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2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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Summary

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FieldValue
election_name2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota
countryNorth Dakota
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 United States Senate election in North Dakota
previous_year2010
next_election2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota
next_year2022
election_dateNovember 8, 2016
image1File:Hoeven Official Portrait 2014.JPG
image_size150x150px
nominee1John Hoeven
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1268,788
percentage178.48%
image23x4.svg
nominee2Eliot Glassheim
party2North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
popular_vote258,116
percentage216.97%
map_image
map_size250px
map_captionHoeven:
Glassheim:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionJohn Hoeven
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJohn Hoeven
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Glassheim:
The 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator John Hoeven won re-election to a second term with 78.5% of the vote, the largest margin in the state's history. Hoeven became the first Republican senator to be re-elected from North Dakota since 1974.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • John Hoeven, incumbent U.S. Senator

Results

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

  • Eliot Glassheim, state representative

Results

Libertarian Party

Candidates

  • Robert Marquette

General election

Debates

DatesLocationHoevenGlassheimMarquetteLink
October 13, 2016Bismarck, North DakotaParticipantParticipantParticipant

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2016
Daily KosNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
Hoeven (R)Eliot
Glassheim (D)Undecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 2016313± 4.6%74%23%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6%73%24%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6%74%24%2%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6%72%24%4%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6%72%25%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 2016279± 4.6%71%27%2%

Results

By county

CountyJohn Hoeven
RepublicanEliot Glassheim
Democratic–NPLAll othersMarginTotal
votes#%#%#%#%AdamsBarnesBensonBillingsBottineauBowmanBurkeBurleighCassCavalierDickeyDivideDunnEddyEmmonsFosterGolden ValleyGrand ForksGrantGriggsHettingerKidderLaMoureLoganMcHenryMcIntoshMcKenzieMcLeanMercerMortonMountrailNelsonOliverPembinaPierceRamseyRansomRenvilleRichlandRoletteSargentSheridanSiouxSlopeStarkSteeleStutsmanTownerTraillWalshWardWellsWilliamsTotals
1,06787.2%1149.3%423.5%95377.9%1,223
4,30280.6%83515.6%2013.7%3,46765.0%5,338
1,34066.3%57428.4%31085.4%76637.9%2,022
54389.8%437.1%193.1%50082.7%605
2,99885.7%38310.9%1183.4%2,61574.8%3,499
1,60589.5%1367.6%532.9%1,46981.9%1,794
97091.9%666.3%191.8%90485.6%1,055
38,83081.2%6,90414.4%2,0974.4%31,92666.8%47,831
57,15171.6%18,26822.9%4,4035.6%38,88348.7%79,822
1,70783.3%29014.2%512.5%1,41769.1%2,048
2,02283.2%33513.8%743.1%1,68772.4%2,431
1,03984.5%14011.4%514.1%89973.1%1,230
1,90985.5%25111.2%733.3%1,65874.3%2,233
96278.5%21917.9%453.7%74360.6%1,226
1,77489.7%1366.9%683.5%1,63882.8%1,978
1,49185.5%1709.8%824.7%1,32175.7%1,743
85789.6%626.5%373.8%79583.1%956
20,86069.9%7,71425.9%1,2664.3%13,14644.0%29,840
1,25189.0%1087.7%473.4%1,14381.3%1,406
1,04681.7%19415.1%413.2%85266.3%1,281
1,16089.5%886.8%483.7%1,07282.7%1,296
1,22487.6%1178.4%574.1%1,10769.2%1,398
1,81883.3%29213.4%723.2%1,52669.9%2,182
98990.6%726.6%312.8%91784.0%1,092
2,43385.2%29610.4%1274.4%2,13774.8%2,856
1,32790.1%1107.5%362.5%1,21782.6%1,473
3,90384.8%49410.7%2084.4%3,40974.1%4,605
4,39182.3%2,10413.4%6894.0%3,65968.9%5,336
4,04186.4%47010.0%1663.5%3,57176.4%4,677
12,96382.3%2,10413.4%6895.3%10,85968.9%15,756
1,98073.0%89221.8%2115.1%2,08851.2%4,083
1,34376.7%32318.5%844.8%1,02058.2%1,750
91589.3%747.2%363.5%84182.1%1,025
2,64483.0%45314.2%872.7%2,19168.8%3,184
1,81686.7%22510.7%552.4%1,59176.0%2,094
4,29179.9%86916.2%2083.9%3,42263.7%5,368
1,79375.7%46319.6%1124.7%3,42256.1%5,368
1,14088.2%1048.0%493.9%1,03680.2%1,293
6,07480.3%1,11714.8%3714.9%4,95765.5%7,562
1,80148.3%1,70145.7%2246.0%1002.6%3,726
1,51374.8%42320.9%884.3%1,09053.9%2,024
70388.8%607.6%293.6%63481.2%792
42635.7%63353.1%13311.2%-207-17.4%1,192
38890.7%255.8%153.4%36384.9%428
10,63587.2%1,1019.0%4643.8%9,53478.2%12,200
79176.6%20419.8%373.6%58756.8%1,032
8,39283.2%1,32913.2%3663.7%7,06370.0%10,087
95280.9%17915.2%463.9%77365.7%1,177
3,06277.4%74718.9%1483.8%2,31558.5%3,958
3,78880.5%74915.9%1713.7%3,03964.6%4,708
22,53882.8%3,30912.2%1,3785.0%19,22970.6%27,225
2,08086.8%23910.0%783.3%1,84176.8%2,397
10,75085.3%1,1809.4%6665.3%9,57075.9%12,596
268,78878.5%58,11617.0%15,5974.6%210,67261.5%342,501

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Sioux (Largest CDP: Cannon Ball)

References

References

  1. Jonathan Easley. (December 31, 2014). "Is Heitkamp eyeing a run for governor?". The Hill.
  2. "North Dakota Secretary of State". ND Secretary of State.
  3. (April 2, 2016). "ND Democrat Glassheim says he's healthy and ready to run for US Senate". [[Forum Communications]].
  4. Williamson, Brett. (November 7, 2015). "Libertarians select slate of candidates for 2016". The Bismarck Tribune.
  5. [https://www.c-span.org/video/?416674-1/north-dakota-senate-debate Full debate - C-SPAN]
  6. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".
  7. "2016 Senate".
  8. "2016 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  9. "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".
  10. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics.
  11. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey]
  12. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey]
  13. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey]
  14. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey]
  15. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey]
  16. [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey]
  17. "North Dakota Official Results General Election - November 8, 2016". North Dakota Secretary of State.
Wikipedia Source

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