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2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut

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Field	Value
election_name	2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut
country	Connecticut
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut
previous_year	2008
next_election	2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut
next_year	2016
turnout	73.77%
election_date	November 6, 2012
image_size	x200px
image1	President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee1	Barack Obama
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
home_state1	Illinois
running_mate1	Joe Biden
electoral_vote1	7
popular_vote1	905,109
percentage1	58.06%
image2	Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee2	Mitt Romney
party2	Republican Party (United States)
home_state2	Massachusetts
running_mate2	Paul Ryan
electoral_vote2	0
popular_vote2	634,899
percentage2	40.72%
map_image	{{switcher	[[File:Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2012.svg	251px]]
default	1}}
map_caption
title	President
before_election	Barack Obama
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Barack Obama
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

|County results |[[File:Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2012 by Municipality.svg|251px]] |Municipality results | [[File:2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut by congressional district.svg|251px]] |Congressional district results Obama Romney Tie The 2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose seven electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Obama and Biden carried Connecticut with 58.1% of the popular vote to Romney's and Ryan's 40.7%, thus winning the state's seven electoral votes. Romney managed to flip the traditionally Republican Litchfield County, which Obama had won in 2008. As of the 2020 United States presidential election, this was the last election that the Democratic presidential nominee won Windham County.

To date, this is the last time that the towns of Berlin, Bozrah, Brooklyn, Chaplin, East Haven, Franklin, Griswold, Killingly, Lebanon, Lisbon, Naugatuck, North Branford, North Haven, North Stonington, Plainfield, Plainville, Putnam, Salem, Southington, Sprague, Stafford, Union, and Voluntown voted Democratic and the last time that the towns of Avon, Darien, East Granby, Easton, Granby, Greenwich, New Canaan, Newtown, Ridgefield, and Wilton voted Republican. This is also the most recent election in which Woodstock voted for the losing candidate.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

As Barack Obama was the only candidate to qualify, no Democratic primary was held.

Republican primary

(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

The 2012 Connecticut Republican presidential primary took place on April 24, 2012. It was a closed primary, open only to Republican electors. 25 of the state's 28 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention were decided by the primary outcome, with the other 3 being superdelegates: the state party chairman and the state's two Republican National Committee representatives.

Mitt Romney won the primary by a wide margin, garnering two-thirds of the vote. Only 14.4% of active registered Republicans participated in the primary, the lowest turnout since the primary format was put in place in the state in 1980.

Process

After switching from proportional distribution of delegates to a winner-take-all system in 1996, the Connecticut Republican Party voted in September 2011 to award delegates by a hybrid winner-take-all and proportional distribution process beginning with the 2012 primary. Of the 25 regular delegates at stake in the primary, the party called for three delegates to be awarded to the winner of each of the state's five congressional districts on a winner-take-all basis for a total of 15 delegates. The remaining 10 would be distributed proportionally based on the statewide vote total among candidates receiving at least 20% support unless a candidate won a majority of the statewide vote, in which case the candidate would receive all 10 of these delegates.

With Romney's primary day wins in all five congressional districts and a majority of the statewide vote, he was able to claim all 25 of the delegates at stake.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd
Quinnipiac
Margin of error: ±4.7%
Sample size: 429	Mar. 14–19, 2012		**Mitt Romney
42%**	Rick Santorum
19%	Newt Gingrich
13%	Ron Paul 9%, Won't vote 3%, Don't know/No answer 14%
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.9%
Sample size: 400	Sep. 22–25, 2011		**Mitt Romney
25%**	Rick Perry
18%	Herman Cain
10%	Newt Gingrich 10%, Ron Paul 10%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Gary Johnson 1%, someone else/not sure 12%
	**Mitt Romney
45%**	Rick Perry
36%	–	not sure 19%
Quinnipiac
Margin of error: ±5.4%
Sample size: 332	Sep. 8–13, 2011		**Mitt Romney
37%**	Rick Perry
19%	Michele Bachmann
8%	Sarah Palin 4%, Herman Cain 3%, Newt Gingrich 3%, Ron Paul 3%, Jon Huntsman 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Thaddeus McCotter 0%, someone else/undecided 20%
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±7.3%
Sample size: 180	Oct. 27–29, 2010		**Mitt Romney
28%**	Mike Huckabee
15%	Newt Gingrich
14%	Sarah Palin 11%, Tim Pawlenty 5%, Mike Pence 5%, Mitch Daniels 4%, John Thune 2%, someone else/undecided 18%

Results

2012 Connecticut Republican presidential primary	Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegates
[[File:America Symbol.svg	14px]] Mitt Romney	40,171	67.43%	25
Ron Paul	8,032	13.48%	0
Newt Gingrich	6,135	10.30%	0
Rick Santorum	4,072	6.83%	0
Uncommitted	1,168	1.96%	0
Unprojected delegates:	0
Total:	59,578	100%	25

Official source reports a turnout of 59,639, with the difference from 59,578 likely due to blank ballots.

Key:	Suspended campaign prior to contest

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Huffington Post		November 6, 2012
CNN		November 6, 2012
The New York Times		November 6, 2012
The Washington Post		November 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics		November 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight		November 6, 2012

Ballot access

Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, Republican
Barack Obama/Joseph Biden, Democratic
Gary Johnson/James P. Gray, Libertarian
Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice Write-in candidate access:
Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala, Green
Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer, Constitution
Raymond Sizemore/Vicki Tomalin, Independent

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut	Party	Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage
Democratic	Barack Obama (incumbent)	Joe Biden (incumbent)	905,109	58.06%	7
Republican	Mitt Romney	Paul Ryan	634,899	40.72%	0
Libertarian	Gary Johnson	Jim Gray	12,580	0.81%	0
Justice	Rocky Anderson	Luis J. Rodriguez	5,487	0.35%	0
Green (Write-in)	Jill Stein (Write-in)	Cheri Honkala	863	0.06%	0
American Independent (Write-in)	Thomas Hoefling (Write-in)	Jonathan D. Ellis	25	0.00%	0
Write-ins	Write-ins		25	0.00%	0
Socialist Workers (Write-in)	James Harris (Write-in)	Maura DeLuca	5	0.00%	0
Totals	1,558,960	100.00%	7

By county

County	Barack Obama
Democratic	Mitt Romney
Republican	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total votes cast	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	905,109	58.06%	634,899	40.72%	18,985	1.22%	270,210	17.34%	1,558,993
	Fairfield		217,294		54.85%		175,168		44.22%		3,668		0.93%		42,126		10.63%		396,130
	Hartford		244,639		62.37%		143,238		36.52%		4,363		1.11%		101,401		25.85%		392,240
	Litchfield		43,856		47.45%		47,201		51.07%		1,370		1.48%		-3,345		-3.62%		92,427
	Middlesex		47,855		57.29%		34,591		41.41%		1,092		1.30%		13,264		15.88%		83,538
	New Haven		218,998		60.65%		138,364		38.32%		3,697		1.03%		80,634		22.33%		361,059
	New London		67,144		58.33%		46,119		40.07%		1,839		1.60%		21,025		18.26%		115,102
	Tolland		39,366		55.45%		30,450		42.89%		1,175		1.66%		8,916		12.56%		70,991
	Windham		25,957		55.72%		19,768		42.43%		863		1.85%		6,189		13.29%		46,588

County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)

By congressional district

Obama won all five congressional districts.

District	Obama	Representative
63%	36%	John B. Larson
56%	43%	Joe Courtney
63%	36%	Rosa DeLauro
55%	44%	Jim Himes
54%	45%	Elizabeth Esty

Analysis

Voter demographics

Demographic subgroup		Obama		Romney	% of
total vote	Ideology	Party	Age	Gender	Marital status	Race/ethnicity	Education	Income
Liberals	93	6	28
Moderates	56	42	47
Conservatives	19	80	24
Democrats	94	6	41
Republicans	9	91	26
Independents	51	46	32
18–29 years old	66	30	13
30–44 years old	55	44	24
45–64 years old	58	41	43
65 and older	54	46	20
Men	51	47	47
Women	63	36	53
Married	54	45	64
Unmarried	65	33	36
White	51	48	79
Black	93	7	11
Latino	79	20	6
Never attended college	62	37	41
Some college education	60	39	24
College graduate	49	49	31
Advanced degree	60	38	29
Under $30K	73	24	12
$30K-$49K	73	26	13
$50K or more	53	46	75
$100K or more	53	46	46

References

"Connecticut Statement of Vote". CT SoS.
"2012 Connecticut Presidential Results".
(March 5, 2012). "Merrill: No Democratic Presidential Preference Primary in Connecticut, Only Four Candidates for Republican Ballot on April 24th". [[Secretary of the State of Connecticut]].
"Presidential Primary Dates". [[Federal Election Commission]].
(April 25, 2012). "Merrill Releases Turnout Figure From 2012 Presidential Preference Primary, Romney Wins All 25 Delegates at Stake". [[Connecticut Secretary of the State]].
Vigdor, Neil. (September 28, 2011). "State GOP moves away from winner-take-all presidential primary". GreenwichTime.com.
(September 27, 2011). "Connecticut Republican State Central Committee Rules and Bylaws".
[https://web.archive.org/web/20120322163812/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1724 Quinnipiac]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CT_1003.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[https://archive.today/20121212094150/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1646&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CACOCTILNHPA_1109.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"Connecticut Republican Presidential Primary". [[Secretary of the State of Connecticut]].
"Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
"2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
"Statement of Vote".
"President Exit Polls". The New York Times.

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