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2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina

none

Field	Value
election_name	2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
country	North Carolina
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina
previous_year	2008
next_election	2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina
next_year	2020
election_date
image_size	150x150px
image1	File:Senator Thom Tillis Official Portrait.jpg
nominee1	Thom Tillis
party1	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1	1,423,259
percentage1	48.82%
image2	Kay Hagan official photo (croppedB).jpg
nominee2	Kay Hagan
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2	1,377,651
percentage2	47.26%
map	{{switcher
map_caption	Tillis:
Hagan:
Tie: No Vote:
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Kay Hagan
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Thom Tillis
after_party	Republican Party (United States)

|325px |County results |325px |Congressional district results |325px |Township results |[[File:2014 NC Senate.svg|325px]] |Precinct results}} Hagan:
Tie: No Vote:

The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election.

Incumbent Democratic senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%. This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia. This is the last time a Senator from North Carolina lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Kay Hagan, incumbent U.S. senator
Ernest T. Reeves, retired U.S. Army captain
Will Stewart, small business owner

Withdrew

Fred Westphal, retired University of Miami professor and political activist

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.

Declared

Ted Alexander, former mayor of Shelby
Alex Bradshaw
Greg Brannon, physician and Tea Party activist
Heather Grant, nurse practitioner
Mark Harris, pastor of First Baptist Church of Charlotte and president of the Baptist State Convention of North Carolina
Edward Kryn, retired physician
James Snyder Jr., former state representative, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2002 and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2004
Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives

Withdrew

Terry Embler, police detective
Bill Flynn, radio host and candidate for North Carolina's 6th congressional district in 2012

Declined

Phil Berger, President pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate
Cherie K. Berry, North Carolina Commissioner of Labor
Peter S. Brunstetter, state senator
James P. Cain, attorney and former United States Ambassador to Denmark
Renee Ellmers, U.S. representative
Dan Forest, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina
Virginia Foxx, U.S. representative
George Holding, U.S. representative
Patrick McHenry, U.S. representative
Sue Myrick, former U.S. representative and former Mayor of Charlotte
Robert Pittenger, U.S. representative
Kieran Shanahan, attorney
Lynn Wheeler, former member of the Charlotte City Council and former mayor pro tempore of Charlotte

Endorsements

Politicians

Terry Embler, police detective and withdrawn candidate for the U.S. Senate
Mike Lee, U.S. senator (R-UT)
Thomas Massie, U.S. representative (R-KY)
Rand Paul, U.S. senator (R-KY)
Ron Paul, former U.S. representative (R-TX)

Political figures

Ann Coulter, author and conservative political commentator
Erick Erickson, conservative pundit and editor-in-chief of RedState
Mark Levin, author and conservative radio host

Organizations

FreedomWorks
Gun Owners of America
National Association for Gun Rights
Peter S. Brunstetter, former state senator
Warren T. Daniel, state senator
Robin Hayes, former U.S. representative and former chairman of the North Carolina Republican Party
Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas
Buck Newton, state senator
Dan Soucek, state senator
Greensboro News & Record

Organizations

American Crossroads
U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Politicians

Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida
Pat McCrory, Governor of North Carolina
Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and 2012 presidential nominee

State legislators

Harry Brown, state senator
David Curtis, state senator
Jim Davis, state senator
Thom Goolsby, state senator
Rick Gunn, state senator
Fletcher L. Hartsell, Jr., state senator
Brent Jackson, state senator
Wesley Meredith, state senator
Bill Rabon, state senator
Ron Rabin, state senator
Bob Rucho, state senator
Jeff Tarte, state senator
Tommy Tucker, state senator
Trudy Wade, state senator
Dean Arp, state representative
Marilyn Avila, state representative
John Bell, state representative
Jamie Boles, state representative
Bill Brawley, state representative
Brian Brown, state representative
Rayne Brown, state representative
Rob Bryan, state representative
Dana Bumgardner, state representative
Justin Burr, state representative
Rick Catlin, state representative
Jeff Collins, state representative
N. Leo Daughtry, state representative
Ted Davis, state representative
Jimmy Dixon, state representative
Josh Dobson, state representative
Nelson Dollar, state representative
John Faircloth, state representative
Jim Fulghum, state representative
Mike Hager, state representative
Jon Hardister, state representative
Mark Hollo, state representative
Craig Horn, state representative
Julia C. Howard, state representative
Pat Hurley, state representative
Frank Iler, state representative
Charlie Jeter, state representative
Linda P. Johnson, state representative
Donny Lambeth, state representative
J. H. Langdon, state representative
Chris Malone, state representative
Susan Martin, state representative
Pat McElraft, state representative
Chuck McGrady, state representative
Allen McNeill, state representative
Tim Moffitt, state representative
Tim Moore, state representative
Tom Murry, state representative
Michele Presnell, state representative
Nathan Ramsey, state representative
Steve Ross, state representative
Jason Saine, state representative
Ruth Samuelson, state representative
Jacqueline Schaffer, state representative
Mitchell S. Setzer, state representative
Phil Shepard, state representative
Paul Stam, state representative
Sarah Stevens, state representative
Mike C. Stone, state representative
John Szoka, state representative
John Torbett, state representative
Rena Turner, state representative
Roger West, state representative
Roger Younts, state representative

Polling

Primary

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Ted
Alexander	Alex
Bradshaw	Greg
Brannon	Heather
Grant	Mark
Harris	Edward
Kryn	Jim
Snyder	Thom
Tillis	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	305	± 5.6%	10%	—	13%	13%	8%	2%	—		20%		34%
American Insights	February 11–15, 2014	168	± 7.6%	—	—	4%	4%	7%	—	—		11%		74%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	392	± 5%	7%	6%	14%	11%	7%	1%	4%	14%		36%
SurveyUSA	March 17–19, 2014	405	± 5%	7%	4%	15%	11%	6%	3%	4%		28%		23%
SurveyUSA	March 19–23, 2014	405	± 5%	1%	2%	13%	5%	9%	0%	5%		27%		38%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	433	± 4.8%	6%	1%	15%	6%	11%	2%	3%		23%		34%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	314	± 5.5%	6%	5%	15%	7%	11%	1%	2%		18%		34%
SurveyUSA	April 16–22, 2014	392	± 5%	1%	1%	20%	2%	15%	2%	2%		39%	19%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–28, 2014	694	± 3.7%	2%	1%	20%	5%	11%	2%	3%		46%	12%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–4, 2014	925	± 3.2%	2%	0%	28%	4%	15%	1%	1%		40%	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Phil
Berger	Greg
Brannon	Jim
Cain	Renee
Ellmers	Bill
Flynn	Virginia
Foxx	Heather
Grant	Mark
Harris	Thom
Tillis	Lynn
Wheeler	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	374	± 5.1%	11%	7%	8%	9%	—		23%	—	4%	9%	3%	27%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	373	± 5.1%	11%	7%	11%	11%	—		16%	—	1%	5%	3%	35%
	22%	—	—	18%	—	—	—	—	21%	—		39%
—	—	—	25%	—	—	—	—		32%	—		43%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	344	± 5.3%	9%	7%	9%	—	—		18%	4%	4%	8%	2%	40%
22%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—		23%	—		56%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	311	± 5.6%		13%	6%	11%	—	—	—	8%	5%	12%	2%	43%
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	498	± 4.4%	—	11%	—	—	—	—	8%	14%		20%	—	47%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	529	± 4.3%	—	11%	—	—	8%	—	11%	12%		13%	—	44%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	575	± 4.1%	—	11%	—	—	7%	—	11%	8%		19%	—	44%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Phil
Berger	Cherie
Berry	Greg
Brannon	Renee
Ellmers	Terry
Embler	Dan
Forest	Virginia
Foxx	George
Holding	Patrick
McHenry	Thom
Tillis	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	518	± 4.3%	7%	18%	5%	10%	1%	—	18%	3%	10%	3%		27%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	530	± 4.3%	8%	12%	4%	10%	1%		18%	13%	—	7%	2%		24%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	468	± 4.5%	11%		18%	6%	12%	1%	—	13%	—	—	7%		32%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	366	± 5.1%	10%	14%	7%	10%	—	—		15%	—	—	6%		38%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Phil
Berger	Renee
Ellmers	Virginia
Foxx	George
Holding	Richard
Hudson	Patrick
McHenry	Mark
Meadows	Sue
Myrick	Robert
Pittenger	Thom
Tillis	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	462	± 4.6%	—	11%	17%	9%	6%	13%	4%	14%	—	2%	25%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	449	± 4.6%	5%	11%	21%	2%	5%	15%	—	—	6%	2%	33%

Runoff

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Greg
Brannon	Thom
Tillis	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 26–28, 2014	694	± 3.7%	32%	50%	18%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–4, 2014	925	± 3.2%	40%	46%	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mark
Harris	Thom
Tillis	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 26–28, 2014	694	± 3.7%	27%	53%	20%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–4, 2014	925	± 3.2%	34%	49%	16%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | ]]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Tim D'Annunzio, businessman, Republican candidate for NC-08 in 2010 and Republican nominee for NC-04 in 2012
Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for this seat in 2002

Results

Other parties

Certified write-in candidates

Barry Gurney, small business owner
John W. Rhodes, former Republican state representative
David Waddell, Constitution Party member and former Indian Trail town councilman

General election

Candidates

Kay Hagan (D), incumbent U.S. senator
Sean Haugh (L), pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002
Thom Tillis (R), Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives

Outside spending

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.

Debates

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Thom
Tillis (R)	Sean
Haugh (L)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%		48%	38%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%		47%	37%	—	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%		46%	38%	—	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%		50%	36%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%		49%	39%	—	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%		48%	41%	—	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%		45%	40%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%		49%	38%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%		47%	39%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%		51%	36%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	October 4–6, 2013	746	± ?%		47%	40%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	701	± 4%		44%	42%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	1,281	± 2.7%		44%	42%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,384	± 2.6%	42%		43%	—	—	15%
Harper Polling	January 20–21, 2014	778	± 3.51%	44%	44%	—	—	12%
Rasmussen Reports	January 22–23, 2014	500	± 4.5%	40%		47%	—	3%	10%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	40%		42%	—	—	17%
American Insights	February 11–15, 2014	611	± 4%		38%	35%	—	—	26%
Hickman Analytics	February 17–20, 2014	400	± 4.9%		45%	41%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%		45%	43%	—	—	13%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	1,489	± 2.6%	45%		46%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%		43%	41%	—	—	16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family	April 8–15, 2014	900	± ?		42%	40%	—	5%	14%
Magellan Strategies	April 14–15, 2014	804	± 3.46%	43%	43%	—	8%	6%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7–8, 2014	750	± 4%	44%		45%	—	5%	7%
Public Policy Polling	May 9–11, 2014	877	± 3.3%		38%	36%	11%	—	15%
41%	41%	—	—	18%
Civitas Institute	May 20–22, 2014	600	± 4%	36%		39%	8%	—	15%
41%		46%	—	—	12%
Magellan Strategies	June 5–8, 2014	700	± 3.7%		47%	46%	—	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	1,076	± 3%		39%	34%	11%	—	16%
	42%	38%	—	—	20%
Civitas Institute	June 18–19 & 22, 2014	600	± 4%		42%	36%	9%	—	12%
	47%	43%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20, 2014	1,062	± 3%		41%	34%	8%	—	16%
	42%	39%	—	—	19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	2,678	± 3.5%	44%		45%	—	2%	7%
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	1,380	± 3%		44%	41%	—	—	15%
Civitas Institute	July 28–29, 2014	600	± 4%		41%	39%	7%	—	12%
43%		45%	—	—	10%
Rasmussen Reports	August 5–6, 2014	750	± 4%	40%		45%	—	6%	9%
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	856	± 3.4%		42%	38%	8%	—	13%
	43%	42%	—	—	14%
Suffolk University	August 16–19, 2014	500	± 4.4%		45.4%	43%	5.2%	—	6.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	2,059	± 3%	42%		43%	5%	0%	10%
Garin-Hart-Yang	September 3–6, 2014	802	± 3.5%		48%	45%	—	—	7%
Elon University	September 5–9, 2014	629 LV	± 3.91%		44.9%	40.8%	—	9.1%	5.2%
983 RV	± 3.13%		42.7%	36.8%	—	10.7%	9.8%
American Insights	September 5–10, 2014	459	± 4.6%		46%	36%	6%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports	September 8–10, 2014	1,000	± 4%		45%	39%	—	6%	9%
Civitas Institute	September 9–10, 2014	490	± 4.5%		46%	43%	5%	—	6%
	47%	46%	—	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	1,266	± 2.8%		44%	40%	5%	—	11%
	46%	42%	—	—	12%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	605	± 4%		41%	36%	6%	—	13%
High Point University	September 13–18, 2014	410	± 5%		42%	40%	6%	—	12%
Global Strategy Group	September 16–18, 2014	600	± 4.9%		45%	41%	5%	—	9%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	860	± 3%		46%	42%	—	—	12%
CNN/ORC	September 22–25, 2014	595 LV	± 4%		46%	43%	7%	—	4%
860	± 3.5%		46%	39%	9%	—	6%
Civitas	September 25, 27–28, 2014	600	± 4%		46%	41%	4%	1%	8%
860	± 3.5%		50%	43%	—	—	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,002	± 3%		46%	45%	2%	1%	6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	September 25 – October 1, 2014	1,000	± 2.09%		45%	41%	—	14%
NBC News/Marist	September 27 – October 1, 2014	665 LV	± 3.8%		44%	40%	7%		9%
1,132 RV	± 2.9%		42%	37%	8%	1%	12%
Morey Group	October 1–6, 2014	956	± 3.2%		40.1%	37.8%	—	2%	20.2%
Suffolk University	October 4–7, 2014	500	± 4.4%		46.8%	45.4%	4.4%	—	3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 6–7, 2014	970	± 3%		48%	46%	—	2%	4%
High Point University	September 30 – October 2 and October 4–9, 2014	584	± 4.1%	39.5%		40.4%	7%	—	13%
SurveyUSA	October 10–12, 2014	554	± 4.2%		44%	41%	7%	—	8%
45%		46%	—	—	9%
Civitas Institute	October 15–18, 2014	600	± 4%	41%		42%	6%	—	11%
44%	44%	—	—	12%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	1,022	± 3%	43%		48%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	October 16–18, 2014	780	± 3.5%		46%	43%	5%	—	7%
	47%	44%	—	—	8%
SurveyUSA	October 16–20, 2014	568	± 4.2%		46%	43%	6%	—	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,910	± 4%		44%	41%	2%	0%	13%
NBC News/Marist	October 19–23, 2014	756 LV	± 3.6%	43%	43%	7%		6%
1,070 RV	± 3%		42%	40%	8%	1%	9%
SurveyUSA	October 21–25, 2014	802	± 4%	44%	44%	5%	3%	5%
Elon University	October 21–25, 2014	687 LV	± 3.74%		44.7%	40.7%	—	6.3%	6.6%
996 RV	± 3.11%		44.8%	37.5%	—	7.7%	8.5%
Monmouth University	October 23–26, 2014	432	± 4.7%		48%	46%	1%	—	4%
Vox Populi	October 26–27, 2014	615	± 3.95%	43%		48%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	October 28–29, 2014	657	± ?		47%	46%	4%	—	3%
Rasmussen Reports	October 28–29, 2014	982	± 3%		47%	46%	—	3%	3%
CNN/ORC	October 27–30, 2014	559 LV	± 4%		48%	46%	4%	—	2%
896 RV	± 3.5%		47%	41%	8%	—	4%
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	909	± 3%		43%	42%	4%	1%	9%
Harper Polling	October 28–30, 2014	511	± 4.34%	44%		46%	6%	—	4%
45%		48%	—	—	7%
Civitas Institute	October 29–30, 2014	600	± 4%	41%	41%	6%	—	10%
	45%	44%	—	—	11%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	1,006	± 3%	46%		47%	—	—	8%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2014	1,727	± 3%		44%	41%	—	3%	12%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2014	738	± ?		46%	45%	4%	—	5%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,333	± 2.7%		46%	44%	5%	—	6%
	48%	46%	—	—	6%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Ted
Alexander (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	38%	45%	17%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%	43%	45%	12%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	1,489	± 2.6%	44%	46%	10%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	42%	43%	15%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Phil
Berger (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	47%	38%	15%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	38%	13%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	51%	37%	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%	48%	39%	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%	46%	42%	12%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	44%	40%	17%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	39%	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%	47%	39%	14%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	53%	36%	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Cherie K.
Berry (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%		46%	38%	16%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%		50%	38%	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%		46%	41%	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%	45%	45%	9%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Alex
Bradshaw (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%	43%	43%	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	41%		42%	17%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Greg
Brannon (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%		48%	35%	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%		51%	36%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%		49%	36%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%		49%	40%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%		44%	40%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%		49%	39%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%		47%	38%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%		52%	36%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	October 4–6, 2013	746	± ?%		46%	40%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	701	± 4%	43%		44%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	1,281	± 2.7%	43%		45%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,384	± 2.6%	41%		43%	—	16%
Rasmussen Reports	January 22–23, 2014	500	± 4.5%	39%		43%	4%	14%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	40%		43%	—	17%
American Insights	February 11–15, 2014	611	± 4%		38%	36%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%	43%	43%	—	14%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	1,489	± 2.6%	45%		47%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	40%		42%	—	18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family	April 8–15, 2014	900	± ?		41%	39%	4%	17%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	James P.
Cain (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%	48%	41%	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	46%	38%	16%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	36%	15%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%	46%	39%	14%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	50%	37%	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Renee
Ellmers (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%	45%	39%	19%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	46%	40%	14%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	47%	38%	15%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	49%	36%	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%	48%	40%	12%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%	48%	39%	12%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	46%	39%	15%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	36%	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Terry
Embler (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	48%	33%	20%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	52%	33%	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%	47%	37%	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Bill
Flynn (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	1,281	± 2.7%	43%	45%	12%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,384	± 2.6%	42%	44%	15%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Dan
Forest (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	50%	40%	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Virginia
Foxx (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%	49%	39%	12%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	47%	40%	13%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	48%	38%	15%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	49%	37%	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	601	± 4%	48%	39%	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%	49%	42%	10%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	46%	39%	15%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	37%	13%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%	48%	39%	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Heather
Grant (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%		47%	37%	16%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%		48%	36%	15%
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	701	± 4%		43%	40%	17%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	1,281	± 2.7%	43%	43%	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,384	± 2.6%	41%		42%	17%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	39%		41%	20%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%		43%	42%	15%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	1,489	± 2.6%	44%		46%	10%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	39%		43%	19%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Mark
Harris (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–20, 2013	500	± 4.4%		46%	40%	13%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%		46%	37%	17%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%		49%	35%	15%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%		46%	37%	16%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%		50%	36%	14%
Public Policy Polling	October 4–6, 2013	746	± ?%		46%	38%	16%
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	701	± 4%		43%	41%	16%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	1,281	± 2.7%	43%	43%	14%
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	1,384	± 2.6%	41%		43%	16%
Harper Polling	January 20–21, 2014	778	± 3.51%		44%	40%	15%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	40%		42%	18%
American Insights	February 11–15, 2014	611	± 4%		39%	35%	26%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%	43%	43%	14%
SurveyUSA	March 27–31, 2014	1,489	± 2.6%	43%		47%	10%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	40%		44%	17%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	George
Holding (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%	48%	39%	13%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	45%	37%	18%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	46%	36%	19%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Edward
Kryn (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	40%	40%	20%
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%		43%	41%	16%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	40%		41%	19%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Patrick
McHenry (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%	48%	40%	12%
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	45%	39%	16%
Public Policy Polling	February 7–10, 2013	600	± 4%	45%	40%	15%
Public Policy Polling	March 7–10, 2013	611	± 4%	49%	39%	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Sue
Myrick (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 6–9, 2012	578	± 4.1%	45%	44%	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Robert
Pittenger (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 10–13, 2013	608	± 4%	46%	38%	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Jim
Snyder (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	884	± 3.3%	42%		43%	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	41%	41%	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kay
Hagan (D)	Lynn
Wheeler (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 12–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	45%	36%	19%
Public Policy Polling	July 12–14, 2013	600	± 4%	49%	34%	17%
Public Policy Polling	August 8–11, 2013	600	± 4%	47%	36%	17%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	48%	35%	17%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Caswell (largest city: Yanceyville)
Duplin (largest city: Wallace)
Franklin (largest city: Wake Forest)
Haywood (largest city: Waynesville)
Jones (largest city: Maysville)
Madison (largest city: Mars Hill)
Montgomery (largest city: Troy)
Chowan (largest municipality: Edenton)
Columbus (largest municipality: Whiteville)
Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
New Hanover (largest municipality: Wilmington)
Watauga (largest municipality: Boone)
Alamance (largest municipality: Burlington)
Brunswick (largest municipality: Leland)
Greene (largest municipality: Snow Hill)
Lee (largest municipality: Sanford)
Person (largest municipality: Roxboro)
Rockingham (largest municipality: Eden)
Yancey (largest municipality: Burnsville)
Pender (largest municipality: Hampstead)
Sampson (largest municipality: Clinton)
Swain (largest municipality: Cherokee)
Washington (largest municipality: Plymouth)

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"NC State Board of Elections website".

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