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2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana

none

Field	Value
election_name	2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana
country	Louisiana
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2008 United States Senate election in Louisiana
previous_year	2008
election_date	November 4, 2014 (first round)
December 6, 2014 (runoff)
next_election	2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
next_year	2020
1blank	First round
2blank	Runoff
image_size	x150px
image1	Bill Cassidy, official 111th Congress photo portrait (cropped 2).JPG
nominee1	Bill Cassidy
party1	Republican Party (United States)
1data1	**603,048
40.92%**
2data1	**712,379
55.93%**
image2	Mary Landrieu Senate portrait (cropped 2).jpg
nominee2	Mary Landrieu
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
1data2	**619,402
42.03%**
2data2	561,210
44.07%
image3	Col Robert Maness (cropped).jpg
nominee3	Rob Maness
party3	Republican Party (United States)
1data3	202,556
13.74%
2data3	Eliminated
map
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Mary Landrieu
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Bill Cassidy
after_party	Republican Party (United States)
turnout	51.5% (first round)

December 6, 2014 (runoff) 40.92%** 55.93%** 42.03%** 44.07% 13.74% 43.6% (runoff)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana.

Incumbent senator Mary Landrieu ran for re-election to a fourth term in office against U.S. Representative Bill Cassidy and several other candidates. This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election.

Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party and voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system). Since no candidate received a majority of the vote in the primary election, a runoff election was held on December 6, 2014, between the top two candidates, Landrieu and Cassidy.

In the December 6 runoff, Cassidy defeated Landrieu by 11.86 percentage points (55.93% to 44.07%), settling the fate of the final Senate seat of the 2014 midterms, becoming the first Republican to hold this seat since 1883, and giving Senate Republicans 54 seats in the 114th Congress. Since Cassidy took office in 2015, Republicans have held both of Louisiana's Senate seats, which they had not done since William Pitt Kellogg resigned in 1872. Cassidy's victory in the 2014 runoff also rendered Cedric Richmond as Louisiana's only congressional Democrat.

Background

Elections in Louisiana, with the exception of U.S. presidential elections, follow a variation of the open primary system called the jungle primary. Candidates of any and all parties are listed on one ballot; voters need not limit themselves to the candidates of one party. Unless one candidate takes more than 50% of the vote in the first round, a run-off election is then held between the top two candidates, who may in fact be members of the same party. This scenario occurred in the 7th District congressional race in 1996, when Democrats Chris John and Hunter Lundy made the runoff for the open seat, and in 1999, when Republicans Suzanne Haik Terrell and Woody Jenkins made the runoff for Commissioner of Elections.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Wayne Ables
Mary Landrieu, incumbent U.S. Senator
Vallian Senegal
William Waymire, retired Marine

Withdrew

Raymond Brown, minister, civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1998 and 2002 (endorsed Landrieu)

Declined

Edwin Edwards, former Governor of Louisiana and former U.S. Representative (running for LA-06)

Republican Party

Declared

Bill Cassidy, U.S. Representative
Thomas Clements, small business owner
Rob Maness, retired U.S. Air Force Colonel

Withdrew

Paul Hollis, state representative

Declined

Scott Angelle, member of the Louisiana Public Service Commission and former Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana
Charles Boustany, U.S. Representative
Jay Dardenne, Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana
John Fleming, U.S. Representative
Elbert Guillory, state senator
Bobby Jindal, Governor of Louisiana
Jeff Landry, former U.S. Representative
Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002
Phil Robertson, reality television star
Buddy Roemer, former Governor of Louisiana, former U.S. Representative and candidate for President of the United States in 2012
Chas Roemer, president of the Louisiana Board of Elementary and Secondary Education and son of former governor Buddy Roemer
Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative
Alan Seabaugh, state representative

Libertarian Party

Declared

Brannon McMorris, electrical engineer{{cite web | url=http://theadvocate.com/home/8180690-125/senate-race-now-deemed-a

Jungle primary

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 14, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 29, 2014

Endorsements

Individuals

Boysie Bollinger, former Chair of the Republican Party of Louisiana
Joe Canizaro, real estate developer and Republican fundraiser
Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and then-potential 2016 presidential candidate Organizations
United States Chamber of Commerce

Politicians

Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives and candidate for President in 2012
Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas and candidate for President in 2008
Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and candidate for President in 2012
Kelly Ayotte, U.S. Senator (R-NH)
John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)
David Vitter, U.S. Senator (R-LA) (2005-2017)
Joseph Cao, former U.S. Representative (R-LA)
Henson Moore, former U.S. Representative (R-LA)
Danny Martiny, State Senate Majority Leader
Elbert Guillory, state senator
Jack Donahue, state senator
Robert Kostelka, state senator
Mike Walsworth, state senator
Conrad Appel, state senator
State House Speaker Chuck Kleckley
State House Majority Leader Lance Harris
State House Assistant Majority Leader Alan Seabaugh
Erich Ponti, state representative
Franklin Foil, state representative
J. Rogers Pope, state representative
Chris Broadwater, state representative
Hunter Greene, state representative
Scott Simon, state representative
Joseph Lopinto, state representative
Joe Harrison, state representative
Clay Schexnayder, state representative
Frank A. Hoffmann, state representative
Valarie Hodges, state representative
Sherman Q. Mack, state representative
Cameron Henry, state representative
John Schroder, state representative
Paul Hollis, state representative
Mert Smiley, Ascension Parish Assessor and former state representative

Individuals

Skip Bertman, former baseball coach and athletic director at LSU
Ben Carson, former neurosurgeon at Johns Hopkins University; then-potential candidate for the Republican nomination for President of the United States in the 2016 election

Politicians

Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and Republican nominee for Vice President in 2008
Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council and former state representative

Individuals

Phyllis Schlafly, activist
Mark Levin, activist

Organizations

Americans for Legal Immigration PAC
Combat Veterans for Congress
Conservative Campaign Committee
Conservative Majority Fund
Eagle Forum
Family Research Council Action Political Action Committee
Madison Project PAC
Gun Owners of America
Marine Vet for Freedom
National Association for Gun Rights
National Defense PAC
National Pro-Life Alliance{{cite news
Patriot PAC
Republican Liberty Caucus
Restore America's Voices PAC
Senate Conservatives Fund
Special Operations Speaks
Tea Party Express
Tea Party Leadership Fund
Western Representation PAC

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Bill
Cassidy (R)	Paul
Hollis (R)	Rob
Maness (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	721	± 3.6%	48%		24%	—	5%	—	23%
Southern Media & Opinion Research	November 6–12, 2013	600	± 4%	41%		34%	—	10%	—	16%
Harper Polling	January 19–20, 2014	992	± 3.11%	42%		29%	4%	4%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%	43%		25%	5%	3%	—		25%
Magellan Strategies	March 24–26, 2014	600	± 4.1%	39%		26%	3%	3%	—		28%
Harper Polling	April 7–9, 2014	538	± 4.22%	40%		35%	3%	4%	—	18%
New York Times/Kaiser Family	April 8–15, 2014	946	± ?	42%		18%	5%	4%	3%		27%
Southern Media & Opinion Research	April 28–30, 2014	600	± 4%	36%		35%	4%	7%	—	18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	May 5–8, 2014	600	± 4%	48%		29%	8%	7%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	June 26–29, 2014	664	± 3.8%	44%		27%	5%	8%	—	17%
Senate Conservatives Fund	August 16–18, 2014	600	± 4%	43%		32%	—	16%	1%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	870	± 5%	36%		38%	—	10%	3%	11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	August 28 – September 2, 2014	600	± 4%	47%		32%	—	13%	—	8%
Gravis Marketing	September 5–9, 2014	426	± 5%	45%		30%	—	14%	—	12%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	617	± 4%	31%		35%	—	7%	—	16%
CNN/ORC	September 22–25, 2014	610 LV	± 4%	43%		40%	—	9%	4%	4%
866 RV	± 3.5%		45%	35%	—	8%	6%	5%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,141	± 2.9%	42%		34%	—	12%	2%	10%
Hickman Analytics	September 26 – October 2, 2014	502	± 4.4%	39%		30%	—	6%	5%	19%
0ptimus	September 30 – October 2, 2014	5,711	± 1.3%	38%		36%	—	18%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 13–14, 2014	965	± 3%	41%		38%	—	14%	2%	5%
Vox Populi Polling	October 13–14, 2014	546	± 4.2%	38%		38%	—	10%	6%	8%
Multi-Quest International	October 14–19, 2014	605	± 4%	36%		32%	—	6%	3%	23%
Rasmussen Reports	October 22–23, 2014	988	± 3%	43%		36%	—	13%	3%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,316	± 5%	37%		32%	—	5%	5%	19%
University of New Orleans	October 11–24, 2014	590	± 4.1%	38%		33%	—	7%	1%	21%
Suffolk University	October 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	36%		35%	—	11%	3%	15%
NBC News/Marist	October 26–30, 2014	630 LV	± 3.9%	44%		36%	—	15%	1%	4%
961 RV	± 3.2%		42%	35%	—	15%	1%	6%
Public Policy Polling	October 30 – November 1, 2014	1,003	± 3.1%	43%		35%	—	15%	1%	6%

Jungle primary

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Bill
Cassidy (R)	Paul
Hollis (R)	Rob
Maness (R)	Phil
Robertson (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%	40%	21%	5%	4%	13%	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Bill
Cassidy (R)	John
Fleming (R)	Elbert
Guillory (R)	Chas
Roemer (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	721	± 3.6%	47%		20%	—	6%	2%		25%
Public Opinion Strategies^	March 3–5, 2013	500	± 4.38%	47%	14%		15%	—	6%	18%

^ Internal poll for John Fleming Campaign

Republican primary

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Bill
Cassidy (R)	Chas
Roemer (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 6–7, 2013	541	± 4.21%	38%	14%	48%

Results

Runoff

Debates

Complete video of debate, December 1, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 21, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		December 4, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 6, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 19, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Bill
Cassidy (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%		50%	40%	—	10%
Harper Polling	April 6–7, 2013	541	± 4.21%		46%	41%	—	13%
On Message Inc.	August 13–15, 2013	600	± 4.0%		45%	43%	—	12%
Harper Polling	August 14–15, 2013	596	± 4.01%	45%		47%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	721	± 3.6%		50%	40%	—	10%
Harper Polling	September 22–23, 2013	561	± 4.14%		46%	44%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	October 14–15, 2013	632	± 3.9%		48%	41%	—	11%
Harper Polling	January 19–20, 2014	992	± 3.11%	44%		45%	—	11%
Rasmussen Reports	January 28–29, 2014	500	± 4.5%	40%		44%	5%	11%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%		45%	44%	—	10%
Hickman Analytics	February 17–24, 2014	404	± 4.9%	42%		46%	—	11%
Voter/Consumer Research	February 20–25, 2014	600	± 4%		45%	44%	1%	9%
Harper Polling	April 7–9, 2014	538	± 4.22%	43%		47%	—	10%
Magellan Strategies	April 14–15, 2014	775	± 3.52%	42%		44%	10%	4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	May 5–8, 2014	600	± 4%	49%	49%	—	2%
Magellan Strategies	June 5–8, 2014	719	± 3.65%	44%		50%	5%	1%
Public Policy Polling	June 26–29, 2014	664	± 3.8%	47%	47%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	July 8–9, 2014	750	± 4%		46%	43%	5%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	1,456	± 3.5%	46%		47%	6%	2%
Senate Conservatives Fund	August 16–18, 2014	600	± 4%		49%	43%	—	8%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	August 28 – September 2, 2014	600	± 4%		48%	46%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	September 2–3, 2014	800	± 3.5%	41%		44%	9%	6%
Gravis Marketing	September 5–9, 2014	426	± 5%	45%	45%	—	10%
Fox News	September 14–16, 2014	617	± 4%	38%		51%	—	9%
CNN/ORC	September 22–25, 2014	610 LV	± 4%	47%		50%	—	3%
866 RV	± 3.5%		51%	45%	—	4%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,141	± 2.9%	45%		48%	—	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,187	± 2%	41%		47%	0%	13%
Hickman Analytics	September 26 – October 2, 2014	502	± 4.4%	45%		46%	—	9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 13–14, 2014	965	± 3%	43%		52%	—	5%
Vox Populi Polling	October 13–14, 2014	546	± 4.2%	44%		48%	—	8%
Multi-Quest International	October 14–19, 2014	605	± 4%	40%		43%	—	17%
Rasmussen Reports	October 22–23, 2014	988	± 3%	46%		50%	—	4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,316	± 5%	42%		46%	0%	12%
University of New Orleans	October 11–24, 2014	590	± 4.1%	43%		51%	—	6%
Suffolk University	October 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	41%		48%	—	11%
NBC News/Marist	October 26–30, 2014	630 LV	± 3.9%	45%		50%	1%	5%
961 RV	± 3.2%	44%		49%	2%	6%
Public Policy Polling	October 30 – November 1, 2014	1,003	± 3.1%	47%		48%	—	5%
Gravis Marketing	November 12–14, 2014	643	± 4%	38%		59%	—	3%
Vox Populi Polling	November 16–17, 2014	761	± 3.55%	42%		53%	—	5%
Rasmussen Reports	November 16–19, 2014	1,000	± 3%	41%		56%	—	3%
JJMC Analytics	November 20, 2014	754	± 3.6%	40%		55%	—	5%
GEB International	November 20, 2014	850	± 3.36%	34%		60%	—	6%
WPA Opinion Research	November 24–25, 2014	500	± 4.4%	33%		57%	—	10%
Rasmussen Reports	December 2–4, 2014	1,000	± 3%	40%		56%	—	4%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Charles
Boustany (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	48%	42%	10%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Jay
Dardenne (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	46%	43%	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	John
Fleming (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	50%	38%	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Elbert
Guillory (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	August 14–15, 2013	596	± 4.01%	44%	44%	11%
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	721	± 3.6%		50%	36%	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Paul
Hollis (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%	48%	42%	10%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Bobby
Jindal (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	49%	41%	10%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Jeff
Landry (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	48%	39%	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Rob
Maness (R)	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling	August 14–15, 2013	596	± 4.01%		47%	41%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	721	± 3.6%		50%	37%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%		47%	42%	—	10%
Senate Conservatives Fund	August 16–18, 2014	600	± 4%		48%	44%	—	8%
CNN/ORC	September 22–25, 2014	610 LV	± 4%	48%	48%	—	4%
866 RV	± 3.5%		53%	42%	—	5%
NBC News/Marist	October 26–30, 2014	630 LV	± 3.9%	46%		50%	1%	4%
961 RV	± 3.2%	46%		47%	1%	5%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Phil
Robertson (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	635	± 3.9%	42%	46%	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Chas
Roemer (R)	Undecided
Harper Polling	April 6–7, 2013	541	± 4.21%	46%	33%	21%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Mary
Landrieu (D)	Steve
Scalise (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	603	± 4%	48%	38%	14%

Results

| | | | | | | | | | |

Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Allen (Largest city: Oakdale)
Avoyelles (Largest city: Marksville)
Calcasieu (Largest city: Lake Charles)
Cameron (Largest community: Grand Lake)
Claiborne (Largest town: Homer)
Concordia (Largest city: Vidalia)
DeSoto (Largest city: Mansfield)
East Feliciana (Largest town: Jackson)
Evangeline (Largest city: Ville Platte)
Iberia (Largest city: New Iberia)
Jefferson Davis (Largest city: Jennings)
Lafourche (Largest city: Thibodaux)
Morehouse (Largest city: Bastrop)
Natchitoches (Largest city: Natchitoches)
Plaquemines (Largest community: Belle Chasse)
Red River (Largest town: Coushatta)
Saint Martin (Largest city: Breaux Bridge)
Saint Mary (Largest city: Morgan City)
Washington (Largest city: Bogalusa)
Webster (Largest city: Minden)
West Feliciana (Largest town: St. Francisville)
West Baton Rouge (Largest city: Port Allen)

By congressional district

Cassidy won five of the six congressional districts in Louisiana.

District	Cassidy	Representative
65.64%	34.36%	Steve Scalise
19.64%	80.36%	Cedric Richmond
66.19%	33.81%	Charles Boustany
58.38%	41.62%	John Fleming
60.96%	39.04%	Ralph Abraham
64.03%	35.97%	Garret Graves

References

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Thomas Clements 2%, Brannon McMorris 1%, Other 0%
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Wayne Ables (D) 0%, Thomas Clements (R) 1%, Brannon McMorris (L) 3%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0%, William Waymire (D) 1%
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Brannon McMorris (L) 2%, Other 4%
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Wayne Ables (D) 0%, Raymond Brown (D) 1%, Thomas Clements (R) 1%, Brannon McMorris (L) 3%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0%, William Waymire (D) 0%, Other 0%
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Wayne Ables (D) 1%, Thomas Clements (R) 1%, Brannon McMorris (L) 1%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0%, William Waymire (D) 0%
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