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2012 United States Senate election in California

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2012 United States Senate election in California

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States Senate election in California
countryCalifornia
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States Senate election in California
previous_year2006
next_election2018 United States Senate election in California
next_year2018
turnout55.2% (voting eligible)
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex150px
image1File:Dianne Feinstein, official Senate photo 2 (cropped).jpg
candidate1Dianne Feinstein
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote17,864,624
percentage162.52%
image2Elizabeth Emken (cropped).jpg
candidate2Elizabeth Emken
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote24,713,887
percentage237.48%
map_image
map_captionFeinstein:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionDianne Feinstein
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionDianne Feinstein
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Emken:
The 2012 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primary election on June 5 took place under California's new blanket primary law, where all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters voted for any candidate listed, or write-in any other candidate. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advanced to the general election in November, even if a candidate managed to receive a majority of the votes cast in the June primary. In the primary, less than 15% of the total 2010 census population voted. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein announced her intention to run for a fourth full term in April 2011 and finished first in the blanket primary with 49.5% of the vote. The second-place finisher was Republican candidate and autism activist Elizabeth Emken, who won 12.7% of the vote.

Feinstein ultimately defeated Emken in the general election on November 6, winning 62.5% of the vote to Emken's 37.5%. Feinstein's total of 7.86 million popular votes was the most ever received by a candidate for U.S. Senate in American history until Adam Schiff won the same seat with over 9 million votes in 2024. For a full decade, Emken was the only Republican candidate to have advanced to a general U.S. Senate election in California, as only Democratic candidates advanced to the general election in 2016 and 2018; however, this streak was broken 10 years later in 2022.

Primary

Candidates

Democratic Party

  • Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Colleen Shea Fernald
  • David Levitt, computer scientist and engineer
  • Nak Shah, environmental health consultant
  • Diane Stewart, businesswoman
  • Mike Strimling, attorney and former U.S. Peace Corps legal adviser

Republican Party

  • John Boruff, businessman
  • Oscar Alejandro Braun, businessman and rancher
  • Greg Conlon, businessman and CPA
  • Elizabeth Emken, candidate for the 11th congressional district in 2010
  • Rogelio Gloria, U.S. Naval Officer
  • Dan Hughes, businessman
  • Dennis Jackson
  • Dirk Konopik, former congressional aide
  • Donald Krampe
  • Robert Lauten
  • Al Ramirez, businessman
  • Nachum Shifren, rabbi and state senate candidate in 2010
  • Orly Taitz, dentist, Birther movement activist and candidate for California Secretary of State in 2010
  • Rick Williams, business attorney

Libertarian

  • Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse

Peace and Freedom

  • Kabiruddin Karim Ali, businessman
  • Marsha Feinland, retired teacher

American Independent

  • Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor Despite Don J. Grundmann running, the American Independent Party gave their party endorsement to Republican Robert Lauten.

Polling

Results

Primary results by county:

]]

Election contest

In July 2012, Taitz sued to block the certification of the primary election results, alleging "rampant election fraud", but her suit was denied.

General election

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Dianne Feinstein (D)$12,673,306$12,105,960$865,541$373,734
Elizabeth Emken (R)$1,114,350$1,110,209$4,140$4,479
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Pacific Gas and Electric Company$120,700Thomas H. Lee Partners$10,000
JStreetPAC$82,171DevicePharm, Inc.$7,500
General Atomics$56,750Troy Group$7,500
Edison International$54,250Jelly Belly$5,500
General Dynamics$43,500Autism Advocate$5,000
BAE Systems$40,000Geier Group$5,000
Diamond Foods$31,599Generations Healthcare$5,000
Northrop Grumman$30,800Gingery Development$4,000
International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees$30,000MIR3, Inc.$3,000
Wells Fargo$27,250Northrop Grumman$2,800
Source: OpenSecrets

Top industries

Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$565,129Retired$63,849
Retired$463,058Republican/Conservative$35,800
Agribusiness$367,132Financial Institutions$26,100
Real Estate$334,321Real Estate$19,200
Lobbyists$324,196Business Services$16,000
Financial Institutions$321,744Misc Finance$12,750
Electric Utilities$313,450Printing & Publishing$8,000
Entertainment Industry$300,321Food & Beverage$6,000
Women's Issues$207,449Petroleum Industry$6,000
High-Tech Industry$205,789Lawyers/Law Firms$5,458
Source: OpenSecrets

Candidates

  • Dianne Feinstein (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Elizabeth Emken (R), former Vice President of Autism Speaks

Debates

No debates were scheduled. Senator Feinstein decided to focus on her own campaign rather than debate her challenger.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDianne
Feinstein (D)Elizabeth
Emken (R)OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAMay 27–29, 20121,575±2.5%50%34%15%
The Field PollJune 21 – July 2, 2012848±3.5%51%32%17%
CBRT PepperdineJuly 30 – August 1, 2012873±3.3%46%34%21%
SurveyUSASeptember 9–11, 2012524±4.2%55%37%9%
The Field PollSeptember 6–18, 2012902±3.4%57%31%12%
SurveyUSAOctober 7–9, 2012539±4.3%54%35%10%
Reason-RupeOctober 11–15, 2012508±5.1%60%34%2%5%
LA Times/USCOctober 15–21, 20121,440±n/a55%38%1%6%
The Field PollOctober 17–24, 2012815±3.6%56%32%12%
The Field PollOctober 25–30, 2012751±3.6%54%33%13%

Results

By county

CountyDianne Feinstein
DemocraticElizabeth Emken
RepublicanMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%Totals7,864,62462.52%4,713,88737.48%3,150,73725.05%12,578,511
Alameda468,45681.93%103,31318.07%365,14363.86%571,769
Alpine40964.11%22935.89%18028.21%638
Amador7,05140.80%10,23259.20%-3,181-18.41%17,283
Butte43,68149.27%44,98150.73%-1,300-1.47%88,662
Calaveras8,87841.57%12,47958.43%-3,601-16.86%21,357
Colusa2,48243.28%3,25356.72%-771-13.44%5,735
Contra Costa300,19470.06%128,31029.94%171,88440.11%428,504
Del Norte4,06547.45%4,50252.55%-437-5.10%8,567
El Dorado35,77641.31%50,82058.69%-15,044-17.37%86,596
Fresno129,26751.14%123,49948.86%5,7682.28%252,766
Glenn3,52038.96%5,51561.04%-1,995-22.08%9,035
Humboldt36,16265.04%19,43734.96%16,72530.08%55,599
Imperial25,34267.24%12,34632.76%12,99634.48%37,688
Inyo3,33342.58%4,49457.42%-1,161-14.83%7,827
Kern92,25242.29%125,90657.71%-33,654-15.43%218,158
Kings13,30442.61%17,91657.39%-4,612-14.77%31,220
Lake13,54358.97%9,42441.03%4,11917.93%22,967
Lassen3,15029.89%7,39070.11%-4,240-40.23%10,540
Los Angeles2,183,65471.53%868,92428.47%1,314,73043.07%3,052,578
Madera15,99741.08%22,94258.92%-6,945-17.84%38,939
Marin105,15380.11%26,10519.89%79,04860.22%131,258
Mariposa3,55140.27%5,26859.73%-1,717-19.47%8,819
Mendocino24,25470.35%10,22429.65%14,03040.69%34,478
Merced32,95554.97%27,00045.03%5,9559.93%59,955
Modoc1,18830.08%2,76169.92%-1,573-39.83%3,949
Mono2,60051.96%2,40448.04%1963.92%5,004
Monterey84,58569.61%36,93030.39%47,65539.22%121,515
Napa37,12266.52%18,68233.48%18,44033.04%55,804
Nevada25,49550.41%25,07849.59%4170.82%50,573
Orange515,90247.48%570,57452.52%-54,672-5.03%1,086,476
Placer68,59941.39%97,13958.61%-28,540-17.22%165,738
Plumas4,16242.81%5,56057.19%-1,398-14.38%9,722
Riverside327,69851.90%303,65148.10%24,0473.81%631,349
Sacramento302,07860.72%195,41239.28%106,66621.44%497,490
San Benito11,38961.09%7,25538.91%4,13422.17%18,644
San Bernardino298,06754.05%253,43345.95%44,6348.09%551,500
San Diego622,78154.41%521,88445.59%100,8978.81%1,144,665
San Francisco305,12688.52%39,58911.48%265,53777.03%344,715
San Joaquin113,70657.00%85,78743.00%27,91913.99%199,493
San Luis Obispo62,21650.80%60,26249.20%1,9541.60%122,478
San Mateo213,50377.22%62,97922.78%150,52454.44%276,482
Santa Barbara93,92159.62%63,59940.38%30,32219.25%157,520
Santa Clara454,64772.93%168,72227.07%285,92545.87%623,369
Santa Cruz91,10978.16%25,46321.84%65,64656.31%116,572
Shasta27,15536.53%47,18463.47%-20,029-26.94%74,339
Sierra67738.58%1,07861.42%-401-22.85%1,755
Siskiyou8,19641.97%11,33458.03%-3,138-16.07%19,530
Solano98,25165.99%50,63434.01%47,61731.98%148,885
Sonoma154,89273.71%55,25626.29%99,63647.41%210,148
Stanislaus78,47051.79%73,06048.21%5,4103.57%151,530
Sutter12,39541.17%17,71558.83%-5,320-17.67%30,110
Tehama8,34936.96%14,24163.04%-5,892-26.08%22,590
Trinity2,65847.46%2,94352.54%-285-5.09%5,601
Tulare42,39542.87%56,49957.13%-14,104-14.26%98,894
Tuolumne10,33642.78%13,82357.22%-3,487-14.43%24,159
Ventura171,48354.42%143,60345.58%27,8808.85%315,086
Yolo49,14867.68%23,46832.32%25,68035.36%72,616
Yuba7,89640.97%11,37659.03%-3,480-18.06%19,272

|[[File:California counties shift 2006-2012 senate.svg|300px]]|Shift by county |[[File:California counties trend 2006-2012 senate.svg|300px]]|Trend by county | | | | | | | | | | |}}|

{{col-start}}

Democratic Republican

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Butte (largest city: Chico)
  • Del Norte (largest community: Crescent City)
  • Trinity (largest community: Weaverville)

By congressional district

Feinstein won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.

DistrictFeinsteinEmkenRepresentative
42%58%Doug LaMalfa
73%27%Jared Huffman
56%44%John Garamendi
41%59%Tom McClintock
72%28%Mike Thompson
71%29%Doris Matsui
53%47%Ami Bera
43%57%Paul Cook
60%40%Jerry McNerney
52%48%Jeff Denham
72%28%George Miller
89%11%Nancy Pelosi
91%9%Barbara Lee
79%21%Jackie Speier
71%29%Eric Swalwell
59%41%Jim Costa
75%25%Mike Honda
72%28%Anna Eshoo
74%26%Zoe Lofgren
73%27%Sam Farr
56%44%David Valadao
43%57%Devin Nunes
38%62%Kevin McCarthy
56%44%Lois Capps
49%51%Buck McKeon
56%44%Julia Brownley
65%35%Judy Chu
73%27%Adam Schiff
78%22%Tony Cárdenas
69%31%Brad Sherman
59%41%Gary Miller
67%33%Grace Napolitano
65%35%Henry Waxman
85%15%Xavier Becerra
68%32%Gloria Negrete McLeod
54%46%Raul Ruiz
86%14%Karen Bass
67%33%Linda Sánchez
49%51%Ed Royce
81%19%Lucille Roybal-Allard
63%37%Mark Takano
43%57%Ken Calvert
78%22%Maxine Waters
85%15%Janice Hahn
44%56%John B. T. Campbell III
63%37%Loretta Sánchez
61%39%Alan Lowenthal
45%55%Dana Rohrabacher
47%53%Darrell Issa
40%60%Duncan Hunter
70%30%Juan Vargas
54%46%Scott Peters
63%37%Susan Davis

References

References

  1. Dr. Michael McDonald. (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". [[George Mason University]].
  2. Marinucci, Carla. (April 30, 2011). "US Sen. Dianne Feinstein on nuclear energy and her 2012 re-election: "My plan is to run"". San Francisco Chronicle Politics Blog.
  3. Mahtesian, Charles. (November 26, 2012). "Feinstein's record: 7.3 million votes".
  4. Reston, Maeve. (October 25, 2010). "Feinstein hints she'll run again in 2012". [[Los Angeles Times]].
  5. Milhalcik, Carrie. "Citizen candidate to challenge Dianne Feinstein in Senate race". Current TV.
  6. Walker, Mark. (December 1, 2011). "REGION: Ramona man running against Feinstein in 2012". [[North County Times]].
  7. Van Oot, Torey. (November 28, 2011). "Republican Elizabeth Emken to run against Sen. Dianne Feinstein". [[The Sacramento Bee]].
  8. Merl, Jean. (February 6, 2012). "GOP businessman joins field challenging Sen. Dianne Feinstein". [[Los Angeles Times]].
  9. Archibald }}{{Dead link, Ashley. (April 2019). "Santa Monican hopes to unseat Feinstein". [[Santa Monica Daily Press]].
  10. Surowski, Peter. (May 18, 2011). "Rabbi Who Denounced Temecula Mosque Runs for Senate". [[Patch Media.
  11. (November 4, 2011). "Orly Taitz Senate Campaign: 'Birther Queen' Running As GOP Candidate For U.S. Senate Seat In California". [[The Huffington Post]].
  12. "Rick Williams for Senate".
  13. "Voter Information Guide".
  14. "Statement of Vote (June 5, 2012, Presidential Primary Election)". California Secretary of State.
  15. Wisckol, Martin. (July 12, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' sues to block primary election results". [[The Orange County Register]].
  16. Wisckol, Martin. (July 13, 2012). "O.C. 'birther' suit to block election results denied". [[The Orange County Register]].
  17. [[Federal Election Commission]]. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California FEINSTEIN, DIANNE". fec.gov.
  18. [[Federal Election Commission]]. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California EMKEN, ELIZABETH". fec.gov.
  19. "Top Contributors 2012 Race: California Senate". [[OpenSecrets]].
  20. "Top Industries 2012 Race: California Senate". [[OpenSecrets]].
  21. "Elizabeth Emken". ElizabethEmken.com.
  22. PaoloPhotoFilms. (September 8, 2012). ""Feinstein Walks Out On Reporter", California US Senate debate".
  23. (November 1, 2012). "Sen. Feinstein explains decision not to debate".
  24. "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
  25. "2012 Senate".
  26. "2012 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  27. "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics.
  28. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=da340173-97ce-40dd-b3d4-04fcbf48a74c SurveyUSA]
  29. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120905012636/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2417.pdf The Field Poll]
  30. [http://www.cbrt.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/CBRTPep-Topline-Test-2-FINAL.pdf CBRT Pepperdine]
  31. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollPrint.aspx?g=26d4dab7-8c9c-4c48-9eea-71be8f536341&d=0 SurveyUSA]
  32. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121101192130/http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2427.pdf The Field Poll]
  33. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollPrint.aspx?g=b04e8f04-f3fd-4ced-9b18-5b374f5f13d8&d=0 SurveyUSA]
  34. [http://www.reason.com/assets/db/13505849198068.pdf Reason-Rupe]
  35. [http://www.gqrr.com/images/stories/latusc.fq.102412.pdf LA Times/USC] {{Dead link. (May 2019)
  36. [https://web.archive.org/web/20130113202655/http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2433.pdf The Field Poll]
  37. Bowen, Debra. (December 14, 2012). "Complete Statement of Vote". [[Secretary of State of California]].
  38. Bowen, Debra. (December 14, 2012). "United States Senator by County". [[Secretary of State of California]].
  39. (6 November 2012). "Counties by Congressional Districts for United States Senator".
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