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2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey

none

Field	Value
election_name	2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey
country	New Jersey
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2006 United States Senate election in New Jersey
previous_year	2006
next_election	2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey
next_year	2018
election_date	November 6, 2012
turnout	67% ( 19pp)
image1	File:Robert Menendez official Senate portrait (cropped).jpg
image_size	x145px
nominee1	Bob Menendez
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	1,987,680
percentage1	****
image2	File:Joe Kyrillos (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Joe Kyrillos
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	1,329,534
percentage2
map_image	{{switcher
map_caption	Menendez:
Kyrillos:
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Bob Menendez
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Bob Menendez
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by county.svg|280px]] |County results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by congressional district.svg|280px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by municipality.svg|280px]] |Municipality results}} Kyrillos:
The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent senator Bob Menendez became the first Hispanic-American U.S. senator to represent New Jersey in January 2006 when former U.S. senator Jon Corzine appointed him to the seat after having resigned to become governor of New Jersey, following his election in November 2005. In 2006, Menendez defeated Republican state senator Thomas Kean, Jr. with 53.3% of the vote.

Menendez won re-election to a second full term, becoming the first Democratic Senate candidate to carry Somerset County since Bill Bradley in 1984. This is the only time since 1976 that a candidate for this seat received over 55% of the vote. This election marked the first time that someone won this seat by double digits since 1976 as well. Menendez outperformed President Obama by winning 0.62% more than Obama won in the concurrent presidential election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez	Someone
else	Unsure
Fairleigh Dickinson University	March 5–11, 2012	404	±5.0%	30%	37%	33%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

David Brown, inventor
Joe Kyrillos, State Senator
Bader Qarmout, businessman and adjunct professor at the County College of Morris
Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman

Withdrew

Ian Linker, attorney
Anna Little, former mayor of Highlands and candidate for NJ-06 in 2010

Declined

Diane Allen, state senator, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and former news broadcaster
Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey and former U.S. Attorney
John Crowley, biotechnology executive
Michael Doherty, state senator
Tim Smith, financial services firm executive and member of the Roxbury Township Council
Jay Webber, State Assemblyman and former New Jersey Republican State Committee chairman

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Michael
Doherty	Kim
Guadagno	Woody
Johnson	Tom
Kean Jr.	Joseph
Kyrillos	Anna
Little	Tim
Smith	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	300	±5.7%	7%	10%	9%	36%	3%	4%	2%	—	30%

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

Bob Menendez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
Joe Kyrillos (Republican), state senator
Inder "Andy" Soni (America First)
Ken Wolski (Green), medical marijuana activist and former nurse
Gwen Diakos (Jersey Strong Independents), civilian defense contractor
Kenneth R. Kaplan (Libertarian), commercial real estate broker
Eugene Martin LaVergne (independent)
Daryl Mikell Brooks (Reform Nation), activist
Robert "Turk" Turkavage (Responsibility Fairness Integrity), former FBI agent
Greg Pason (Socialist), National Secretary of the Socialist Party USA and perennial candidate
J. David Dranikoff (Totally Independent Candidate), businessman

Debates

Three debates were scheduled. The first debate took place on October 4, 2012, at Montclair State University. Menendez and Kyrillos participated. The second took place on October 10 at NJ 101.5 studios, Trenton NJ The third was to take place on October 17 at Mercer County Community College External links

Complete video of debate, October 4, 2012 - C-SPAN
Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
	Bob Menendez (D)	$10,243,864	$2,325,178	$10,345,365	$0
	Joseph Kyrillos (R)	$3,106,536	$1,132,232	$1,974,302	$50,236
	Kenneth R. Kaplan (L)	$800	$0	$800	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Bob Menendez	Contribution	Joseph Kyrillos	Contribution
Lowenstein Sandler	$116,160	McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP	$133,098
Greenberg Traurig	$78,250	Allied Management Inc	$22,000
NORPAC	$70,550	Connell Foley	$18,250
Prudential Financial	$66,800	Maser Consulting	$17,250
DeCotiis, FitzPatrick & Cole	$48,150	B&L Tire	$15,000
Kindred Healthcare	$48,000	Berkeley College	$15,000
Verizon Communications	$47,050	CJ Hesse	$15,000
Medco Health Solutions	$41,249	GlobalTel	$15,000
DLA Piper	$41,000	Langer Transport Corp	$15,000
Dade Medical College	$40,000	Fgi Finance	$14,000

Top industries

Bob Menendez	Contribution	Joe Kyrillos	Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms	$1,633,843	Lawyers/Law Firms	$312,845
Real Estate	$1,096,684	Retired	$103,900
Lobbyists	$578,182	Financial Institutions	$98,200
Financial Institutions	$532,651	Real Estate	$98,150
Health Professionals	$524,810	Health Professionals	$62,100
Retired	$411,525	Business Services	$60,250
Construction Services	$388,550	Construction Services	$54,300
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products	$353,250	Universities	$51,250
Insurance	$338,550	General Contractors	$39,500
Leadership PACs	$328,244	Misc Business	$38,550

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report		November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics		November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Joseph
Kyrillos (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 3–9, 2011	802	±3.5%	41%	29%	—	30%
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	480	±4.5%	48%	29%	—	23%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	September 19–25, 2011	800	±3.5%	49%	28%	—	22%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 2–8, 2012	800	±3.5%	43%	31%	—	26%
Rutgers-Eagleton	February 9–11, 2012	914	±3.3%	44%	22%	1%	26%
Survey USA	February 24–26, 2012	533	±4.3%	46%	31%	—	23%
Quinnipiac	February 21–27, 2012	1,396	±2.6%	49%	34%	1%	14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	March 5–11, 2012	396	±2.6%	43%	33%	—	23%
Quinnipiac	April 3–9, 2012	1,607	±2.4%	44%	35%	1%	20%
Fairleigh Dickinson/PublicMind	April 30 – May 6, 2012	400	±5%	42%	33%	—	24%
Quinnipiac	May 9–14, 2012	1,582	±2.5%	45%	35%	2%	19%
Quinnipiac	July 9–14, 2012	1,623	±2.5%	47%	34%	1%	16%
Monmouth University	July 18–22, 2012	535 LV	±2.5%	44%	35%	1%	19%
Monmouth University	July 23–27, 2012	849 RV	±2.5%	45%	33%	1%	22%
Rutgers-Eagleton	August 23–25, 2012	688 LV	±3.7%	47%	35%	8%	10%
Quinnipiac University	August 27 – September 2, 2012	1,471 LV	±2.5%	50%	40%	—	10%
Quinnipiac University	September 6–12, 2012	706 LV	±2.5%	50%	36%	—	16%
Philadelphia Inquirer	September 9–12, 2012	600 LV	±2.5%	43%	32%	—	12%
Monmouth University	September 19–23, 2012	613 LV	±2.5%	49%	34%	—	15%
Philadelphia Inquirer	October 4–8, 2012	604 LV	±4%	49%	35%	—	15%
Quinnipiac	October 10–14, 2012	1,319 LV	±2.7%	55%	37%	—	15%
Stockton	October 12–18, 2012	811 LV	±3.5%	52%	30%	—	18%
SurveyUSA	October 17–18, 2012	577 LV	±4.2%	53%	33%	5%	9%
Philadelphia Inquirer	October 23–25, 2012	601 LV	±4%	50%	32%	—	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Jennifer
Beck (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 3–9, 2011	802	±3.5%	42%	29%	—	29%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Lou
Dobbs (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 6–9, 2011	520	±4.3%	47%	35%	—	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Lou
Dobbs (I)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 4–10, 2010	801	±3.5%	37%	34%	—	28%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Michael
Doherty (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 23 – March 1, 2010	801	±3.5%	40%	27%	8%	25%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 3–9, 2011	802	±3.5%	40%	30%	—	30%
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	480	±4.5%	48%	35%	—	17%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	September 19–25, 2011	800	±3.5%	49%	30%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Kim
Guadagno (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 3–9, 2011	802	±3.5%	47%	26%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	January 6–9, 2011	520	±4.3%	45%	30%	—	24%
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	480	±4.5%	48%	34%	—	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Woody
Johnson (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	480	±4.5%	48%	30%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Tom
Kean Jr. (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 23 – February 1, 2010	801	±3.5%	35%		45%	2%	15%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 23 – March 1, 2010	801	±3.5%	38%		39%	6%	17%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 3–9, 2011	802	±3.5%		44%	34%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	January 6–9, 2011	520	±4.3%		41%	39%	—	19%
Public Policy Polling	July 15–18, 2011	480	±4.5%		44%	39%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bob
Menendez (D)	Anna
Little (R)	Other	Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University	January 2–8, 2012	800	±3.5%	43%	31%	—	26%
Survey USA	February 24–26, 2012	533	±4.3%	48%	29%	—	23%

Results

By county

County	Bob Menendez
December	Joe Kyrillos
Republican	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total votes cast	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	1,987,680	58.87%	1,329,534	39.37%	59,435	1.76%	658,146	19.50%	3,376,649
	Atlantic		61,464		58.186%		42,378		40.118%		1,792		1.696%		19,086		18.068%		105,634
	Bergen		201,870		57.33%		144,709		41.09%		5,558		1.58%		57,161		16.24%		352,137
	Burlington		121,211		59.05386%		82,374		40.13252%		1,670		0.81362%		38,837		18.92134%		205,255
	Camden		148,925		69.47%		62,734		29.26%		2,722		1.27%		86,191		40.21%		214,381
	Cape May		19,965		46.35%		22,281		51.73%		826		1.92%		-2,316		-5.38%		43,072
	Cumberland		31,367		63.74%		16,795		34.13%		1,051		2.14%		14,572		29.61%		49,213
	Essex		213,404		78.8563%		53,009		19.5877%		4,211		1.5560%		160,395		59.2686%		270,624
	Gloucester		74,271		57.16%		52,591		40.48%		3,072		2.36%		21,680		16.68%		129,934
	Hudson		139,910		79.35%		32,876		18.64%		3,545		2.01%		107,034		60.71%		176,331
	Hunterdon		24,676		39.29%		36,000		57.33%		2,123		3.38%		-11,324		-18.04%		62,799
	Mercer		97,964		67.726%		43,793		30.276%		2,890		1.998%		54,171		37.450%		144,647
	Middlesex		178,686		63.41780%		97,730		34.68555%		5,344		1.89665%		80,956		28.73225%		281,760
	Monmouth		120,154		44.6729%		144,366		53.6748%		4,444		1.6523%		-24,212		-9.0019%		268,964
	Morris		93,209		44.42%		114,078		54.36%		2,561		1.22%		-20,869		-9.94%		209,848
	Ocean		99,362		42.10%		132,413		56.11%		4,229		1.79%		-33,051		-14.01%		236,004
	Passaic		105,286		64.91%		54,149		33.38%		2,780		1.71%		51,137		31.53%		162,215
	Salem		15,044		52.51%		12,555		43.82%		1,050		3.67%		2,489		8.69%		28,649
	Somerset		70,264		51.57%		63,349		46.49%		2,645		1.94%		6,915		5.08%		136,258
	Sussex		25,212		38.03%		38,250		57.70%		2,831		4.27%		-13,038		-19.67%		66,293
	Union		125,635		66.92%		58,929		31.39%		3,180		1.69%		66,706		35.53%		187,744
	Warren		17,904		41.83%		24,046		56.17%		856		2.00%		-6,142		-14.34%		42,806

County that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Somerset (largest municipality: Franklin Township)
Salem (largest municipality: Pennsville Township)

| | | | | | | | | | | |

Democratic Republican

By congressional district

Menendez won nine of 12 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans to the House.

District	Menendez	Representative
66.7%	31.7%	Rob Andrews
54.6%	43.3%
	Frank LoBiondo
51.9%	46.8%	Jon Runyan
44.8%	53.5%	Chris Smith
49.3%	48.8%	Scott Garrett
60.7%	37.4%	Frank Pallone
46.1%	51.8%	Leonard Lance
80.4%	17.7%	Bill Pascrell (112th Congress)
	Albio Sires (113th Congress)
70.4%	27.9%	Steve Rothman (112th Congress)
	Bill Pascrell (113th Congress)
88.0%	10.7%	Donald Payne Jr.
47.5%	50.8%	Rodney Frelinghuysen
66.0%	32.2%	Rush Holt Jr.

References

"General Election Data - 1924 to 2022".
Chen, David W.. (December 8, 2005). "Corzine Is Said to Have Picked a Replacement". [[The New York Times]].
[http://www.menendezfornj.com Menendez for Senate 2012]
[http://www.publicmind.fdu.edu/2012/someoneelse/ Fairleigh Dickinson University]
Symons, Michael. (April 10, 2012). "Menendez unopposed in Senate primary after rival rejected". [[Asbury Park Press]].
Friedman, Matt. (January 19, 2012). "N.J. Sen. Joseph Kyrillos to seek U.S. Senate seat". [[The Star-Ledger]].
Jennings, Rob. (February 15, 2012). "Local man launches bid for U.S. Senate". [[New Jersey Herald]].
Portnoy, Jenna. (February 16, 2012). "Gov. Christie makes campaign appearance for N.J. Sen. Joe Kyrillos' U.S. Senate bid". [[The Star-Ledger]].
Pizarro, Max. (September 21, 2011). "Linker ends his conservative bid for the U.S. Senate". PolitickerNJ.
(March 18, 2012). "Winners and Losers: Conventions Edition". [[Politicker Network.
[https://blog.nj.com/perspective/2011/04/sen_diane_allen_on_lessons_fro.html Sen. Diane Allen on lessons from the campaign trail. NJ.com]
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"Crowley Won't Run For Senate - Hotline On Call".
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(December 18, 2011). "Field is clearing for Kyrillos run for U.S. Senate". [[The Star-Ledger]].
D'Aprile, Shane. (December 12, 2010). "New Jersey GOP lacking a name to face a more vulnerable Menendez". [[The Hill (newspaper).
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[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NCNJ_0725.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.nj.gov/state/elections/2012-results/2012-unofficial-primary-results-senate-0606-425.pdf]
(March 13, 2012). "NJ Greens Pick Ken Wolski as Candidate for U.S. Senate". Atlantic Highlands Herald.
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(February 16, 2012). "Socialist Party MOC Nominates Pat Noble for Red Bank Board of Education". Socialist Party of Monmouth and Ocean Counties}}{{Dead link.
(September 17, 2012). "NJ 101.5 to Host US Senate Debate".
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[https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Bob Menendez Campaign Finances]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Joseph Kyrillos Campaign Finances]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Kenneth R. Kaplan]
[http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=NJS1 [[OpenSecrets]]
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