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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| country | New Hampshire |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | November 6, 2012 |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 0 |
| seats1 | 2 |
| seat_change1 | 2 |
| popular_vote1 | 340,925 |
| percentage1 | 49.96% |
| swing1 | 5.37% |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 2 |
| seats2 | 0 |
| seat_change2 | 2 |
| popular_vote2 | 311,636 |
| percentage2 | 45.66% |
| swing2 | 5.53% |
| map_caption | |
| map_image |
Democratic Republican Tie
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2012 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 340,925 | 49.96% | 2 | +2 | |
| Republican | 311,636 | 45.66% | 0 | -2 | |
| Libertarian | 29,457 | 4.32% | 0 | — | |
| Scattering | 398 | 0.06% | 0 | — | |
| Totals | 682,416 | 100.00% | 2 | — |
District 1
The redrawn 1st district currently represents all municipalities in Belknap (except for the town of Center Harbor); the entirety of Carroll, and Strafford counties; all of Rockingham County; the municipalities of Bedford, Goffstown, Manchester, and Merrimack in Hillsborough County; the town of Campton in Grafton County; and the town of Hooksett in Merrimack County.
Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the 1st district since January 2011, ran for re-election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Guinta, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Vern Clough, retired barber
- Rick Parent, candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Joanne Dowdell, businesswoman and Democratic National Committeewoman
- Matthew Hancock, software developer
- Andrew Hosmer, businessman
Primary results
Libertarian primary
Brendan Kelly, the chairman of the Seabrook Board of Selectmen, ran as a Libertarian.
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- GOProud
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Key: | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | Republican Party (US)}}" | Democratic Party (US)}}" | Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | 1 | 2 | |||||||
| Sep. 17, 2012 | New Hampshire PBS | Laura Knoy | |||||||||||
| Oct. 9, 2012 | AARP | ||||||||||||
| WBIN-TV | Charlie Sherman |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Frank | ||||||
| Guinta (R) | Carol | ||||||
| Shea-Porter (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | 366 | ± 5.1% | 46% | 49% | 5% | — |
| New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 17–21, 2012 | 364 | ± 5.1% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 17% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 30 - October 6, 2012 | 200 | ± 6.9% | 45% | 35% | 3% | 17% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27–30, 2012 | 273 | ± 5.9% | 35% | 46% | – | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | – | 4% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 258 | ± 6.1% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 230 | ± 6.5% | 39% | 44% | 1% | 16% |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 299 | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | – | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 2
The redrawn 2nd district will represent all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton (except for the town of Campton), Merrimack (except for the town of Hooksett), and Sullivan counties; most of Hillsborough County; the towns of Atkinson, Deerfield, Northwood, Salem, and Windham in Rockingham County; and the town of Center Harbor in Belknap County.
Republican Charles Bass, who had represented the 2nd district from 1995 to 2007, and since 2011, ran for re-election. Bass won by just 1% in 2010.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charles Bass, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gerald Beloin
- Will Dean
- Miroslaw Dziedzic
- Dennis Lamare, insurance agent and candidate for Senate in 2010
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann McLane Kuster, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2010
Primary results
Libertarian primary
Hardy Macia, owner of an iPhone/Android app development company, ran as a Libertarian.
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- GOProud
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Key: | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | Republican Party (US)}}" | Democratic Party (US)}}" | Charles Bass | Ann McLane Kuster | 1 | 2 | |||||||
| Sep. 19, 2012 | New Hampshire PBS | Laura Knoy | |||||||||||
| Oct. 10, 2012 | AARP | ||||||||||||
| WBIN-TV | Charlie Sherman |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Charlie | ||||||
| Bass (R) | Ann | ||||||
| Kuster (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 53% | 4% | — |
| New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | 511 | ± 4.33% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 17–21, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 39% | 3% | 22% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 30 – October 6, 2012 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 35% | 38% | 3% | 25% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27–30, 2012 | 325 | ± 5.4% | 34% | 36% | 2% | 28% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–25, 2012 | 461 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 51% | – | 4% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | August 1–12, 2012 | 284 | ± 5.8% | 42% | 37% | – | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | – | 15% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | 251 | ± 6.2% | 39% | 40% | 1% | 20% |
| Pulse Opinion Research LLC | January 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 35% | 14% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
References
References
- (November 6, 2012). "Representative in Congress 2012". Elections Division, Secretary of State for New Hampshire.
- (February 28, 2013). "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 6, 2012".
- (March 28, 2012). "SB 202-As Amended by the Senate". [[New Hampshire General Court]].
- Cook, Robert. (February 21, 2012). "Guinta to Make Several Stops in City This Week". [[Patch Media.
- (June 20, 2012). "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". [[The Telegraph (Nashua).
- "2012 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". [[New Hampshire Secretary of State]].
- Khan, Huma. (April 18, 2011). "2010 Democratic Losers Plot 2012 Comeback -- Can Dems Regain the House?". [[ABC News (United States).
- Langley, Karen. (April 29, 2011). "Shea-Porter issued primary challenge". [[Concord Monitor]].
- Dandurant, Karen. (April 14, 2012). "Dowdell withdraws her bid for congressional seat". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
- Fortier, Marc. (June 17, 2012). "GOP Candidates Hop on Romney's Bus". [[Patch Media.
- Cook, Robert. (March 29, 2012). "Hancock: Fixing Economy is Job One". [[Patch Media.
- Miller, Joshua. (August 8, 2011). "Third Democrat Enters Race to Unseat Guinta in New Hampshire". [[Roll Call]].
- Haddadin, Jim. (March 21, 2012). "U. S. Congressional candidate Hosmer now vying for state Senate seat". [[Foster's Daily Democrat]].
- "New Hampshire Secretary of State".
- Chiaramida, Angeljean. (March 5, 2012). "Seabrook selectman to run for Congress". [[The Daily News of Newburyport]].
- (October 25, 2012). "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc.".
- "Candidates". NRCC.
- "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
- "Help Our Candidates Win!".
- "Candidates".
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?308213-1/hampshire-1st-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?308607-1/hampshire-1st-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121119105600/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_election110412.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121103145757/http://www.nec.edu/news/new-poll-gives-president-obama-some-daylight-in-new-hampshire New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121029230441/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_cong102412.pdf University of New Hampshire]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130113132914/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_fall_nhraces101112.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130115074657/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_fall_congrace100312.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire]
- [http://act.boldprogressives.org/signup/signup_nh_poll/?source=2012polling Public Policy Polling]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121101130454/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_summer_congapp081512.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NH_051712.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120601123947/http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_spring_congapp042612.pdf WMUR/University of New Hampshire]
- [http://watchdog.org/12985/guinta-tied-with-shea-porter-bass-ahead-of-mclane-kuster/ Pulse Opinion Research LLC]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_0713.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
- (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html Race ratings chart. 2012 House Elections], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
- [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html 2012 elections], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
- (November 6, 2013). "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Scatterings votes are listed as they were reported to the [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives]]
- Pindell, James. (April 4, 2012). "GOP-er files for Congress, But Not His Own District". [[WMUR-TV.
- (March 31, 2011). "Dems eye GOP rematches for 2012". [[Politico (newspaper).
- link. (March 6, 2019)
- Schinella, Tony. (September 17, 2012). "VIDEO: Who is Hardy Macia?". [[Patch Media.
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?308214-1/hampshire-2nd-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?308645-1/hampshire-2nd-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]
- (November 6, 2013). "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division.
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