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2016 Manitoba general election

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2016 Manitoba general election

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FieldValue
election_name2016 Manitoba general election
countryManitoba
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
party_colourno
party_nameno
previous_election2011 Manitoba general election
previous_year2011
election_date
next_election2019 Manitoba general election
next_year2019
seats_for_election57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
majority_seats29
turnout57.43%
<!-- PC -->image1[[File:Brian Pallister 2014.jpgx160px]]
colour1
leader1Brian Pallister
leader_since1July 30, 2012
party1
leaders_seat1Fort Whyte
last_election119 seats, 43.71%
seats_before119
seats140
seat_change121
popular_vote1232,215
percentage153.10%
swing19.39%
<!-- NDP -->image2[[File:Premier Greg Selinger Presents US Ambassador Jacobson with a Winnipeg Jets Jersey (3x4 crop).jpgx160px]]
colour2
leader2Greg Selinger
leader_since2October 17, 2009
party2
leaders_seat2St. Boniface
last_election237 seats, 46.16%
seats_before235
seats214
seat_change221
popular_vote2112,748
percentage225.78%
swing220.38%
<!-- Liberal -->image4[[File:Canadianbokhari.pngx160px]]
colour4
leader4Rana Bokhari
leader_since4October 26, 2013
party4
leaders_seat4ran in Fort Rouge (lost)
last_election41 seat, 7.52%
seats_before41
seats43
seat_change42
popular_vote462,973
percentage414.40%
swing46.88%
<!-- Green -->image5[[File:James Beddome, Leader of the Green Party of Manitoba in 2016 (3x4 cropped).jpgx160px]]
colour5
leader5James Beddome
leader_since5November 15, 2014
party5
leaders_seat5ran in Fort Garry-Riverview (lost)
last_election50 seats, 2.52%
seats_before50
seats50
seat_change5
popular_vote522,188
percentage55.07%
swing52.62%
map_imageManitoba_Election_Map_2016.svg
map_size300px
map_captionPopular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
titlePremier
before_electionGreg Selinger
before_party
posttitlePremier after election
after_electionBrian Pallister
after_party
elected_memberselected members
outgoing_membersoutgoing members

The 2016 Manitoba general election was held on April 19, 2016, to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba, Canada. The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Greg Selinger, were defeated by the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba led by Brian Pallister, ending nearly 17 years of NDP government. The Progressive Conservatives won 40 seats, one of the largest majority governments in Manitoba history, the other one was in 1915 when Liberals also won 40 seats.

The election also removed one of the two New Democratic governments in the country, the other being formed by the Alberta New Democratic Party.

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election. As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be October 6, 2015. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April. Under the federal fixed-term act, on January 1, 2015, the next federal election was tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately three weeks. Thus the next Manitoba election was scheduled for April 19, 2016. The Lieutenant Governor retains the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early. The legislature was dissolved and writs for the election were dropped on March 16, 2016.

Campaign

The election was relatively unique within Canadian politics, in that opinion polling indicated that most voters were basing their decision on the local candidate in their riding or the party platform, not the performance of the leader. In most Canadian elections, such as the 2016 Saskatchewan election, the behaviour of the party leader was a stronger motivator for constituents when voting; in the context of the Manitoba election, however, polling found that none of the three main party leaders was particularly well-liked or trusted by the electorate. Although Pallister fared best with 33 per cent support in public opinion polling on the question of preferred premier, even he finished only one point ahead of "none of the above" at 32 per cent.

The campaigns of all three parties were based on themes of change, with even Selinger suggesting the incumbent NDP government would be able to respond to constituent concerns and change problematic policies in the leaders' debate.

Incumbents not contesting their seats

PartyRidingIncumbent
NDP
Assiniboiatitle=Demoted Manitoba politician, Jim Rondeau, to leave politicsurl=http://globalnews.ca/news/1936349/demoted-manitoba-politician-jim-rondeau-to-leave-politics/publisher=Global Newsdate=April 13, 2015}}
Dauphintitle=Former Manitoba cabinet minister not runningurl=http://globalnews.ca/news/1996575/former-manitoba-cabinet-minister-not-running/publisher=Global Newsdate=May 13, 2015}}
Dawson TrailRon Lemieux
Fort RougeJennifer Howard
RadissonBidhu Jha
St. JohnsGord Mackintosh
St. VitalNancy Allan
Seine RiverTheresa Oswald
TransconaDaryl Reid
Progressive Conservative
AgassizStu Briese
Riding Mountaintitle=MLA Leanne Rowat will not seek reelectionurl=http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/MLA-Leanne-Rowat-will-not-seek-reelection-274806901.htmlpublisher=Winnipeg Free Pressdate=September 11, 2014}}
River EastBonnie Mitchelson

Opinion polls

]]

Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkNDPPCLiberalGreenOtherMBNDP}}MBPC}}MBLiberal}}MBGreen}}Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkMBNDP}}MBPC}}MBLiberal}}MBGreen}}OtherNDPPCLiberalGreen
Insights Westurl=http://www.insightswest.com/news/two-thirds-of-manitobans-want-a-change-of-government/archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160427030427/http://www.insightswest.com/news/two-thirds-of-manitobans-want-a-change-of-government/url-status=usurpedarchive-date=April 27, 2016title = Two Thirds of Manitobans Want a Change of Government}}28531071
Insightrix Researchurl=https://insightrix.com/voter-intentions-remain-unchanged-thefinal-weekend-provincial-election/title = Voter Intentions Remain Unchanged in the Final Weekend Before the Manitoba Provincial Electiondate = April 18, 2016}}22491991
Forum ResearchProgressive Conservatives to take more than half the vote Forum Research Inc.2152189
Mainstreet Researchwebsite=mainstreetresearch.caurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/manitobas-choice/title=Manitoba's choiceaccess-date=10 April 2023}}2655119
Insights Westurl=http://www.insightswest.com/news/manitoba-progressive-conservatives-hold-sizeable-lead/archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160418182857/http://www.insightswest.com/news/manitoba-progressive-conservatives-hold-sizeable-lead/url-status=usurpedarchive-date=April 18, 2016title=Manitoba Progressive Conservatives Hold Sizeable Leadaccessdate=December 11, 2022}}26491771
Insightrix Researchurl=http://www.cjob.com/2016/04/11/131276/title = 680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader}}2449225
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/manitoba-liberal-slide/title = Liberals Slide, PCS Lead as Election Nears End}}2450179
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.probe-research.com/documents/160407b%20WFP%20CTV%20Manitoba%20Vote%20Numbers.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=April 9, 2016archive-date=April 18, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160418183318/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/160407b%20WFP%20CTV%20Manitoba%20Vote%20Numbers.pdfurl-status=dead }}2846206
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/mainstreet-poll-election-manitoba-1.3513997/title=Poll suggests Tories hold solid support as Manitoba election approacheswork=CBCdate=March 31, 2016}}2345247
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/tenuous-tie-continues-winnipeg/title=Tenuous Tie Continues in Winnipeg }}2444247
Forum Researchurl=http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/994ba259-e269-4b4d-a90e-dcb9253ff637Manitoba%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20%282016%2003%2014%29%20Forum%20Research.pdftitle=Forum research Inc.access-date=March 29, 2016archive-date=April 22, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160422152436/http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/994ba259-e269-4b4d-a90e-dcb9253ff637Manitoba%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20%282016%2003%2014%29%20Forum%20Research.pdfurl-status=dead }}22462381
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/dead-heat-winnipeg/title=Dead Heat in Winnipeg }}2743247
Mainstreet Researchurl=https://www.scribd.com/doc/300152641/Mainstreet-Manitoba-February-22title=Mainstreet - Manitoba February 22 &#124; PDF &#124; Opinion Poll &#124; Politics Of Canadawebsite=Scribd}}2150236
Mainstreet Researchurl=https://www.scribd.com/doc/299370389/Mainstreet-Manitoba-February-16title=Mainstreet - Manitoba February 16 &#124; PDF &#124; Opinion Poll &#124; Political Partieswebsite=Scribd}}2151207
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/pcs-dominating-in-manitoba/title=PCS Dominating in Manitoba }}2052209
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/pcs-lead-liberals-second-in-manitoba/title=PCS Lead, Liberals Second in Manitoba }}2344276
Insightrix Researchdate=30 Dec 2015title=680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leaderurl=http://www.cjob.com/2015/12/30/109435/archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160329214755/http://www.cjob.com:80/2015/12/30/109435/archive-date=29 Mar 2016}}19393651
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.probe-research.com/documents/151221%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20Dec%202015.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=December 28, 2015archive-date=January 23, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160123030927/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/151221%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20Dec%202015.pdfurl-status=dead }}2243296
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/150925%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20Sept%202015.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=September 30, 2015archive-date=October 1, 2015archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151001001249/http://probe-research.com/documents/150925%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20Sept%202015.pdfurl-status=dead }}2545245
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.probe-research.com/documents/150703%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20June%202015.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=August 4, 2015archive-date=September 24, 2015archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924082029/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/150703%20Provincial%20Voting%20Intentions%20June%202015.pdfurl-status=dead }}2946195
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/150402%20MB%20Voting%20Intention%20Graphs.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=April 7, 2015archive-date=March 4, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304053421/http://probe-research.com/documents/150402%20MB%20Voting%20Intention%20Graphs.pdfurl-status=dead }}2944207
Probe Research IncHTML2648197
Mainstreet Researchurl=http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/Majority-of-Manitobans-think-Selinger-should-resign-poll--281535841.htmltitle=Nov 2014: Most Manitobans say Selinger should resign: Pollnewspaper=Winnipeg Free Pressdate=November 4, 2014}}275320
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/Liberals-only-gainers-in-latest-poll-numbers-278637951.htmltitle = Oct 2014: Liberals only gainers in latest poll numbersnewspaper = Winnipeg Free Pressdate = October 9, 2014last1 = Owenfirst1 = Bruce}}3042208
Probe Research IncHTML3245167
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/tories-keep-top-spot-in-survey-254138831.htmltitle=Apr 2014: Tories keep top spot in surveynewspaper=Winnipeg Free Pressdate=April 7, 2014last1=Kuschfirst1=Larry}}2846233
Insightrix Researchurl=http://www.cjob.com/2014/02/07/infographic-exclusive-poll-shows-plunging-support-for-ndp/title = 680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader}}2449189
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.probe-research.com/documents/131219a%20December%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=December 27, 2013archive-date=December 27, 2013archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131227180244/http://www.probe-research.com/documents/131219a%20December%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdfurl-status=dead }}2648206
Probe Research Incurl=http://metronews.ca/news/winnipeg/817216/new-opinion-poll-suggests-manitobas-ndp-government-still-low-in-popular-support/title=New opinion poll suggests Manitoba's NDP government still low in popular support &#124; Metrowebsite=metronews.caaccess-date=25 January 2022archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150610222456/http://metronews.ca/news/winnipeg/817216/new-opinion-poll-suggests-manitobas-ndp-government-still-low-in-popular-support/archive-date=10 June 2015url-status=dead}}2943208
Probe Research Incurl=http://www.probe-research.com/130625%20June%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=January 30, 2014archive-date=February 1, 2014archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140201195204/http://www.probe-research.com/130625%20June%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdfurl-status=dead }}28461710
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/130418a%20Apr%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=April 25, 2013archive-date=September 19, 2014archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140919140307/http://probe-research.com/130418a%20Apr%202013%20Party%20Standings.pdfurl-status=dead }}3542158
Probe Research Inc3943117
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/121025%20WFP%20Press%20release.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=October 27, 2012archive-date=March 3, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303232514/http://probe-research.com/documents/121025%20WFP%20Press%20release.pdfurl-status=dead }}4538116
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/120705%20June%202012%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=August 10, 2012archive-date=March 12, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160312061710/http://probe-research.com/documents/120705%20june%202012%20party%20standings.pdfurl-status=dead }}4440133
Probe Research Incurl=http://probe-research.com/documents/120410%20March%202012%20Party%20Standings.pdftitle=Archived copyaccess-date=September 13, 2012archive-date=March 3, 2016archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303231338/http://probe-research.com/documents/120410%20March%202012%20Party%20Standings.pdfurl-status=dead }}4045105
*2011 election*46.243.77.52.50.1

Results

The Tories went into the election as heavy favourites, having led opinion polls for almost four years. They scored a near-sweep of rural southern and central Manitoba, and also made significant inroads in Winnipeg, taking every seat in the southern and western portions of the capital. In many cases, previously safe NDP seats either fell to the Tories or saw the NDP margins cut by more than half.

|- !rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Party !rowspan="2"|Leader !rowspan="2"|Candidates !colspan="4"|Seats !colspan="3"|Popular vote |- 2011 !Dissol. !2016 !+/- !Votes !% !% change |57 ||19 |||19 || 40|| +21||232,215 ||53.10 ||+9.39 |57 ||37 ||35 || 14|| -21||112,748 ||25.78 ||−20.38 |51 ||1 ||1 || 3|| +2||62,973 ||14.40 ||+6.88 |30 ||– ||– || –|| –||22,188 ||5.07 ||+2.55 |- |16 ||– ||– || –|| –||4,887 ||1.12 ||n/a |- |6 ||– ||– || –|| –||305 ||0.07 ||+0.03 |4 ||– ||– || –|| –||2,032 ||0.46 ||+0.41

2
221
}

Vote and seat summaries

|File:Ternary MB2011.svg |2011 |File:Ternary MB2016.svg |2016

Synopsis of results

Electoral
divisionWinning partyVotes20111st
placeVotesShareMargin
#Margin
%2nd
placePCNDPLibGrnMBIndCommTotalMBPC}};"MBNDP}};"MBLiberal}};"MBGreen}};"MBManitoba First}};"MBIndependent}};"MBCommunist}};"
AgassizPCPC5,22874.72%4,31861.71%Ind5,228450–409–910–6,997
Arthur-VirdenPCPC6,00680.60%5,16069.24%MB6,006600––846––7,452
AssiniboiaNDPPC3,45043.91%1,25415.96%NDP3,4502,1961,631580–––7,857
Brandon EastNDPPC3,66952.17%1,13516.14%NDP3,6692,534830––––7,033
Brandon WestPCPC5,62469.10%3,74045.95%NDP5,6241,884631––––8,139
BurrowsNDPLib2,64146.55%86615.26%NDP1,0141,7752,641216––285,674
CharleswoodPCPC5,29860.67%4,11147.07%Lib5,2981,1681,1871,080–––8,733
ConcordiaNDPNDP2,76144.97%2784.53%PC2,4832,761642–254––6,140
DauphinNDPPC4,79560.22%2,89636.37%NDP4,7951,899505595168––7,962
Dawson TrailNDPPC4,43053.53%2,75233.25%NDP4,4301,6781,652–516––8,276
ElmwoodNDPNDP2,99346.35%1071.66%PC2,8862,993––579––6,458
EmersonPCPC4,94372.71%3,52051.78%Lib4,9434321,423––––6,798
Flin FlonNDPNDP1,10632.85%1524.51%PC9541,106948––359–3,367
Fort Garry-RiverviewNDPNDP3,45037.84%3013.30%PC3,1493,4508071,711–––9,117
Fort RichmondNDPPC2,87944.24%6059.30%NDP2,8792,274814540–––6,507
Fort RougeNDPNDP3,36037.63%7898.84%PC2,5713,3601,792983175–478,928
Fort WhytePCPC6,77564.18%5,05747.91%NDP6,7751,7181,205731127––10,556
GimliNDPPC5,61460.53%3,03532.72%NDP5,6142,579–843239––9,275
InterlakeNDPPC3,68551.32%1,61722.52%Lib3,6851,4282,068––––7,181
KewatinookNDPLib1,56549.73%35811.38%NDP3751,2071,565––––3,147
KildonanNDPPC3,69444.39%6297.56%NDP3,6943,065974456133––8,322
Kirkfield ParkNDPPC5,45753.47%2,38223.34%NDP5,4573,075889784–––10,205
La VérendryePCPC5,26271.23%4,53861.43%Green5,262705696724–––7,387
Lac du BonnetPCPC5,66677.48%4,01954.96%NDP5,6661,647–––––7,313
LakesidePCPC6,07781.61%4,70863.23%NDP6,0771,369–––––7,446
LoganNDPNDP2,02039.46%56311.00%Lib9972,0201,457397185–635,119
MidlandPCPC6,16875.20%5,37165.48%Green6,168714523797–––8,202
MintoNDPNDP2,95451.07%1,93833.51%PC1,0162,95472341051589415,784
Morden-WinklerPCPC6,59885.04%5,93176.44%Green6,598215279667–––7,759
MorrisPCPC6,98075.46%5,55060.00%Lib6,9808401,430––––9,250
Point DouglasNDPNDP2,83957.81%1,88338.34%Lib8112,839956247––584,911
Portage la PrairiePCPC4,63570.55%3,39751.70%Lib4,6356971,238––––6,570
RadissonNDPPC4,63550.53%1,69018.42%NDP4,6352,9451,593––––9,173
Riding MountainPCPC5,31168.80%4,28355.49%Lib5,3116011,028779–––7,719
RielNDPPC5,02451.77%1,97120.31%NDP5,0243,0531,627––––9,704
River EastPCPC6,15465.71%3,71939.71%NDP6,1542,435776––––9,365
River HeightsLibLib5,23051.90%1,74517.32%PC3,4855915,230771–––10,077
RossmereNDPPC5,30353.26%1,91419.22%NDP5,3033,389838–427––9,957
Seine RiverNDPPC5,39653.28%3,00829.70%Lib5,3962,3432,388––––10,127
SelkirkNDPPC4,68655.51%2,32027.48%NDP4,6862,3661,390––––8,442
SouthdaleNDPPC6,66363.82%4,20340.25%NDP6,6632,4601,318––––10,441
Spruce WoodsPCPC5,21073.12%4,47262.76%MB5,210665512–738––7,125
St. BonifaceNDPNDP3,62442.41%1,41316.53%PC2,2113,6241,6631,048–––8,546
St. JamesNDPPC3,53242.09%8099.64%NDP3,5322,7231,150850137––8,392
St. JohnsNDPNDP2,35837.06%4897.69%PC1,8692,3581,465671–––6,363
St. NorbertNDPPC4,67351.02%1,61117.59%NDP4,6733,0621,251––174–9,160
St. PaulPCPC7,09171.60%5,33453.86%NDP7,0911,7571,055––––9,903
St. VitalNDPPC3,22939.63%3984.89%NDP3,2292,8311,296791–––8,147
SteinbachPCPC6,98289.17%6,52183.28%Lib6,982387461––––7,830
Swan RiverNDPPC4,10556.19%1,68323.04%NDP4,1052,422482297–––7,306
The MaplesNDPNDP2,83236.24%1271.63%PC2,7052,8321,695582–––7,814
The PasNDPNDP1,97643.49%2114.64%PC1,7651,976586217–––4,544
ThompsonNDPPC1,71244.16%1854.77%NDP1,7121,527638––––3,877
TransconaNDPPC3,94849.38%1,66720.85%NDP3,9482,2811,465–233–687,995
TuxedoPCPC4,98658.49%3,67443.10%NDP4,9861,3121,251976–––8,525
Tyndall ParkNDPNDP2,13938.95%4838.79%Lib1,3062,1391,656391–––5,492
WolseleyNDPNDP3,03741.27%3925.33%Green9453,0376532,64579––7,359

: = open seat : = winning candidate was in previous Legislature : = incumbent had switched allegiance : = previously incumbent in another riding : = incumbency arose from a byelection gain : = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature : = other incumbents renominated : = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada : = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote shareShare won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2011.SwingPositive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2011; negative points to 2011's second-place party being swung to.%Change (pp)%Change (pp)ToChange (pp)
AgassizPCHold57.14{{bartable11.13-11embackground:#708090}}74.72{{bartable3.67-11embackground:}}PC
Arthur-VirdenPCHold53.29{{bartable1.39-11embackground:#708090}}80.60{{bartable14.62-11embackground:}}PC
AssiniboiaPCGain59.57{{bartable-2.43-11embackground:#708090}}43.91{{bartable6.68-11embackground:}}PC
Brandon EastPCGain54.50{{bartable1.38-11embackground:#708090}}52.17{{bartable13.62-11embackground:}}PC
Brandon WestPCHold55.93{{bartable-3.86-11embackground:#708090}}69.10{{bartable20.42-11embackground:}}PC
BurrowsLibGain52.60{{bartable5.52-11embackground:#708090}}46.55{{bartable34.36-11embackground:}}PC
CharleswoodPCHold65.65{{bartable4.56-11embackground:#708090}}60.67{{bartable4.84-11embackground:}}PC
ConcordiaNDPHold54.09{{bartable4.30-11embackground:#708090}}44.97{{bartable-18.09-11embackground:}}PC
DauphinPCGain61.85{{bartable-0.24-11embackground:#708090}}60.22{{bartable19.11-11embackground:}}PC
Dawson TrailPCGain57.78{{bartable-0.40-11embackground:#708090}}53.53{{bartable10.01-11embackground:}}PC
ElmwoodNDPHold54.98{{bartable2.43-11embackground:#708090}}46.35{{bartable-8.26-11embackground:}}PC
EmersonPCHold53.49{{bartable9.06-11embackground:#708090}}72.71{{bartable0.06-11embackground:}}PC
Flin FlonNDPHold34.44{{bartable-0.90-11embackground:#708090}}32.85{{bartable-24.29-11embackground:}}PC
Fort Garry-RiverviewNDPHold68.53{{bartable3.48-11embackground:#708090}}37.84{{bartable-17.71-11embackground:}}PC
Fort RichmondPCGain67.10{{bartable4.19-11embackground:#708090}}44.24{{bartable5.62-11embackground:}}PC
Fort RougeNDPHold65.15{{bartable3.92-11embackground:#708090}}37.63{{bartable-13.63-11embackground:}}Lib
Fort WhytePCHold60.71{{bartable-1.20-11embackground:#708090}}64.18{{bartable1.74-11embackground:}}PC
GimliPCGain65.96{{bartable-0.03-11embackground:#708090}}60.53{{bartable17.25-11embackground:}}PC
InterlakePCGain61.00{{bartable7.64-11embackground:#708090}}51.32{{bartable7.90-11embackground:}}PC
KewatinookLibGain24.31{{bartable-11.37-11embackground:#708090}}49.73{{bartable48.36-11embackground:}}NDP
KildonanPCGain60.96{{bartable5.99-11embackground:#708090}}44.39{{bartable8.74-11embackground:}}PC
Kirkfield ParkPCGain68.71{{bartable-0.25-11embackground:#708090}}53.47{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}PC
La VerendryePCHold55.32{{bartable1.71-11embackground:#708090}}71.23{{bartable7.16-11embackground:}}PC
Lac du BonnetPCHold54.92{{bartable-3.12-11embackground:#708090}}77.48{{bartable23.18-11embackground:}}PC
LakesidePCHold57.78{{bartable0.66-11embackground:#708090}}81.61{{bartable15.81-11embackground:}}PC
LoganNDPHold51.98{{bartable3.95-11embackground:#708090}}39.46{{bartable-19.29-11embackground:}}Lib
MidlandPCHold59.65{{bartable8.30-11embackground:#708090}}75.20{{bartable5.76-11embackground:}}PC
MintoNDPHold51.38{{bartable4.95-11embackground:#708090}}51.07{{bartable-15.33-11embackground:}}PC
Morden-WinklerPCHold51.93{{bartable11.15-11embackground:#708090}}85.04{{bartable-0.49-11embackground:}}PC
MorrisPCHold56.94{{bartable6.26-11embackground:#708090}}75.46{{bartable1.46-11embackground:}}PC
Point DouglasNDPHold42.53{{bartable-1.51-11embackground:#708090}}57.81{{bartable-15.47-11embackground:}}PC
Portage la PrairiePCHold51.33{{bartable0.34-11embackground:#708090}}70.55{{bartable18.31-11embackground:}}PC
RadissonPCGain62.84{{bartable1.36-11embackground:#708090}}50.53{{bartable11.22-11embackground:}}PC
Riding MountainPCHold55.50{{bartable1.49-11embackground:#708090}}68.80{{bartable10.34-11embackground:}}PC
RielPCGain67.38{{bartable3.24-11embackground:#708090}}51.77{{bartable11.60-11embackground:}}PC
River EastPCHold65.94{{bartable-1.06-11embackground:#708090}}65.71{{bartable14.38-11embackground:}}PC
River HeightsLibHold72.70{{bartable0.19-11embackground:#708090}}51.90{{bartable5.98-11embackground:}}Lib
RossmerePCGain60.51{{bartable0.44-11embackground:#708090}}53.26{{bartable17.26-11embackground:}}PC
Seine RiverPCGain66.80{{bartable-4.01-11embackground:#708090}}53.28{{bartable9.20-11embackground:}}PC
SelkirkPCGain58.72{{bartable3.95-11embackground:#708090}}55.51{{bartable16.13-11embackground:}}PC
SouthdalePCGain62.31{{bartable-7.82-11embackground:#708090}}63.82{{bartable18.83-11embackground:}}PC
Spruce WoodsPCHold51.99{{bartable3.35-11embackground:#708090}}73.12{{bartable6.47-11embackground:}}PC
St. BonifaceNDPHold63.67{{bartable4.17-11embackground:#708090}}42.41{{bartable-26.47-11embackground:}}PC
St. JamesPCGain61.94{{bartable-0.08-11embackground:#708090}}42.09{{bartable3.76-11embackground:}}PC
St. JohnsNDPHold51.43{{bartable3.08-11embackground:#708090}}37.06{{bartable-28.91-11embackground:}}PC
St. NorbertPCGain65.09{{bartable0.85-11embackground:#708090}}51.02{{bartable6.22-11embackground:}}PC
St. PaulPCHold61.12{{bartable2.83-11embackground:#708090}}71.60{{bartable12.02-11embackground:}}PC
St. VitalPCGain63.97{{bartable3.62-11embackground:#708090}}39.63{{bartable5.23-11embackground:}}PC
SteinbachPCHold51.71{{bartable2.05-11embackground:#708090}}89.17{{bartable3.68-11embackground:}}PC
Swan RiverPCGain60.18{{bartable0.52-11embackground:#708090}}56.19{{bartable15.8-11embackground:}}PC
The MaplesNDPHold55.63{{bartable0.72-11embackground:#708090}}36.24{{bartable-15.59-11embackground:}}PC
The PasNDPHold30.70{{bartable0.30-11embackground:#708090}}43.49{{bartable-30.12-11embackground:}}PC
ThompsonPCGain37.36{{bartable0.64-11embackground:#708090}}44.16{{bartable15.86-11embackground:}}PC
TransconaPCGain55.98{{bartable4.74-11embackground:#708090}}49.38{{bartable14.76-11embackground:}}PC
TuxedoPCHold62.39{{bartable0.08-11embackground:#708090}}58.49{{bartable5.75-11embackground:}}PC
Tyndall ParkNDPHold53.40{{bartable1.89-11embackground:#708090}}38.95{{bartable-6.22-11embackground:}}Lib
WolseleyNDPHold63.26{{bartable7.66-11embackground:#708090}}41.27{{bartable-19.46-11embackground:}}Green

Changes in party shares

RidingGreenLiberalNDPPC%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)
Agassiz5.85{{bartable0.74-11embackground:}}–{{bartable-6.64-11embackground:}}6.43{{bartable-10.77-11embackground:}}74.72{{bartable3.67-11embackground:}}
Arthur-Virden–{{bartable-3.81-11embackground:}}8.05{{bartable-22.16-11embackground:}}80.60{{bartable14.62-11embackground:}}
Assiniboia7.38{{bartable5.05-11embackground:}}20.76{{bartable18.54-11embackground:}}27.95{{bartable-30.27-11embackground:}}43.91{{bartable6.68-11embackground:}}
Brandon East–{{bartable-2.52-11embackground:}}11.80{{bartable7.82-11embackground:}}36.03{{bartable-18.92-11embackground:}}52.17{{bartable13.62-11embackground:}}
Brandon West7.75{{bartable3.37-11embackground:}}23.15{{bartable-23.79-11embackground:}}69.10{{bartable20.42-11embackground:}}
Burrows3.81{{bartable1.40-11embackground:}}46.55{{bartable34.36-11embackground:}}31.28{{bartable-28.05-11embackground:}}17.87{{bartable-7.58-11embackground:}}
Charleswood12.37{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}13.59{{bartable4.88-11embackground:}}13.37{{bartable-16.64-11embackground:}}60.67{{bartable4.84-11embackground:}}
Concordia–{{bartable-4.85-11embackground:}}10.46{{bartable6.73-11embackground:}}44.97{{bartable-18.09-11embackground:}}40.44{{bartable12.07-11embackground:}}
Dauphin7.47{{bartable5.03-11embackground:}}6.34{{bartable4.82-11embackground:}}23.85{{bartable-31.07-11embackground:}}60.22{{bartable19.11-11embackground:}}
Dawson Trail19.96{{bartable16.03-11embackground:}}20.28{{bartable-32.27-11embackground:}}53.53{{bartable10.01-11embackground:}}
Elmwood–{{bartable-4.89-11embackground:}}–{{bartable-6.60-11embackground:}}46.35{{bartable-8.26-11embackground:}}44.69{{bartable10.79-11embackground:}}
Emerson20.93{{bartable13.36-11embackground:}}6.35{{bartable-13.42-11embackground:}}72.71{{bartable0.06-11embackground:}}
Flin Flon–{{bartable-3.36-11embackground:}}28.16{{bartable12.74-11embackground:}}32.85{{bartable-24.29-11embackground:}}28.33{{bartable4.24-11embackground:}}
Fort Garry-Riverview18.77{{bartable14.46-11embackground:}}8.85{{bartable1.66-11embackground:}}37.84{{bartable-17.71-11embackground:}}34.54{{bartable1.59-11embackground:}}
Fort Richmond8.30{{bartable5.30-11embackground:}}12.51{{bartable7.61-11embackground:}}34.95{{bartable-18.53-11embackground:}}44.24{{bartable5.62-11embackground:}}
Fort Rouge11.01{{bartable5.57-11embackground:}}20.07{{bartable-3.06-11embackground:}}37.63{{bartable-13.63-11embackground:}}28.80{{bartable8.64-11embackground:}}
Fort Whyte6.92{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}11.42{{bartable3.49-11embackground:}}16.28{{bartable-13.36-11embackground:}}64.18{{bartable1.74-11embackground:}}
Gimli9.09{{bartable5.91-11embackground:}}–{{bartable-2.03-11embackground:}}27.81{{bartable-23.72-11embackground:}}60.53{{bartable17.25-11embackground:}}
Interlake28.80{{bartable25.90-11embackground:}}19.89{{bartable-30.58-11embackground:}}51.32{{bartable7.90-11embackground:}}
Kewatinook–{{bartable-2.63-11embackground:}}49.73{{bartable48.36-11embackground:}}38.35{{bartable-18.79-11embackground:}}11.92{{bartable-26.94-11embackground:}}
Kildonan5.48{{bartable5.48-11embackground:}}11.70{{bartable6.86-11embackground:}}36.83{{bartable-22.68-11embackground:}}44.39{{bartable8.74-11embackground:}}
Kirkfield Park7.68{{bartable4.47-11embackground:}}8.71{{bartable5.23-11embackground:}}30.13{{bartable-16.62-11embackground:}}53.47{{bartable6.92-11embackground:}}
La Verendrye9.80{{bartable5.02-11embackground:}}9.42{{bartable4.41-11embackground:}}9.54{{bartable-16.59-11embackground:}}71.23{{bartable7.16-11embackground:}}
Lac du Bonnet–{{bartable-3.62-11embackground:}}–{{bartable-3.55-11embackground:}}22.52{{bartable-16.01-11embackground:}}77.48{{bartable23.18-11embackground:}}
Lakeside–{{bartable-4.95-11embackground:}}–{{bartable-3.35-11embackground:}}18.39{{bartable-7.51-11embackground:}}81.61{{bartable15.81-11embackground:}}
Logan7.76{{bartable1.16-11embackground:}}28.46{{bartable11.38-11embackground:}}39.46{{bartable-19.29-11embackground:}}19.48{{bartable2.94-11embackground:}}
Midland9.72{{bartable9.72-11embackground:}}6.38{{bartable-0.53-11embackground:}}8.71{{bartable-14.94-11embackground:}}75.20{{bartable5.76-11embackground:}}
Minto7.09{{bartable1.01-11embackground:}}12.50{{bartable1.31-11embackground:}}51.07{{bartable-15.33-11embackground:}}17.57{{bartable2.26-11embackground:}}
Morden-Winkler8.60{{bartable8.60-11embackground:}}3.60{{bartable0.59-11embackground:}}2.77{{bartable-8.69-11embackground:}}85.04{{bartable-0.49-11embackground:}}
Morris15.46{{bartable8.83-11embackground:}}9.08{{bartable-10.29-11embackground:}}75.46{{bartable1.46-11embackground:}}
Point Douglas5.03{{bartable1.64-11embackground:}}19.47{{bartable14.52-11embackground:}}57.81{{bartable-15.47-11embackground:}}16.51{{bartable-1.14-11embackground:}}
Portage la Prairie18.84{{bartable10.40-11embackground:}}10.61{{bartable-28.71-11embackground:}}70.55{{bartable18.31-11embackground:}}
Radisson17.37{{bartable11.82-11embackground:}}32.11{{bartable-23.04-11embackground:}}50.53{{bartable11.22-11embackground:}}
Riding Mountain10.09{{bartable6.60-11embackground:}}13.32{{bartable9.76-11embackground:}}7.79{{bartable-26.69-11embackground:}}68.80{{bartable10.34-11embackground:}}
Riel16.77{{bartable11.84-11embackground:}}31.46{{bartable-23.44-11embackground:}}51.77{{bartable11.60-11embackground:}}
River East–{{bartable-2.68-11embackground:}}8.29{{bartable6.45-11embackground:}}26.00{{bartable-18.14-11embackground:}}65.71{{bartable14.38-11embackground:}}
River Heights7.65{{bartable4.08-11embackground:}}51.90{{bartable5.98-11embackground:}}5.86{{bartable-11.93-11embackground:}}34.58{{bartable1.87-11embackground:}}
Rossmere–{{bartable-3.68-11embackground:}}8.42{{bartable4.68-11embackground:}}34.04{{bartable-22.55-11embackground:}}53.26{{bartable17.26-11embackground:}}
Seine River23.58{{bartable20.73-11embackground:}}23.14{{bartable-29.93-11embackground:}}53.28{{bartable9.20-11embackground:}}
Selkirk16.47{{bartable11.87-11embackground:}}28.03{{bartable-28.00-11embackground:}}55.51{{bartable16.13-11embackground:}}
Southdale12.62{{bartable9.62-11embackground:}}23.56{{bartable-28.45-11embackground:}}63.82{{bartable18.83-11embackground:}}
Spruce Woods7.19{{bartable2.46-11embackground:}}9.33{{bartable-19.28-11embackground:}}73.12{{bartable6.47-11embackground:}}
St. Boniface12.26{{bartable6.09-11embackground:}}19.46{{bartable12.40-11embackground:}}42.41{{bartable-26.47-11embackground:}}25.87{{bartable7.97-11embackground:}}
St. James10.13{{bartable5.90-11embackground:}}13.70{{bartable6.01-11embackground:}}32.45{{bartable-17.31-11embackground:}}42.09{{bartable3.76-11embackground:}}
St. Johns10.55{{bartable4.33-11embackground:}}23.02{{bartable17.50-11embackground:}}37.06{{bartable-28.91-11embackground:}}29.37{{bartable7.08-11embackground:}}
St. Norbert13.66{{bartable3.60-11embackground:}}33.43{{bartable-11.72-11embackground:}}51.02{{bartable6.22-11embackground:}}
St. Paul10.65{{bartable7.69-11embackground:}}17.74{{bartable-19.71-11embackground:}}71.60{{bartable12.02-11embackground:}}
St. Vital9.71{{bartable9.71-11embackground:}}15.91{{bartable10.39-11embackground:}}34.75{{bartable-25.33-11embackground:}}39.63{{bartable5.23-11embackground:}}
Steinbach5.89{{bartable-0.99-11embackground:}}4.94{{bartable-2.69-11embackground:}}89.17{{bartable3.68-11embackground:}}
Swan River4.07{{bartable4.07-11embackground:}}6.60{{bartable3.13-11embackground:}}33.15{{bartable-23.00-11embackground:}}56.19{{bartable15.80-11embackground:}}
The Maples7.45{{bartable3.71-11embackground:}}21.69{{bartable3.12-11embackground:}}36.24{{bartable-15.59-11embackground:}}34.62{{bartable8.76-11embackground:}}
The Pas4.78{{bartable4.78-11embackground:}}12.90{{bartable10.07-11embackground:}}43.49{{bartable-30.12-11embackground:}}38.84{{bartable15.27-11embackground:}}
Thompson16.46{{bartable13.28-11embackground:}}39.39{{bartable-29.14-11embackground:}}44.16{{bartable15.86-11embackground:}}
Transcona18.32{{bartable11.17-11embackground:}}28.53{{bartable-29.70-11embackground:}}49.38{{bartable14.76-11embackground:}}
Tuxedo11.45{{bartable6.10-11embackground:}}14.67{{bartable-1.85-11embackground:}}15.39{{bartable-10.00-11embackground:}}58.49{{bartable5.75-11embackground:}}
Tyndall Park7.12{{bartable3.00-11embackground:}}30.15{{bartable-4.76-11embackground:}}38.95{{bartable-6.22-11embackground:}}23.78{{bartable7.98-11embackground:}}
Wolseley35.94{{bartable16.30-11embackground:}}8.87{{bartable1.45-11embackground:}}41.27{{bartable-19.46-11embackground:}}12.84{{bartable0.64-11embackground:}}

: = did not field a candidate in 2011

Summary results

Party2011Gain from (loss to)2016
align="center"NDPalign="center"PCalign="center"Lib
37(21)(2)
1921
12
Total5723(21)
PartyCandidates1st2nd3rd4th5th
5740116––
571428123–
51311316–
30–45201
16–2157
4–1–3–
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
align="center"PCalign="center"NDPalign="center"Lib
–268
10–3
12–
Total1128
PartiesSeats
Total57

Notes

References

Opinion poll sources

References

  1. [http://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Voting/index.html Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election] {{webarchive. link. (February 22, 2012 . Retrieved June 24, 2012.)
  2. (2016-04-19). "Brian Pallister's PCs win majority government in Manitoba". [[CBC News]].
  3. [http://web2.gov.mb.ca/laws/statutes/ccsm/e030e.php#49 Elections Act], sec. 49.1(2).
  4. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
  5. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(1).
  6. (2016-03-16). "'Choices are clear:' Selinger makes April 19 Manitoba election official". CTV News.
  7. (19 April 2016). "Manitoba election results 2016". Global News.
  8. [http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/special/provincial-election/voters-dont-trust-pallister-poll-375120391.html "Voters don't trust leaders, but Pallister fares better than rivals: poll"]. ''[[Winnipeg Free Press]]'', April 9, 2016.
  9. (19 April 2016). "Manitobans go to the polls in provincial election". CBC News.
  10. (April 13, 2015). "Demoted Manitoba politician, Jim Rondeau, to leave politics". [[Global News]].
  11. (May 13, 2015). "Former Manitoba cabinet minister not running". [[Global News]].
  12. CBC News Manitoba, 24-11-2015
  13. (2015-05-28). "Longtime NDP MLA Nancy Allan announces retirement". Winnipeg Free Press.
  14. (September 11, 2014). "MLA Leanne Rowat will not seek reelection". [[Winnipeg Free Press]].
  15. (October 17, 2014). "River East MLA Bonnie Mitchelson Announces Retirement". [[CJOB]].
  16. Owen, Bruce. (2015-04-29). "Selinger's shuffle making the best of a bad situation". Winnipeg Free Press.
  17. . ["Results of 40th General Election, October 4, 2011"](https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Results/Elections/2011). *[[Elections Manitoba]]*.
  18. . ["Results of 41st General Election, April 19, 2016"](https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Results/Elections/2016). *[[Elections Manitoba]]*.
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