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2012 United States Senate election in Utah

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2012 United States Senate election in Utah

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States Senate election in Utah
countryUtah
flag_year2011
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States Senate election in Utah
previous_year2006
next_election2018 United States Senate election in Utah
next_year2018
election_date
turnout55.4% (voting eligible)
image1File:Orrin Hatch 113th Congress.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1Orrin Hatch
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1657,608
percentage165.31%
image2File:Scott Howell.jpg
nominee2Scott Howell
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2301,873
percentage229.98%
map_image{{switcher
map_captionHatch:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionOrrin Hatch
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionOrrin Hatch
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Utah results map by county.svg|230px]] |County results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Utah results map by congressional district.svg|230px|]] |Congressional district results }}

Howell: The 2012 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and as various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch won re-election to a seventh and final term against the Democratic candidate, former state senator and IBM executive Scott Howell, in a rematch of the 2000 Senate election, with Hatch doing slightly better than in 2000.

Background

Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term after winning 62.4% of the vote against Pete Ashdown in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in Utah. Tea Party activists targeted Hatch for a primary challenge, similar to the victory of Mike Lee over Bob Bennett in the 2010 election.{{cite news|url=http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/orrin-hatch-faces-tea-party-ac.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120608220127/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/orrin-hatch-faces-tea-party-ac.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 8, 2012|title=Orrin Hatch courts tea party activists, Tea Party Express divided

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

Declared

  • Tim Aalders, radio talk show host and former business manager
  • Dale Ash, retired sales manager
  • Arlan Brunson, small business owner
  • David Chiu
  • Kevin Fisk, small business owner
  • Jeremy Friedbaum, small business owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Chris Herrod, state representative
  • William "Dub" Lawrence
  • Dan Liljenquist, former state senator

Declined

  • Jason Chaffetz, U.S. representative
  • Jon Huntsman, Jr., former Ambassador to China, former Governor of Utah, former Ambassador to Singapore and candidate for President in 2012
  • David Kirkham, co-founder of the Utah tea party
  • Morgan Philpot, former state representative and 2010 congressional candidate
  • Mark Shurtleff, Utah Attorney General

Campaign

In 2006, incumbent Orrin Hatch won re-election to a sixth term. In 2008, Chaffetz defeated the incumbent Republican U.S. Representative, Chris Cannon, in the 2008 primary for Utah's 3rd congressional district. In 2010, Mike Lee defeated Bob Bennett in the 2010 Utah Senate election. In March 2011, just-elected U.S. Senator Mike Lee said he will not endorse Hatch in the primary. In May 2011, Chaffetz told several Utah political insiders that he plans to run. He said he won't make an official decision until after Labor Day of 2011.

In June 2011, prominent conservative radio talk show host Mark Levin endorsed Hatch. The fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth encouraged Chaffetz to run. The group cited Hatch's support for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, State Children's Health Insurance Program, No Child Left Behind Act, Bridge to Nowhere, and other votes among the reasons why they opposed his re-election. In an interview with Politico, Chaffetz stated, "After 34 years of service, I think most Utahans want a change. They want to thank him for his service, but it's time to move on. And for me personally, I think he's been on the wrong side of a host of major issues." The congressman cited Hatch's vote in favor of Equal Opportunity to Serve Act and the Health Equity and Access Reform Today Act of 1993. However, Chaffetz ultimately decided against a run.

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Ken Blackwell, member of board of directors of Club for Growth and former Ohio Secretary of State
  • Sam Brownback, governor of Kansas and former U.S. senator (R-KS)
  • Mike Crapo, U.S. senator (R-ID)
  • C. Boyden Gray, co-chairman of FreedomWorks Foundation Board and former White House Counsel
  • Sean Hannity, prominent conservative radio and television host, author, and political commentator
  • Hugh Hewitt, conservative talk radio host
  • Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host
  • Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts, former president and CEO of the Salt Lake Organizing Committee for the 2002 Winter Olympics, and presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012
  • Sal Russo, co-founder of Tea Party Express

Organizations

  • GOProud

Individuals

  • Stuart Adams, state senator
  • Casey Anderson, state senator
  • Kevin Cromer, former state representative
  • Margaret Dayton, state senator
  • Lyle W. Hillyard, state senator
  • Dave Hinkins, state senator
  • Michelle Malkin, conservative author and commentator
  • Wayne L. Niederhauser, state senator
  • Ralph Okerlund, state senator
  • Aaron Osmond, state senator
  • Stuart Reid, state senator
  • Howard A. Stephenson, state senator
  • Jerry Stevenson, state senator
  • Stephen H. Urquhart, state senator
  • Todd Weiler, state senator

Organizations

  • Gun Owners of America

Polling

In a January 2012 UtahPolicy.com poll of 1,291 Salt Lake County Republican caucus participants, 42% chose Hatch, 23% Liljenquist, 5% Herrod, and 30% were undecided. In a January 28, 2012 straw poll of 194 votes at the Box Elder County Republican Party Lincoln Day Dinner, 42% chose Liljenquist, 41% for Hatch, and 17% for Herrod.

Results

Primary

Candidates

  • Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Dan Liljenquist, former state senator

Campaign

After the convention, Hatch had $3 million more than Liljenquist.

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Scott Anderson, CEO of Zions Bank
  • Norm Bangerter, former governor of Utah
  • LaVell Edwards, former football coach of Brigham Young University
  • Steve Forbes, editor-in-chief of Forbes magazine and CEO of Forbes Inc.
  • Sean Hannity, political commentator
  • James V. Hansen, former U.S. representative (R-UT)
  • Gary Herbert, governor of Utah
  • Truman Hunt, CEO of Nu Skin Enterprises
  • Josh James, CEO of DOMO
  • Jon Kyl, U.S. senator (R-AZ)
  • Fred Lampropoulos, CEO of Merit Medical Systems
  • Mark Levin, political commentator and President of Landmark Legal Foundation
  • Ron McBride, former football coach of Utah State University and Weber State University
  • Mike Noel, state representative
  • Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee
  • Mitt Romney, 2012 Republican presidential nominee and former governor of Massachusetts
  • Sal Russo, co-leader of the Tea Party Express
  • Mark Shurtleff, state attorney general
  • Dave Steele, former state senator
  • Daniel W. Thatcher, state senator
  • Brett Tolman, former U.S. attorney for the District of Utah
  • John L. Valentine, state senator

Organizations

  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund

Individuals

  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator (R-PA)

Organizations

  • FreedomWorks

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
HatchDan
LiljenquistOther/
Undecided
Utah Data Points/Key ResearchJune 12–19, 2012500±4.4%56%25%18%
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 15–21, 2012737±3.6%60%32%8%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | ]]

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Pete Ashdown, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006
  • Scott Howell, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000

Results

Howell defeated Ashdown 63%-37% to win and avoid a primary.

General election

Candidates

  • Bill Barron (Independent)
  • Daniel Geery (Justice)
  • Orrin Hatch (Republican), incumbent U.S. senator
  • Scott Howell (Democratic), former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000
  • Shaun McCausland (Constitution)

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Scott Howell (D)$421,086$420,779$306$0
Orrin Hatch (R)$11,577,851$13,140,209$779,719$515,845
William Barron (I)$17,157$14,116$3,038$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Scott HowellContributionOrrin HatchContributionWilliam BarronContribution
International Union of Operating Engineers$10,000OC Tanner Inc$72,010Peace River Citrus Products$2,000
Altaview Orthodontics$5,000Cancer Treatment Centers of America$67,500Cirque Property$1,000
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers$5,000Cerberus Capital Management$65,000
International Association of Iron Workers$5,000Fresenius Medical Care$65,500
Intermountain Healthcare National Education Association$5,000Blue Cross & Blue Shield$54,500
Shurtleff Construction$5,000Ernst & Young$53,000
St Mark's Hospital$5,000PricewaterhouseCoopers$42,008
United Steelworkers$5,000Herbalife International$41,900
Sutter Health$4,500Marriott International$39,500
IBM Corporation$3,150Apollo Global Management$39,000
Source: OpenSecrets

Top industries

Scott HowellContributionOrrin HatchContributionWilliam BarronContribution
Retired$43,100Financial institutions$1,113,746Retired$4,050
Health professionals$17,000Pharmaceuticals/health products$834,601Agribusiness$2,000
Building trade unions$15,000Lobbyists$508,567Real estate$1,000
Hospitals/nursing homes$14,500Insurance$495,968Education$750
Lawyers/law firms$12,250Lawyers/law firms$479,871Misc. business$500
Industrial unions$10,000Health professionals$447,415
General contractors$7,500Real estate$412,394
Automotive$5,000Health services/HMOs$396,132
Public sector unions$5,000Leadership PACs$394,550
High-tech industry$4,900Oil & gas$391,878
Source: OpenSecrets

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
Hatch (R)Scott
Howell (D)Other/
Undecided
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 15–21, 20121,228±2.8%63%29%8%
Utah State UniversityOctober 8–13, 2012n/a±7.6%67%24%9%
Key ResearchOctober 9–13, 2012500±4.4%61%22%17%
Deseret News/KSLOctober 26 – November 1, 2012870±3.4%63%26%11%

with Dan Liljenquist

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDan
Liljenquist (R)Scott
Howell (D)Other/
Undecided
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 15–21, 20121228±2.8%48%34%18%

with Jason Chaffetz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJason
Chaffetz (R)Jan
Graham (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%53%34%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJason
Chaffetz (R)Sam
Granato (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%54%33%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJason
Chaffetz (R)Jim
Matheson (D)Undecided
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 13–16, 2011406±5.0%46%45%8%
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%42%47%11%
Mason-DixonAugust 8–10, 2011625±4.0%49%43%8%

with Orrin Hatch

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
Hatch (R)Jim
Matheson (D)Undecided
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 13–16, 2011406±5.0%47%47%6%
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%44%45%11%
Mason-DixonAugust 8–10, 2011625±4.0%48%43%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
Hatch (R)Jan
Graham (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%55%34%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
Hatch (R)Sam
Granato (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011732±3.6%56%31%13%

Republican primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorOrrin
HatchJason
ChaffetzUndecided
Deseret News/KSL-TVJune 13–16, 2011406±5.0%47%44%10%
Public Policy PollingJuly 8–10, 2011406±4.9%43%47%10%
Mason-DixonAugust 8–10, 2011305±5.7%49%39%12%

Results

By congressional district

Hatch won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.

DistrictHatchHowellRepresentative
69.84%25.63%Rob Bishop
60.84%33.85%Chris Stewart
70.35%25.14%Jason Chaffetz
59.92%35.62%Jim Matheson

References

References

  1. Dr. Michael McDonald. (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". [[George Mason University]].
  2. (April 21, 2012). "Sen. Orrin Hatch forced into primary for first time since '76, faces Dan Liljenquist in June". [[Deseret News]].
  3. (April 2019). "Utah Republican Party Candidates List}}{{Dead link".
  4. (October 25, 2011). "L.A. Brunson Campaign Interview and Announcement". [[KTKK.
  5. Miller, Sean J.. (December 8, 2010). "Sen. Hatch: 'I intend to run, and I intend to win'". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  6. Gehrke, Robert. (January 6, 2012). "Rep. Chris Herrod joins campaign to defeat Orrin Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  7. Gehrke, Robert. (January 4, 2012). "Liljenquist is in against Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  8. (August 22, 2011). "Jason Chaffetz is out, but Orrin Hatch isn't in the clear". [[Politico]].
  9. Trygstad, Kyle. (August 22, 2011). "Chaffetz Passes on Hatch Challenge". [[Roll Call]].
  10. Burr, Thomas. (February 6, 2012). "Jon Huntsman rules out another political bid – for now". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  11. Gehrke, Robert. (January 6, 2012). "Tea Party leader Kirkham ready to run for governor". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  12. Hesterman, Billy. (December 1, 2011). "Philpot to challenge Herbert in 2012". [[Daily Herald (Utah).
  13. Roche, Lisa Riley. (June 9, 2011). "Two Utah political heavyweights eyeing key races". [[Deseret News]].
  14. (February 11, 2011). "Mike Lee: Orrin Hatch Not Getting My Endorsement In 2012 Primary". Huffington Post.
  15. Gehrke, Robert. (June 1, 2011). "Sources say Chaffetz is in against Hatch". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  16. (June 14, 2011). "Key National Voice Endorses Orrin Hatch For Senate". Orrin Hatch for Utah.
  17. Keller, Barney. (June 1, 2011). "Run, Jason, Run!". [[Club for Growth]].
  18. Sherman, Jake. (June 3, 2011). "Jason Chaffetz leaning toward challenging Orrin Hatch". [[Politico]].
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  20. (October 25, 2012). "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc.".
  21. "Endorsements". Dan Liljenquist - Conservative for U.S. Senate.
  22. "Issues". Dan Liljenquist - Conservative for U.S. Senate.
  23. "2012 GOA-PVF Candidates". Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund.
  24. Schott, Bryan. (January 20, 2012). "UtahPolicy.com Poll: Salt Lake County Republicans Prefer Hatch over Liljenquist". Utah Policy.
  25. (February 2, 2012). "Liljenquist, Herbert and Swallow lead straw poll results among Box Elder GOP". Cache Valley Daily.
  26. (April 21, 2012). "Election Results: U.S. Senate Candidates". [[Utah Republican Party]].
  27. Allahpundit. (April 21, 2012). "Orrin Hatch fails to clinch GOP nomination in Utah — by 0.9%". [[Hot Air (news site).
  28. Davidson, Lee. (June 6, 2012). "Herbert endorses Hatch, calls him 'best choice for Utah'". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  29. Scoop, The Right. (May 23, 2012). "Sarah Palin announces endorsement of Orrin Hatch for US Senate".
  30. "Grades - Utah". National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund.
  31. Hartman, Rachel Rose. (June 15, 2012). "Santorum endorses Hatch's opponent in Utah primary". [[ABC News (United States).
  32. (April 26, 2012). "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Conservative Candidate Dan Liljenquist for Utah Senate". [[FreedomWorks]].
  33. [http://utahdatapoints.com/2012/06/who-is-going-to-win-the-republican-senate-primary/ Utah Data Points/Key Research]
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  35. (November 8, 2016). "2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates".
  36. Roche, Lisa Riley. (November 8, 2011). "Pete Ashdown to try again to unseat Sen. Hatch". [[Deseret News]].
  37. Gehrke, Robert. (March 15, 2012). "From president to school board, candidates file for Utah elections". [[The Salt Lake Tribune]].
  38. Cortez, Marjorie. (April 21, 2012). "Utah Democrats pick Scott Howell as candidate for U.S. Senate". [[Deseret News]].
  39. Frandsen, Eric. (March 15, 2012). "Hatch faces 9 challengers from within his own party". Cache Valley Daily.
  40. (May 2019). "Howell Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
  41. (May 2019). "Hatch Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
  42. (May 2019). "Barron Campaign Finances}}{{Dead link".
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  44. "Top Industries 2012 Race: Utah Senate". [[OpenSecrets]].
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  46. "2012 Senate".
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