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2012 United States Senate election in New York

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Field	Value
election_name	2012 United States Senate election in New York
country	New York
flag_image	Flag of New York (1909–2020).svg
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 United States Senate special election in New York
previous_year	2010 (special)
next_election	2018 United States Senate election in New York
next_year	2018
election_date	November 6, 2012
turnout	53.2% (voting eligible)
image1	Kirsten Gillibrand, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg
nominee1	Kirsten Gillibrand
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
alliance1	{{collapsible list
titlestyle	font-weight:normal;background:transparent;text-align:left;
title	Parties
popular_vote1	4,822,330
percentage1	72.21%
image2	EWendyLong022612_12 (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Wendy Long
party2	Republican Party (United States)
alliance2	Conservative Party of New York
popular_vote2	1,758,702
percentage2	26.34%
map_image	{{switcher	[[File:2012 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg	300px]]	County results
map_caption	Gillibrand:
Long:
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Kirsten Gillibrand
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Kirsten Gillibrand
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

| Independence | Working Families |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in New York results map by congressional district.svg|300px]]|Congressional district results Long:
The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Governor David Paterson appointed then-U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as U.S. senator from New York until the 2010 special election, succeeding former U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand won the special election in 2010 with 62.95% of the vote over former U.S. Representative Joseph DioGuardi.

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to her first full term by a landslide. She was opposed in the general election by Wendy Long (who ran on the Republican and Conservative Party tickets) and by three minor party candidates. Gillibrand was re-elected with 72% of the vote. She carried 60 out of 62 counties statewide, losing only Wyoming and Allegany counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. senator

Gillibrand was endorsed by the Independence Party of New York and the Working Families Party and appeared on the ballot lines of both of those parties in the general election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Wendy E. Long, attorney
George Maragos, Nassau County comptroller
Bob Turner, U.S. Representative, New York's 9th congressional district

The 2012 New York State Republican Convention took place on March 16, 2012. Candidates Wendy Long, George Maragos, and Congressman Bob Turner each reached the threshold of 25% of the weighted vote necessary to qualify for the June 26 primary ballot; however, none of the candidates achieved a majority. Long prevailed by a sizeable margin in the June 26 Republican primary, receiving 50.9% of the vote; Turner received 35.6% and Maragos 13.5%.

Long was designated as the nominee for the Conservative Party of New York State, and appeared on its ballot line in the general election as well as the Republican Party line.

Withdrew

Joe Carvin, Rye Town Supervisor, withdrew on March 16, 2012 to run for the House of Representatives against Nita Lowey.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Wendy
Long	George
Maragos	Bob
Turner	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	372	±5.1%	11%	7%	19%	2%	61%
Siena College	April 1–4, 2012	218	±6.6%	10%	5%	19%	—	66%
Siena College	May 6–10, 2012	205	±6.8%	12%	6%	15%	—	67%
Siena College	June 3–6, 2012	201	±6.9%	11%	3%	16%	—	70%

Endorsements

Individuals

John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations
John Faso, 2006 gubernatorial candidate
Steve Forbes, publisher and former presidential candidate
Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host
Laura Ingraham, talk radio host
Brian Kolb, State Assembly Minority Leader
Rick Lazio, former US congressman from New York
Grover Norquist
Carl Paladino, 2010 gubernatorial candidate
Dennis Vacco, former New York State Attorney General

Organizations

National Organization for Marriage

Newspapers

The New York Post
Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City, 2008 presidential candidate, and Time Person of the Year for 2001
Martin Golden, New York state senator from the 22nd District
Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host Source: Update for US Senate Election NY 2012

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | | | | ]]

General election

Candidates

Colia Clark (Green), civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Chris Edes (Libertarian)
Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic, Working Families, Independence), incumbent U.S. senator
Wendy Long (Republican, Conservative), attorney
John Mangelli (Common Sense Party)

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	$13,778,867	$3,734,097	$10,541,156	$0
	Wendy Long (R)	$336,976	$240,564	$96,411	$250,077
	Chris Edes (L)	$2,017	$668	$1,348	$0
	John Mangelli (I)	$43,819	$43,820	$0	$22,120
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Kirsten Gillibrand	Contribution	Wendy Long	Contribution
Boies, Schiller & Flexner	$394,664	Citizens United	$10,000
Davis Polk & Wardwell	$314,600	Susan B. Anthony List	$10,000
Corning Inc.	$150,650	Davis, Polk & Wardwell	$8,500
JPMorgan Chase & Co	$143,800	Kirkland & Ellis	$7,000
Morgan Stanley	$140,800	Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz	$6,000
National Amusements Inc.	$126,850	Alta Partners	$5,500
Goldman Sachs	$117,400	Actimize	$5,000
Blackstone Group	$106,700	Carlyle Group	$5,000
Sullivan & Cromwell	$100,750	Credit Suisse Group	$5,000
Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett	$95,700	Crow Holdings	$5,000

Top industries

Kirsten Gillibrand	Contribution	Wendy Long	Contribution
Lawyers/law firms	$4,050,294	Lawyers/law firms	$38,550
Financial institutions	$2,748,640	Financial institutions	$31,750
Real estate	$1,257,504	Real estate	$26,250
Retired	$921,738	Retired	$25,050
Women's issues	$853,517	Misc. finance	$16,000
Entertainment industry	$764,677	Women's issues	$15,150
Lobbyists	$723,596	Republican/Conservative	$11,250
Misc. finance	$644,953	Education	$7,250
Business services	$621,286	Misc. business	$7,000
Insurance	$518,275	Construction services	$5,000

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report		November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics		November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)	Wendy
Long (R)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	1,597	±2.5%	58%	25%	1%	13%
Siena College	April 1–4, 2012	808	±3.4%	63%	23%	—	14%
Siena College	May 6–10, 2012	766	±3.5%	60%	26%	—	14%
Quinnipiac	May 22–28, 2012	1,504	±2.5%	58%	24%	1%	15%
Siena College	June 3–6, 2012	807	±3.4%	65%	22%	—	12%
Siena College	July 10–15, 2012	758	±3.6%	62%	25%	—	13%
Quinnipiac	July 17–23, 2012	1,779	±2.3%	57%	24%	1%	16%
Siena College	August 14–19, 2012	671	±3.8%	65%	22%	—	13%
Quinnipiac	September 4–9, 2012	1,468	±2.5%	64%	27%	—	9%
Marist	October 18–21, 2012	565	±4.1%	68%	24%	—	8%
Siena College	October 22–24, 2012	750	±3.6%	67%	24%	—	8%
SurveyUSA	October 23–25, 2012	554	±4.1%	64%	22%	7%	7%

with George Maragos

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)	George
Maragos (R)	Other	Undecided
Siena College	November 8–13, 2011	803	±3.5%	65%	17%	—	18%
Siena College	January 8–12, 2012	805	±3.5%	63%	22%	—	15%
Siena College	January 29 – February 1, 2012	807	±3.4%	63%	20%	—	17%
SurveyUSA	February 24–26, 2012	518	±4.4%	53%	23%	—	25%
Siena College	February 26–29, 2012	808	±3.4%	68%	19%	—	13%
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	1,597	±2.5%	57%	23%	2%	15%
Siena College	April 1–4, 2012	808	±3.4%	65%	21%	—	14%
Siena College	May 6–10, 2012	766	±3.5%	60%	25%	—	15%
Quinnipiac	May 22–28, 2012	1,504	±2.5%	57%	24%	1%	16%
Siena College	June 3–6, 2012	807	±3.4%	65%	23%	—	13%

with Bob Turner

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)	Bob
Turner (R)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	March 28 – April 2, 2012	1,597	±2.5%	57%	27%	1%	13%
Siena College	April 1–4, 2012	808	±3.4%	65%	24%	—	11%
Siena College	May 6–10, 2012	766	±3.5%	59%	25%	—	15%
Quinnipiac	May 22–28, 2012	1,504	±2.5%	56%	26%	0%	15%
Siena College	June 3–6, 2012	807	±3.4%	63%	25%	—	11%

with Marc Cenedella

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)	Marc
Cenedella (R)	Undecided
Siena College	January 29 – February 1, 2012	807	±3.4%	65%	18%	17%

with Harry Wilson

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)	Harry
Wilson (R)	Undecided
Siena College	November 8–13, 2011	803	±3.5%	63%	21%	16%
Siena College	January 8–12, 2012	805	±3.5%	63%	23%	14%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)

By congressional district

Gillibrand won all 27 congressional districts, including six held by Republicans. She won all but two with over 60% of the vote, with the 27th being her weakest with only 55% of the vote.

District	Gillibrand	Representative
62.13%	36.58%	Tim Bishop
63.33%	35.51%	Peter T. King
62.51%	36.28%	Steve Israel
66.17%	32.88%	Carolyn McCarthy
92.32%	7.21%	Gregory Meeks
75.99%	22.58%	Grace Meng
90.67%	7.65%	Nydia Velázquez
91.75%	7.35%	Hakeem Jeffries
89.59%	9.33%	Yvette Clarke
81.28%	17.15%	Jerry Nadler
64.5%	34.23%	Michael Grimm
81.74%	16.49%	Carolyn Maloney
95.05%	3.91%	Charles B. Rangel
84.85%	13.76%	Joe Crowley
96.89%	2.7%	Jose Serrano
79.78%	19.23%	Eliot Engel
68.41%	30.33%	Nita Lowey
64.33%	34.22%	Sean Patrick Maloney
65.98%	32.34%	Chris Gibson
71.07%	27.26%	Paul Tonko
65.41%	33.1%	Bill Owens
61.77%	36.05%	Richard L. Hanna
58.95%	39.13%	Tom Reed
65.34%	32.06%	Dan Maffei
66.81%	31.45%	Louise Slaughter
73.31%	24.99%	Brian Higgins
55.55%	42.71%	Chris Collins

References

Dr. Michael McDonald. (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". [[George Mason University]].
Hill, Michael. (November 3, 2010). "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again".
Johnson, Michael. (March 12, 2012). "State Independence Party Backs Gillibrand". Capital Tonight.
(March 19, 2012). "New York Democrats back Kirsten Gillibrand for US Senate; Conservatives pick Wendy Long". [[The Post-Standard]].
Benjamin, Liz. (January 29, 2012). "A New Challenger To Gillibrand?". Capital Tonight.
"U.S. Senate Hopeful Speaks to Rockland Republicans - Pearl River, NY Patch".
Campbell, Colin. (March 13, 2012). "Bob Turner Announces U.S. Senate Campaign Against Kirsten Gillibrand". [[Politicker Network.
Seiler, Casey (February 19, 2012). [http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/115963/save-the-date-gop-plans-march-16-convention/ Save the date: GOP plans March 16 convention]. ''Capitol Confidential'' (Albany Times-Union). Retrieved February 19, 2012.
Benjamin, Liz (March 16, 2012). [https://archive.today/20120722012835/http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/03/three-way-gop-primary-for-us-senate/ Three-Way GOP Primary For US Senate]. ''Capital Tonight''. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
(June 27, 2012). "Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". News Corporation.
"Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". WSJ.com.
Vielkind, Jimmy. (February 29, 2012). "Joe Carvin of Rye also challenging Gillibrand". [[Times Union (Albany).
Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2012). [https://archive.today/20130118190154/http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/03/source-carvin-out-of-us-senate-race/ Carvin Out Of US Senate Race (Updated)]. ''Capital Tonight''. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
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(April 16, 2012). "Liberal Alternatives To Kirsten Gillibrand". Irregular Times.
(May 2019). "Gillibrand Campaign Finances".
(May 2019). "Long Campaign Finances".
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(May 2019). "Edes Campaign Finances".
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