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2012 United States presidential election in Arizona

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2012 United States presidential election in Arizona

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Arizona
countryArizona
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Arizona
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Arizona
next_year2016
turnout74.36%
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1Mitt Romney
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1Paul Ryan
electoral_vote111
popular_vote11,233,654
percentage153.65%
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote21,025,232
percentage244.59%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:Arizona Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|250px]] | County results | [[File:AZ-12-pres-districts.svg|250px]] | Congressional district results | State legislative district results -- | [[File:AZ President 2012.svg |250px]] | Precinct results Romney Obama Tie/No Data The 2012 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. State voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Arizona was won by Romney with a 9.06% margin. Obama is the only Democrat to ever win two terms without carrying the state at least once since the state's founding in 1912. Arizona is also one of only two states that voted against Obama in both 2008 and 2012 that his vice president Joe Biden would go on to win in 2020, the other being Georgia.

Until 2020, Arizona had been won by the Republican nominee for president in every election since 1952, except when Bill Clinton narrowly carried the state over Bob Dole in 1996. This is also the most recent time that Arizona has backed the losing candidate in a presidential election and the last time a Democrat won the presidency without winning Arizona.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama won all the delegates.

Republican primary

Romney The Republican primary was a closed primary that took place on February 28, 2012. More than 1,130,000 registered Republican voters participated in the event, the purpose of which was to select delegates from the state to attend the Republican National Convention on behalf of candidates for the Republican presidential nomination. The Republican National Committee removed half of Arizona's delegate allocation because the state committee moved its Republican primary before March 6. Arizona therefore held a ballot to select 29 proportionally-allocated delegates. This election occurred the same day as the Michigan Republican primary. The Arizona primary was set as a winner-take-all contest, another violation of RNC delegate allocation rules, which require proportional allocation for all primaries held before April 1. Endorsements from 2008 primary rival and U.S. Senator John McCain and Governor Jan Brewer helped add to the prospects of a victory for Romney in Arizona.

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries#Arizona (February 28)

Project White House

The small alternative newspaper Tucson Weekly, for the second election in a row, has sponsored an event called "Project White House" in which it gets as many ordinary citizens on the ballot as it possibly can. Afterward, a series of "reality show style" competitions occurred, including candidate meet-and-greets, and two televised debates which were sponsored by the Tucson Weekly, a local public-access television show called Illegal Knowledge, and local public television stations.

The two debates took place on February 18 and February 19, 2012, both were commercial-free, one hour long each, and both aired on Access Tucson while they were streamed live on the internet. Both debates were produced in conjunction with Project White House and Jim Nintzel of the Tucson Weekly.

The first debate, held on the 18th at 8 pm MST, produced by Illegal Knowledge and hosted by Dave Maass of San Diego CityBeat, had nine participants, composed of eight lesser known Republican candidates (Donald Benjamin, Simon Bollander, Cesar Cisneros, Kip Dean, Sarah Gonzales, Al "Dick" Perry, Charles Skelley and Jim Terr) and one Green Party candidate (Michael Oatman). A press release regarding this first debate was distributed which invited all candidates listed on either Republican or Green Party ballots in Arizona to the first debate, although none of the major Republican or Green Party candidates appeared.

The second debate, held on the 19th at 7pm MST, produced by Access Tucson and hosted by both Dave Maass of San Diego CityBeat and Amanda Hurley of The University of Arizona School of Journalism, was restricted only to Republican candidates and featured seven of the eight lesser known Republican candidates from the previous night (less Cesar Cisneros).

There was a third Arizona debate which took place in Mesa, AZ on February 22, 2012, but was not associated with Project White House and had only invited the four major Republican candidates to participate.

Two lesser known candidates appearing in the first debates, Sarah Gonzales (who placed sixth) and Michael Oatman (who placed tied for third), placed ahead of their better known Republican and Green Party counterparts (Buddy Roemer and Gerard Davis respectively) in the Arizona Presidential Preference Election Results from February 28, 2012.

Campaign

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer, Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, and Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum were contesting and campaigning in the Arizona primary.

Televised debates in Arizona were held on February 18 and 19, 2012, on Public-access television and February 22, 2012, on CNN. Only the major Republican candidates, except for Roemer, were invited to the third, and none of them attended the first two.

Twenty-three candidates appeared on the presidential primary ballot, 11 of whom are residents of the state.

Results

Main article: Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

The 2012 Arizona Republican state convention, which determined delegates who would be sent to the RNC.

Arizona was allocated 29 delegates because it moved its primary to February 28.

Voter turnout = 45.3%

CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney239,16746.87%26
Rick Santorum138,03127.05%0
Newt Gingrich81,74816.02%0
Ron Paul43,9528.61%3
Rick Perry (withdrawn)2,0230.40%0
Sarah Gonzales1,5440.30%0
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn)6920.14%0
Paul Sims5300.10%0
Cesar Cisneros4180.08%0
Mark Callahan3580.07%0
Al "Dick" Perry3100.06%0
Donald Benjamin2230.04%0
Michael Levinson2170.04%0
Kip Dean1980.04%0
Ronald Zack1560.03%0
Christopher Hill1390.03%0
Frank Lynch1100.02%0
Wayne Charles Arnett960.02%0
Raymond Scott Perkins900.02%0
Matt Welch860.02%0
Jim Terr590.01%0
Charles Skelley570.01%0
Simon Bollander540.01%0
Total:510,258100.00%29

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
The New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
The Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Ballot access

  • Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, Republican
  • Barack Obama/Joseph Biden, Democratic
  • Gary Johnson/James P. Gray, Libertarian
  • Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala, Green Write-in candidate access:
  • Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer, Constitution
  • Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice

Results

2012 United States presidential election in ArizonaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,233,65453.48%11
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)1,025,23244.45%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray32,1001.39%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala7,8160.34%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer2890.01%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1190.01%0
Other Write-InOther Write-In7,3490.32%0
Totals2,306,559100.00%11

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarrack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,233,65453.48%1,025,23244.45%47,6732.07%208,4229.03%2,306,559
Apache8,25031.83%17,14766.16%5202.01%-8,897-34.33%25,917
Cochise29,49759.95%18,54637.69%1,1582.35%10,95122.26%49,201
Coconino21,22040.84%29,25756.30%1,4852.86%-8,037-15.46%51,962
Gila13,45562.31%7,69735.64%4432.05%5,75826.67%21,595
Graham8,07667.84%3,60930.31%2201.85%4,46737.53%11,905
Greenlee1,59253.32%1,31043.87%842.81%2829.45%2,986
La Paz3,71464.76%1,88032.78%1412.46%1,83431.98%5,735
Maricopa749,88554.30%602,28843.61%28,7862.08%147,59710.69%1,380,959
Mohave49,16869.91%19,53327.77%1,6272.31%29,63542.14%70,328
Navajo19,88453.07%16,94545.23%6361.70%2,9397.84%37,465
Pima174,77945.61%201,25152.52%7,1431.86%-26,472-6.91%383,173
Pinal62,07957.12%44,30640.77%2,2972.11%17,77316.35%108,682
Santa Cruz4,23530.44%9,48668.19%1901.37%-5,251-37.75%13,911
Yavapai64,46864.04%33,91833.69%2,2812.27%30,55030.35%100,667
Yuma23,35255.50%18,05942.92%6621.57%5,29312.58%42,073

By congressional district

Romney won six of nine districts, including two that elected Democrats.

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
47.89%50.42%Ann Kirkpatrick
48.37%49.94%Ron Barber
61.44%36.94%Raúl Grijalva
31.02%67.19%Paul Gosar
34.56%63.76%Matt Salmon
38.82%59.52%David Schweikert
71.7%26.51%Ed Pastor
36.87%61.68%Trent Franks
51.12%46.59%Kyrsten Sinema

References

References

  1. Burns, Alexander. (September 12, 2011). "Arizona flouts rules, keeps February primary". Politico.
  2. (2012-01-04). "John McCain Endorses Romney {{!}} Fox News".
  3. (2012-02-26). "Jan Brewer Endorses Romney".
  4. "Project White House 2012 Feature, Tucson Weekly". Tucson Weekly.
  5. "Project White House 2012, Tucson Weekly". Tucson Weekly.
  6. (April 2019). "Illegal Knowledge TV Episode 401, Access Tucson". Access Tucson.
  7. "IKTV401 Let's Get On TV 2012 Illegal Knowledge's Arizona Presidential Preference Election Debate Special".
  8. (April 2019). "Project White House Debate 2012, Access Tucson". Access Tucson.
  9. "Project White House Debate 2012".
  10. "Dave Maass, Project White House Debates!". Dave Maass.
  11. (15 February 2012). "Announcing First Arizona Presidential Preference Election Debate in 2012 (press release)". Michael Oatman, Host / Producer Illegal Knowledge TV.
  12. "CNN Observations: CNN Arizona GOP Presidential Debate Airs Tonight".
  13. "GOP Candidates to Appear for Final Debate before Super Tuesday - Ratings".
  14. "February 28, 2012 Election Results". Ken Bennett, Arizona Secretary of State.
  15. "Project White House 2012".
  16. Mendte, Larry. (2012-02-16). "Why Are the Republicans Hiding Buddy Roemer? {{!}} The Philly Post".
  17. Bennett, Ken. "2012 Presidential Preference Election - Ballot Order". Arizona Secretary of State.
  18. https://news.yahoo.com/23-official-candidates-arizona-primary-ballot-other-significant-001800979.html {{Dead link. (February 2022)
  19. "Iowa Caucuses & New Hampshire Primary Guide". NBC News.
  20. (February 29, 2012). "State of Arizona Registration Report". Arizona Secretary of State.
  21. "AZ - Election Results".
  22. ''Arizona Daily Star'': [http://azstarnet.com/news/national/govt-and-politics/of-az-delegates-break-ranks-vote-for-ron-paul/article_4eb297aa-6f53-54e2-a9c3-0ec572c233c0.html 3 of 29 AZ delegates break ranks, vote for Ron Paul]. August 29, 2012.
  23. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  24. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  25. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  26. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  27. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  28. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  29. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  30. "Arizona Secretary of State". Arizona Secretary of State.
  31. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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