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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
countryNew Hampshire
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
previous_year2008
next_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
party1Republican Party (United States)
last_election10
seats12
seat_change12
popular_vote1230,265
percentage151.19%
swing17.52%
party2Democratic Party (United States)
last_election22
seats20
seat_change22
popular_vote2200,563
percentage244.59%
swing29.49%
map_caption
map_image

Republican Democratic Tie

The 2010 congressional elections in New Hampshire were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of New Hampshire in the United States House of Representatives. It coincided with the state's senatorial and gubernatorial elections. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013.

New Hampshire had two seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Both seats were held by Democrats in the 111th Congress. Following the elections, Republicans flipped both seats. This was mainly do to Republicans running up big numbers in Rockingham County for district 1 and Hillsborough County for district 2. As of 2024, this was the last time Republicans have won both U.S. House seats in New Hampshire. Both losing Democratic candidates – Carol Shea-Porter and Annie Kuster – ended up being elected to their respective seats in the next election.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2010PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican230,26551.19%2+2
Democratic200,56344.59%0-2
Libertarian12,7622.84%0—
Independents6,1971.38%0—
Totals449,787100.00%2—

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1121,65554.04%95,50342.42%7,9663.54%225,124100.0%Republican gain
District 2108,61048.34%105,06046.76%10,9934.89%224,663100.0%Republican gain
Total230,26551.19%200,56344.59%18,9594.22%449,787100.0%

District 1

Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter was defeated by Republican nominee and former Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta on November 2, 2010. Guinta lost re-election in 2012 in a rematch with Shea-Porter.

This district covers the southeastern and eastern portions of New Hampshire, consisting of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. It includes all of Carroll and Strafford counties, all but three towns of Rockingham County and all but two towns of Belknap County, as well as a small portion of Hillsborough County, and one town in Merrimack County.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredCarol Shea-Porter (D)Frank Guinta (R)Undecided
Granite State PollOctober 27–31, 201039%46%12%
OnMessage Inc.October 20–21, 201037%53%-
The HillOctober 9–12, 201042%47%9%
Granite State PollOctober 7–12, 201036%48%11%
Granite State PollSeptember 30, 201039%49%9%
American Research GroupSeptember 27, 201040%50%8%
Granite State PollJuly 19–27, 201044%39%16%
Granite State PollApril 18–28, 201038%42%19%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–18, 201045%46%10%
Granite State PollFebruary 3, 201033%43%22%
Populus ResearchSeptember 2, 200946%43%10%
On Message Inc.April 28, 200943%34%24%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

District 2

Bass:
Kuster:
No Votes:

Democratic candidate Ann McLane Kuster was defeated by Republican nominee and former Congressman Charles Bass on November 2, 2010. Bass lost re-election in 2012 in a rematch with Kuster.

The 2010 election for this seat was an open seat. Candidates running were Democratic nominee Ann McLane Kuster, Republican nominee Charles Bass, Libertarian nominee Howard Wilson, and Independent candidate Tim van Blommesteyn. In February 2009, Republican U.S. Senator Judd Gregg was briefly nominated to be President Barack Obama's Secretary of Commerce, but withdrew. Gregg announced after withdrawing his nomination that he would not run for re-election, leaving the seat open. Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes had announced his candidacy for the seat while Gregg had been nominated but had not yet withdrawn.

Concord attorney Ann McLane Kuster and Katrina Swett, faced off in the Democratic primary. (Two other candidates dropped out before the filing deadline in June 2010: State Representative John DeJoie and former Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mark Fernald.) Kuster was the eventual victor, 69–31.

On the Republican side, former state Representative Bob Giuda declared his candidacy for the seat. The 2008 Republican nominee for this seat, Jennifer Horn, announced her intentions to run a second time on October 7, 2009. Former six-term Congressman Charles Bass formed an exploratory committee to run for this seat on October 1, 2009, and later formally filed. In the resultant Republican primary, Charlie Bass narrowly defeated Jennifer Horn, with Giuda far behind.

This district consists of the western and northern portions of the state, including all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton, and Sullivan counties as well as almost all of Merrimack and Hillsborough counties plus three towns in Rockingham County and two towns in Belknap County.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredAnn McLane Kuster (D)Charlie Bass (R)Undecided
Granite State PollOctober 27–31, 201043%40%11%
Granite State PollOctober 7–12, 201043%36%16%
The Hill/ANGAOctober 5–7, 201042%45%9%
Granite State PollSeptember 23–29, 201038%43%16%
American Research GroupSeptember 22–26, 201036%38%21%
Granite State PollJuly 19–27, 201029%47%23%
Granite State PollApril 18–28, 201030%42%27%
Granite State PollFebruary 3, 201028%39%32%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

References

References

  1. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".
  2. Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  3. (2016-11-09). "Republican Frank Guinta Loses In Rematch Of Rematch Of Rematch".
  4. [http://www.wmur.com/r/25588057/detail.html Granite State Poll]
  5. {{usurped
  6. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101021223959/http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-3/124903-district-by-district#nh The Hill]
  7. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101011081028/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_fall_cong093010.pdf Granite State Poll]
  8. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101011081028/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_fall_cong093010.pdf Granite State Poll]
  9. [http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
  10. [http://www.wmur.com/download/2010/0729/24442167.pdf Granite State Poll]
  11. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100508111909/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_spring_congapp42910.pdf Granite State Poll]
  12. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_422.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  13. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100215233420/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_winter_congapp20810.pdf Granite State Poll]
  14. [http://www.nowhampshire.com/2009/09/03/poll-guinta-gains-on-shea-porter-after-%E2%80%98calamitous-august%E2%80%99/ Populus Research] {{Webarchive. link. (2009-09-08)
  15. [http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Guinta+takes+heart+from+poll%2C+eyes+federal+office&articleId=6775f7df-4a8d-426f-bb67-6f9ffd7f1c20/ On Message Inc.]
  16. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
  17. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  18. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  19. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  20. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
  21. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
  22. (2012-11-07). "Kuster Wins 2nd Congressional District In Rematch With Bass".
  23. (2009-02-03). "In 2010, Rep. Hodes will run for U.S. Senate; Katrina Swett wants his office - Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2009". Unionleader.com.
  24. "BREAKING: Gregg withdraws". CNN.
  25. "Judd Gregg withdraws as nominee for Commerce secretary, says he won't run in 2010 - Friday, Feb. 13, 2009". Unionleader.com.
  26. Shira Schoenberg. "DeJoie enters campaign mode". Concord Monitor.
  27. Fortier, Marc. (September 15, 2010). "Kuster runs over Swett in 2nd Congressional District". [[The Eagle-Tribune]].
  28. "Bob Giuda for Congress | New Hampshire's Second Congressional District". Bobgiuda.com.
  29. (2009-10-22). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Ayotte beats Hodes in third Q fundraising - Thursday, Oct. 22, 2009". Unionleader.com.
  30. (2010-08-17). "Jennifer Horn for Congress". Jenniferhorn.org.
  31. (2009-10-01). "Former Rep. Bass Taking Steps Towards Run". Real Republican Majority Blog.
  32. [http://www.wmur.com/r/25588057/detail.html Granite State Poll]
  33. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101122114255/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2010_house101510.pdf Granite State Poll]
  34. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110107211613/http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-2/123979-district-by-district-new-hampshire The Hill/ANGA]
  35. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101011081028/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_fall_cong093010.pdf Granite State Poll]
  36. [http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/cd210/ American Research Group]
  37. [https://web.archive.org/web/20111206092144/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_summer_cong072910.pdf Granite State Poll]
  38. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100508111909/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_spring_congapp42910.pdf Granite State Poll]
  39. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100215233420/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_winter_congapp20810.pdf Granite State Poll]
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