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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia |
| country | West Virginia |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia |
| previous_year | 2012 |
| next_election | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia |
| next_year | 2016 |
| seats_for_election | All 3 West Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 2 |
| seats1 | 3 |
| seat_change1 | 1 |
| popular_vote1 | 242,823 |
| percentage1 | 55.26% |
| swing1 | 4.65% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 0 |
| seat_change2 | 1 |
| popular_vote2 | 182,484 |
| percentage2 | 41.53% |
| swing2 | 1.44% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Republican Democratic The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the three U.S. representatives from West Virginia, one from each of the state's three congressional districts.
Republicans won control of every congressional district in West Virginia for the first time since the 61st Congress ended in 1911.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia, 2014 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 242,823 | 55.26% | 3 | +1 | |||||
| Democratic | 182,484 | 41.53% | 0 | -1 | |||||
| Libertarian | 7,682 | 1.75% | 0 | – | |||||
| Independents | 6,399 | 1.46% | 0 | – | |||||
| Totals | 439,388 | 100.00% | 3 | — |
By district
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 92,491 | 63.90% | 52,109 | 36.00% | 137 | 0.10% | 144,737 | 100% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 2 | 72,619 | 47.08% | 67,687 | 43.88% | 13,944 | 9.04% | 154,250 | 100% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 3 | 77,713 | 55.35% | 62,688 | 44.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 140,401 | 100% | Republican gain | ||||||||
| Total | 242,823 | 55.26% | 182,484 | 41.53% | 14,081 | 3.21% | 439,388 | 100% |
District 1
Incumbent Republican David McKinley, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election.
Republican primary
While McKinley had expressed some interest in running for Senate, he later declared he would not run. He filed for re-election to his House seat on January 15, 2014.
Candidates
Nominee
- David McKinley, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glen Gainer III, State Auditor
Results
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | David | |||||
| McKinley (R) | Glen | |||||
| Gainer (D) | Undecided | |||||
| YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 276 | ± 10% | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
District 2
Mooney:
Casey:
Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito, who had represented the district since 2001, won her seventh term in Congress with almost 70 percent of the vote in 2012. She announced that she would not run for re-election, so that she could run for the United States Senate seat held by retiring Democrat Jay Rockefeller.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alex Mooney, former chairman of the Maryland Republican Party and former Maryland State Senator
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Fluharty, veteran, investigator and Eastern Panhandle resident
- Steve Harrison, state senator
- Charlotte Lane, former state delegate, former United States International Trade Commissioner and nominee for West Virginia Attorney General in 1996
- Jim Moss, Putnam County resident
- Ken Reed, pharmacy owner from Berkeley Springs
- Ron Walters Jr., son of State Delegate Ron Walters
Declined
- Tim Armstead, Minority Leader of the West Virginia House of Delegates
- Shelley Moore Capito, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)
- Larry Faircloth, former state delegate (running for the state senate)
- Betty Ireland, former Secretary of State of West Virginia
- Patrick Lane, state delegate
- Bill Maloney, businessman and nominee for governor in 2011 and 2012
- Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia
- Eric Nelson, state delegate
- Suzette Raines, state delegate (running for the state senate)
- Charles Trump, attorney
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nick Casey, former chairman of the West Virginia Democratic Party
Eliminated in primary
- Meshea Poore, state delegate
Declined
- Matt Dunn, attorney
- Steven Gower, Weston resident
- Doug Skaff, state delegate
- Herb Snyder, state senator
- Rod Snyder, president of the Young Democrats of America
- Erik Wells, state senator
Results
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Alex | ||||||
| Mooney (R) | Nick | ||||||
| Casey (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 348 | ± 7% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies* | August 10–12, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 28% | 13% | 19% |
| Tarrance Group (R-Mooney) | May 20–22, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 31% | 15% | 11% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
District 3
Jenkins:
Rahall:
Incumbent Democrat Nick Rahall, who had represented the district since 1977, ran for re-election after having considered running for the Senate.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nick Rahall, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Ojeda, veteran
Results
Republican primary
For the Republicans, State Senator Evan Jenkins, who switched parties in July 2013, ran for the seat against Rahall. On switching parties, Jenkins stated that: "West Virginia is under attack from Barack Obama and a Democratic Party that our parents and grandparents would not recognize." In 2012, West Virginia's 3rd district went for Mitt Romney 66% to 32%.
State Senator Bill Cole, who had considered a run for the seat himself, was Jenkins' campaign chairman.
Candidates
Nominee
- Evan Jenkins, state senator
Declined
Results
Jenkins ran unopposed in the Republican primary.
General election
Campaign
Rahall was considered one of the most "endangered" House Democrats by the House Democratic campaign committee.
Jenkins supported the repeal of Obamacare and pledged to replace it.
As of September 18, 2014, the race was rated a "toss up" by both University of Virginia political professor Larry Sabato, of Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Stu Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Political Report. As of October 2, managing editor Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball said the race was still a toss-up, calling it "Super close, super expensive and super nasty."
A Fox News op-ed opined in October that Jenkins "offers Republicans the most credible nominee the party has had since the mid-'90s. In a race that will see as much advertising by third-party organizations as any House race in the country, the winner will be the candidate who voters believe will do the most to take on President Obama's War on Coal and the EPA."
Through October 6, 2014, 16,340 ads had appeared on broadcast television, the second-highest number of ads of any district in the U.S. By mid-October 2014, it was anticipated that $12.8 million could be spent on ads in the race by Election Day. Rahall outspent Jenkins in the election by a two-to-one ratio.
Time listed a Rahall ad in its article: "Here Are 5 of The Most Dishonest Political Ads of 2014," and The Washington Post ran an article regarding the same Rahall ad entitled: "A sleazy attack puts words in the other candidate's mouth".
Endorsements
Rahall was endorsed by the NRA Political Victory Fund.
The National Right to Life Committee, West Virginia Chamber of Commerce, and West Virginians for Life, all of which had previously supported Rahall, supported Jenkins in 2014, and the West Virginia Coal Association endorsed Jenkins in September 2014.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Nick | |||||
| Rahall (D) | Evan | |||||
| Jenkins (R) | Undecided | |||||
| YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 253 | ± 10% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Harper Polling | October 7–8, 2014 | 657 | ± 3.82% | 44% | 50% | 6% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research | May 26–28, 2014 | 403 | ± 5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D-Rahall) | May 12–14, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| DFM Research | April 22–27, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research | April 15–16, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Tarrance Group (R-Jenkins) | March 3–5, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 54% | 6% |
| Harper Polling (R-Jenkins) | October 7–8, 2013 | 649 | ± 3.84% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Jenkins won the election, defeating incumbent Rahall in November 2014 with 55.3% of the vote to Rahall's 44.7%.
References
References
- "Election Statistics, 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".
- Haas, Karen L.. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
- (February 22, 2013). "McKinley won't take on Capito in 2014 Senate race". [[The Charleston Gazette]].
- "WV SOS – Elections – Candidate – Online Data Services". wv.gov.
- "Statewide Results Primary Election – May 13, 2014 ★★★ Official Results ★★★". West Virginia Secretary of State.
- "WAJR.com - Gainer Getting in Congressional Race".
- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/10/30/house-races-battleground-tracker/ YouGov]
- "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". Cook Political Report.
- "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- (April 10, 2014). "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections.
- (November 4, 2014). "West Virginia Statewide Results General Election – November 4, 2014 Official Results". West Virginia Secretary of State.
- Catanese, David. (November 25, 2012). "Shelley Moore Capito makes Senate bid vs. Jay Rockefeller official". [[Politico]].
- Molenda, Rachel. (June 5, 2013). "Ex-chairman of Md. GOP poised to run for Congress". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- Messina, Lawrence. (July 14, 2013). "2014 field growing in W.Va. federal races".
- Boucher, Dave. (August 12, 2013). "Charlotte Lane to run for Capito's Congressional seat". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Molenda, Rachel. (July 29, 2013). "Moss announces bid for Congress". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- McVey, John. (September 14, 2013). "Candidates agree: No military action in Syria". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- Boucher, Dave. (August 13, 2013). "Capitol Notebook: Young Republicans to run for Congress". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- McVey, John. (January 18, 2014). "Larry V. Faircloth to run for the state Senate". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- Harold, Zack. (May 7, 2013). "Bill Maloney doesn't want to run for U.S. Congress". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Rivard, Ry. (January 3, 2013). "Democrat speculates attorney general-elect eyeing US House seat". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Livingston, Abby. (June 3, 2013). "Top Republican Won't Run for Capito Seat #WV02". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Boucher, Dave. (August 27, 2013). "Suzette Raines won't run for Congress". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Boucher, Dave. (April 3, 2013). "Former Kanawha lawmaker eyes congressional run". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Boucher, Dave. (April 30, 2013). "Nick Casey launches 2014 US House run". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Harold, Zack. (July 9, 2013). "Kanawha delegate Poore says she'll run for Congress". [[Charleston Daily Mail]].
- Molenda, Rachel. (April 7, 2013). "Dunn to run for 2nd District seat". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- (April 25, 2013). "Skaff considers run for U.S. House". [[The Charleston Gazette]].
- Molenda, Rachel. (November 27, 2012). "Snyder mulling run at Capito's seat". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- McVey, John. (June 4, 2013). "Rod Snyder won't run for Congress". [[The Journal (West Virginia newspaper).
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/237429604/WV-02-POS-for-Alex-Mooney-NRCC-Aug-2014 Public Opinion Strategies*]
- Davy Jones (L) with 5%, Ed Rabel (I) with 8%
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/226283492/Poll-Mooney-Leads-Casey-by-10-Points-in-WV-02 Tarrance Group (R-Mooney)]
- Davy Jones (L) with 4%, Ed Rabel (I) with 11%
- Sink, Justin. (January 18, 2014). "Manchin's State of Union guest to challenge Rep. Nick Rahall". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Livingston, Abby. (July 31, 2013). "Democrat Switches Parties to Challenge Rahall #WV03". [[Roll Call]].
- Blake, Aaron. (March 11, 2014). "GOP poll: Longtime Rep. Rahall (D-W.Va.) down double digits". [[The Washington Post]].
- Porterfield, Mannix. (July 31, 2013). "Jenkins departing Democratic party". [[The Register-Herald]].
- Livingston, Abby. (March 13, 2013). "West Virginia: Snuffer Mulls Another Campaign for Rahall Seat". [[Roll Call]].
- "Beard, McLaughlin win primary election".
- (May 13, 2014). "Mooney wins crowded GOP House primary; Capito, Tennant to face off in W.Va. Senate race". [[Fox News]].
- Balluck, Kyle. (April 6, 2014). "Report: Rep. Nick Rahall considered retirement". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- (March 27, 2014). "GOP repeal stance runs into complications, in deep red West Virginia". [[The Washington Post]].
- "NRA endorses Nick Rahall for Congress". Charleston Daily Mail.
- (October 2, 2014). "Looking into the Crystal Ball". West Virginia Metro News.
- "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- "November midterms: Who will be the 245th House Republican?". [[Fox News]].
- Giroux, Greg. (October 7, 2014). "Democrats on Defense: Barrow, Rahall, Barber See Most TV Ads". [[Bloomberg News.
- "Coal, Obama Weighing Heavy in Rahall's W.Va. Bid". [[ABC News (United States).
- "Republicans Projected To Seize Control Of The Senate: 2014 Midterm Elections Results Live". [[ABC News (United States).
- "2014 Midterms: Here Are Five of The Most Dishonest 2014 Political Ads".
- "A sleazy attack puts words in the other candidate's mouth". [[The Washington Post]].
- "NRA endorses U.S. Rep Nick Rahall". The Herald-Dispatch.
- "NRA-PVF - Grades - West Virginia". NRA-PVF.
- "West Virginia Coal Association Endorses Evan Jenkins". Huntington News.
- "Charleston Daily Mail – Jenkins receives national pro-life endorsement".
- [http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/jenkins-14-10-wv-3-memo.pdf Harper Polling] {{Webarchive. link. (October 23, 2014)
- [https://www.thehousemajoritypac.com/news/press-releases/new-poll-shows-rahall-expanding-lead Garin-Hart-Yang Research]
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/225261495/WV-03-Internal-Poll-May-2014 Anzalone Liszt Grove Research (D-Rahall)]
- [http://www.dfmresearch.com/uploads/WV-3_Rail_Survey_--_April_2014__773-YWV.pdf DFM Research] {{Webarchive. link. (May 12, 2014)
- [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/204026-dem-poll-rahall-up-double-digits/ Garin-Hart-Yang Research]
- [https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/03/11/gop-poll-longtime-rep-rahall-d-w-va-down-double-digits/ Tarrance Group (R-Jenkins)]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140502010747/http://evanjenkins.com/poll-jenkins-rahall-a-4-point-race/ Harper Polling (R-Jenkins)]
- (November 5, 2014). "Dem Rahall loses House seat after 38 years". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Pear, Robert. (2014-12-17). "West Virginia Election Results 2014 - NYTimes.com".
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