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2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma
The 2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate for Oklahoma. The election took place concurrently with the regularly scheduled election for Oklahoma's other Senate seat. The candidate filing deadline was between April 13 and 15, 2022.
This special election was held to fill the remaining four years of incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe's term. In February 2022, Inhofe announced that he would resign early at the end of the 117th United States Congress on January 3, 2023, reportedly due to long COVID. He was first elected in a 1994 special election with 55% of the vote to succeed Democratic senator David Boren in the wake of his impending resignation to become president of the University of Oklahoma. Most recently, Inhofe was re-elected to a fifth full term in 2020 with 62.9% of the vote.
Former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn secured the Democratic nomination by default, while the primary election for the Republican nomination took place on June 28, 2022. U.S. Representative Markwayne Mullin won the Republican primary runoff on August 23, defeating former State House Speaker T. W. Shannon. Mullin ultimately won the election.
Mullin, a member of the Cherokee Nation, became the first Native American to serve in the U.S. Senate since fellow Republican Ben Nighthorse Campbell retired from Congress in 2005, and the first Native American representing this state since Robert Owen in 1925. Conversely, Horn won Oklahoma County, making her the first Democrat since 2008 to carry any Oklahoma county in a Senate election.
On February 25, 2022, Jim Inhofe, the state's longest-serving U.S. Senator, announced he would leave office at the end of the 117th Congress, triggering a special election for his U.S. Senate seat in Oklahoma. A crowded field of candidates was expected in the Republican primary following the announcement of Inhofe's retirement.
Luke Holland, Inhofe's former chief of staff, launched his campaign for Inhofe's seat on the same day with Inhofe's endorsement. The next day, Markwayne Mullin, a U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, announced his campaign. By February 28, Oklahoma State Senator Nathan Dahm had announced he was switching his campaign from running for Oklahoma's Class III seat to running for the special election seat. On March 8, former United States National Security Council chief of staff Alex Gray announced his campaign. T. W. Shannon, a former Speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives, officially announced his campaign on March 11. Scott Pruitt, former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, filed to run on April 15.
Former state house speaker T. W. Shannon lost the runoff.
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district
State senator Nathan Dahm finished third in the initial primary.
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T. W. Shannon, former speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (2013–2014) for the 62nd district (2007–2015) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014
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Michael Coibion
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Nathan Dahm, state senator for the 33rd district (2012–2024) and candidate for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district in 2010 and 2018
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Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician and daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison
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Randy Grellner, physician
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Luke Holland, former chief of staff for U.S. Senator Jim Inhofe
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Adam Holley, office manager
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Laura Moreno
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Scott Pruitt, former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2017–2018) and former attorney general of Oklahoma (2011–2017)
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Paul Royse
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John Tompkins, orthopedic surgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
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Alex Gray, former United States National Security Council chief of staff (Endorsed Luke Holland in primary and Markwayne Mullin in runoff)
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Stephanie Bice, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district (running for re-election)
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Jim Bridenstine, former administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (2018–2021) and former U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district (2013–2018)
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G. T. Bynum, mayor of Tulsa
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Gentner Drummond, attorney (running for attorney general)
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Kevin Hern, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district (running for re-election)
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Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor (ran for the Class 3 U.S. Senate seat)
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Frank Lucas, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district (running for re-election)
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Charles McCall, Speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives
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Kyle McCarter, former U.S. Ambassador to Kenya
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John M. O'Connor, attorney general of Oklahoma (running for attorney general)
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Matt Pinnell, lieutenant governor of Oklahoma (running for re-election)
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R. Trent Shores, former U.S. attorney for the Northern District of Oklahoma (2017–2021)
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Kevin Stitt, governor of Oklahoma (running for re-election)
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Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate
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J. C. Watts, former U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district (1995–2003)
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Paul Wesselhoft, legislator for the 9th district of the Citizen Potawatomi Nation (2007–present) and former state representative for the 54th district (2004–2016)
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 9, 2022 | News on 6 | Amanda Taylor | Link | P | P | A | P | P |
| June 22, 2022 | News on 6 | Alex Cameron | Link | P | P | A | P | P |
Initial primary results by county: Mullin 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Shannon 30–40% Grellner 20–30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 156,087 | 43.62% | |
| Republican | 62,746 | 17.53% | |
| Republican | 42,673 | 11.92% | |
| Republican | 40,353 | 11.28% | |
| Republican | 18,052 | 5.04% | |
| Republican | 15,794 | 4.41% | |
| Republican | 6,597 | 1.84% | |
| Republican | 6,114 | 1.71% | |
| Republican | 3,063 | 0.86% | |
| Republican | 2,332 | 0.65% | |
| Republican | 1,873 | 0.52% | |
| Republican | 1,261 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | 900 | 0.25% | |
| 357,845 | 100.0% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2, 2022 | News on 6 | Link | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | MarkwayneMullin | T.W.Shannon | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | August 11–17, 2022 | 322 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 53% | 47% | 0% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | August 11–15, 2022 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Battleground Connect (R) | July 31 – August 1, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 16% |
| SoonerPoll | July 25 – August 1, 2022 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 63% | 35% | 1% |
Primary runoff results by county: Mullin 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Shannon 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 183,118 | 65.08% | |
| Republican | 98,246 | 34.92% | |
| 281,364 | 100.0% |
Former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn was the only Democrat to file to run and was automatically awarded the Democratic nomination.
- Kendra Horn (Democratic), former U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district
- Markwayne Mullin (Republican), U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district
- Robert Murphy (Libertarian), retired University of Oklahoma data technician, U.S. Marine Corps veteran, and carpenter
- Ray Woods (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | February 24, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | February 24, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP | Safe R | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of pollaggregation | Datesadministered | Datesupdated | MarkwayneMullin (R) | KendraHorn (D) | Other | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270towin | October 11 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 53.0% | 39.8% | 7.2% | Mullin +13.2 |
Graphical summary
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | MarkwayneMullin (R) | KendraHorn (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascend Action (R) | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 53% | 41% | 3% | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 4% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | 4% | 5% |
| 59% | 36% | 5% | – | ||||
| Ascend Action (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 8% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 5% | 3% |
| Ascend Action (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 39% | 1% | 10% |
| SoonerPoll | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | – | 51% | 42% | 3% | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| –(L) | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 37% | 5% | 9% |
| SoonerPoll | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 40% | 4% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 58% | 28% | – | 13% |
County Flips: .mw-parser-output .col-begin{border-collapse:collapse;padding:0;color:inherit;width:100%;border:0;margin:0}.mw-parser-output .col-begin-small{font-size:90%}.mw-parser-output .col-break{vertical-align:top;text-align:left}.mw-parser-output .col-break-2{width:50%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-3{width:33.3%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-4{width:25%}.mw-parser-output .col-break-5{width:20%}@media(max-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .col-begin,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody>tr,.mw-parser-output .col-begin>tbody>tr>td{display:block!important;width:100%!important}.mw-parser-output .col-break{padding-left:0!important}} Democratic Hold Gain from Republican Republican Hold
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | .mw-parser-output .tooltip-dotted{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}±% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 710,643 | 61.77% | −1.14% | |
| Democratic | 405,389 | 35.24% | +2.49% | |
| Libertarian | 17,386 | 1.51% | −0.70% | |
| Independent | 17,063 | 1.48% | N/A | |
| 1,150,481 | 100.0% | |||
| 1,150,481 | 50.11% | |||
| 2,295,906 | ||||
- Oklahoma (largest city: Oklahoma City)
Mullin won all five congressional districts.
| District | Mullin | Horn | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56.5% | 40.5% | Kevin Hern | |
| 72.5% | 24.6% | Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) | |
| Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
| 67.3% | 29.6% | Frank Lucas | |
| 60.3% | 36.5% | Tom Cole | |
| 53.8% | 43.4% | Stephanie Bice |
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 Oklahoma elections
- 118th United States Congress
- List of special elections to the United States Senate
Official campaign websites
- Kendra Horn (D) for Senate Archived November 17, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Markwayne Mullin (R) for Senate
- Robert Murphy (L) for Senate
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