2012 United States Senate election in Indiana

Background and overview

On November 7, 2006, incumbent Richard Lugar was unopposed by any major party candidate as no Democrat filed for the May 2006 primary. He was re-elected to his sixth six-year term with 87.3% of the vote. After the 2012 election, Lugar would have had an even chance, according to Senate Republican Conference rules, to be elected as its president pro tempore. However, the issue was rendered moot with Lugar's primary loss on May 9, 2012, as Indiana state law prohibits candidates from running for an election after losing a primary. Time featured the race in their "Fury of the Senate" article. The article mentioned how Donnelly was lucky that Mourdock won out in the primary against Lugar, a well-liked centrist member of the GOP. Another boost came when Mourdock's remarks regarding rape helped propel Donnelly to victory.

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on May 8, 2012.

Candidates

Declared

• Richard Lugar, incumbent U.S. senator
• Richard Mourdock, state treasurer

Declined

• Mike Delph, state senator
• Bob Thomas, auto dealer

Campaign

Due to Lugar's unpopularity among some Tea Party voters because of his positions regarding illegal immigration, voting to confirm then-U.S. Supreme Court nominees Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan, the DREAM Act, the New START Treaty, some gun control bills, and congressional earmarks, he was challenged by a Tea Party-backed candidate.

The Indiana Debate Commission's GOP primary debate with Sen. Richard Lugar and State Treasurer Richard Mourdock was set to air at 7 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, April 11. In a widely published poll taken March 26 to 28, Lugar was still in the lead, but by the time of a second published poll from April 30 to May 1, Mourdock was leading 48% to 38%.

Mourdock defeated Senator Lugar in the Republican primary on May 8, 2012.

According to Indiana law, Lugar's defeat meant that he would not be permitted to run in the election either as a third party or an independent candidate after he lost the primary.

Endorsements

Individuals

• Greg Ballard, Mayor of Indianapolis
• Haley Barbour, former governor of Mississippi
• Pat Boone, singer, actor and writer
• Mitch Daniels, Governor of Indiana
• John Dennis, Mayor of West Lafayette
• Tom J. Donohue, former president and CEO of the American Trucking Association, and president and CEO of U.S. Chamber of Commerce
• Beverly Gard, Indiana State Senator (R-Greenfield)
• William H. Hudnut, former mayor of Indianapolis
• Frank Luntz, political consultant, pollster, Republican Party strategist, and Fox News commentator
• John McCain, United States Senator (R-AZ) and 2008 Republican presidential nominee
• Dr. Condoleezza Rice, former U.S. Secretary of State
• George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State for the Reagan administration
• Alan K. Simpson, former U.S. Senator (R-WY); former chairman of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform
• Becky Skillman, Lt. Governor of Indiana
• Robert Stewart, former mayor of Columbus Organizations
• Christian Coalition
• The Indiana Hardwood Lumbermen's Association
• National Defense PAC
• National Right to Life
• United States Chamber of Commerce

Individuals

• Sharron Angle, former Nevada Assemblywoman and 2010 Republican nominee for U.S. Senate from Nevada
• Michele Bachmann, Congresswoman from Minnesota; 2012 presidential candidate
• Morton Blackwell, activist
• Herman Cain, former CEO of Godfather's Pizza; 2012 presidential candidate
• Erick Erickson, managing editor of RedState
• Steve Forbes, editor-in-chief of Forbes; presidential candidate in 1996 and 2000
• Mark Levin, radio talk show host
• Michelle Malkin, conservative author, blogger, and commentator
• Dick Morris, political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, and former presidential adviser to Bill Clinton
• Grover Norquist, political activist and president of Americans for Tax Reform
• Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee
• Rick Santorum, former senator from Pennsylvania; 2012 presidential candidate Organizations
• American Conservative Union
• Americans for Legal Immigration
• Americans for Prosperity
• Citizens United
• Club for Growth
• Concerned Women for America
• Eagle Forum
• Family Research Council
• FreedomWorks
• Gun Owners of America
• Indiana Right to Life
• Minuteman PAC
• Minuteman Project
• National Association for Gun Rights
• National Federation of Republican Assemblies
• National Republican Trust Political Action Committee
• NRA Political Victory Fund
• Republican National Coalition for Life
• Tea Party Express

Polling

Results

]]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Joe Donnelly, U.S. Representative

Declined

• Brad Ellsworth, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
• Baron Hill, former U.S. Representative

Results

Donnelly was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

General election

Candidates

• Joe Donnelly (D), U.S. Representative
• Andrew Horning (L), product manager and nominee for governor in 2008
• Richard Mourdock (R), Indiana State Treasurer

Debates

Confirmed debates with Donnelly, Horning and Mourdock are:

Date: Monday, October 15

Broadcast time: 7 p.m. EDT

City: Indianapolis

Venue: WFYI-TV (in studio/no live audience)

• Complete video of debate, October 15, 2012 – C-SPAN

Date: Tuesday, October 23

Broadcast time: 7 p.m. EDT

City: New Albany

Venue: Paul W. Ogle Cultural & Community Center, Indiana University Southeast (live audience – seating up to 500)

• Complete video of debate, October 23, 2012 – C-SPAN

Fundraising

Top contributors

Top industries

Campaign

Pregnancy from rape controversy

Main article: Rape and pregnancy statement controversies in the 2012 United States elections

Mourdock became embroiled in a controversy after stating that pregnancy from rape is "something that God intended". His remarks were made during a debate on October 23, 2012, while explaining his opposition to abortion even in the case of rape. At the debate Mourdock, when asked what his position on abortion was, responded:

Media speculated that this could affect the outcome of the Senate race and Presidential race and multiple sources noted the similarities with the rape and pregnancy statement controversies in the 2012 United States elections.

Responding to the criticism, Mourdock issued a statement saying: "God creates life, and that was my point. God does not want rape, and by no means was I suggesting that he does. Rape is a horrible thing, and for anyone to twist my words otherwise is absurd and sick." He was later quoted at a press conference also saying: "I believe God controls the universe. I don't believe biology works in an uncontrolled fashion." He however refused to issue an apology, even while prominent Republicans, including Sen. John McCain, called for him to do so.

Response

A day before the controversy started, a television ad began airing that showed Governor Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee for United States President, supporting Mourdock. The Romney campaign subsequently issued a statement saying "Gov. Romney disagrees with Richard Mourdock's comments, and they do not reflect his views," but did not pull the ad. Senator John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said "Richard and I, along with millions of Americans—including even Joe Donnelly—believe that life is a gift from God. To try and construe his words as anything other than a restatement of that belief is irresponsible and ridiculous".

Many public Republicans called for Mourdock to apologize for the statement. Sen. John McCain called for him to issue an apology and his support "depends on what he does." Senator Scott Brown refused to state that he supported Mourdock in the election. Rep. Mike Pence, a Republican running for governor of Indiana concurrent to Mourdock's senatorial campaign, urged Mourdock to apologize. "I strongly disagree with the statement made by Richard Mourdock during last night's Senate debate," he said in a statement. "I urge him to apologize."

President Obama stated, "Rape is rape. It is a crime," on the Tonight Show. He continued, "These various distinctions about rape don't make too much sense to me." Dan Parker, chairman of the Indiana Democratic Party, immediately criticized Mourdock, saying: "I'm stunned and ashamed that Richard Mourdock believes God intended rape", and claimed that he is an "extremist" who is out of touch with Indiana.

Predictions

Polling

with Richard Lugar

Results

On election night, Donnelly won by about six percent. Donnelly performed well in Marion County, home of Indianapolis. Donnelly also won areas with major college campuses, such as Indiana University in Bloomington and Purdue University in Lafayette. Mourdock performed well as expected in the Indianapolis suburbs, such as Hamilton County. Mourdock conceded defeat to Donnelly at around 11:30 p.m. EST.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Madison (largest city: Anderson)
• Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
• Starke (largest city: Knox)
• Vanderburgh (largest city: Evansville)
• Scott (largest city: Scottsburg)
• Blackford (largest city: Hartford City)
• Clark (largest city: Jeffersonville)
• Crawford (largest city: Marengo)
• Floyd (largest city: New Albany)
• Jefferson (largest city: Madison)
• Fayette (largest city: Connersville)
• Henry (largest city: New Castle)
• Howard (largest city: Kokomo)
• Wayne (largest city: Richmond)
• Vermillion (largest city: Clinton)
• Perry (largest city: Tell City)
• Sullivan (largest city: Sullivan)
• Delaware (largest city: Muncie)
• LaPorte (largest city: Michigan City)
• Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
• Porter (largest city: Portage)
• Vigo (largest city: Terre Haute)
• Monroe (largest city: Bloomington)
• St. Joseph (largest city: South Bend)
• Marion (largest city: Indianapolis)
• Lake (largest city: Hammond)

By congressional district

Donnelly won five of nine congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.

Notes

References

References

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