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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
| country | Minnesota |
| flag_image | File:Flag of Minnesota (1983-2024).svg |
| flag_year | 1983 |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
| previous_year | 2012 |
| next_election | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
| next_year | 2016 |
| election_date | |
| seats_for_election | All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| party1 | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
| last_election1 | 5 |
| seats1 | 5 |
| seat_change1 | |
| popular_vote1 | 985,760 |
| percentage1 | 50.20% |
| swing1 | 5.28% |
| party2 | Republican Party of Minnesota |
| last_election2 | 3 |
| seats2 | 3 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 913,539 |
| percentage2 | 46.53% |
| swing2 | 3.51% |
| map_image | {{switcher |
| map_size | 305px |
| map_caption |
|[[File:United States House of Representatives election in Minnesota, 2014.svg|300px]] |District results |[[File:2014 United States House of Representatives Elections in Minnesota by county.svg|300px]] |County results Democratic Republican The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota took place in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect Minnesota's eight representatives in the United States House of Representatives for two-year terms, one from each of Minnesota's eight congressional districts. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014.
In these elections, Minnesotans elected their oldest U.S. House delegation across the 80 cycles since statehood, at an average age of 58.8 years: Rick Nolan (age 70), Collin Peterson (70), John Kline (67), Betty McCollum (60), Keith Ellison (51), Tom Emmer (53), Tim Walz (50) and Erik Paulsen (49).
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | No. | % | No. | +/– | % | Total | 29 | 1,963,539 | 100.0 | 8 | 100.0 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party}};" | Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 985,760 | 50.20 | 5 | 62.50 | |||||||||
| Republican Party (United States)}};" | Republican | 8 | 913,539 | 46.53 | 3 | 37.50 | |||||||||
| Independence Party of Minnesota}};" | Independence | 4 | 50,836 | 2.59 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Green Party of Minnesota}};" | Green | 1 | 11,450 | 0.58 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Write-in}};" | Write-in | 8 | 1,954 | 0.10 | 0 | 0.0 |
By district
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:
| District | Democratic (DFL) | Republican | Others | Total | Result | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 122,851 | 54.19% | 103,536 | 45.67% | 308 | 0.14% | 226,695 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 2 | 95,565 | 38.87% | 137,778 | 56.04% | 12,505 | 5.09% | 245,848 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 3 | 101,846 | 37.78% | 167,515 | 62.14% | 224 | 0.08% | 269,585 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 4 | 147,857 | 61.19% | 79,492 | 32.90% | 14,288 | 5.91% | 241,637 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 5 | 167,079 | 70.79% | 56,577 | 23.97% | 12,354 | 5.24% | 236,010 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 6 | 90,926 | 38.39% | 133,328 | 56.29% | 12,592 | 5.32% | 236,846 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 7 | 130,546 | 54.21% | 109,955 | 45.66% | 334 | 0.14% | 240,835 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 8 | 129,090 | 48.52% | 125,358 | 47.11% | 11,635 | 4.37% | 266,083 | 100.0% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| Total | 985,760 | 50.20% | 913,539 | 46.53% | 64,240 | 3.27% | 1,963,539 | 100.0% |
District 1
Hagedorn:
Tie:
Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.5% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+1.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim Walz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Republican primary
Republican State Representative Mike Benson, Jim Hagedorn of Blue Earth and U.S. Army veteran Aaron Miller of Byron all sought the nomination to challenge Walz. Hagedorn and Miller had pledged to abide by the Republican endorsement while Benson did not. On April 5, 2014, Aaron Miller won the GOP endorsement. Benson and Hagedorn then withdrew, though Hagedorn re-entered the race on May 18, expressing concerns that Miller was not dedicating enough time to the race.
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Hagedorn, former congressional affairs officer for the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and candidate for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Aaron Miller, U.S. Army veteran
Withdrawn
- Mike Benson, state representative
Declined
- Jeremy Miller, state senator
Results
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Tim | |||||
| Walz (DFL) | Jim | |||||
| Hagedorn (R) | Undecided | |||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 329 | ± 8.0% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 38% | 32% | 31% |
Tim Walz vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Tim | |||||
| Walz (DFL) | Generic | |||||
| Opponent | Undecided | |||||
| Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 34% | 39% | 27% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Generic | |||||
| Democrat | Generic | |||||
| Republican | Undecided | |||||
| Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 34% | 40% | 26% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz (DFL) | $1,575,565 | $1,559,503 | $79,299 | |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $240,931 | $238,634 | $2,297 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz (DFL) | $3,734 | $0 | |
| Jim Hagedorn (R) | $896 | $0 |
District 2
Kline:
Obermueller:
Tie:
Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.
Kline was rumoured to be interested in running for Governor of Minnesota or the United States Senate. Instead, he announced he would seek re-election.
Republican primary
David Gerson challenged Kline for the Republican nomination but conceded after Kline won the Republican endorsement.
Candidates
Nominee
- John Kline, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- David Gerson, engineer and candidate for this seat in 2012
Declined
- Kurt Bills, former state representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
- Chris Gerlach, state senator and Dakota County Commissioner
- Pat Garofalo, state representative
- Kelby Woodard, state representative
Results
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Mike Obermueller, who lost to Kline in 2012, had decided to run again. He won the DFL endorsement on April 26, 2014.
Sona Mehring, the founder of CaringBridge, declared her candidacy, but dropped out of the race three weeks later. Thomas Craft, who volunteered for Obermueller in the 2012 race, declared his candidacy in July 2013 and positioned himself as a fiscally conservative, socially liberal alternative to Kline and Obermueller. Craft ceased his campaign after Obermueller won the DFL endorsement. Eagan quality assurance analyst Paula Overby initially sought the DFL endorsement but withdrew after Obermueller won it and instead became the Independence Party nominee.
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Obermueller, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2012
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Roberts, Law student, Hamline University and business development executive
Withdrawn
- Thomas Craft, IT consultant
- Sona Mehring, founder of CaringBridge
- Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst (ran for the Independence nomination)
Results
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst
Results
General election
The 2014 election in the 2nd district was expected to be one of the tightest congressional races in the country. Kline's district was one of 17 Republican congressional districts to vote for President Barack Obama in 2012, and polling data suggested a Democratic challenger could unseat Kline.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | John | ||||||
| Kline (R) | Mike | ||||||
| Obermueller (DFL) | Paula | ||||||
| Overby (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 450 | ± 7.0% | 48% | 34% | 0% | 18% |
| Remington Research Group | September 18–21, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.1% | 54% | 32% | 4% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 21–22, 2013 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 42% | — | 20% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kline (R) | $2,776,558 | $3,226,367 | $115,781 | |
| Mike Obermueller (DFL) | $933,588 | $933,332 | $12,263 | |
| Paula Overby (I) | $8,755 | $8,472 | $0 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Kline (R) | $6,438 | $51,420 | |
| Mike Obermueller (DFL) | $0 | $0 | |
| Paula Overby (I) | $0 | $0 |
District 3
Paulsen:
Sund:
Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.
Paulsen considered running for governor or the United States Senate in 2014 before announcing he would seek re-election to the U.S. House instead.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sharon Sund, businesswoman
Declined
- James Lawrence, businessman
- Don Shelby, former WCCO-TV anchor
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Erik | |||||
| Paulsen (R) | Sharon | |||||
| Sund (DFL) | Undecided | |||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 271 | ± 8.0% | 51% | 40% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $3,196,226 | $2,695,111 | $1,194,961 | |
| Sharon Sund (DFL) | $156,135 | $127,647 | $28,981 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Paulsen (R) | $7,259 | $0 | |
| Sharon Sund (DFL) | $0 | $0 |
District 4
McCollum:
Wahlgren:
Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sharna Wahlgren, attorney
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dave Thomas, educator, firefighter, and Iraq War veteran
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Betty | ||||||
| McCollum (DFL) | Sharna | ||||||
| Wahlgren (R) | Dave | ||||||
| Thomas (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 251 | ± 9.0% | 56% | 32% | 1% | 11% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $863,235 | $740,086 | $171,163 | |
| Sharna Wahlgren (R) | $131,727 | $130,282 | $1,445 | |
| Dave Thomas (I) | Unreported |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum (DFL) | $3,679 | $0 | |
| Sharna Wahlgren (R) | $0 | $0 | |
| Dave Thomas (I) | $0 | $0 |
District 5
Ellison:
Daggett:
Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+22.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Doug Daggett, sales rep
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lee Bauer, machinist
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Keith | ||||||
| Ellison (DFL) | Doug | ||||||
| Daggett (R) | Lee | ||||||
| Bauer (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 266 | ± 9.0% | 74% | 23% | 1% | 3% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Ellison (DFL) | $2,090,932 | $1,984,754 | $162,748 | |
| Doug Daggett (R) | $41,565 | $39,019 | $2,346 | |
| Lee Bauer (I) | Unreported |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Ellison (DFL) | $1,842 | $0 | |
| Doug Daggett (R) | $0 | $0 | |
| Lee Bauer (I) | $0 | $0 |
District 6
Emmer:
Perske:
Tie:
Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+10.
Bachmann had won re-election to a fourth term in 2012, defeating DFL nominee Jim Graves by approximately 1.2 points, despite Mitt Romney receiving 56% of the vote in this district in the 2012 presidential election. Facing a rematch with Graves, Bachmann announced on May 29, 2013, that she would not seek re-election.
Republican primary
Former state representative and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Tom Emmer and Anoka County Commissioner Rhonda Sivarajah sought the Republican nomination. Allan Levene, a Kennesaw, Georgia, resident who sought the Republican nomination in four congressional districts in four separate states, including Minnesota, ultimately did not file an affidavit of candidacy.
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Emmer, former state representative and nominee for Governor in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County Commissioner
Withdrawn
- Phil Krinkie, former state representative
- Allan Levene, resident of Georgia running in three other congressional races
- John Pederson, state senator
Declined
- Michele Bachmann, incumbent U.S. Representative
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Tom | ||||||
| Emmer | Phil | ||||||
| Krinkie | Rhonda | ||||||
| Sivarajah | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer) | April 16–17, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 73% | 4% | 5% | 18% |
Results
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Jim Graves, who had previously said he would run again, said he would continue to run after Bachmann retired. However, on May 31, 2013, Graves announced that he was suspending his campaign.
Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell, Minnesota, was the DFL endorsed candidate and nominee. Judy Adams, a painter and environmental activist, and Jim Read, an author and professor of political science at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University, both withdrew after failing to win the DFL endorsement.
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell
Withdrawn
- Judy Adams, environmental activist
- Jim Graves, businessman and nominee for the seat in 2012
- Jim Read, professor at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University
Results
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Denney, law student
Results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" Program
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Tom | ||||||
| Emmer (R) | Joe | ||||||
| Perske (DFL) | John | ||||||
| Denney (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 175 | ± 10.0% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $2,049,150 | $2,030,950 | $18,200 | |
| Joe Perske (DFL) | $223,413 | $221,219 | $783 | |
| John Denney (I) | $5,908 | $6,220 | $23 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer (R) | $7,094 | $0 | |
| Joe Perske (DFL) | $0 | $0 | |
| John Denney (I) | $0 | $6,220 |
District 7
Peterson:
Westrom:
Tie:
The 7th district covers almost the entire western side of Minnesota. It is the largest district in the state and one of the largest in the country and includes the cities of Moorhead, Willmar, Alexandria, and Fergus Falls. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of R+6.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
In 2013, Republicans began pressuring Peterson, in hopes of convincing him to retire. His seat was one of only a handful that was represented by a Democrat but was carried by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and was seen as a top pick-up opportunity had Peterson retired. Their tactics included airing television advertisements, hiring a press staffer to give opposition research to reporters, hiring a tracker to follow him around his district and record him, and sending mobile billboards with critical statements on them to drive around his hometown. Peterson responded by saying "They don't have anybody else to go after. It's kind of ridiculous, but whatever." After Republicans spread rumors that Peterson was planning to buy a house in Florida and retire there, he said: "I went from neutral on running again to 90 percent just because of this stupid stuff they're doing. You can't let these people be in charge of anything, in my opinion." On March 17, 2014, Peterson officially announced that he was running for re-election, saying, "I still have a lot of work to do."
Candidates
Nominee
- Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Paul Marquart, state representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Torrey Westrom, state senator
Declined
- Dan Fabian, state representative
- Mary Franson, state representative
- Bill Ingebrigtsen, state senator
- Morrie Lanning, former state representative
- Marty Seifert, former Minority Leader of the Minnesota House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Minnesota in 2010 and 2014
- Scott Van Binsbergen, businessman
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Collin | |||||
| Peterson (DFL) | Torrey | |||||
| Westrom (R) | Undecided | |||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 313 | ± 8.0% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Tarrance Group (R-NRCC) | October 12–14, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.8% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA | October 3–6, 2014 | 545 | ± 4.3% | 50% | 41% | 10% |
| Tarrance Group (R-Westrom) | September 21–23, 2014 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson) | September 4–7, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Tarrance Group (R-Westrom) | February 3–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $1,585,616 | $1,569,350 | $50,682 | |
| Torrey Westrom (R) | $1,034,570 | $1,022,303 | $12,267 |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Peterson (DFL) | $504,537 | $4,834,653 | |
| Torrey Westrom (R) | $89,633 | $3,501,426 |
District 8
Nolan:
Mills:
Tie:
Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+1.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rick Nolan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stewart Mills III, Mills Fleet Farm executive
Independence primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Eric Meyer
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ray (Skip) Sandman, retired corrections officer
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Rick | ||||||
| Nolan (DFL) | Stewart | ||||||
| Mills (R) | Skip | ||||||
| Sandman (G) | Undecided | ||||||
| New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker | October 16–23, 2014 | 375 | ± 7.0% | 47% | 42% | 1% | 9% |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | October 9–12, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 39% | 47% | 4% | 11% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC) | September 25–28, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 37% | 7% | 9% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg | October 24, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 30, 2014 | |
| RCP | November 2, 2014 | |
| Daily Kos Elections | November 4, 2014 |
Results
Finances
Campaigns
| Candidate (party) | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Nolan (DFL) | $2,098,795 | $2,113,281 | $26,663 | |
| Stewart Mills III (R) | $2,088,029 | $2,087,731 | $298 | |
| Ray Sandman (G) | Unreported |
Outside Spending
| Candidate (party) | Supported | Opposed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Nolan (DFL) | $851,269 | $5,045,015 | |
| Stewart Mills III (R) | $990,241 | $5,920,921 | |
| Ray Sandman (G) | $0 | $16,853 |
References
References
- Ostermeier, Eric. (November 13, 2014). "Minnesotans Elect Oldest Governor, US House Delegation in State History". Smart Politics.
- "Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".
- Haas, Karen L.. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
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- Baier, Elizabeth. (September 4, 2013). "Hagedorn launches bid to challenge Walz". [[Minnesota Public Radio]].
- Carlson, Heather J.. (April 5, 2014). "Miller wins Republican endorsement". [[Post-Bulletin]].
- Moniz, Josh. (May 18, 2014). "Hagedorn re-entering 1st District race". [[The Free Press (Mankato).
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- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/10/30/house-races-battleground-tracker/ New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker]
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- Zdechlik, Mark. (April 5, 2014). "Rep. John Kline endorsed for seventh term". [[Minnesota Public Radio]].
- Henry, Devin. (December 9, 2013). "David Gerson launches second challenge to Kline". [[MinnPost]].
- Stassen-Berger, Rachel E.. (April 19, 2013). "Kline to seek re-election, not Senate or governor's office". [[Star Tribune]].
- Salisbury, Bill. (April 26, 2014). "Obermueller wins DFL bid to take on Kline". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
- Boldt, Megan. (April 24, 2013). "CaringBridge founder Sona Mehring drops out of congressional race". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
- Bierschbach, Briana. (July 10, 2013). "Kline gets a second DFL challenger: Thomas Craft". Politics in Minnesota.
- Magan, Christopher. (August 11, 2013). "Eagan woman doesn't want gender identity to define impending run for Congress". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
- Magan, Christopher. (June 9, 2014). "Independence Party endorses Paula Overby for Congress". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
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- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Remington_MN2_0914.pdf Remington Research Group]
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- Diaz, Kevin. (May 13, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Paulsen rules out run for Minnesota governor or U.S. Senate". [[Star Tribune]].
- Zdechlik, Mark. (March 13, 2014). "Plymouth businesswoman announces run in 3rd Congressional District". [[Minnesota Public Radio]].
- Brucato, Cyndy. (November 7, 2013). "Possible challenger to Paulsen surfaces". [[MinnPost]].
- (August 9, 2013). "Former WCCO-TV anchor Don Shelby won't run for Congress". [[Star Tribune]].
- Henry, Devin. (May 29, 2013). "Michele Bachmann announces she will not run for re-election". [[MinnPost]].
- Salisbury, Bill. (June 5, 2013). "Tom Emmer announces candidacy for Congress". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
- Belden, Doug. (June 12, 2013). "Bachmann's seat has 3rd contender: Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County commissioner". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
- (July 19, 2013). "Republican Phil Krinkie to run for Bachmann's Sixth District seat". [[Star Tribune]].
- Galloway, Jim. (November 6, 2013). "Running for Congress, in Georgia and three other states – at the same time". [[The Atlanta Journal-Constitution]].
- Kimball, Joe. (June 3, 2014). "Phil Krinkie drops out of GOP 6th District congressional race". [[MinnPost]].
- Sommerhauser, Mark. (January 3, 2014). "Pederson drops 6th District run, says he's undecided on whom to endorse". St. Cloud Times.
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/219616866/6th-CD-Poll-Results-Emmer-for-Congress Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer)]
- Henry, Devin. (May 29, 2013). "Graves: Strategy won't change with Bachmann out of the race". [[MinnPost]].
- Black, Eric. (May 31, 2013). "With Bachmann not running, Jim Graves pulls out of 6th District race". [[MinnPost]].
- Durkin, Mike. (June 10, 2013). "Democrat Judy Adams jumps into 6th District race". [[KMSP-TV]].
- Sommerhauser, Mark. (January 14, 2014). "Perske makes run for 6th District seat official". St. Cloud Times.
- Budig, T.W.. (November 1, 2013). "Political science professor enters 6th District race". Morrison County Record.
- Sommerhauser, Mark. (May 3, 2014). "Perske gets DFL endorsement in 6th District". St. Cloud Times.
- Neely, Brett. (May 28, 2013). "GOP pokes at Peterson on healthcare and the IRS". [[Minnesota Public Radio]].
- Wilson, Reid. (May 23, 2013). "Parties Push For House Retirements". [[National Journal]].
- Neely, Brett. (June 6, 2013). "Peterson says GOP efforts to push him out having the opposite effect". [[Minnesota Public Radio]].
- Stassen-Berger, Rachel E.. (March 17, 2014). "Democratic U.S. Rep. Collin Peterson will run again". [[Star Tribune]].
- Henry, David. (December 4, 2013). "State Sen. Torrey Westrom to challenge Collin Peterson". [[MinnPost]].
- "Young Gun candidates".
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/243260380/MN-07-Tarrance-Group-for-NRCC-Oct-2014 Tarrance Group (R-NRCC)]
- [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=658dec11-bd73-47da-9a31-6acdc3cf7311 SurveyUSA]
- [https://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-score/2014/09/first-in-score-the-warren-firewall-the-worst-campaigns-of-2014-nra-sits-out-alaska-senate-race-212543 Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)]
- [http://atr.rollcall.com/collin-peterson-campaign-responds-to-gop-poll/ Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson)]
- [https://images.politico.com/global/2014/02/19/mn-07-memo-es.html Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)]
- Stassen-Berger, Rachel E.. (June 25, 2013). "Mills Fleet Farm executive to vie for Congress". [[Star Tribune]].
- "2014 Frontline Democrats". DCCC.
- [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7848be47-c152-42ea-b0fb-7643a873bdf7&c=72 KSTP/SurveyUSA]
- [http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/277800881.html Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC)]
- "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings, U.S. Representatives". [[Minnesota Secretary of State]].
- Cahn, Emily. (September 18, 2013). "Minnesota Politicians Wait for Kline, Peterson Exits to Ascend". [[Roll Call]].
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