2025 Virginia gubernatorial election

The 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2025, to elect the governor of Virginia. The election was held concurrently with elections for Virginia's other statewide offices, the House of Delegates, and other local offices. Incumbent Republican governor Glenn Youngkin was ineligible to seek re-election to a second consecutive term due to the state's prohibition on consecutive gubernatorial terms.

Neither Republican lieutenant governor Winsome Earle-Sears nor former Democratic U.S. representative Abigail Spanberger received opposition in their respective primaries. In April 2025, Spanberger and Earle-Sears were confirmed as the major party nominees. Spanberger defeated Earle-Sears by 527,271 votes which is the largest raw vote margin in state history. She won by 15.36% — a landslide margin and the largest gubernatorial percentage margin since 2009. Democrats won all three statewide executive offices and a trifecta in Virginia's government for the first time since 2019.

The central issues of the campaign were the economy and affordability, which included the federal layoffs from the Trump administration. Transgender rights and political rhetoric followed behind as secondary issues. President Trump's general unpopularity and perceived performance on the economy, healthcare, immigration, and other issues were viewed as contributing factors for Earle-Sears's loss.

Spanberger was elected the first female governor in the state's history, winning by the largest Democratic gubernatorial margin since 1961. She was sworn in as the 75th governor of Virginia on January 17, 2026.

Since the 2008 presidential election, Virginia has voted Democratic for president, due in part to Northern Virginia's growth and Democratic trends. In the 2024 presidential election, Kamala Harris won the state by 5.78%. After the 2024 Virginia elections, Democrats maintained control of both U.S. Senate seats and their 6-5 majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.

In the 2021 gubernatorial election, Youngkin defeated Terry McAuliffe by two points, after Joe Biden won the state in 2020 by 10 points. The central issues were the economy and education, which led to Republican flips in all three statewide executive offices and the House of Delegates. In the 2023 Virginia elections, Democrats narrowly flipped the House of Delegates and maintained control of the Virginia Senate due to the issue of abortion rights.

In the 2024 presidential election, Republican Donald Trump was re-elected into office, which Democrats hoped would energize their voter base in the off-year elections. Trump's personal popularity and voters' position on the economy were viewed as crucial to the gubernatorial race. In January 2025, President Trump and Elon Musk introduced the Department of Government Efficiency. DOGE laid off thousands of federal workers, which were relevant in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, since 140,000 federal workers resided in the state. Since 1977, Virginia elected the party out of presidential power for governor – with the exception of 2013 – which made Democrats the initial favorite.

Due to Virginia's blue lean, the state was viewed as a likely gubernatorial pickup for Democrats as national circumstances were unfavorable for Republicans. The economy became the most prominent issue, while healthcare and education followed as secondary issues. The concern on the economy was based on tariffs and federal cuts from the Trump Administration.

On September 4, 2024, Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears declared her candidacy for governor. She received criticism from Attorney General Jason Miyares for making her announcement ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Miyares was widely viewed as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination.

In November 2024, he declined to run for governor and unsuccessfully ran for reelection as attorney general in 2025. After his declination, Earle-Sears was viewed as the presumptive nominee.

On February 27, Earle-Sears received opposition from former state senator Amanda Chase and former state delegate Dave LaRock. They affiliated themselves more with President Trump and criticized Earle-Sears's previous comments about him. Despite the newfound opposition, Earle-Sears was still viewed as the favorite in the primary.

Neither Chase nor LaRock reached the signature deadline before April 5 to qualify for the primary ballot.

On April 5, Earle-Sears secured the Republican nomination for governor.

• Winsome Earle-Sears, lieutenant governor of Virginia (2022–2026)

• Amanda Chase, former state senator for SD-11 (2016–2024), and candidate for governor in 2021

• Dave LaRock, former state delegate for HD-33 (2014–2024), and candidate for SD-1 in 2023

• Jason Miyares, attorney general of Virginia (2022–2026) (ran for re-election)

• Rob Wittman, U.S. representative from Virginia's 1st congressional district (2007–present) (running for re-election in 2026)

In 2020, Governor Ralph Northam encouraged Abigail Spanberger to someday run for governor. On November 13, 2023, she announced her candidacy and did not run for re-election in the House of Representatives in 2024.

In December 2023, Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney, declared his candidacy. His low statewide name recognition meant Spanberger was viewed as the favorite to win the primary. There was private pressure for Stoney to drop out of the race for Spanberger. In April 2024 – a year before the filing deadline – Stoney withdrew from the race to "avoid a costly and damaging primary" and unsuccessfully ran for lieutenant governor.

In December 2024, U.S. Representative Bobby Scott, explored the possibility of running for governor, despite doubt from internal sources over whether he would actually do so. In February 2025, Scott hinted he would not run for governor and ultimately did not file a candidacy.

On April 3, Spanberger secured the Democratic nomination after no other candidacies were filed.

• Abigail Spanberger, former U.S. representative from Virginia's 7th congressional district (2019–2025)

• Levar Stoney, mayor of Richmond (2017–2025), and former Virginia secretary of the commonwealth (2014–2016) (ran for lieutenant governor)

• Bobby Scott, U.S. representative from Virginia's 3rd congressional district (1993–present)

• Donna Charles (write-in candidate), former U.S. Air Force officer and federal civil servant (endorsed Spanberger)

Ghazala Hashmi speaking at a bus rally in Fairfax with Jay Jones and Spanberger.

Winsome Earle-Sears speaking at Petersburg National Battlefield.

This was the first gubernatorial election in the state's history in which both major party nominees were women. President Trump instated tariffs on other nations including Canada and China. The tariffs were expected to increase prices on consumer goods from companies who relied on foreign imports. Spanberger disagreed with the tariffs and said they were "... a massive tax hike on Virginians — plain and simple."

Virginia Democrats highlighted Earle-Sears's conservative positions on social issues and support for tariffs. After the June primaries, the economy emerged as the main issue for both campaigns. Spanberger's campaign message was focused on affordability: she continued to oppose federal layoffs and tariffs from the Trump administration. Earle-Sears pledged to continue Youngkin's economic policies. After Earle-Sears replaced her campaign manager, there were internal concerns from the Virginia Republican Party over how her campaign was managed. By July, Spanberger significantly outraised Earle-Sears, while there was lack of Republican investment in the race compared to 2021.

Earle-Sears's statements on federal workers throughout the campaign were criticized as "self-inflicted wounds" and supportive of President Trump's DOGE cuts. Earle-Sears began to focus on transgender policies in Northern Virginia's schools, which mirrored Youngkin's focus on critical race theory in 2021. On August 21, Earle-Sears's speech at an Arlington County School Board meeting received protests. One protest sign stated, "Hey Winsome, if trans [sic] can’t share your bathroom, then Blacks can’t share my water fountain." The sign received media attention and condemnation from Spanberger and Earle-Sears. Spanberger continued to campaign on affordability issues, which remained the top issue for voters. She campaigned in Southwest Virginia and attempted to win over rural voters who voted Trump in 2024. By October, Earle-Sears ran mainly on anti-transgender policies in schools. Earle-Sears ran attack ads against Spanberger which resembled the "Kamala is for they/them" ad from the 2024 presidential election. She spent $2 million on anti-transgender and anti-woke ads, which made up a significant portion of her campaign advertisements.

On October 1, a federal government shutdown began, which further affected federal workers and became a central issue by the end of the campaign. According to several polls, the Republican Party was largely blamed for the shutdown. Both Spanberger and Earle-Sears opposed the shutdown, while Spanberger tied the shutdown to President Trump's policies on federal workers. Political violence became another central issue to the campaign after the Charlie Kirk assassination, which Republicans hoped would energize low-turnout voters. The conservative National Review released text messages from Jay Jones—the Democratic nominee for attorney general—which referred to former Republican speaker Todd Gilbert: "If those guys die before me...I will go to their funerals to piss on their graves." He also stated, "Three people, two bullets. Gilbert, hitler, and pol pot. Gilbert gets two bullets to the head. Spoiler: put Gilbert in the crew with the two worst people you know and he receives both bullets every time." He reportedly fantasized about the death of Gilbert's children.

The text messages were criticized by President Trump, Glenn Youngkin, and other prominent Republicans officials who called for Jones to withdraw from the race. Spanberger condemned the text messages but did not call for him to withdraw from the race. Earle-Sears attempted to tie Jones to Spanberger and spent $1 million on attack ads, which criticized Spanberger's stance on Jones' text messages. Democrats largely defended Spanberger's response to the messages, while the messages themselves received significant media attention. At James Madison University's football game, one fan shouted at Earle-Sears, "Go back to Haiti." The event received condemnation from the university, and the fan was banned from the university.

Former president Barack Obama appeared in two ads for Spanberger's campaign which highlighted abortion rights and economic issues. Obama further criticized President Trump's policies. Other national figures campaigned for Spanberger, including Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, Ruben Gallego, Josh Shapiro, and Wes Moore. Obama and Spanberger held a high-profile rally in Norfolk known as the "Virginia Votes Rally." Obama's speech focused on the economy, democracy, and Trump—most of Spanberger's advertisements continued to tie Earle-Sears to Trump. Trump did not campaign with nor officially endorse Earle-Sears; however, he did support her over Spanberger.

Both Spanberger and Earle-Sears initially declined to debate. In August, they agreed to meet on October 9 at Norfolk State University for one televised debate.

Topics discussed during the debate included repeal of the car tax, political violence and rhetoric, the federal government shutdown, economic policies on data centers, affordability, transgender policies in schools, reproductive rights, immigration, education, and marijuana legalization. Earle-Sears's debate style was described as "aggressive" as she frequently interrupted Spanberger. Spanberger sometimes "simply stood silent" and did not answer Earle-Sears's questions directed toward her. Earle-Sears made Jay Jones's messages and transgender policies a central part of her messaging.

Spanberger condemned Jones's text messages but did not call for him to withdraw from the race. She declined to state if she would renew her endorsement of Jones. Earle-Sears pressured Spanberger to call for Jones to withdraw from the race. Both candidates attacked each other on political violence and rhetoric. On education, Earle-Sears called for policies that would ban transgender students from bathrooms and sports which do not conform to their birth sex; Spanberger called for local control over transgender policies in schools. Both Earle-Sears and Spanberger called for bipartisan support to end the shutdown.

Earle-Sears, who was not endorsed by Trump, stated, "I will take all endorsements, including the president." According to CNN, Spanberger "went on offense" when she said Earle-Sears previously opposed same-sex marriage; Earle-Sears responded by saying, "That's not discrimination."

Political analyst David Richards said Spanberger won the debate: "Earle-Sears’ attempts to drag Spanberger into the Jay Jones scandal were unsuccessful. Overall, I’d give Spanberger a small edge because she seemed calmer and more professional." On their separate performances, Richards stated, "Spanberger held her own and came off as much more polished and capable, if not a little cold. Earle-Sears often came across as slightly unhinged."

When asked in an October interview about her debate response where she stated, "That's not discrimination", Earle-Sears stated, "I was thinking that I was saying, 'I'm not discriminating.'"

Aggregate polls

• Caroline (largest municipality: Bowling Green)
• Chesapeake (independent city)
• Chesterfield (largest municipality: Chester)
• Hopewell (independent city)
• James City (largest municipality: Williamsburg)
• Montgomery (largest municipality: Blacksburg)
• Nelson (largest municipality: Nellysford)
• Northampton (largest municipality: Exmore)
• Prince Edward (largest municipality: Farmville)
• Radford (independent city)
• Spotsylvania (largest municipality: Spotsylvania Courthouse)
• Stafford (largest municipality: Aquia Harbour)
• Surry (largest municipality: Claremont)
• Virginia Beach (independent city)
• Waynesboro (independent city)
• York (largest municipality: Grafton)

Spanberger won eight of 11 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.

The result was a landslide victory for Spanberger, who set a record for most votes received by a gubernatorial candidate in Virginia. Spanberger's sizable victory was attributed to concerns over affordability, Earle-Sears' tendency to change staff and failure to find a convincing message, Spanberger's fundraising advantage, a significant decline in turnout in heavily Republican Southwest Virginia, and outrage in Northern Virginia over the mass layoffs of federal workers as part of President Donald Trump's efforts to downsize the federal government. Additionally, many furloughed federal workers were energized by the ongoing federal government shutdown. Discontentment with the U.S. economy under Trump, which many Virginians blamed on his tariff policies, also played a factor in motivating Spanberger voters. The layoffs boosted Spanberger in Northern Virginia which contributed to her large victory margin.

Northern Virginia backed 88% of her statewide margin, where every locality in the region saw her margin increase significantly from McAuliffe's performance in 2021. She could've won statewide without Northern Virginia by three points.

Spanberger did well with college-educated voters, winning voters with college degrees by 27 points (63%-36%). Many college campuses shifted leftward by 18 points on average due to young voters. Virginia Tech shifted 34 points to the left, which was the largest shift of all the college campuses. Spanberger’s strongest independent city was Charlottesville, where the University of Virginia is — her alma mater. The evangelical Liberty University in Lynchburg shifted to the left by six points. College-educated voters made up more of the electorate compared to 2021. Spanberger narrowly won non-college-educated voters (50%-49%) despite Youngkin's 19-point margin (59%-40%) with non-college-educated voters from 2021.

This is the first time since 1985 that a Democrat carried Spotsylvania County, a notable Republican stronghold, as well as Waynesboro City. Stafford County also flipped for the first time since 1985, though Harris won Stafford in 2024. Nelson County and Caroline County also voted Democratic for the first time since 2013. James City County voted Democratic for the first time since 2005, although it voted Democratic in 2020 and 2024. Spanberger's closest victory was in York County, which voted Democratic for the first time since 1965. Spanberger improved with Latino voters from 2024.

• 2025 United States elections
• 2025 Virginia elections
• 2025 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election
• 2025 Virginia Attorney General election
• 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election

Partisan clients

Official campaign websites

• Winsome Earle-Sears (R) for Governor
• Abigail Spanberger (D) for Governor