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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| country | New Hampshire |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| previous_year | 2012 |
| next_election | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire |
| next_year | 2016 |
| seats_for_election | All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | November 4, 2014 |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 2 |
| seats1 | 1 |
| seat_change1 | 1 |
| popular_vote1 | 247,469 |
| percentage1 | 51.46% |
| swing1 | 1.50% |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 0 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | 1 |
| popular_vote2 | 232,379 |
| percentage2 | 48.38% |
| swing2 | 2.72% |
| map_caption | |
| map_image |
Democratic Republican Tie
The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor of New Hampshire and U.S. senator. This election marked the first time since 1992 that New Hampshire elected members of two parties into the House of Representatives, and is to date the only time since 2010 that Republicans won any congressional election in New Hampshire.
Overview
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 116,769 | 48.11% | 125,508 | 51.71% | 459 | 0.19% | 242,736 | 100.0% | Republican gain | ||||||||
| District 2 | 130,700 | 55.54% | 106,871 | 42.18% | 613 | 2.27% | 238,184 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| Total | 247,469 | 51.46% | 232,379 | 48.32% | 1,072 | 0.22% | 480,920 | 100.0% |
District 1
The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously from 2007 to 2011, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Frank Guinta, and the district has a PVI of R+1.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carol Shea-Porter, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire
- Everett Jabour, trucking executive
- Brendan Kelly, former Seabrook Selectman, former chairman of the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire, and Libertarian nominee for this seat in 2012
Declined
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative
- John Cebrowski, state representative
- Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)
- Pam Tucker, state representative
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jeff | ||||||
| Chidester | Frank | ||||||
| Guinta | Dan | ||||||
| Innis | Undecided | ||||||
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 409 | ± 4.8% | 7% | 54% | 6% | 33% |
Results
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Carol | ||||||
| Shea-Porter (D) | Frank | ||||||
| Guinta (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/UNH | October 29–November 2, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 6% |
| New England College | October 31–November 1, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.51% | 43% | 52% | 2% | 3% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 22–26, 2014 | 261 | ± 6.1% | 44% | 40% | 1% | 15% |
| New England College | October 24, 2014 | 556 | ± 4.16% | 43% | 49% | 4% | 4% |
| New England College | October 16, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | 46% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| UMass Amherst | October 10–15, 2014 | 160 LV | – | 54% | 37% | 3% | 6% |
| 197 RV | – | 50% | 38% | 3% | 9% | ||
| New England College | October 9, 2014 | 536 | ± 4.23% | 44% | 46% | 6% | 5% |
| WMUR/UNH | September 29–October 5, 2014 | 258 | ± 6.1% | 42% | 39% | 3% | 16% |
| New England College | October 3, 2014 | 626 | ± 3.92% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 4% |
| New England College | September 26, 2014 | 629 | ± 3.91% | 41% | 51% | 4% | 4% |
| New England College | September 19–20, 2014 | 715 | ± 3.66% | 45% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| New England College | September 10–11, 2014 | 607 | ± 3.98% | 46% | 42% | 6% | 6% |
| Normington Petts | September 3–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 43% | — | 12% |
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 297 | ± 5.7% | 41% | 45% | — | 14% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 263 | ± 6% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 10% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 259 | ± 6.1% | 44% | 35% | 0% | 21% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 304 | ± 5.6% | 39% | 45% | 2% | 15% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 7–16, 2013 | 330 | ± 5.4% | 48% | 32% | 1% | 18% |
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 882 | ± 3.29% | 43% | 42% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Carol | ||||||
| Shea-Porter (D) | Dan | ||||||
| Innis (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 297 | ± 5.7% | 44% | 37% | 1% | 18% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 263 | ± 6% | 45% | 38% | 1% | 16% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 259 | ± 6.1% | 45% | 29% | 0% | 25% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 304 | ± 5.6% | 43% | 33% | 2% | 23% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 7–16, 2013 | 330 | ± 5.4% | 43% | 32% | 0% | 25% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
District 2
The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who has represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Charles Bass, and the district has a PVI of D+3.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Marilinda Garcia, state representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Lambert, former state senator
- Jim Lawrence, former state representative
- Mike Little, former Concord City Councilor
Declined
- Andrew Hemingway, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013 (running for Governor)
- William L. O'Brien, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives
- Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Marilinda | |||||||
| Garcia | Gary | |||||||
| Lambert | Jim | |||||||
| Lawrence | Mike | |||||||
| Little | Undecided | |||||||
| Magellan Strategies | July 29–30, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.44% | 36% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 45% |
Results
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Ann McLane | ||||||
| Kuster (D) | Marilinda | ||||||
| Garcia (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/UNH | October 29–November 2, 2014 | 352 | ± 5.2% | 49% | 38% | 1% | 12% |
| New England College | October 31–November 1, 2014 | 748 | ± 3.58% | 53% | 42% | 3% | 2% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 22–26, 2014 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 53% | 30% | 1% | 16% |
| New England College | October 24, 2014 | 576 | ± 4.08% | 49% | 42% | 4% | 5% |
| New England College | October 16, 2014 | 460 | ± 4.57% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 4% |
| UMass Amherst | October 10–15, 2014 | 162 LV | ± ? | 43% | 48% | 4% | 5% |
| 198 RV | ± ? | 45% | 43% | 4% | 8% | ||
| New England College | October 9, 2014 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 43% | 7% | 5% |
| WMUR/UNH | September 29–October 5, 2014 | 275 | ± 5.9% | 37% | 41% | 3% | 19% |
| New England College | October 3, 2014 | 660 | ± 3.81% | 50% | 38% | 6% | 5% |
| New England College | September 26, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | 5% | 6% |
| New England College | September 19–20, 2014 | 779 | ± 3.51% | 49% | 38% | 7% | 6% |
| New England College | September 10–11, 2014 | 627 | ± 3.98% | 50% | 37% | 6% | 8% |
| Normington Petts | September 3–7, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 38% | — | 18% |
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 312 | ± 5.5% | 39% | 36% | 1% | 25% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 246 | ± 6.2% | 49% | 35% | 1% | 15% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 248 | ± 6.2% | 34% | 33% | 1% | 32% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 36% | 30% | 4% | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Ann McLane | ||||||
| Kuster (D) | Gary | ||||||
| Lambert (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 312 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 35% | 1% | 24% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 246 | ± 6.2% | 45% | 36% | 1% | 18% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 1–9, 2014 | 248 | ± 6.2% | 38% | 31% | 1% | 30% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 38% | 34% | 2% | 26% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 7–16, 2013 | 333 | ± 5.4% | 33% | 34% | 2% | 31% |
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 569 | ± 4.13% | 46% | 26% | — | 28% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Ann McLane | ||||||
| Kuster (D) | Jim | ||||||
| Lawrence (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| WMUR/UNH | August 7–17, 2014 | 312 | ± 5.5% | 40% | 32% | 2% | 26% |
| WMUR/UNH | June 19–July 1, 2014 | 246 | ± 6.2% | 47% | 35% | 1% | 17% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
References
References
- Haas, Karen L.. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
- (June 2014). "Shea-Porter Files for Reelection in New Hampshire's First District". sheaporter.com.
- "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
- Cahn, Emily. (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". [[Roll Call]].
- Leubsdorf, Ben. (October 9, 2013). "Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.'s 1st District". [[Concord Monitor]].
- Tuohy, Dan. (June 13, 2014). "Candidates Set: Meet the GOP Avengers". Salem Patch.
- Holroyd, Corinne. (April 22, 2014). "Former Seabrook Selectman Kelly swaps parties in congressional bid". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
- Leubsdorf, Ben. (September 3, 2013). "N.H. Senate leader Jeb Bradley won't run for U.S. Senate in 2014". Concord Monitor.
- Pindell, James. (December 3, 2013). "Bedford GOP state Rep considering Congressional run". [[WMUR-TV]].
- Pindell, James. (February 27, 2014). "Cebrowski still 'chewing' over a run for higher office". [[WMUR-TV]].
- DiStaso, John. (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader.
- Cresta, Joey. (September 5, 2013). "Tucker waiting on Guinta for Congress bid". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
- (March 3, 2014). "Guinta Begins March of Endorsements". Guinta for Congress.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20131016184629/http://www.nec.edu/pdf-files-1/nec-polling/NEC%20Poll%20-%20Oct%202013%20Shutdown.pdf New England College]
- "2014 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141104193440/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_fall_congrace110214.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141103183335/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results-10.31-11.1-2014.pdf New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141029025725/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_fall_cd1race102714.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141027231233/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results-10-24-14.pdf New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141023010456/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results-October-16-2014.pdf New England College]
- [http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20141020_Toplines.pdf UMass Amherst]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20150129063326/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results-October-9-2014.pdf New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141011015554/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_fall_congrace100714.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/NH_NEC_100814.pdf New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20150330112152/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results-September-26-2014-revised-10-1-14.pdf New England College]
- [http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/NECPollResultsSept19202014.pdf New England College]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141023033622/http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll_Sept-15-2014.pdf New England College]
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/240089246/NH-01-NH-02-Normington-Petts-for-Americans-for-Responsible-Solutions-Sept-2014 Normington Petts]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140826120212/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_summer_congrace081914.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140714220238/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_summer_congraces070814.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140421051330/https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_spring_congapp041714.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140212222553/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_winter_cong020314.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- [http://www.wmur.com/blob/view/-/22512028/data/1/-/vgrylwz/-/Oct--2013-Congressional-Favorability.pdf WMUR/UNH]
- "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". Cook Political Report.
- "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- (April 10, 2014). "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections.
- (2014-11-04). "Representative in Congress - 2014 General Election". NH Secretary of State.
- "Congresswoman Annie Kuster Files Papers, Declares Candidacy for Reelection". kusterforcongress.com.
- "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
- Trygstad, Kyle. (November 25, 2013). "GOP Rising Star Launches House Bid in New Hampshire". Roll Call.
- (September 4, 2013). "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Daily Journal.
- (June 9, 2014). "First-ever NH African-American to run for Congress emerges". WMUR.
- (December 12, 2013). "Hemingway being talked about for governor's race". WMUR.com.
- Ronayne, Kathleen. (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". [[Concord Monitor]].
- Kevin Brennan. (February 8, 2013). "Former N.H. House Speaker Mulling Kuster Challenge". National Journal.
- Ben Leubsdorf. (August 24, 2013). "Ex-N.H. House speaker Bill O'Brien takes new job, ends nascent campaign for U.S. Congress". [[Concord Monitor]].
- [http://www.wmur.com/political-scoop/garcia-up-23-points-in-her-internal-poll/27321068 Magellan Strategies]
- "2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141029025454/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_fall_cd2race102814.pdf WMUR/UNH]
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