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2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election


Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6Column 7Column 8Column 9Column 10
15–16 December 2023
68.7%
Candidate

Pedro Nuno Santos

José Luís Carneiro

Popular vote

24,219

14,891

Percentage

60.8%

37.4% | | | | Pedro Nuno Santos | José Luís Carneiro | 24,219 | 14,891 | 60.8% | 37.4% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Pedro Nuno Santos | José Luís Carneiro | | | | | | | | | | 24,219 | 14,891 | | | | | | | | | | 60.8% | 37.4% | | | | | | | | | | Results by Party Federation.     Santos      Carneiro | | | | | | | | | | | Secretary-General before election António Costa

Elected Secretary-General Pedro Nuno Santos | Secretary-General before election António Costa | Elected Secretary-General Pedro Nuno Santos | | | | | | | | | Secretary-General before election António Costa | Elected Secretary-General Pedro Nuno Santos | | | | | | | | |

The 2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election was held on 15 and 16 December 2023. The leadership ballot was called after Prime Minister and Socialist Party Secretary-General António Costa resigned from office on 7 November 2023. The winner of this election led the Socialist Party into the 2024 legislative election.

The declared candidates included the former Infrastructure and Housing Minister Pedro Nuno Santos, who represented the leftist faction of the party and wants to build upon the legacy of António Costa, Internal Administration Minister José Luís Carneiro, who represented the moderate faction and a continuation of Costism, and Daniel Adrião, a longtime critic of Costa as Secretary-General, who represented a rupture.

Even with the candidates claiming the contrary, this leadership election was viewed as another ideological dispute to decide what direction the party and the country should take, similar to the leadership elections of 2014 between Costa and António José Seguro, of 2004 between José Sócrates and Manuel Alegre and of 1992 between António Guterres and Jorge Sampaio.

With a turnout rate of around 70%, Pedro Nuno Santos was elected as the new Secretary-General of the Socialist Party with almost 61% of the votes, against the 37% of José Luís Carneiro. Daniel Adrião polled below 1%.

The Socialist Party (PS), led by then Prime Minister António Costa, won an absolute majority in the 2022 legislative election with 41 percent of the votes and 120 seats in the 230 seat Assembly of the Republic.

António Costa's third government was sworn in on 30 March 2022. This government proved to be unstable and experienced several scandals. By mid-2023, the government had seen the resignations of 11 secretaries of state and two ministers. The biggest scandal involved TAP Air Portugal and a compensation payment to a government member, Alexandra Reis. This case was followed by a violent incident, in late April 2023, at the Ministry of Infrastructure, between government staff members and an advisor to Minister João Galamba regarding an alleged stolen laptop. The deployment of the Portuguese Secret Services in this case stirred a clash between Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, the incumbent president of Portugal, and Prime Minister António Costa concerning the future of Galamba and the government itself.

On 7 November 2023, the Public Security Police and the Public Prosecutor's office carried out a series of searches at the official residence of the Prime Minister and other ministries, leading to the arrest of the Prime Minister's chief of staff. Costa was named as a suspect in a corruption case involving the awarding of contracts for the lithium and hydrogen businesses, but denied any wrongdoing. He met President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa in the Presidential Palace and announced his resignation shortly after, stating that he would not run for re-election.

Following Costa's resignation the Socialist Party proposed a new cabinet led either by the President of the Assembly of the Republic, Augusto Santos Silva, the Governor of the Bank of Portugal, Mário Centeno, or by the former minister António Vitorino, that would last until the end of the government's term in 2026. President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa however, after meeting with the Council of State, dissolved the assembly and called an early election for 10 March 2024.

The Prime Minister's resignation was not made official immediately; it was postponed until 8 December 2023, so that the State Budget for 2024 could be approved by parliament. It was the first time a single party majority government did not complete its full term in democratic Portugal.

NameBornExperienceAnnouncement dateRef.
José Luís Carneiro4 October 1971(age 52)BaiãoMinister of Internal Administration (2022–2024)Member of Parliament for Braga (since 2022)Deputy Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (2019–2022)Secretary of State for Portuguese Communities (2015–2019)Mayor of Baião (2005–2015)Member of Parliament for Porto (2005; 2015–2022)10 November 2023
Pedro Nuno Santos13 April 1977(age 46)São João da MadeiraMember of Parliament for Aveiro (since 2005)Minister of Infrastructure and Housing (2019–2023)Secretary of State for Parliament Affairs (2015–2019)Secretary-general of the Socialist Youth (2004–2008)13 November 2023
Daniel Adrião1 September 1967(age 56)Member of the National Commission of the Socialist Party (2016–2025)Political activistCandidate in the PS leadership elections of 2016, 2018 and 202117 November 2023
  • Ana Catarina Mendes – Minister of Parliamentary Affairs (2022–2024)
  • António José Seguro – former Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (2011–2014)
  • Fernando Medina – Minister of Finance (2022–2024); former Mayor of Lisbon (2015–2021) (endorsed José Luís Carneiro)
  • Francisco Assis – former MEP of the Socialist Party (PS) (2004–2009; 2014–2019); former mayor of Amarante (1990–1995) (endorsed Pedro Nuno Santos)
  • Mariana Vieira da Silva – Minister of the Presidency (2019–2024)
  • Marta Temido – former Minister of Health (2018–2022); chair of the Lisbon Socialist Party (2023–2024)
  • Mário Centeno – governor of the Bank of Portugal (since 2020); former President of the Eurogroup (2018–2020); former Minister of Finance (2015–2020)
CandidateOriginal sloganEnglish translationRefs
José Luís Carneiro« Por Todos. Para Todos »"By All. For All"
Pedro Nuno Santos« Portugal Inteiro »"Whole Portugal"
Daniel Adrião« Democracia Plena »"Full Democracy"

José Luís Carneiro and Daniel Adrião proposed a series of debates between the candidates, but Pedro Nuno Santos refused to participate in any debate. Therefore, no debates between the candidates to the leadership were held.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeOthers/UndecidedLead
ICS/ISCTE18–27 Nov 20238032624502
CESOP–UCP15–24 Nov 20231,1022938339
Aximage18–23 Nov 202380252262226
Intercampus14–17 Nov 202360431.728.140.23.6
Aximage10–13 Nov 202350432185014
Aximage8–9 Nov 20235163096121
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeOthers/UndecidedLead
ICS/ISCTE18–27 Nov 2023?3732315
CESOP–UCP15–24 Nov 2023?3934275
Aximage18–23 Nov 2023?61261335
Aximage10–13 Nov 2023?3123478
Candidate15 & 16 December 2023
Pedro Nuno Santos24,21960.83
José Luís Carneiro14,89137.40
Daniel Adrião3820.96
Total39,492
Valid votes39,49299.19
Invalid and blank ballots3220.81
Votes cast / turnout39,81468.65
Registered voters57,993
Source:

The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.

FederationPedro Nuno SantosJosé Luís CarneiroDaniel AdriãoInvalidballotsVotes castRegistered
Algarve71062.5041336.36121.0611,136
Aveiro1,29975.1740423.38100.58151,728
Baixo Alentejo40556.9629140.9360.849711
Braga2,92855.372,28043.12190.36615,288
Bragança56058.8237339.1890.9510952
Castelo Branco54958.1037339.4750.5318945
Coimbra1,87468.8080029.37351.28152,724
Évora27063.0814533.8881.875428
Guarda48760.0531739.0950.622811
Leiria61158.5841039.31131.2591,043
Lisbon: Urban Area3,26566.851,51931.10611.25394,884
Lisbon: Oeste12636.4221261.2751.453346
Portalegre54468.7723029.0881.019791
Porto4,95156.883,62741.67530.61738,704
Santarém75270.2829327.38161.5091,070
Setúbal1,38266.3865631.51271.30172,082
Viana do Castelo54665.0028934.4040.481840
Vila Real49946.8155752.25100.9401,066
Viseu1,38667.6863531.0130.15242,048
Azores32165.9116533.8800.001487
Madeira49340.2872559.2360.4901,224
Europe11754.677735.98198.881214
Outside of Europe14449.3210034.254816.440292
  • Elections in Portugal

  • List of political parties in Portugal

  • PS Official website

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