32nd district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • Claire Anderson (no party preference), businesswoman
  • Ariana Hakami (Republican), financial advisor and candidate for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Ted Lieu (D)$1,284,495$1,459,830$619,055
Ariana Hakami (R)$2,840$2,802$243
Melissa Toomim (R)$13,331$12,458$1,020
Claire Anderson (NPP)$25,521$23,762$1,759
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic125,85868.5
Republican27,44014.9
Republican25,82314.1
No party preference4,5092.5
183,630100.0
Democratic246,00268.7
Republican111,98531.3
357,987100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who had represented the district since 2023. She was elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat.

Advanced to general

  • Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Juan Rey (no party preference), train mechanic

Eliminated in primary

  • Adam Carmichael (Democratic), software engineer
  • Baltazar Fedalizo (Republican), businessman and candidate for this district in 2022 (write-in)
  • John Parker (Peace and Freedom), political organizer and activist
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)$643,384$569,532$175,730
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic62,41371.8
No party preference8,91710.3
Democratic7,5208.7
Peace and Freedom7,3168.4
Republican7520.9
86,918100.0
Democratic160,36478.3
No party preference44,45021.7
204,814100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Eric Ching (Republican), Walnut city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Linda Sánchez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Robert Ochoa (Republican), entrepreneur
  • John Sarega (Republican), businessman and candidate for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Linda Sánchez (D)$911,863$757,636$597,371
Eric Ching (R)$16,307$4,687$16,483
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic62,32556.2
Republican26,74424.1
Republican13,84112.5
Republican8,0347.2
110,944100.0
Democratic165,11059.8
Republican110,81840.2
275,928100.0
CountyLinda SánchezDemocraticEric ChingRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Los Angeles (part)152,49860.39%100,01939.61%52,47920.78%252,517
Orange (part)12,61253.87%10,79946.13%1,8137.74%23,411

The incumbent was Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • David Serpa (Republican), businessman
  • Mark Takano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Mark Takano (D)$907,118$1,113,661$284,662
David Serpa (R)$26,133$18,307$7,826
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic48,35155.5
Republican38,75044.5
87,101100.0
Democratic130,19156.7
Republican99,46943.3
229,660100.0

The incumbent was Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Joe Kerr (Democratic), retired Orange County fire captain, candidate for Orange County Board of Supervisors District 4 in 2018, and candidate for SD-38 in 2022
  • Young Kim (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Allyson Muñiz Damikolas (Democratic), Tustin Unified School District trustee
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Young Kim (R)$4,097,491$1,987,963$2,509,006
Allyson Muñiz Damikolas (D)$549,563$494,776$54,786
Joe Kerr (D)$1,082,947$1,002,971$79,976
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLikely RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 4, 2024
Elections DailyNovember 4, 2024
CNalysisLean RNovember 4, 2024
Primary election
Republican109,96356.4
Democratic49,96525.6
Democratic35,15318.0
195,081100.0
Republican211,99855.3
Democratic171,63744.7
383,635100.0
CountyYoung KimRepublicanJoe KerrDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Orange (part)194,39855.05%158,71444.95%35,68410.11%353,112
Riverside (part)2,68557.24%2,00642.76%67914.47%4,691
San Bernardino (part)14,91557.74%10,91742.26%3,99815.48%25,832

The incumbent was Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Ken Calvert (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Will Rollins (Democratic), counterterrorism attorney and runner-up for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

  • Anna Nevenic (Democratic), nurse and perennial candidate
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Ken Calvert (R)$4,395,180$1,825,606$2,639,377
Anna Nevenic (D)$11,180$5,780$5,400
Will Rollins (D)$4,775,382$1,658,288$3,162,026
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorKenCalvert (R)WillRollins (D)Other/Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)October 3–6, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%45%45%10%
USC/CSUSeptember 14–21, 2024539 (LV)± 4.2%48%47%5%
RMG ResearchSeptember 5–12, 2024461 (LV)± 4.6%35%41%24%
David Binder Research (D)May 1–6, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%45%11%
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsTilt RMay 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 4, 2024
Elections DailyNovember 4, 2024
CNalysisTilt RNovember 4, 2024
Primary election
Republican85,95953.0
Democratic62,24538.4
Democratic13,8628.6
162,066100.0
Republican183,21651.7
Democratic171,22948.3
354,445100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Robert Garcia, who had represented the district since 2023, and was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • John Briscoe (Republican), Ocean View School District trustee, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Robert Garcia (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Joaquin Beltran (Democratic), engineer and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Nicole López (Democratic), communications consultant and candidate for this district in 2022
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Joaquin Beltran (D)$17,195$14,722$2,472
Robert Garcia (D)$721,147$553,777$497,931
Nicole López (D)$3,339$2,544$1,095
John Briscoe (R)$250,000$4,308$245,691
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic49,89152.1
Republican30,59931.9
Democratic8,7589.1
Democratic6,5326.8
95,780100.0
Democratic159,15368.1
Republican74,41031.9
233,563100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the district since 1991 and was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Maxine Waters (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Steve Williams (Republican), real estate broker

Eliminated in primary

  • Gregory Cheadle (Democratic), attorney and perennial candidate
  • David Knight (Republican), education business owner
  • Chris Wiggins (Democratic), human resources recruiter and runner-up for the 37th district in 2016
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Maxine Waters (D)$429,143$508,279$156,496
Chris Wiggins (D)$650$0$1,225
David Knight (R)$4,475$3,728$747
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic54,67369.8
Republican10,89613.9
Republican5,6477.2
Democratic4,9996.4
Democratic2,0752.7
78,290100.0
Democratic160,08075.1
Republican53,15224.9
213,232100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Nanette Barragán (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Roger Groh (Republican), investment manager
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Nanette Barragán (D)$645,140$730,488$1,418,423
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic63,62270.8
Republican26,18829.2
89,810100.0
Democratic164,76571.4
Republican66,08728.6
230,852100.0

The incumbent was Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Michelle Steel (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Derek Tran (Democratic), Consumer Attorneys of California board member

Eliminated in primary

  • Cheyenne Hunt (Democratic), attorney and TikTok influencer
  • Kim Nguyen-Penaloza (Democratic), Garden Grove city councilor and runner-up for Orange County Board of Supervisors District 2 in 2022
  • Aditya Pai (Democratic), attorney
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupSeptember 6, 2024
Inside ElectionsOctober 18, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 4, 2024
Elections DailyNovember 4, 2024
CNalysisTilt D (flip)November 4, 2024
Primary election
Republican78,02254.9
Democratic22,54615.9
Democratic22,17915.6
Democratic11,9738.4
Democratic7,3995.2
142,119100.0
Democratic158,26450.1
Republican157,61149.9
315,875100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

The incumbent was Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • David Pan (Republican), University of California, Irvine professor
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Lou Correa (D)$670,662$438,796$1,754,509
David Pan (R)$48,303$26,416$21,886
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Primary election
Democratic46,18460.6
Republican30,03239.4
76,216100.0
Democratic134,01363.4
Republican77,27936.6
211,292100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She opted against seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate, ultimately losing her bid.

Advanced to general

  • Scott Baugh (Republican), former minority leader of the California state assembly, former chair of the Orange County Republican Party, and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Dave Min (Democratic), state senator and candidate for this district in 2018

Eliminated in primary

  • Terry Crandall (no party preference), Santa Ana College economics professor
  • Tom McGrath (no party preference), chemical engineer
  • Long Pham (Republican), former member of the Orange County Department of Education Board of Directors and perennial candidate
  • Boyd Roberts (Democratic), realtor and perennial candidate
  • Bill Smith (no party preference), retired attorney
  • Max Ukropina (Republican), businessman and former aide to U.S. Representatives John Campbell and David Valadao
  • Joanna Weiss (Democratic), attorney and law professor
  • Shariq Zaidi (Democratic), security guard
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsTossupOctober 18, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLean DNovember 4, 2024
Elections DailyLean R (flip)November 4, 2024
CNalysisLean DNovember 4, 2024
Primary election
Republican57,51732.1
Democratic46,39325.9
Democratic34,80219.4
Republican26,58514.8
Republican4,8622.7
No party preference2,8781.6
Democratic2,5701.4
No party preference1,6110.9
No party preference1,0620.6
Democratic7880.4
179,068100.0
Democratic181,72151.4
Republican171,55448.6
353,275100.0

The incumbent was Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Stephen Houlahan (Democratic), former Santee city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Darrell Issa (Republican), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Lucinda Jahn (no party preference), technician and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Mathew Rascon (Democratic), security guard and candidate for this district in 2022
  • Whitney Shanahan (Democratic), activist
  • Mike Simon (Democratic), engineer
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Darrell Issa (R)$919,404$440,906$1,096,087
Stephen Houlahan (D)$17,046$20,314$7,966
Whitney Shanahan (D)$16,056$14,561$1,495
Mike Simon (D)$123,417$113,117$10,300
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid RNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorDarrellIssa (R)StephenHoulahan (D)Undecided
SurveyUSAJune 14–20, 2024625 (LV)± 4.8%56%34%10%
Primary election
Republican111,51062.4
Democratic26,60114.9
Democratic21,81912.2
Democratic12,9507.2
Democratic3,9882.2
No party preference1,9591.1
178,827100.0
Republican213,62559.3
Democratic146,66540.7
360,290100.0
CountyDarrell IssaRepublicanStephen HoulahanDemocraticMarginTotal votes cast
Riverside (part)71,14959.70%48,02840.30%23,12119.40%119,177
San Diego (part)142,47659.09%98,63740.91%43,83918.18%241,113

The incumbent was Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Matt Gunderson (Republican), auto dealer and runner-up for SD-38 in 2022
  • Mike Levin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Sheryl Adams (Republican), automotive marketer
  • Kate Monroe (Republican), veteran aid nonprofit CEO
  • Margarita Wilkinson (Republican), Entravision senior vice president
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Mike Levin (D)$2,429,689$1,342,976$1,222,164
Sheryl Adams (R)$241,435$133,602$107,832
Matt Gunderson (R)$1,201,102$1,000,024$201,078
Kate Monroe (R)$376,573$204,994$171,578
Margarita Wilkinson (R)$1,799,386$1,313,920$487,466
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean DOctober 15, 2024
Inside ElectionsOctober 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DSeptember 30, 2024
Elections DailyLean DOctober 10, 2024
CNalysisSolid DOctober 16, 2024
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorMikeLevin (D)MattGunderson (R)OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAOctober 25–31, 2024574 (LV)± 5.0%51%38%3%8%
1892 Polling (R)October 5–8, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%46%45%9%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–6, 2024617 (LV)± 4.8%53%41%1%5%
SurveyUSAJune 5–10, 2024559 (LV)± 4.8%50%40%10%
1892 Polling (R)April 9–11, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%44%42%14%
SurveyUSAJanuary 9–15, 2024650 (LV)± 4.4%47%34%20%
43%12%17%28%
Primary election
Democratic97,27551.0
Republican49,00125.7
Republican20,90011.0
Republican19,02610.0
Republican4,6172.4
190,819100.0
Democratic197,39752.2
Republican180,95047.8
378,347100.0
CountyMike LevinDemocraticMatt GundersonRepublicanMarginTotal votes cast
Orange (part)59,92844.58%74,51255.42%−14,584−10.85%134,440
San Diego (part)137,46956.36%106,43843.64%31,03112.72%243,907

The incumbent was Democrat Scott Peters, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Peter Bono (Republican), retired U.S. Navy technician
  • Scott Peters (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Timothy Bilash (Democratic), obstetrician-gynecologist
  • Solomon Moss (Republican), home tiling contractor
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Timothy Bilash (D)$27,181$26,506$961
Scott Peters (D)$1,288,282$896,445$2,125,794
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorScottPeters (D)PeterBono (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAJune 24–30, 2024601 (LV)± 5.0%51%33%17%
Primary election
Democratic97,60157.0
Republican40,28423.5
Republican20,25211.8
Democratic13,1067.7
171,243100.0
Democratic231,83664.3
Republican128,85935.7
360,695100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Sara Jacobs, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Sara Jacobs (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
  • Bill Wells (Republican), mayor of El Cajon

Eliminated in primary

  • Stan Caplan (no party preference), businessman and Republican runner-up for this district in 2022
  • Hilaire Fuji Shioura (no party preference), former Placentia library trustee and perennial candidate
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Sara Jacobs (D)$985,133$864,795$210,365
Bill Wells (R)$563,914$392,408$178,685
Stan Caplan (NPP)$41,726$34,162$7,564
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorStanCaplan (NPP)SaraJacobs (D)HilaireShioura (NPP)BillWells (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAJanuary 26–31, 2024562 (LV)± 4.9%4%48%3%29%16%
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorSaraJacobs (D)BillWells (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 23–27, 2024521 (LV)± 5.2%61%25%13%
SurveyUSAJune 10–14, 2024537 (LV)± 4.8%54%32%14%
SurveyUSAJanuary 26–31, 2024562 (LV)± 4.9%55%34%11%
Primary election
Democratic90,90157.4
Republican61,92339.1
No party preference3,1642.0
No party preference2,4961.6
158,484100.0
Democratic198,83560.7
Republican128,74939.3
327,584100.0

The incumbent was Democrat Juan Vargas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2022.

Advanced to general

  • Justin Lee (Republican), realtor
  • Juan Vargas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. representative
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Juan Vargas (D)$458,547$495,704$182,387
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DFebruary 2, 2023
Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DFebruary 23, 2023
Elections DailyFebruary 5, 2024
CNalysisSolid DNovember 16, 2023
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorJuanVargas (D)JustinLee (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAJune 20–25, 2024507 (LV)± 5.5%57%25%19%
Primary election
Democratic62,51165.0
Republican33,61135.0
96,122100.0
Democratic172,21766.3
Republican87,50133.7
259,718100.0

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