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2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina
countrySouth Carolina
typepresidential
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in South Carolina
previous_year2008
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
next_election2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina
next_year2016
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1Mitt Romney
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1Paul Ryan
electoral_vote19
popular_vote11,071,645
percentage154.56%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2865,941
percentage244.09%

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:South Carolina Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|300px]] | County results | [[File:2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina by congressional district.svg|300px]] | Congressional district results | [[File:SC President 2012.svg|300px]] | Precinct results Romney Obama Tie/No Data The 2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose 9 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Also on the ballot were Libertarian nominee, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson and his running mate, jurist Jim Gray. The left-wing Green Party nominated activist and physician Jill Stein and her running mate, anti-poverty advocate Cheri Honkala. The conservative Constitution Party nominated former U.S. Representative from Virginia Virgil Goode for president, and former Chair of the Constitution Party Jim Clymer for vice president.

Romney defeated Obama in the state by 54.56% to 44.09%, a margin of 10.47%. While the state is generally considered safe for the Republican Party, it remains somewhat competitive due to a high African-American population, the sixth-highest in the country. The majority of the Democratic vote comes from the Black Belt, with areas such as Richland and Charleston counties, home to Columbia and Charleston respectively, providing high margins for the Democrats. However, this support is largely offset by suburban and rural white voters. The state hasn't voted for a Democrat since Jimmy Carter carried it in 1976. Romney also improved on John McCain's 8.97% margin in 2008.

As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time where the counties of Barnwell, Calhoun, Chester, Colleton, Darlington, and McCormick voted for the Democratic candidate.

Primaries

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed in the Democratic primary and easily won with more than 99% of the vote. The Democratic primary was held on January 28, 2012, one week after the Republican primary.

Republican primary

Gingrich Romney The Republican primary was held on January 21, 2012.

During the primary election campaign, the candidates ran on a platform of government reform in Washington. Domestic, foreign and economic policy emerged as the main themes in the election campaign following the onset of the 2008 economic crisis, as well as policies implemented by the Obama administration. This included the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, termed "Obamacare" by its opponents, as well as government spending as a whole.

The primary has become one of several key early state nominating contests in the process of choosing the nominee of the Republican Party for the election for President of the United States. It has historically been more important for the Republican Party than for the Democratic Party; from its inception in 1980, until the nomination of former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in 2012, the winner of the Republican presidential primary had gone on to win the nomination. As of 2012, the primary has cemented its place as the "First in the South" primary for both parties. Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich was declared the winner of the race as soon as polls closed, however, Mitt Romney went on to win the nomination.

Date

The 2012 South Carolina Republican primary was tentatively scheduled to occur on February 28, 2012, much later than the date in 2008, which almost immediately followed the beginning of the year in January 2008. On September 29, 2011, the entire schedule of caucuses and primaries was disrupted, however, when it was announced that the Republican Party of Florida had decided to move up its primary to January 31, in an attempt to bring attention to its own primary contest, and attract the presidential candidates to visit the state. Because of the move, the Republican National Committee decided to strip Florida of half of its delegates. Also as a result, the South Carolina Republican Party, along with Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada then sought to move their primaries and caucuses back into early January. All but Nevada, who agreed to follow Florida, confirmed their caucus and primary dates to take place throughout January, with South Carolina deciding to hold their contest on January 21, 2012. It is an open primary, meaning all registered voters can participate in the primary.

Ballot access

Nine candidates appeared on the presidential primary ballot. South Carolina had only 25 delegates up for grabs because it moved its primary to January 21. Eleven delegates were awarded for the statewide winner, Newt Gingrich, and two additional delegates were awarded to the winner of each of the seven congressional districts. Six districts were won by Gingrich, and one by Romney, giving Gingrich twelve additional delegates and Romney two delegates.

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the January 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries#South Carolina (January 21)

Results

Main article: Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

There were 2,804,231 registered voters, for a turnout of 21.60%.

South Carolina Republican primary, 2012CandidateVotesPercentageEstimated national delegates
Newt Gingrich244,06540.42%23
Mitt Romney168,12327.85%2
Rick Santorum102,47516.97%0
Ron Paul78,36012.98%0
Herman Cain6,3381.05%0
Rick Perry2,5340.42%0
Jon Huntsman1,1730.19%0
Michele Bachmann4910.08%0
Gary Johnson2110.03%0
Totals603,770100.00%25
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Results

United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2012PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,071,64554.56%9
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)865,94144.09%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray16,3210.83%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala5,4460.28%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer4,7650.22%0
Totals1,964,118100.00%9

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,071,64554.56%865,94144.09%26,5321.35%205,70410.47%1,964,118
Abbeville5,98156.05%4,54342.57%1471.38%1,43813.48%10,671
Aiken44,04262.59%25,32235.99%9991.42%18,72026.60%70,363
Allendale83820.13%3,29779.20%280.67%-2,459-59.07%4,163
Anderson48,70967.45%22,40531.03%1,0981.52%26,30436.42%72,212
Bamberg2,19431.88%4,62467.19%640.93%-2,430-35.31%6,882
Barnwell4,65946.95%5,18852.28%760.77%-529-5.33%9,923
Beaufort42,68758.24%29,84840.72%7621.04%12,83917.52%73,297
Berkeley38,47556.42%28,54241.85%1,1781.73%9,93314.57%68,195
Calhoun3,70747.32%4,04551.63%821.05%-338-4.31%7,834
Charleston77,62948.01%81,48750.39%2,5911.60%-3,858-2.38%161,707
Cherokee13,31464.09%7,23134.81%2281.10%6,08329.28%20,773
Chester6,36744.19%7,89154.77%1491.04%-1,524-10.58%14,407
Chesterfield8,49051.16%7,95847.96%1460.88%5323.20%16,594
Clarendon7,07143.40%9,09155.80%1300.80%-2,020-12.40%16,292
Colleton8,44349.41%8,47549.60%1680.99%-32-0.19%17,086
Darlington14,43447.87%15,45751.27%2590.86%-1,023-3.40%30,150
Dillon5,42741.63%7,52357.71%850.66%-2,096-16.08%13,035
Dorchester32,53157.22%23,44541.24%8791.54%9,08615.98%56,855
Edgefield6,51256.21%4,96742.87%1070.92%1,54513.34%11,586
Fairfield3,99933.62%7,77765.38%1191.00%-3,778-31.76%11,895
Florence28,96149.83%28,61449.23%5470.94%3470.60%58,122
Georgetown16,52653.37%14,16345.74%2760.89%2,3637.63%30,965
Greenville121,68562.99%68,07035.23%3,4341.78%53,61527.76%193,189
Greenwood16,34857.02%11,97241.76%3521.22%4,37615.26%28,672
Hampton3,31235.98%5,83463.37%600.65%-2,522-27.39%9,206
Horry72,12764.17%38,88534.60%1,3811.23%33,24229.57%112,393
Jasper4,16941.60%5,75757.45%950.95%-1,588-15.85%10,021
Kershaw16,32458.41%11,25940.29%3631.30%5,06518.12%27,946
Lancaster19,33358.33%13,41940.49%3921.18%5,91417.84%33,144
Laurens14,74658.02%10,31840.60%3521.38%4,42817.42%25,416
Lee2,83231.80%5,97767.10%981.10%-3,145-35.30%8,907
Lexington76,66268.07%34,14830.32%1,8131.61%42,51437.75%112,623
Marion5,16434.46%9,68864.65%1340.89%-4,524-30.19%14,986
Marlboro3,67637.31%6,10061.91%770.78%-2,424-24.60%9,853
McCormick2,46747.81%2,65351.41%400.78%-186-3.60%5,160
Newberry9,26056.63%6,91342.28%1781.09%2,34714.35%16,351
Oconee21,61170.47%8,55027.88%5051.65%13,06142.59%30,666
Orangeburg12,02227.93%30,72071.37%2990.70%-18,698-43.44%43,041
Pickens33,47473.49%11,15624.49%9192.02%22,13849.00%45,549
Richland53,10533.37%103,98965.34%2,0601.29%-50,884-31.97%159,154
Saluda5,13559.96%3,32838.86%1011.18%1,80721.10%8,564
Spartanburg66,96960.93%41,46137.72%1,4761.35%25,50823.21%109,906
Sumter19,27440.74%27,58958.32%4460.94%-8,315-17.58%47,309
Union6,58452.50%5,79646.22%1611.28%7886.28%12,541
Williamsburg4,82429.59%11,33569.52%1450.89%-6,511-39.93%16,304
York59,54659.42%39,13139.05%1,5331.53%20,41520.37%100,210
County Flips: {{col-start}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Darlington (largest city: Hartsville)

By congressional district

Romney won six of seven congressional districts.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
58.25%40.2%Tim Scott
59.14%39.43%Joe Wilson
64.55%33.95%Jeff Duncan
62.17%36.2%Trey Gowdy
55.1%43.62%Mick Mulvaney
28.1%70.9%Jim Clyburn
54.55%44.43%Tom Rice

References

References

  1. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  2. "Decennial Census by Decades".
  3. "The Road to 270: South Carolina".
  4. "South Carolina Presidential Election Voting History".
  5. "GOP bellwether South Carolina shows a tangled race: Pg 1". Christian Science Monitor.
  6. "First in the South". Fox News.
  7. Falcone, Michael. (September 2, 2011). "South Carolina GOP Officials Hope To Strike Deal With Florida To 'Calm' 2012 Primary Waters". ABC News.
  8. "South Carolina Primary Results". The New York Times.
  9. Taylor, Steven. (September 29, 2011). "Florida Moves its Primary". Outside the Beltway.
  10. Jacobs, Jennifer. (October 25, 2011). "GOP chairman: Florida will be penalized, and 2012 race is now set". Des Moines Register.
  11. Nir, David. (October 24, 2011). "Nevada Republicans cave, move caucuses to Feb. 4". Daily Kos.
  12. Richard E. Berg-Andersson. "South Carolina Republican". The Green Papers.
  13. Whitmire, C. "2012 Republican Presidential Primary Candidates". South Carolina State Election Commission.
  14. Kleefeld, Eric. (January 4, 2012). "South Carolina GOP Chairman: 'Anyone Can Win' In Our Primary". [[Talking Points Memo]].
  15. (February 3, 2012). "South Carolina Primary". South Carolina State Election Commission.
  16. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  17. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  18. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  19. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  20. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  21. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  22. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  23. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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