Bolton North East

Constituency profile

The seat covers parts of Bolton town centre and extends into the West Pennine Moors. The districts in close proximity to the town centre (Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, Tonge with the Haulgh) are Labour-voting areas, whereas the outer suburbs (Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Bromley Cross) are much more Conservative inclined. Altogether, the national statistics collected reflect a socially diverse seat in terms of income; this has been a highly marginal seat when national polls are close, with lower than average social housing, and less deprivation than the average for the metropolitan county.

History

Bolton North East has more often than not to date been a marginal seat between Labour and Conservative candidates. In 1992, Labour's David Crausby came tantalisingly close to gaining the seat, but did not, as his party were expecting to. It would not be until 1997 that Labour gained the seat, with a huge 12,000 majority, holding it for the next 22 years. Labour comfortably held the seat in 2010, with very little swing from the previous election. Mark Logan finally recaptured the seat for the Conservatives in 2019 with a majority of just 0.9%, making it their fourth most marginal seat over Labour.

Logan opted not to contest the 2024 election and, after the Dissolution of Parliament, he endorsed the Labour Party. Labour's candidate, Kirith Entwistle subsequently won the seat with a majority of over 15%, with the Conservatives coming second just ahead of Reform UK.

Boundaries

Historic

Bolton North East was created for the 1983 general election from parts of the constituencies of Bolton West and the former Bolton East.

1983–1997: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, and Tonge.

1997–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, Halliwell, and Tonge.

2010–2024: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh.

Current

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency was expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range by transferring from Bolton South East the ward of Little Lever & Darcy Lever (as it existed on 1 December 2020).

Following a local government boundary review which came into effect in May 2023, the constituency now comprises the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Bolton from the 2024 general election:

• Astley Bridge; Bradshaw; Breightmet; Bromley Cross; Halliwell; Little Lever & Darcy Lever; Queens Park & Central (majority); and Tonge with the Haulgh.

Members of Parliament

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

|reg. electors = 80,011

Elections in the 2010s

| access-date = 11 May 2015}}

Elections in the 2000s

Elections in the 1990s

For the 1997 general election the boundaries of the seat were significantly redrawn. The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997 estimated that had the new boundaries been used for the previous general election rather than being narrowly held by the Conservatives, the seat would have been won by the Labour candidate with a majority of 3,017 over the Conservatives. Thus technically the seat was notionally a Labour hold at this election rather than a gain for the party. The swing above is based on this notional result.

Elections in the 1980s

Notes

References

References

1. "'Bolton North East', June 1983 up to May 1997". Cognitive Computing Limited.
2. "Bolton North East: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Office for National Statistics.
3. "Local statistics - Office for National Statistics".
4. (2024-05-30). "Mark Logan: Former Tory MP backs Labour at general election".
5. "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023".
6. LGBCE. "Bolton {{!}} LGBCE".
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8. "New Seat Details - Bolton North East".
9. {{Rayment-hc. b. 4. (March 2012)
10. [https://whocanivotefor.co.uk/elections/parl.bolton-north-east.2024-07-04/bolton-north-east/ Bolton North East constituency]
11. "General election results 2024". [[Bolton Council]].
12. (20 February 2023). "Three more Labour parliamentary candidates selected over the weekend". LabourList.
13. "Bolton North East Constituency". [[Reform UK]].
14. "Our candidates". Green Party of England and Wales.
15. "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". [[Mark Pack]].
16. "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". [[UK Parliament]].
17. (2019-11-14). "All the Greater Manchester General Election 2019 candidates".
18. "Bolton North East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
19. "Election Data 2015". [[Electoral Calculus]].
20. "Election Data 2010". [[Electoral Calculus]].
21. "Election 2010 - Constituency - Bolton North East". BBC News -.
22. "Election Data 2005". [[Electoral Calculus]].
23. "Election Data 2001". [[Electoral Calculus]].
24. "Election Data 1997". [[Electoral Calculus]].
25. [http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/constit/098.htm General Election Results 1997 and 2001: Bolton North East] {{Webarchive. link. (3 March 2016 . ''Political Science Resources''. Retrieved 14 May 2010.)
26. [https://web.archive.org/web/19970429074553/http://www.bbc.co.uk/election97/constituencies/73.htm General Election 1997: Bolton North East]. BBC. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
27. (1997). "The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997". Times Books.
28. "Election Data 1992". [[Electoral Calculus]].
29. (9 April 1992). "UK General Election results April 1992". Politics Resources.
30. "Election Data 1987". [[Electoral Calculus]].
31. [http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge87/i03.htm General Election 11 June 1987: Bolton North East] {{Webarchive. link. (11 August 2011 . ''Political Science Resources''. Retrieved 14 May 2010.)
32. [http://www.boltonsmayors.org.uk/white-f.html Frank Richard White]. ''Links in a Chain''. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
33. "Election Data 1983". [[Electoral Calculus]].
34. [http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge83/i03.htm General Election 9 June 1983: Bolton North East] {{Webarchive. link. (28 June 2017 . ''Political Science Resources''. Retrieved 14 May 2010.)