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2004 United States Senate election in California

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States Senate election in California
countryCalifornia
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1998 United States Senate election in California
previous_year1998
next_election2010 United States Senate election in California
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
image_size145x150px
image1Barbara Boxer 2005 (cropped).jpg
nominee1Barbara Boxer
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote16,955,728
percentage157.71%
image2Bill Jones, 1995.jpg
nominee2Bill Jones
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote24,555,922
percentage237.80%
map_image
map_captionBoxer:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionBarbara Boxer
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarbara Boxer
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Jones:
The 2004 United States Senate election in California took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer ran for re-election and defeated Republican former Secretary of State Bill Jones. Boxer's 6.96 million votes set the all-time record for the most votes cast for one candidate in one state in one election, although it was surpassed by Senator Dianne Feinstein's 7.75 million votes in 2012.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Barbara Boxer, incumbent U.S. Senator

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Danney Ball, activist
  • Toni Casey, former Mayor of Los Altos Hills
  • Barry L. Hatch, activist
  • Bill Jones, former Secretary of State of California and candidate for Governor in 2002
  • Howard Kaloogian, former State Assemblyman from San Diego County and chair of the Recall Gray Davis Committee
  • Rosario Marin, former Treasurer of the United States and mayor of Huntington Park
  • James Stewart, businessman
  • Tim Stoen, Assistant District Attorney
  • Bill Quraishi, businessman
  • John Van Zandt, businessman

Results

Third party primaries

American Independent

Libertarian

Peace and Freedom

General election

Candidates

Major

  • Barbara Boxer (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Bill Jones (R), former California Secretary of State

Minor

  • Marsha Feinland (PF), perennial candidate
  • James P. Gray (L), Superior Court jurist
  • Don J. Grundmann (AI)

Campaign

Boxer originally had planned to retire in 2004 but changed her mind to "fight for the right to dissent" against conservatives such as House Majority Leader Tom DeLay. Jones was widely considered as the underdog. Jones got a major endorsement from the popular Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. The two major candidates had a debate. Pre-election polling had Boxer leading in double digits. But he never released a single TV ad. Boxer portrayed Jones as too conservative for California, citing his votes in the California Assembly (1982 to 1994) against gun control and an increased minimum wage, and in support of offshore drilling and a loosening of environmental regulations.

Fundraising

Jones raised about $700,000 more than Boxer during the third quarter, pulling in $2.5 million to Boxer's $1.8 million. But overall, Boxer has raised $16 million to Jones' $6.2 million. And Boxer has spent about $7 million on radio and television ads alone.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2004

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBarbara
Boxer (D)Bill
Jones (R)Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 29–31, 2004763 (LV)± 3.6%57%36%7%

Results

The election was not close, with Boxer winning by an authoritative 20 point margin. Jones only performed well in rural parts of the state. Boxer on the other hand won almost all major metropolitan areas in the state. The race was called right when the polls closed at 11:00 P.M. EST, and 7:00 P.M. PTZ. Jones conceded defeat to Boxer at 11:12 P.M. EST, and 7:12 PTZ.

By county

Final results from the Secretary of State of California.

CountyBoxerVotesJonesVotesFeinlandVotesOthersVotes
San Francisco82.67%277,19312.83%43,0292.15%7,2202.34%7,862
Alameda75.66%403,89220.23%107,9662.22%11,8511.89%10,103
Marin70.86%94,16425.81%34,3011.44%1,9151.89%2,505
San Mateo70.53%196,28526.29%73,1711.33%3,7151.84%5,126
Santa Cruz70.58%84,84023.49%28,2392.77%3,3293.15%3,791
Los Angeles66.75%1,940,49328.29%822,3512.36%68,7432.60%75,449
Santa Clara66.00%380,55129.83%172,0081.66%9,5502.51%14,487
Sonoma65.67%143,12429.57%64,4382.28%4,9622.49%5,419
Contra Costa63.49%258,90533.24%135,5591.48%6,0441.78%7,277
Monterey62.31%76,64732.96%40,5471.84%2,2632.89%3,560
Yolo61.94%44,08534.05%24,2341.88%1,3402.13%1,518
Mendocino61.87%23,41529.41%11,1312.76%1,0445.96%2,254
Solano61.32%89,77935.07%51,3541.61%2,3552.00%2,929
Napa60.30%33,57735.94%20,0121.59%8842.17%1,208
Humboldt58.76%38,01634.61%22,3943.47%2,2463.16%2,044
Imperial57.65%19,49836.06%12,1953.43%1,1592.87%971
Lake56.32%13,81239.22%9,6191.91%4692.55%625
San Benito55.82%10,34939.73%7,3651.96%3632.49%462
Santa Barbara55.10%91,05540.02%66,1462.03%3,3472.85%4,717
Sacramento54.16%252,01642.34%196,9841.50%6,9952.00%9,283
Alpine53.90%37341.76%2892.31%162.02%14
San Joaquin53.00%99,07442.98%80,3501.92%3,5822.10%3,921
Ventura52.13%159,92043.66%133,9171.84%5,6302.37%7,284
San Diego51.45%565,45744.13%484,9482.04%22,4312.38%26,125
Mono49.95%2,59244.59%2,3142.14%1113.31%172
San Bernardino49.76%251,77645.36%229,5272.18%11,0382.70%13,655
Merced49.65%27,97546.18%26,0231.95%1,0982.22%1,251
Riverside47.39%259,16948.67%266,1971.93%10,5472.01%11,015
Stanislaus46.93%67,53949.70%71,5271.61%2,3241.75%2,517
San Luis Obispo46.49%58,21248.48%60,7082.12%2,6592.91%3,646
Trinity46.24%2,96047.93%3,0682.17%1393.66%234
Del Norte46.03%4,26448.72%4,5132.29%2122.97%275
Nevada45.79%24,36749.46%26,3211.90%1,0132.85%1,518
Fresno45.36%109,84951.59%124,9371.61%3,9051.44%3,495
Butte44.96%42,51249.12%46,4462.52%2,3853.39%3,204
Tuolumne44.38%11,53852.39%13,6201.23%3192.00%519
Orange43.73%458,60450.86%533,4061.94%20,3943.47%36,374
Kings42.71%13,48554.07%17,0751.71%5391.51%478
Amador42.16%7,44554.15%9,5621.53%2712.15%380
Calaveras42.17%9,33953.58%11,8651.51%3342.75%608
Inyo40.68%3,47454.37%4,6432.08%1782.86%244
Mariposa40.38%3,43755.82%4,7511.69%1442.10%179
Siskiyou39.92%8,21554.95%11,3081.94%3993.18%655
Placer39.70%59,55456.78%85,1631.46%2,1972.06%3,086
Plumas39.59%4,34754.82%6,0192.21%2433.38%371
El Dorado39.58%33,71556.09%47,7752.05%1,7432.29%1,950
Madera39.15%15,05857.84%22,2491.67%6411.35%519
Yuba38.94%6,92655.80%9,9252.21%3933.05%542
Kern38.13%79,76956.82%118,8822.17%4,5432.88%6,026
Tulare37.11%36,18159.55%58,0661.84%1,7981.50%1,464
Colusa36.61%2,22860.10%3,6571.23%752.05%125
Sutter36.61%10,86460.06%17,8241.47%4361.86%553
Tehama36.18%8,28558.89%13,4881.76%4033.17%726
Shasta35.21%26,79560.00%45,6671.86%1,4122.94%2,235
Sierra34.89%67958.74%1,1431.90%374.47%87
Glenn33.87%3,14761.77%5,7391.86%1732.50%232
Lassen32.36%3,65562.43%7,0511.97%2233.24%366
Modoc28.48%1,25366.27%2,9161.52%673.73%164

|[[File:California counties shift 1998-2004 senate.svg|300px]]|Shift by county |[[File:California counties trend 1998-2004 senate.svg|300px]]|Trend by county | | | | | | | | | | | | | |}}}}}}

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Mono (largest municipality: Mammoth Lakes)
  • San Diego (largest community: San Diego)
  • San Joaquin (largest city: Stockton)
  • Ventura (largest city: Ventura)

By congressional district

Boxer won 36 of 53 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans.

DistrictBoxerJonesRepresentative
60%34%Mike Thompson
40%56%Wally Herger
46%51%Doug Ose
Dan Lungren
40%56%John Doolittle
65%31%Bob Matsui
68%27%Lynn Woolsey
69%27%George Miller
84%12%Nancy Pelosi
84%11%Barbara Lee
60%37%Ellen Tauscher
50%47%Richard Pombo
73%24%Tom Lantos
73%23%Pete Stark
68%29%Anna Eshoo
65%31%Mike Honda
67%28%Zoe Lofgren
66%29%Sam Farr
57%39%Dennis Cardoza
42%55%George Radanovich
57%38%Cal Dooley
Jim Costa
38%59%Devin Nunes
36%60%Bill Thomas
60%35%Lois Capps
47%48%Elton Gallegly
46%49%Howard McKeon
48%47%David Dreier
64%31%Brad Sherman
74%21%Howard Berman
64%31%Adam Schiff
69%27%Henry Waxman
80%15%Xavier Becerra
68%26%Hilda Solis
84%12%Diane Watson
74%21%Lucille Roybal-Allard
80%15%Maxine Waters
62%33%Jane Harman
76%18%Juanita Millender-McDonald
71%23%Grace Napolitano
64%31%Linda Sánchez
44%51%Ed Royce
44%52%Jerry Lewis
42%54%Gary Miller
64%30%Joe Baca
45%51%Ken Calvert
49%47%Mary Bono Mack
46%49%Dana Rohrabacher
57%35%Loretta Sanchez
44%51%Christopher Cox
John Campbell
42%54%Darrell Issa
48.1%48.2%Brian Bilbray
61%34%Bob Filner
44%51%Duncan Hunter
64%31%Susan Davis

Notes

References

References

  1. (2011-06-29). "GOP race in state draws little cash, attention : 4 candidates seek chance to replace Boxer in Senate".
  2. "NewsLibrary Search Results".
  3. "John J. Miller on U.S. Senate & Election 2004 on National Review Online".
  4. "USATODAY.com - Schwarzenegger to endorse Jones for Senate".
  5. (11 August 2004). "CAMPAIGN 2004 / Jones, Boxer mix it up in only live debate / Challenger plays up Schwarzenegger ties, senator counters".
  6. "The State; Bill Jones' Campaign Quandary; With only tepid support from Bush, the GOP challenger to Sen. Boxer could use a boost from the governor -- who so far has kept his distance.".
  7. "Los Angeles Times: Archives - CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS; Jones Pulls Out Cash He Lent to Campaign".
  8. "The Final Predictions".
  9. [https://www.surveyusa.com/2004Elec.html SurveyUSA]
  10. "United States Senator".
  11. "United States Senator".
  12. (2 November 2004). "Counties by Congressional Districts for US Senator".
Info: Wikipedia Source

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