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2012 United States Senate election in Utah
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States Senate election in Utah |
| country | Utah |
| flag_year | 2011 |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2006 United States Senate election in Utah |
| previous_year | 2006 |
| next_election | 2018 United States Senate election in Utah |
| next_year | 2018 |
| election_date | |
| turnout | 55.4% (voting eligible) |
| image1 | File:Orrin Hatch 113th Congress.jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | Orrin Hatch |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | 657,608 |
| percentage1 | 65.31% |
| image2 | File:Scott Howell.jpg |
| nominee2 | Scott Howell |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 301,873 |
| percentage2 | 29.98% |
| map_image | {{switcher |
| map_caption | Hatch: |
| title | U.S. Senator |
| before_election | Orrin Hatch |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Orrin Hatch |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Utah results map by county.svg|230px]] |County results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Utah results map by congressional district.svg|230px|]] |Congressional district results }}
Howell: The 2012 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and as various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch won re-election to a seventh and final term against the Democratic candidate, former state senator and IBM executive Scott Howell, in a rematch of the 2000 Senate election, with Hatch doing slightly better than in 2000.
Background
Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term after winning 62.4% of the vote against Pete Ashdown in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in Utah. Tea Party activists targeted Hatch for a primary challenge, similar to the victory of Mike Lee over Bob Bennett in the 2010 election.{{cite news|url=http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/orrin-hatch-faces-tea-party-ac.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120608220127/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/orrin-hatch-faces-tea-party-ac.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 8, 2012|title=Orrin Hatch courts tea party activists, Tea Party Express divided
Republican nomination
Convention
Candidates
Declared
- Tim Aalders, radio talk show host and former business manager
- Dale Ash, retired sales manager
- Arlan Brunson, small business owner
- David Chiu
- Kevin Fisk, small business owner
- Jeremy Friedbaum, small business owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Chris Herrod, state representative
- William "Dub" Lawrence
- Dan Liljenquist, former state senator
Declined
- Jason Chaffetz, U.S. representative
- Jon Huntsman, Jr., former Ambassador to China, former Governor of Utah, former Ambassador to Singapore and candidate for President in 2012
- David Kirkham, co-founder of the Utah tea party
- Morgan Philpot, former state representative and 2010 congressional candidate
- Mark Shurtleff, Utah Attorney General
Campaign
In 2006, incumbent Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term. In 2008, Chaffetz defeated the incumbent Republican U.S. Representative, Chris Cannon, in the 2008 primary for Utah's 3rd congressional district. In 2010, Mike Lee defeated Bob Bennett in the 2010 Utah Senate election. In March 2011, just-elected U.S. Senator Mike Lee said he will not endorse Hatch in the primary. In May 2011, Chaffetz told several Utah political insiders that he plans to run. He said he won't make an official decision until after Labor Day of 2011.
In June 2011, prominent conservative radio talk show host Mark Levin endorsed Hatch. The fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth encouraged Chaffetz to run. The group cited Hatch's support for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, State Children's Health Insurance Program, No Child Left Behind Act, Bridge to Nowhere, and other votes among the reasons why they opposed his re-election. In an interview with Politico, Chaffetz stated, "After 34 years of service, I think most Utahans want a change. They want to thank him for his service, but it's time to move on. And for me personally, I think he's been on the wrong side of a host of major issues." The congressman cited Hatch's vote in favor of Equal Opportunity to Serve Act and the Health Equity and Access Reform Today Act of 1993. However, Chaffetz ultimately decided against a run.
Endorsements
Individuals
- Ken Blackwell, member of board of directors of Club for Growth and former Ohio Secretary of State
- Sam Brownback, governor of Kansas and former U.S. senator (R-KS)
- Mike Crapo, U.S. senator (R-ID)
- C. Boyden Gray, co-chairman of FreedomWorks Foundation Board and former White House Counsel
- Sean Hannity, prominent conservative radio and television host, author, and political commentator
- Hugh Hewitt, conservative talk radio host
- Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host
- Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts, former president and CEO of the Salt Lake Organizing Committee for the 2002 Winter Olympics, and presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012
- Sal Russo, co-founder of Tea Party Express
Organizations
- GOProud
Individuals
- Stuart Adams, state senator
- Casey Anderson, state senator
- Kevin Cromer, former state representative
- Margaret Dayton, state senator
- Lyle W. Hillyard, state senator
- Dave Hinkins, state senator
- Michelle Malkin, conservative author and commentator
- Wayne L. Niederhauser, state senator
- Ralph Okerlund, state senator
- Aaron Osmond, state senator
- Stuart Reid, state senator
- Howard A. Stephenson, state senator
- Jerry Stevenson, state senator
- Stephen H. Urquhart, state senator
- Todd Weiler, state senator
Organizations
- Gun Owners of America
Polling
In a January 2012 UtahPolicy.com poll of 1,291 Salt Lake County Republican caucus participants, 42% chose Hatch, 23% Liljenquist, 5% Herrod, and 30% were undecided. In a January 28, 2012 straw poll of 194 votes at the Box Elder County Republican Party Lincoln Day Dinner, 42% chose Liljenquist, 41% for Hatch, and 17% for Herrod.
Results
Primary
Candidates
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. senator
- Dan Liljenquist, former state senator
Campaign
After the convention, Hatch had $3 million more than Liljenquist.
Endorsements
Individuals
- Scott Anderson, CEO of Zions Bank
- Norm Bangerter, former governor of Utah
- LaVell Edwards, former football coach of Brigham Young University
- Steve Forbes, editor-in-chief of Forbes magazine and CEO of Forbes Inc.
- Sean Hannity, political commentator
- James V. Hansen, former U.S. representative (R-UT)
- Gary Herbert, governor of Utah
- Truman Hunt, CEO of Nu Skin Enterprises
- Josh James, CEO of DOMO
- Jon Kyl, U.S. senator (R-AZ)
- Fred Lampropoulos, CEO of Merit Medical Systems
- Mark Levin, political commentator and President of Landmark Legal Foundation
- Ron McBride, former football coach of Utah State University and Weber State University
- Mike Noel, state representative
- Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee
- Mitt Romney, 2012 Republican presidential nominee and former governor of Massachusetts
- Sal Russo, co-leader of the Tea Party Express
- Mark Shurtleff, state attorney general
- Dave Steele, former state senator
- Daniel W. Thatcher, state senator
- Brett Tolman, former U.S. attorney for the District of Utah
- John L. Valentine, state senator
Organizations
- National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
Individuals
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator (R-PA)
Organizations
- FreedomWorks
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch | Dan | ||||||
| Liljenquist | Other/ | ||||||
| Undecided | |||||||
| Utah Data Points/Key Research | June 12–19, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | 56% | 25% | 18% | |
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 737 | ±3.6% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Results
| | | | | ]]
Democratic nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Pete Ashdown, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006
- Scott Howell, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
Results
Howell defeated Ashdown 63%-37% to win and avoid a primary.
General election
Candidates
- Bill Barron (Independent)
- Daniel Geery (Justice)
- Orrin Hatch (Republican), incumbent U.S. senator
- Scott Howell (Democratic), former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
- Shaun McCausland (Constitution)
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Howell (D) | $421,086 | $420,779 | $306 | $0 | |
| Orrin Hatch (R) | $11,577,851 | $13,140,209 | $779,719 | $515,845 | |
| William Barron (I) | $17,157 | $14,116 | $3,038 | $0 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission |
Top contributors
| Scott Howell | Contribution | Orrin Hatch | Contribution | William Barron | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Union of Operating Engineers | $10,000 | OC Tanner Inc | $72,010 | Peace River Citrus Products | $2,000 |
| Altaview Orthodontics | $5,000 | Cancer Treatment Centers of America | $67,500 | Cirque Property | $1,000 |
| International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers | $5,000 | Cerberus Capital Management | $65,000 | ||
| International Association of Iron Workers | $5,000 | Fresenius Medical Care | $65,500 | ||
| Intermountain Healthcare National Education Association | $5,000 | Blue Cross & Blue Shield | $54,500 | ||
| Shurtleff Construction | $5,000 | Ernst & Young | $53,000 | ||
| St Mark's Hospital | $5,000 | PricewaterhouseCoopers | $42,008 | ||
| United Steelworkers | $5,000 | Herbalife International | $41,900 | ||
| Sutter Health | $4,500 | Marriott International | $39,500 | ||
| IBM Corporation | $3,150 | Apollo Global Management | $39,000 | ||
| Source: OpenSecrets |
Top industries
| Scott Howell | Contribution | Orrin Hatch | Contribution | William Barron | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired | $43,100 | Financial institutions | $1,113,746 | Retired | $4,050 |
| Health professionals | $17,000 | Pharmaceuticals/health products | $834,601 | Agribusiness | $2,000 |
| Building trade unions | $15,000 | Lobbyists | $508,567 | Real estate | $1,000 |
| Hospitals/nursing homes | $14,500 | Insurance | $495,968 | Education | $750 |
| Lawyers/law firms | $12,250 | Lawyers/law firms | $479,871 | Misc. business | $500 |
| Industrial unions | $10,000 | Health professionals | $447,415 | ||
| General contractors | $7,500 | Real estate | $412,394 | ||
| Automotive | $5,000 | Health services/HMOs | $396,132 | ||
| Public sector unions | $5,000 | Leadership PACs | $394,550 | ||
| High-tech industry | $4,900 | Oil & gas | $391,878 | ||
| Source: OpenSecrets |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg Political Report | November 2, 2012 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch (R) | Scott | ||||||
| Howell (D) | Other/ | ||||||
| Undecided | |||||||
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 1,228 | ±2.8% | 63% | 29% | 8% | |
| Utah State University | October 8–13, 2012 | n/a | ±7.6% | 67% | 24% | 9% | |
| Key Research | October 9–13, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | 61% | 22% | 17% | |
| Deseret News/KSL | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | 870 | ±3.4% | 63% | 26% | 11% |
with Dan Liljenquist
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dan | ||||||
| Liljenquist (R) | Scott | ||||||
| Howell (D) | Other/ | ||||||
| Undecided | |||||||
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 15–21, 2012 | 1228 | ±2.8% | 48% | 34% | 18% |
with Jason Chaffetz
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jason | ||||||
| Chaffetz (R) | Jan | ||||||
| Graham (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 53% | 34% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jason | ||||||
| Chaffetz (R) | Sam | ||||||
| Granato (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 54% | 33% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jason | ||||||
| Chaffetz (R) | Jim | ||||||
| Matheson (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | 46% | 45% | 8% | |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% | |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 625 | ±4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
with Orrin Hatch
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch (R) | Jim | ||||||
| Matheson (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% | |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 44% | 45% | 11% | |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 625 | ±4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch (R) | Jan | ||||||
| Graham (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 55% | 34% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch (R) | Sam | ||||||
| Granato (D) | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 732 | ±3.6% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
Republican primary
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Orrin | ||||||
| Hatch | Jason | ||||||
| Chaffetz | Undecided | ||||||
| Deseret News/KSL-TV | June 13–16, 2011 | 406 | ±5.0% | 47% | 44% | 10% | |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | 406 | ±4.9% | 43% | 47% | 10% | |
| Mason-Dixon | August 8–10, 2011 | 305 | ±5.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Results
By congressional district
Hatch won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.
| District | Hatch | Howell | Representative | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.84% | 25.63% | Rob Bishop | |||||||||
| 60.84% | 33.85% | Chris Stewart | |||||||||
| 70.35% | 25.14% | Jason Chaffetz | |||||||||
| 59.92% | 35.62% | Jim Matheson |
References
References
- Dr. Michael McDonald. (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". [[George Mason University]].
- (April 21, 2012). "Sen. Orrin Hatch forced into primary for first time since '76, faces Dan Liljenquist in June". [[Deseret News]].
- (April 2019). "Utah Republican Party Candidates List}}{{Dead link".
- (October 25, 2011). "L.A. Brunson Campaign Interview and Announcement". [[KTKK.
- Miller, Sean J.. (December 8, 2010). "Sen. Hatch: 'I intend to run, and I intend to win'". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Gehrke, Robert. (January 6, 2012). "Rep. Chris Herrod joins campaign to defeat Orrin Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Gehrke, Robert. (January 4, 2012). "Liljenquist is in against Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- (August 22, 2011). "Jason Chaffetz is out, but Orrin Hatch isn't in the clear". [[Politico]].
- Trygstad, Kyle. (August 22, 2011). "Chaffetz Passes on Hatch Challenge". [[Roll Call]].
- Burr, Thomas. (February 6, 2012). "Jon Huntsman rules out another political bid – for now". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Gehrke, Robert. (January 6, 2012). "Tea Party leader Kirkham ready to run for governor". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Hesterman, Billy. (December 1, 2011). "Philpot to challenge Herbert in 2012". [[Daily Herald (Utah).
- Roche, Lisa Riley. (June 9, 2011). "Two Utah political heavyweights eyeing key races". [[Deseret News]].
- (February 11, 2011). "Mike Lee: Orrin Hatch Not Getting My Endorsement In 2012 Primary". Huffington Post.
- Gehrke, Robert. (June 1, 2011). "Sources say Chaffetz is in against Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- (June 14, 2011). "Key National Voice Endorses Orrin Hatch For Senate". Orrin Hatch for Utah.
- Keller, Barney. (June 1, 2011). "Run, Jason, Run!". [[Club for Growth]].
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- (October 25, 2012). "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc.".
- "Endorsements". Dan Liljenquist - Conservative for U.S. Senate.
- "Issues". Dan Liljenquist - Conservative for U.S. Senate.
- "2012 GOA-PVF Candidates". Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund.
- Schott, Bryan. (January 20, 2012). "UtahPolicy.com Poll: Salt Lake County Republicans Prefer Hatch over Liljenquist". Utah Policy.
- (February 2, 2012). "Liljenquist, Herbert and Swallow lead straw poll results among Box Elder GOP". Cache Valley Daily.
- (April 21, 2012). "Election Results: U.S. Senate Candidates". [[Utah Republican Party]].
- Allahpundit. (April 21, 2012). "Orrin Hatch fails to clinch GOP nomination in Utah — by 0.9%". [[Hot Air (news site).
- Davidson, Lee. (June 6, 2012). "Herbert endorses Hatch, calls him 'best choice for Utah'". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Scoop, The Right. (May 23, 2012). "Sarah Palin announces endorsement of Orrin Hatch for US Senate".
- "Grades - Utah". National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund.
- Hartman, Rachel Rose. (June 15, 2012). "Santorum endorses Hatch's opponent in Utah primary". [[ABC News (United States).
- (April 26, 2012). "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Conservative Candidate Dan Liljenquist for Utah Senate". [[FreedomWorks]].
- [http://utahdatapoints.com/2012/06/who-is-going-to-win-the-republican-senate-primary/ Utah Data Points/Key Research]
- [https://www.deseret.com/2012/6/24/20420612/poll-sen-orrin-hatch-maintains-lead-over-dan-liljenquist-in-gop-primary/ Deseret News/KSL-TV]
- (November 8, 2016). "2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates".
- Roche, Lisa Riley. (November 8, 2011). "Pete Ashdown to try again to unseat Sen. Hatch". [[Deseret News]].
- Gehrke, Robert. (March 15, 2012). "From president to school board, candidates file for Utah elections". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
- Cortez, Marjorie. (April 21, 2012). "Utah Democrats pick Scott Howell as candidate for U.S. Senate". [[Deseret News]].
- Frandsen, Eric. (March 15, 2012). "Hatch faces 9 challengers from within his own party". Cache Valley Daily.
- (May 2019). "Howell Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
- (May 2019). "Hatch Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
- (May 2019). "Barron Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
- "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Utah Senate". [[OpenSecrets]].
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- "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
- "2012 Senate".
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- [http://utahdatapoints.com/2012/10/key-research-poll-general-election-predictions/ Key Research]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121105065630/http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865565953/Deseret-NewsKSL-poll-Hatch-holds-huge-lead-in-US-Senate-race-Stewart-Bishop-Chaffetz-favored.html Deseret News/KSL]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120904092231/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_UT_7121118.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20110623125808/http://www.deseretnews.com/article/700145325/Poll-Time-for-Senator-Orrin-Hatch-to-go.html?pg=1 Deseret News/KSL-TV]
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- "Election Results - Lieutenant Governor's Office: Elections".
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