2014 New Brunswick general election

Timeline

• September 27, 2010 – The Progressive Conservatives under David Alward win 42 of 55 seats. The Liberals are reduced to 13 seats and Shawn Graham announces that he will step down as leader.
• October 25, 2010 – NDP leader Roger Duguay resigns. He was replaced by interim leader Jesse Travis.
• November 9, 2010 – Liberal leader Shawn Graham resigns. He was replaced on an interim basis by Victor Boudreau and was permanently replaced by Brian Gallant in late 2012.
• March 2, 2011 – Dominic Cardy is acclaimed as the new leader of the NDP.
• September 12, 2011 – Green leader Jack Macdougall resigns. He was replaced by interim leader Greta Doucet.
• May 16, 2012 – Resignation of Margaret-Ann Blaney as MLA of Rothesay.
• June 25, 2012 – Ted Flemming is elected MLA for Rothesay, following the resignation of Margaret-Ann Blaney.
• September 20, 2012 - Jim Parrott is expelled from the PC caucus after making statements questioning linguistic duality in the healthcare system.
• September 22, 2012 - David Coon is elected new leader of the Green Party.
• October 27, 2012 - Brian Gallant is elected leader of the New Brunswick Liberal Party.
• March 11, 2013 - Shawn Graham resigns as member for Kent.
• April 15, 2013 – Brian Gallant is elected MLA for Kent, following the resignation of Shawn Graham.
• June 6, 2013 - New electoral districts are finalized and will take effect at this election.
• April 30, 2014 - Jim Parrott rejoins PC caucus.
• June 27, 2014 - PC MLA Bev Harrison announces he will seek re-election as a New Democrat, he leaves the PC caucus to sit as an independent.
• August 18, 2014 - Premier Alward meets with Lieutenant-Governor Graydon Nicholas who grants the premier's request to dissolve the legislature effective August 21, 2014 for a general election to be held September 22, 2014.
• August 21, 2014 - New Brunswick legislature dissolved by the lieutenant-governor.
• September 22, 2014 - general election.

Results

Synopsis of results

: = Open seat : = Turnout is above provincial average : = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature : = Incumbent had switched allegiance : = Previously incumbent in another riding : = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature : = Incumbency arose from byelection gain : = Other incumbents renominated : = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada : = Multiple candidates

Tabulator problem and manual recount demand

The election marked the first time that the province used electronic vote tabulation machines from Dominion Voting in a provincial election. They had previously been used in New Brunswick municipal elections. On election night, the machines displayed vote totals which were verified by Elections New Brunswick officials and entered into a province-wide database for the media. By 11:45 PM, these unverified numbers were to have been replaced by totally machine-reported numbers from the tabulators themselves with no human interventions or errors possible to distort results. It was "a program processing the initial results that had a glitch", not the tabulators themselves, according to officials.

Elections New Brunswick grew uncomfortable with the human involvement and influence of the unevenly tabulated results. It brought the results reporting to a standstill as counts were reverified by hand before further resignations or concessions were triggered.

At 10:45 p.m. Atlantic time, Elections New Brunswick officially suspended the results reporting count, with 17 ridings still undeclared, while it investigated the delay. It called for over sixty tabulator count devices to be brought to central locations for verification without relying on the reporting program. At no time was there an allegation of fraud by any party or public official.

As a result of the controversy, both the Progressive Conservatives and the People's Alliance Party called for a hand count of all ballots, with the former refusing to concede the election until the following day. Michael Quinn, the province's chief electoral officer determined no total recount was necessary. Recounts were held in 7 of 49 ridings and the results were upheld with variations of no more than 1 vote per candidate per riding.

Results by region

Results by place

Opinion polls

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting members of the legislative assembly (MLAs) had announced that they would not re-offer at this election:

Progressive Conservatives

• John Betts, MLA for Moncton Crescent (1999–2014)
• Jack Carr, MLA for New Maryland-Sunbury West (2008–2014)
• Greg Davis, MLA for Campbellton-Restigouche Centre (2010–2014)
• Dale Graham, MLA for Carleton (1995–2014) and Carleton North (1993–1995)
• Wes McLean, MLA for Victoria-Tobique (2010–2014)
• Wayne Steeves, MLA for Albert (1999–2014)
• Glen Tait, MLA for Saint John East (2010–2014)

Liberals

• Roland Haché, MLA for Nigadoo-Chaleur (1999–2014)

Candidates

New boundaries were in effect as a result of an electoral redistribution replacing the districts used in the 2006 and 2010 elections. Candidates had to file their nomination papers by September 2, 2014 to appear on the ballot.

Legend

• bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
• italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
• † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election
• • denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district

Northern

|- | |Martine Coulombe* 1,710 20.08% || |Gilles LePage 4,940 58.02% | |Gilles Cyr 351 4.12% | |— | |Charles Thériault (Independent) 1,514 17.78% |- 1,879 24.27% 4,820 62.25% 762 9.84% 282 3.64% ||

| |Gilberte Boudreau 1,120 14.84% || |Daniel Guitard 4,069 53.92% | |Ray Godin 2,198 29.12% | |Mario Comeau 160 2.12% | | ||

| |Anne Bard-Lavigne 1,778 25.54% || |Brian Kenny* 4,367 62.74% | |Etienne Arseneau 564 8.10% | |Catherine Doucet 252 3.62% | | |- | |Ryan Riordon* 1,894 26.31% || |Denis Landry* 4,431 61.56% | |Benjamin Kalenda 559 7.77% | |Gerry Aubie 314 4.36% | | |- | |Suzanne Morais-Vienneau 1,814 21.86% || |Hédard Albert 4,716 56.82% | |Mathieu Chayer 1,579 19.02% | |Sophie Chiasson-Gould 191 2.30% | | ||

| |Paul Robichaud 3,970 45.60% || |Wilfred Roussel 4,014 46.10% | |Juliette Paulin 497 5.71% | |Tony Mallet 226 2.60% | | ||

| |Claude Landry 2,195 23.97% || |Serge Rousselle 5,916 64.61% | |François Rousselle 861 9.40% | |Nancy Benoit 121 1.32% | |Donald Thomas (Independent) 64 0.70% || |Claude Landry |}

Miramichi

|- | |Serge Robichaud 3,307 38.76% || |Lisa Harris 4,199 49.22% | |Curtis Bartibogue 785 9.20% | |Filip Vanicek 240 2.81% | | ||

| |Norma Smith 2,951 36.63% | |Douglas Mullin 361 4.48% | |Kevin Matthews 214 2.66% | |Wes Gullison (PANB) 694 8.61% || |Jake Stewart |}

Southeastern

|- | |Nancy Blanchard 1,559 16.60% || |Bertrand LeBlanc 4,699 50.02% | |Allan Marsh 1,294 13.77% | |Rébeka Frazer-Chiasson 1,707 18.17% | |Raven-Chanelle Arsenault-Augustine (PANB) 135 1.44% ||

| |Dolorès Poirier 1,678 19.15% || |Brian Gallant* 5,661 64.61% | |Agathe Lapointe 803 9.16% | |Stephanie Matthews 620 7.08% | | |- | |Carmel Brun 1,718 18.81% || |Victor Boudreau 5,496 60.18% | |Bernice Boudreau 1,175 12.87% | |Charles Thibodeau 743 8.14% | | ||

| |Mike Olscamp 2,037 26.45% || |Bernard LeBlanc* 3,515 45.64% | |Hélène Boudreau 972 12.62% | |Megan Mitton 1,178 15.29% | | ||

| |Normand Léger 1,360 18.44% || |Roger Melanson 4,866 65.97% | |Sandy Harquail 736 9.98% | |Françoise Aubin 414 5.61% | | ||

| |Jane Mitton-MacLean 2,521 33.01% || |Monique LeBlanc 3,443 45.09% | |Roy MacMullin 1,105 14.47% | |Matthew Clark 567 7.43% | | |- | |Marie-Claude Blais* 1,58925.21% || |Chris Collins* 3,339 52.98% | |Luc Leblanc 866 13.74% | |Jeffrey McCluskey 508 8.06% | | |- | |Sue Stultz 2,247 34.91% || |Cathy Rogers 2,903 45.10% | |Elisabeth French 757 11.76% | |Rish McGlynn 530 8.23% | | ||

| |Brian Hicks 2,773 38.80% | |Jason Purdy 783 10.96% | |Mike Milligan 436 6.10% | |Carl Bainbridge (PANB) 142 1.99% ||

| |Tyson Milner 2,274 34.97% | |Charles Doucet 1,129 17.36% | |Mathieu LaPlante 392 6.03% | |Lucy Goguen (PANB) 184 2.83% | |- || |Bruce Fitch 3,751 52.73% | |Tammy Rampersaud 2,097 29.48% | |Danie Pitre 723 10.16% | |Linda Hardwick 542 7.62% | | ||

| |Terry Keating 2,190 28.24% | |Kelly-Sue O'Connor 880 11.35% | |Ira Wilbur 929 11.98% | |Bill Brewer (PANB) 594 7.66% ||

| |Barak Stevens 2,499 33.15% | |Anthony Crandall 978 12.97% | |Fred Harrison 709 9.41% | | |}

Southern

|- || |Bruce Northrup 3,677 49.86% | |Heike MacGregor 1,710 23.19% | |Billy Carter 652 8.84% | |Stephanie Coburn 570 7.73% | |LeRoy Armstrong (PANB) 766 10.39% ||

| |John Cairns 1,618 23.40% | |Bev Harrison* 1,796 25.97% | |John Sabine 554 8.01% | |Joan K. Seeley (PANB) 269 3.89% |- || |Blaine Higgs 3,884 51.35% | |Mary Schryer 2,390 31.60% | |Angela-Jo Griffin 938 12.40% | |Patrick Kemp 238 3.15% | |Brandon Gardner (PANB) 114 1.51% ||

| |Stephanie Tomilson 1,838 27.36% | |John Wilcox 1,559 23.21% | |Ann McAllister 282 4.20% | | ||

| |Michael Butler 1,905 33.49% | |Tony Sekulich 743 13.06% | |Sheila Croteau 259 4.55% | | ||

| |Carl Killen 1,615 30.84% || |Ed Doherty 1,686 32.19% | |Gary Stackhouse 1,120 21.39% | |Wayne Dryer 701 13.39% | |Arthur Watson (PANB) 115 2.20% ||

| |Peter McGuire 2,162 32.35% | |Abel LeBlanc 1,535 22.97% | |Ashley Durdle 283 4.23% | |Mary Ellen Carpenter (Independent) 85 1.27% ||

| |Shannon Merrifield 2,110 30.95% | |Daniel Anderson 1,642 24.09% | |Mark Connell 311 4.56% | |Colby Fraser (Independent) 323 4.74% |- | |Jim Parrott* 1,828 25.39% || |Rick Doucet 4,498 62.47% | |Terry James 558 7.75% | |Krysta Oland 316 4.39% | | ||

| |Curtis Malloch 2,982 39.19% || |John Ames 3,176 41.73% | |June Greenlaw 515 6.77% | |Derek Simon 453 5.95% | |Joyce Wright (PANB) 484 6.36% || |Curtis Malloch |}

Capital Region

|- 2,827 41.97% 2,354 34.95% 857 12.72% 379 5.63% 318 4.72% ||

| |Michael Pearson 2,595 31.34% | |Aimee Foreman 1,787 21.58% | |Kelsey Adams 508 6.13% | | ||

| |Craig Leonard* 1,938 26.17% | |Roy Wiggins 1,601 21.62% | |Kelly Lamrock 1,465 19.78% || |David Coon 2,272 30.68% | |Courtney Mills (Independent) 130 1.76% |- | |Troy Lifford* 2,445 31.73% || |Stephen Horsman 2,589 33.60% | |Brian Duplessis 1,560 20.25% | |Madeleine Berrevoets 791 10.27% | |Patricia Wilkins (PANB) 320 4.15% |- || |Kirk MacDonald* 2,886 35.42% | |Randy McKeen 2,365 29.03% | |Sharon Scott-Levesque 1,695 20.80% | |Dorothy Diamond 583 7.16% | |Rick Wilkins (PANB) 379 4.65% Gerald Bourque (Independent) 240 2.95% |- 2,971 35.21% 2,384 28.25% 2,502 29.65% 582 6.90% ||

| |Ashley Cummings 2,203 27.99% | |Jacob Elsinga 816 10.37% | |Terry Wishart 602 7.65% | |David Graham (PANB) 587 7.46% |}

Upper River Valley

|- || |David Alward* 4,061 56.77% | |Thomas Reid 1,588 22.20% | |Jeremiah Clark 580 8.11% | |Andrew Clark 750 10.49% | |Steven Love (PANB) 174 2.43% |- 3,049 39.76% 3,131 40.83% 683 8.91% 464 6.05% 216 2.82% Terry Ritchie (Independent) 125 1.63% ||

| |Danny Soucy 3,056 38.20% || |Chuck Chiasson 3,969 49.62% | |Joe Berube 546 6.83% | |Daniel Zolondek 428 5.35% | | ||

| |Michel LeBlond 3,423 44.97% | |Alain Martel 523 6.87% | | | | ||

| |Yvon Bonenfant 2,616 35.92% || |Francine Landry 4,106 56.39% | |Widler Jules 560 7.69% | | | | || |Yvon Bonenfant |}

Notes

• AGallant won the seat in a by-election on April 15, 2013. The seat was previously held by Liberal former premier Shawn Graham.
• BFlemming won the seat in a by-election on June 25, 2012. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Margaret-Ann Blaney.

References

References

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