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2012 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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2012 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Nebraska
countryNebraska
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Nebraska
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1Mitt Romney
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1Paul Ryan
electoral_vote15
popular_vote1475,064
percentage159.80%
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2302,081
percentage238.03%
map_image{{Switcher
map_caption
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:Nebraska Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|350px]] | County results | [[File:2020 U.S. House elections in Nebraska.svg|350px]] | Congressional district results Romney Obama The 2012 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Voters chose five electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Mitt Romney carried Nebraska, taking 59.80% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.03%, a margin of 21.77%. Nebraska is one of two states (along with Maine) which splits its electoral votes based on the winner in each congressional district. In 2012, Romney won all 3 congressional districts, thus winning all 5 of the state's electoral votes. This was a change from 2008, when the state as a whole had voted for Republican John McCain but Democrat Barack Obama still won an electoral vote from the state. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, home to Omaha, had split with the rest of the state and awarded one of Nebraska's electoral votes to a Democratic presidential nominee for the first time since 1964. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, Indiana, and North Carolina were the only sources of electoral votes won by Obama in 2008 that Romney managed to flip. Obama only won a single county, Thurston, largely due to its majority and increasingly politically active Native American population. He also narrowly lost three of four counties he won in 2008: Douglas, Lancaster, and Saline, home to the cities of Omaha, Lincoln, and Crete, respectively. He became the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to win without carrying Saline County.

As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that the Democrat won Thurston County and the Republican won Douglas or Lancaster County. This was the last time until 2024 that Nebraska's 2nd congressional district did not back the overall winner of the Electoral College, and when the Democratic candidate won the presidency without carrying the district.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was not held as Barack Obama ran unopposed and had secured enough delegates for nomination.

Republican primary

(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy) The Republican primary was on May 15, 2012. This primary was purely of an advisory nature. From June 1 to June 10 caucuses county conventions caucused to elect delegates to the state convention. These delegates were not bound to vote for any candidate, but at the state convention on July 14, elected 32 bound National delegates. 3 party leaders attended the National Convention unbound, making a total of 35 voting delegates going to the national convention from Nebraska.

2012 Nebraska Republican primaryCandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney131,43670.89%30
Rick Santorum25,83013.93%0
Ron Paul18,5089.98%2
Newt Gingrich9,6285.19%0
Unpledged delegates:3
Total:185,402100.0%35
Key:Withdrew prior to contest

Convention

The State Convention was held in Grand Island on July 14, 2012.

Convention ResultsCandidate1st2nd3rdStateParty
leadersTotal
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]]Mitt Romney31323232
Ron Paul020002
Unknown000011
Total923335

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012
SourceRanking (1st)Ranking (2nd)Ranking (3rd)As of
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in NebraskaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan475,06459.80%5
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)302,08138.03%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray11,1091.40%0
Write-Ins3,7170.47%0
IndependentRandall TerryMissy Smith2,4080.30%0
Totals794,379100.00%5

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals475,06459.80%302,08138.03%17,2342.17%172,98321.77%794,379
Adams8,31665.64%4,06232.06%2922.30%4,25433.58%12,670
Antelope2,59680.32%57117.67%652.01%2,02562.65%3,232
Arthur22786.64%3011.45%51.91%19775.19%262
Banner34684.18%5513.38%102.44%29170.80%411
Blaine26888.45%299.57%61.98%23978.88%303
Boone2,13876.19%61521.92%531.89%1,52354.27%2,806
Box Butte2,86960.98%1,69235.96%1443.06%1,17725.02%4,705
Boyd87381.51%18817.55%100.94%68563.96%1,071
Brown1,30283.73%22414.41%291.86%1,07869.32%1,555
Buffalo13,57069.76%5,36527.58%5182.66%8,20542.18%19,453
Burt2,02960.12%1,29138.25%551.63%73821.87%3,375
Butler2,73870.95%1,04527.08%761.97%1,69343.87%3,859
Cass7,55662.04%4,36735.85%2572.11%3,18926.19%12,180
Cedar3,27875.63%95822.10%982.27%2,32053.53%4,334
Chase1,58484.84%25413.60%291.56%1,33071.24%1,867
Cherry2,55783.45%43614.23%712.32%2,12169.22%3,064
Cheyenne3,44974.19%1,08423.32%1162.49%2,36550.87%4,649
Clay2,23275.74%66722.63%481.63%1,56553.11%2,947
Colfax2,05166.83%96931.57%491.60%1,08235.26%3,069
Cuming2,87672.33%1,03125.93%691.74%1,84546.40%3,976
Custer4,29678.14%1,08319.70%1192.16%3,21358.44%5,498
Dakota3,09450.42%2,92247.62%1201.96%1722.80%6,136
Dawes2,47866.47%1,13230.36%1183.17%1,34636.11%3,728
Dawson5,46069.47%2,19927.98%2002.55%3,26141.49%7,859
Deuel76375.02%21521.14%393.84%54853.88%1,017
Dixon1,74564.97%87032.39%712.64%87532.58%2,686
Dodge8,99560.17%5,67337.95%2821.88%3,32222.22%14,950
Douglas113,22050.56%106,45647.54%4,2511.90%6,7643.02%223,927
Dundy79280.41%17617.87%171.72%61662.54%985
Fillmore2,00769.71%80728.03%652.26%1,20041.68%2,879
Franklin1,11272.40%38425.00%402.60%72847.40%1,536
Frontier1,00777.16%27120.77%272.07%73656.39%1,305
Furnas1,78279.55%42318.88%351.57%1,35960.67%2,240
Gage5,51357.06%3,90340.40%2452.54%1,61016.66%9,661
Garden82975.99%24222.18%201.83%58753.81%1,091
Garfield76981.81%14915.85%222.34%62065.96%940
Gosper73475.05%23023.52%141.43%50451.53%978
Grant32288.71%308.26%113.03%29280.45%363
Greeley82069.20%34028.69%252.11%48040.51%1,185
Hall12,64662.51%7,16135.40%4222.09%5,48527.11%20,229
Hamilton3,60073.91%1,14623.53%1252.56%2,45450.38%4,871
Harlan1,39578.46%35419.91%291.63%1,04158.55%1,778
Hayes47688.31%519.46%122.23%42578.85%539
Hitchcock1,17878.80%27418.33%432.87%90460.47%1,495
Holt3,92279.41%88217.86%1352.73%3,04061.55%4,939
Hooker33083.54%5914.94%61.52%27168.60%395
Howard1,89065.85%91431.85%662.30%97634.00%2,870
Jefferson2,16662.86%1,19534.68%852.46%97128.18%3,446
Johnson1,22559.38%79038.29%482.33%43521.09%2,063
Kearney2,34973.87%77324.31%581.82%1,57649.56%3,180
Keith3,04475.01%92822.87%862.12%2,11652.14%4,058
Keya Paha39381.20%8016.53%112.27%31364.67%484
Kimball1,23573.21%39523.41%573.38%84049.80%1,687
Knox2,88571.48%1,05926.24%922.28%1,82645.24%4,036
Lancaster62,43449.02%62,01548.69%2,9062.29%4190.33%127,355
Lincoln10,72868.53%4,45028.43%4773.06%6,27840.10%15,655
Logan35682.60%6815.78%71.62%28866.82%431
Loup29081.01%6217.32%61.67%22863.69%358
Madison10,06272.47%3,48525.10%3382.43%6,57747.37%13,885
McPherson23781.44%4114.09%134.47%19667.35%291
Merrick2,49071.37%92526.51%742.12%1,56544.86%3,489
Morrill1,68176.76%45520.78%542.46%1,22655.98%2,190
Nance1,10668.23%48129.67%342.10%62538.56%1,621
Nemaha2,01262.60%1,12835.10%742.30%88427.50%3,214
Nuckolls1,57471.84%56825.92%492.24%1,00645.92%2,191
Otoe4,25860.99%2,56136.68%1632.33%1,69724.31%6,982
Pawnee89967.04%40029.83%423.13%49937.21%1,341
Perkins1,13581.42%23817.07%211.51%89764.35%1,394
Phelps3,40077.63%88020.09%1002.28%2,52057.54%4,380
Pierce2,70778.90%63718.57%872.53%2,07060.33%3,431
Platte10,06174.68%3,14823.37%2641.95%6,91351.31%13,473
Polk1,89076.92%52821.49%391.59%1,36255.43%2,457
Red Willow3,89178.83%95219.29%931.88%2,93959.54%4,936
Richardson2,44365.34%1,19131.85%1052.81%1,25233.49%3,739
Rock67285.17%10313.05%141.78%56972.12%789
Saline2,55751.57%2,28946.17%1122.26%2685.40%4,958
Sarpy43,21360.45%26,67137.31%1,6062.24%16,54223.14%71,490
Saunders6,77065.65%3,30732.07%2352.28%3,46333.58%10,312
Scotts Bluff9,64867.53%4,32730.29%3122.18%5,32137.24%14,287
Seward5,00366.06%2,38631.51%1842.43%2,61734.55%7,573
Sheridan2,02181.76%39015.78%612.46%1,63165.98%2,472
Sherman92760.59%55236.08%513.33%37524.51%1,530
Sioux62484.44%10113.67%141.89%52370.77%739
Stanton1,94973.71%61423.22%813.07%1,33550.49%2,644
Thayer1,87470.48%72827.38%572.14%1,14643.10%2,659
Thomas36088.24%4210.29%61.47%31877.95%408
Thurston93942.39%1,24756.30%291.31%-308-13.91%2,215
Valley1,65775.49%49822.69%401.82%1,15952.80%2,195
Washington6,89967.33%3,13230.57%2152.10%3,76736.76%10,246
Wayne2,49367.71%1,07429.17%1153.12%1,41938.54%3,682
Webster1,25872.22%44225.37%422.41%81646.85%1,742
Wheeler34577.01%9320.76%102.23%25256.25%448
York4,87476.70%1,37321.61%1081.69%3,50155.09%6,355
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Douglas (largest city: Omaha)
  • Lancaster (largest city: Lincoln)
  • Saline (largest city: Crete)

By congressional district

Romney won all three of Nebraska's congressional districts.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
57%41%Jeff Fortenberry
53%46%Lee Terry
70%28%Adrian Smith

References

References

  1. "Nebraska Results".
  2. "Archived copy".
  3. "Archived copy".
  4. "Nebraska Republican Delegation 2012".
  5. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  6. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  7. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  8. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  9. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  10. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  11. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  12. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  13. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  14. "Official Results of Nebraska General Election - November 6, 2012".
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