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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah |
| country | Utah |
| flag_year | 2011 |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 4 Utah seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | November 6, 2012 |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 2 |
| seats1 | 3 |
| seat_change1 | 1 |
| popular_vote1 | 647,873 |
| percentage1 | 64.86% |
| swing1 | 3.82% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 324,309 |
| percentage2 | 32.47% |
| swing2 | 1.6% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Republican Democratic
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the four U.S. representatives from the state of Utah, an increase of one seat in reapportionment following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial federal presidential election, a concurrent quadrennial statewide gubernatorial election, all other simultaneous quadrennial statewide executive official election, and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on June 26, 2012.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2012 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats Before | Seats After | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 647,873 | 64.86% | 2 | 3 | +1 | |
| Democratic | 324,309 | 32.47% | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Constitution | 14,481 | 1.45% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Libertarian | 6,439 | 0.64% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Independent | 5,795 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 998,897 | 100.00% | 3 | 4 | +1 |
Redistricting
In Utah, the redistricting process was controlled by members of the Republican Party, who formed a majority on the State Legislature's redistricting committee. The plan, passed in October 2011, divided Salt Lake County among three districts, which Republicans argued would require Utah's U.S. representatives to focus on both urban and rural issues. Jim Dabakis, the chair of the Utah Democratic Party, argued that the map constituted a gerrymander designed to benefit the Republican Party.
District 1
Republican incumbent Rob Bishop, who had represented Utah's 1st congressional district since 2003, ran for re-election, having decided against running for governor.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rob Bishop, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Leonard "Joe" Fabiano, business entrepreneur and candidate for senate in 2010
- Jacqueline Smith, homemaker and Tea Party activist
Withdrawn
- Michael Miller, Iraq War veteran
Results
Rob Bishop became the official Republican candidate on April 21, 2012 at the State Republican Convention.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Donna McAleer, management consultant and West Point graduate
Eliminated in primary
- Ryan Combe, small business owner
Results
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sherry Phipps
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Rob | ||||||
| Bishop (R) | Donna | ||||||
| McAleer (D) | Sherry | ||||||
| Phipps (C) | Undecided | ||||||
| Dan Jones & Associates | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 194 (RV) | ±7.0% | 70% | 15% | 2% | 10% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University | October 9–13, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±7.0% | 62% | 20% | – | 18% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
By county
Source
| County | Rob Bishop | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donna M. McAleer | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | Sherry Phipps | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Constitution | Margin | Total | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||||||||
| Box Elder | 15,642 | 81.68% | 2,711 | 14.16% | 797 | 4.16% | 12,931 | 67.52% | 19,150 | ||||||||||||||
| Cache | 31,518 | 76.29% | 8,076 | 19.55% | 1,718 | 4.16% | 23,442 | 56.74% | 41,312 | ||||||||||||||
| Daggett | 341 | 70.60% | 118 | 24.43% | 24 | 4.97% | 223 | 46.17% | 483 | ||||||||||||||
| Davis | 52,780 | 75.48% | 14,523 | 20.77% | 2,621 | 3.75% | 38,257 | 54.71% | 69,924 | ||||||||||||||
| Duchesne | 5,089 | 81.94% | 796 | 12.82% | 326 | 5.25% | 4,293 | 69.12% | 6,211 | ||||||||||||||
| Morgan | 3,649 | 81.32% | 648 | 14.44% | 190 | 4.23% | 3,001 | 66.88% | 4,487 | ||||||||||||||
| Rich | 828 | 84.58% | 110 | 11.24% | 41 | 4.19% | 718 | 73.34% | 979 | ||||||||||||||
| Summit | 7,391 | 43.28% | 9,317 | 54.55% | 371 | 2.17% | -1,926 | -11.28% | 17,079 | ||||||||||||||
| Uintah | 9,659 | 85.14% | 1,301 | 11.47% | 385 | 3.39% | 8,358 | 73.67% | 11,345 | ||||||||||||||
| Weber | 48,590 | 65.17% | 23,011 | 30.86% | 2,957 | 3.97% | 25,579 | 34.31% | 74,558 |
District 2
Democratic incumbent Jim Matheson, who had represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001, sought re-election in the new 4th district.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jay Seegmiller, former state representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dean Collinwood
- Mike Small
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Stewart, author, former U.S. Air Force pilot, and president of an energy consulting firm
Eliminated in primary
- Jason Buck, former American football player at Brigham Young University and in the National Football League
- Dave Clark, former speaker of the Utah House of Representatives
- Cherilyn Eagar, business owner and candidate for Senate in 2010
- Robert Fuehr, former telecommunications executive and Harvard University MBA alumnus
- Milton Hanks
- Edward Mayerhofer
- Jeramey McElhaney, small business owner
- Howard Wallack
- Chuck Williams, former assistant Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Installations and Environment and retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel
- John Willoughby, airline pilot
Withdrawn
- Morgan Philpot, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2010
Declined
- Dan Liljenquist, state senator
Results
Constitution primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jonathan D. Garrard
Independents
Independent candidate Charles Kimball also filed.
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Sierra Club
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jay | ||||||
| Seegmiller (D) | Chris | ||||||
| Stewart (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Dan Jones & Associates | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 229 (RV) | ±6.5% | 28% | 44% | 5% | 22% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune | October 29–31, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 28% | 55% | 5% | 12% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University | October 9–13, 2012 | 100 (LV) | ±10.0% | 20% | 46% | – | 34% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
By county
Source
| County | Chris Stewart | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jay Seegmiller | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | Jonathan D. Garrard | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Constitution | Joseph Andrade | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent | Charles E. Kimball | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent | Margin | Total | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||||||||||||||
| Beaver | 1,926 | 77.69% | 465 | 18.76% | 50 | 2.02% | 13 | 0.52% | 25 | 1.01% | 1,461 | 58.94% | 2,479 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Davis | 36,133 | 74.15% | 11,109 | 22.80% | 753 | 1.55% | 288 | 0.59% | 445 | 0.91% | 25,024 | 51.35% | 48,728 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Garfield | 1,666 | 79.56% | 343 | 16.38% | 46 | 2.20% | 15 | 0.72% | 24 | 1.15% | 1,323 | 63.18% | 2,094 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Iron | 12,695 | 78.01% | 2,737 | 16.82% | 476 | 2.92% | 134 | 0.82% | 232 | 1.43% | 9,958 | 61.19% | 16,274 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Juab | 181 | 52.31% | 149 | 43.06% | 9 | 2.60% | 3 | 0.87% | 4 | 1.16% | 32 | 9.25% | 346 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Kane | 2,293 | 70.73% | 802 | 24.74% | 61 | 1.88% | 38 | 1.17% | 48 | 1.48% | 1,491 | 45.99% | 3,242 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Millard | 4,001 | 80.91% | 659 | 13.33% | 157 | 3.17% | 46 | 0.93% | 82 | 1.66% | 3,342 | 67.58% | 4,945 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Piute | 636 | 85.14% | 76 | 10.17% | 16 | 2.14% | 8 | 1.07% | 11 | 1.47% | 560 | 74.97% | 747 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Salt Lake | 30,297 | 36.06% | 49,205 | 58.57% | 1,412 | 1.68% | 1,970 | 2.34% | 1,127 | 1.34% | -18,908 | -22.51% | 84,011 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sanpete | 4,307 | 84.09% | 611 | 11.93% | 120 | 2.34% | 20 | 0.39% | 64 | 1.25% | 3,696 | 72.16% | 5,122 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sevier | 6,551 | 83.18% | 1,023 | 12.99% | 137 | 1.74% | 49 | 0.62% | 116 | 1.47% | 5,528 | 70.19% | 7,876 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tooele | 12,423 | 66.64% | 5,064 | 27.16% | 800 | 4.29% | 120 | 0.64% | 236 | 1.27% | 4,772 | 51.63% | 18,643 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | 40,401 | 76.59% | 10,700 | 20.28% | 1,006 | 1.91% | 253 | 0.48% | 392 | 0.74% | 29,701 | 56.30% | 52,752 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wayne | 1,013 | 78.77% | 233 | 18.12% | 8 | 0.62% | 14 | 1.09% | 18 | 1.40% | 780 | 60.65% | 1,286 |
District 3
Jason Chaffetz was seeking a third term in representing Utah's 3rd congressional district.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Chaffetz, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Jenkins
- Lynn D. Wardle
Withdrawn
- Kurt Bradburn
- Leonard "Joe" Fabiano, business entrepreneur and candidate for senate in 2010
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Soren Simonsen, Salt Lake City Council chair
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Clark
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Equality Utah
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jason | ||||||
| Chaffetz (R) | Soren | ||||||
| Simonsen (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Dan Jones & Associates | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 232 | ±6.4% | 68% | 18% | 3% | 10% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University | October 9–13, 2012 | 100 (LV) | ±4.4% | 68% | 15% | — | 17% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
By county
Source
| County | Jason Chaffetz | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Soren D. Simonsen | |||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | Margin | Total | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||||||||
| Carbon | 4,582 | 62.51% | 2,748 | 37.49% | 1,834 | 25.02% | 7,330 | |||||||||||
| Emery | 3,436 | 80.47% | 834 | 19.53% | 2,602 | 60.94% | 4,270 | |||||||||||
| Grand | 1,919 | 50.70% | 1,866 | 49.30% | 53 | 1.40% | 3,785 | |||||||||||
| Salt Lake | 52,312 | 62.78% | 31,008 | 37.22% | 21,304 | 25.57% | 83,320 | |||||||||||
| San Juan | 3,101 | 59.50% | 2,111 | 40.50% | 990 | 18.99% | 5,212 | |||||||||||
| Utah | 126,643 | 86.57% | 19,649 | 13.43% | 106,994 | 73.14% | 146,292 | |||||||||||
| Wasatch | 6,835 | 73.20% | 2,503 | 26.80% | 4,332 | 46.39% | 9,338 |
District 4
Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Matheson, who had represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001 and had considered running for governor or for the U.S. Senate, sought re-election to the House in Utah's new 4th congressional district after his previous seat was split up by the redistricting.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Matheson, incumbent U.S. representative for the 2nd district
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mia Love, mayor of Saratoga Springs
Eliminated in primary
- Jay Cobb, attorney
- Kenneth Gray
- Stephen Sandstrom, state representative
- Carl Wimmer, state representative
Declined
- Jason Buck, former American football player at Brigham Young University and National Football League
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||||
| error | Jay | ||||||||
| Cobb | Mia | ||||||||
| Love | Stephen | ||||||||
| Sandstrom | Carl | ||||||||
| Wimmer | Other | Undecided | |||||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2011 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | — | 23% | 14% | 35% | 28% | — |
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 41% |
Results
In the Republican convention, held on April 21, 2012, Love received 70.4% of the vote (she needed more than 60% to avoid a primary).
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Vein
Withdrawn
- Ken Larsen, medical researcher
Justice primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Torin Nelson
General election
Campaign
Despite beginning her campaign at a significant name-recognition disadvantage to Matheson, Love was able to mount a strong challenge. This was in part fueled by a prime-time speaking slot at the Republican National Convention, where she impressed many with her backstory of a being the daughter of Haitian immigrants whose parents "Immigrated to the U.S. with $10 in their pocket" and her themes of self-reliance, small government and fiscal responsibility. However, she was later hit by claims that she was technically an "anchor baby", despite having seemingly backing the deportation of the US-born children of illegal immigrants.
Facing a district largely new to him, Matheson ran ads showcasing his independent credentials and airing clips of Love voicing support for cutting the Department of Education and privatizing Social Security. Despite the NRCC running ads trying to tie him to Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, Matheson's favorability rating remained at around 60% throughout the campaign.
Endorsements
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
Organizations
- Maggie's List
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
- Susan B. Anthony List
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jim | ||||||
| Matheson (D) | Mia | ||||||
| Love (R) | Jim | ||||||
| Vein (L) | Undecided | ||||||
| Dan Jones & Associates | October 26–November 1, 2012 | 414 (RV) | ±4.8% | 43% | 48% | 3% | 6% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune | October 29–31, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 40% | 52% | 2% | 6% |
| Key Research/Brigham Young University | October 9–13, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±7.0% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
| Global Strategy (D) | October 9–10, 2012 | 407 (LV) | ±4.9% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | September 26–29, 2012 | 414 (RV) | ±5.0% | 43% | 49% | — | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Love)/NRCC) | September 10–11, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 36% | 51% | — | 13% |
| Global Strategy (D) | July 26–29, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 51% | 33% | — | 16% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | June 15–21, 2012 | 379 (RV) | ±5.1% | 53% | 38% | 1% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 53% | 36% | 4% | 12% |
An early poll published by the Deseret News on Dec 25, 2011 showed Jim Matheson leading all potential opponents.
With Cobb
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Jim | |||||
| Matheson (D) | Jay | |||||
| Cobb (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
With Sandstrom
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Jim | |||||
| Matheson (D) | Stephen | |||||
| Sandstrom (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 50% | 41% | 10% |
With Wimmer
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Jim | |||||
| Matheson (D) | Carl | |||||
| Wimmer (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2012 | 625 (LV) | ±4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | December 19–21, 2011 | 341 (RV) | ±5.3% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Matheson narrowly defeated Love in the general election by only 768 votes. If Love had won the seat, she would have become the first African-American Republican woman to sit in the House.
By county
Source
| County | Jim Matheson | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mia Love | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Republican | Jim L. Vein | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Libertarian | Margin | Total | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||||||||
| Juab | 1,253 | 34.80% | 2,241 | 62.23% | 107 | 2.97% | -988 | -27.44% | 3,601 | ||||||||||||||
| Salt Lake | 109,599 | 52.32% | 94,236 | 44.99% | 5,626 | 2.69% | 15,363 | 7.33% | 209,461 | ||||||||||||||
| Sanpete | 1,316 | 30.91% | 2,826 | 66.38% | 115 | 2.70% | -1,510 | -35.47% | 4,257 | ||||||||||||||
| Utah | 7,635 | 27.31% | 19,732 | 70.58% | 591 | 2.11% | -12,097 | -43.27% | 27,958 |
References
References
- "2012 Election Information". [[Lieutenant Governor of Utah.
- "Utah Election Results".
- (October 18, 2011). "Congress: SB3002, Final Congressional Boundaries Designation, by Sen. Okerlund".
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- Davidson, Lee. (September 27, 2011). "Favored redistricting map splits Salt Lake County three ways". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Romboy, Dennis. (October 10, 2011). "Redistricting squabble has GOP congressional hopefuls wondering where to line up". [[Deseret News]].
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- (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
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- "Executive Focus: Robert C. Fuehr, V.P. & CEO, US West Communications". The Deseret News.
- Davidson, Lee. (April 6, 2011). "Republican announces he will challenge Matheson". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Hesterman, Billy. (October 22, 2011). "County lawmakers mulling futures after redistricting". [[Daily Herald (Utah).
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- "Utah Chapter Political Committee Endorsements for 2012".
- "CANDIDATES".
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140104221145/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/dan-jones-associates-16513 Dan Jones & Associates]
- [http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/politics/55194598-90/matheson-love-district-poll.html.csp Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune]
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- Page, Jared. (August 22, 2011). "Rep. Jason Chaffetz running again, but not against Sen. Orrin Hatch". [[Deseret News]].
- Gehrke, Robert. (July 11, 2011). "Wimmer declares his candidacy for Congress". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- "Utah Republican Party".
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- Vanocur, Chris. (September 29, 2011). "EXCLUSIVE: Matheson may run in different district". [[KTVX.
- (October 28, 2011). "Matheson Decides Against Utah Senate Bid". [[Roll Call]].
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