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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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FieldValue
election_name2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
countryNew Hampshire
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
previous_year2012
next_election2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
next_year2016
seats_for_electionAll 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
party1Democratic Party (United States)
last_election12
seats11
seat_change11
popular_vote1247,469
percentage151.46%
swing11.50%
party2Republican Party (United States)
last_election20
seats21
seat_change21
popular_vote2232,379
percentage248.38%
swing22.72%
map_caption
map_image

Democratic Republican Tie

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor of New Hampshire and U.S. senator. This election marked the first time since 1992 that New Hampshire elected members of two parties into the House of Representatives, and is to date the only time since 2010 that Republicans won any congressional election in New Hampshire.

Overview

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResultDemocratic Party (United States)}}"Republican Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1116,76948.11%125,50851.71%4590.19%242,736100.0%Republican gain
District 2130,70055.54%106,87142.18%6132.27%238,184100.0%Democratic hold
Total247,46951.46%232,37948.32%1,0720.22%480,920100.0%

District 1

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously from 2007 to 2011, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Frank Guinta, and the district has a PVI of R+1.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Carol Shea-Porter, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire
  • Everett Jabour, trucking executive
  • Brendan Kelly, former Seabrook Selectman, former chairman of the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire, and Libertarian nominee for this seat in 2012
Declined
  • Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative
  • John Cebrowski, state representative
  • Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)
  • Pam Tucker, state representative

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJeff
ChidesterFrank
GuintaDan
InnisUndecided
New England CollegeOctober 7–9, 2013409± 4.8%7%54%6%33%

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorCarol
Shea-Porter (D)Frank
Guinta (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHOctober 29–November 2, 2014405± 4.9%47%47%1%6%
New England CollegeOctober 31–November 1, 2014778± 3.51%43%52%2%3%
WMUR/UNHOctober 22–26, 2014261± 6.1%44%40%1%15%
New England CollegeOctober 24, 2014556± 4.16%43%49%4%4%
New England CollegeOctober 16, 2014461± 4.56%46%47%3%3%
UMass AmherstOctober 10–15, 2014160 LV54%37%3%6%
197 RV50%38%3%9%
New England CollegeOctober 9, 2014536± 4.23%44%46%6%5%
WMUR/UNHSeptember 29–October 5, 2014258± 6.1%42%39%3%16%
New England CollegeOctober 3, 2014626± 3.92%47%44%5%4%
New England CollegeSeptember 26, 2014629± 3.91%41%51%4%4%
New England CollegeSeptember 19–20, 2014715± 3.66%45%45%6%4%
New England CollegeSeptember 10–11, 2014607± 3.98%46%42%6%6%
Normington PettsSeptember 3–7, 2014800± 3.5%45%43%12%
WMUR/UNHAugust 7–17, 2014297± 5.7%41%45%14%
WMUR/UNHJune 19–July 1, 2014263± 6%43%46%2%10%
WMUR/UNHApril 1–9, 2014259± 6.1%44%35%0%21%
WMUR/UNHJanuary 21–26, 2014304± 5.6%39%45%2%15%
WMUR/UNHOctober 7–16, 2013330± 5.4%48%32%1%18%
New England CollegeOctober 7–9, 2013882± 3.29%43%42%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorCarol
Shea-Porter (D)Dan
Innis (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHAugust 7–17, 2014297± 5.7%44%37%1%18%
WMUR/UNHJune 19–July 1, 2014263± 6%45%38%1%16%
WMUR/UNHApril 1–9, 2014259± 6.1%45%29%0%25%
WMUR/UNHJanuary 21–26, 2014304± 5.6%43%33%2%23%
WMUR/UNHOctober 7–16, 2013330± 5.4%43%32%0%25%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
RothenbergOctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 30, 2014
RCPNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos ElectionsNovember 4, 2014

Results

District 2

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who has represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Charles Bass, and the district has a PVI of D+3.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Marilinda Garcia, state representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Gary Lambert, former state senator
  • Jim Lawrence, former state representative
  • Mike Little, former Concord City Councilor
Declined
  • Andrew Hemingway, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013 (running for Governor)
  • William L. O'Brien, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives
  • Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMarilinda
GarciaGary
LambertJim
LawrenceMike
LittleUndecided
Magellan StrategiesJuly 29–30, 2014800± 3.44%36%13%2%4%45%

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAnn McLane
Kuster (D)Marilinda
Garcia (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHOctober 29–November 2, 2014352± 5.2%49%38%1%12%
New England CollegeOctober 31–November 1, 2014748± 3.58%53%42%3%2%
WMUR/UNHOctober 22–26, 2014295± 5.7%53%30%1%16%
New England CollegeOctober 24, 2014576± 4.08%49%42%4%5%
New England CollegeOctober 16, 2014460± 4.57%49%43%4%4%
UMass AmherstOctober 10–15, 2014162 LV± ?43%48%4%5%
198 RV± ?45%43%4%8%
New England CollegeOctober 9, 2014545± 4.2%46%43%7%5%
WMUR/UNHSeptember 29–October 5, 2014275± 5.9%37%41%3%19%
New England CollegeOctober 3, 2014660± 3.81%50%38%6%5%
New England CollegeSeptember 26, 2014702± 3.7%50%39%5%6%
New England CollegeSeptember 19–20, 2014779± 3.51%49%38%7%6%
New England CollegeSeptember 10–11, 2014627± 3.98%50%37%6%8%
Normington PettsSeptember 3–7, 2014800± 3.5%44%38%18%
WMUR/UNHAugust 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%39%36%1%25%
WMUR/UNHJune 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%49%35%1%15%
WMUR/UNHApril 1–9, 2014248± 6.2%34%33%1%32%
WMUR/UNHJanuary 21–26, 2014280± 5.9%36%30%4%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAnn McLane
Kuster (D)Gary
Lambert (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHAugust 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%41%35%1%24%
WMUR/UNHJune 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%45%36%1%18%
WMUR/UNHApril 1–9, 2014248± 6.2%38%31%1%30%
WMUR/UNHJanuary 21–26, 2014280± 5.9%38%34%2%26%
WMUR/UNHOctober 7–16, 2013333± 5.4%33%34%2%31%
New England CollegeOctober 7–9, 2013569± 4.13%46%26%28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAnn McLane
Kuster (D)Jim
Lawrence (R)OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNHAugust 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%40%32%2%26%
WMUR/UNHJune 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%47%35%1%17%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
RothenbergOctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 30, 2014
RCPNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos ElectionsNovember 4, 2014

Results

References

References

  1. Haas, Karen L.. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  2. (June 2014). "Shea-Porter Files for Reelection in New Hampshire's First District". sheaporter.com.
  3. "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
  4. Cahn, Emily. (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". [[Roll Call]].
  5. Leubsdorf, Ben. (October 9, 2013). "Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.'s 1st District". [[Concord Monitor]].
  6. Tuohy, Dan. (June 13, 2014). "Candidates Set: Meet the GOP Avengers". Salem Patch.
  7. Holroyd, Corinne. (April 22, 2014). "Former Seabrook Selectman Kelly swaps parties in congressional bid". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
  8. Leubsdorf, Ben. (September 3, 2013). "N.H. Senate leader Jeb Bradley won't run for U.S. Senate in 2014". Concord Monitor.
  9. Pindell, James. (December 3, 2013). "Bedford GOP state Rep considering Congressional run". [[WMUR-TV]].
  10. Pindell, James. (February 27, 2014). "Cebrowski still 'chewing' over a run for higher office". [[WMUR-TV]].
  11. DiStaso, John. (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader.
  12. Cresta, Joey. (September 5, 2013). "Tucker waiting on Guinta for Congress bid". [[The Portsmouth Herald]].
  13. (March 3, 2014). "Guinta Begins March of Endorsements". Guinta for Congress.
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  15. "2014 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
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  34. "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". Cook Political Report.
  35. "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  36. (April 10, 2014). "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  37. "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections.
  38. (2014-11-04). "Representative in Congress - 2014 General Election". NH Secretary of State.
  39. "Congresswoman Annie Kuster Files Papers, Declares Candidacy for Reelection". kusterforcongress.com.
  40. "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
  41. Trygstad, Kyle. (November 25, 2013). "GOP Rising Star Launches House Bid in New Hampshire". Roll Call.
  42. (September 4, 2013). "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Daily Journal.
  43. (June 9, 2014). "First-ever NH African-American to run for Congress emerges". WMUR.
  44. (December 12, 2013). "Hemingway being talked about for governor's race". WMUR.com.
  45. Ronayne, Kathleen. (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". [[Concord Monitor]].
  46. Kevin Brennan. (February 8, 2013). "Former N.H. House Speaker Mulling Kuster Challenge". National Journal.
  47. Ben Leubsdorf. (August 24, 2013). "Ex-N.H. House speaker Bill O'Brien takes new job, ends nascent campaign for U.S. Congress". [[Concord Monitor]].
  48. [http://www.wmur.com/political-scoop/garcia-up-23-points-in-her-internal-poll/27321068 Magellan Strategies]
  49. "2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
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