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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon |
| country | Oregon |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 5 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 4 |
| seats1 | 4 |
| seat_change1 | |
| popular_vote1 | 949,660 |
| percentage1 | 55.60% |
| swing1 | 4.29% |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 687,839 |
| percentage2 | 40.27% |
| swing2 | 5.70% |
| map_image | {{switcher |
| map_caption |
|[[File:Oregon Congressional Election Results 2012.svg|280px]] |District results |[[File:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon results map by county.svg|280px]] |County results Democratic Republican The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oregon, apportioned according to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. All five incumbents, four Democrats and one Republican, were re-elected to another term.
Primary elections for Democrats and Republicans were held on May 15, 2012; other parties had other nominating procedures. Several candidates received nominations for multiple parties, as permitted by Oregon law.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2012{{cite web | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| url=http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electioninfo/2012election.pdf#page=53 | author=Karen L. Haas | title=Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 6, 2012 | publisher=Clerk of the United States House of Representatives | date=February 28, 2013 | access-date=November 21, 2016}}{{cite web |
| Democratic | 949,660 | 55.60% | 4 | - | |
| Republican | 687,839 | 40.27% | 1 | - | |
| Libertarian | 34,879 | 2.04% | - | ||
| Pacific Green | 20,675 | 1.21% | - | ||
| Constitution | 12,518 | 0.73% | - | ||
| write-ins | 2,597 | 0.15% | - | ||
| Totals | 1,708,168 | 100.00% | 5 | - |
Redistricting
On June 29, 2011, members of the Oregon Legislative Assembly reached an agreement on redistricting all five of Oregon's congressional districts, as required by population changes from the 2010 census. Among other changes, Downtown Portland was moved from District 1 to District 3; District 2 ceded more of the Grants Pass area to District 4; and District 5 was changed to include more of Clackamas County and only small parts of Multnomah County.
District 1
Oregon's 1st congressional district is represented by Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, the winner of a January 2012 special election held after Representative David Wu resigned following allegations of an unwanted sexual encounter following the resolution of the 2011 U.S. debt ceiling crisis.{{cite news The district has a PVI of D+6.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Suzanne Bonamici, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Brad Avakian, state Commissioner of Labor and Industries and candidate for this seat in 2012 (special)
- Ryan Deckert, former state senator
- Elizabeth Furse, former U.S. Representative
- Greg Macpherson, former state representative
- Dan Saltzman, Portland city commissioner
- Brad Witt, state representative and candidate for this seat in 2012 (special)
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Delinda Morgan, vineyard owner
Eliminated in primary
- Lisa Michaels, activist, cable host and candidate for this seat in 2012 (special)
Declined
- Rob Cornilles, sports marketing consultant and nominee for this seat in 2010 & 2012 (special)
- Rob Miller, businessman
- Bruce Starr state senator
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 2
Republican Greg Walden has represented Oregon's 2nd congressional district since 1998 and is seeking re-election. The district has a PVI of R+10.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Walden, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joyce Segers, businesswoman, writer and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- John Sweeney, activist
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 3
Democrat Earl Blumenauer has represented Oregon's 3rd congressional district since 1996 and is seeking re-election. The district is the most Democratic-leaning district in the state, with a PVI of D+21.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Earl Blumenauer, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ronald Green, bus operator
Eliminated in primary
- Delia Lopez, real estate investor
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 4
Oregon's 4th congressional district has been represented by Democrat Peter DeFazio since 1987 and he is seeking re-election. The district has a PVI of D+2.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Peter DeFazio, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Robinson, nuclear engineering graduate student and son of Arthur B. Robinson
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Arthur B. Robinson, chemist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "On the Radar" Program
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 5
Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader has represented Oregon's 5th congressional district since 2008 and is running for re-election in what is often considered to be the most competitive district in the state. In fact, the district has an even PVI.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kurt Schrader, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Fred Thompson, retired timber executive and candidate for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Karen Bowerman, business consultant and retired college administrator
Declined
- Scott Bruun, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2010
- Chris Dudley, former professional basketball player and nominee for governor in 2010
Results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
References
References
- (2010). "Elections Division History". [[Oregon Secretary of State]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (June 29, 2011). "Oregon legislators reach agreement on congressional redistricting". [[The Oregonian]].
- Shear, Michael D.. (July 26, 2011). "Wu to Resign From Congress <!--". [[New York Times]].
- "Candidate Filings, Representative in Congress". [[Oregon Secretary of State]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (April 18, 2011). "Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian will run in Democratic primary against Rep. David Wu". [[The Oregonian]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (May 23, 2011). "Ryan Deckert decides not to run for David Wu's congressional seat". [[The Oregonian]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (May 4, 2011). "Elizabeth Furse ponders return to old congressional seat". [[The Oregonian]].
- Slovic, Beth. (April 1, 2011). "Greg Macpherson Weighs Race Against David Wu". [[Willamette Week]].
- Slovic, Beth. (April 12, 2011). "One Local Politician Who Says David Wu Should Step Aside". [[Willamette Week]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (July 7, 2011). "Brad Witt formally announces congressional candidacy in Rep. David Wu's district". [[The Oregonian]].
- Miller, Sean J.. (March 3, 2011). "Republicans see 2012 race against Rep. David Wu as 'highly competitive'". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Cooper, Jonathan J.. (February 1, 2012). "Ore. Democrat wins special election to replace Wu". [[Seattle Post-Intelligencer]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (July 18, 2011). "GOP businessman Rob Miller considering run for Rep. David Wu's seat". [[The Oregonian]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (March 18, 2011). "Oregon Sen. Bruce Starr decides against run for Congressman David Wu's seat". [[The Oregonian]].
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
- (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
- [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
- Darling, John. (October 25, 2011). "Democrat Segers will take on Rep. Walden again". [[Mail Tribune]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (March 8, 2011). "GOP congressional candidate Art Robinson goes nuclear over his children at Oregon State". [[The Oregonian]].
- "CANDIDATES".
- Rendleman, Raymond. (October 26, 2011). "Thompson announces another run for 5th Congressional District seat". Clackamas Review.
- Mapes, Jeff. (January 16, 2012). "Second Republican joins race to take on Rep. Kurt Schrader". [[The Oregonian]].
- Mapes, Jeff. (July 14, 2011). "Chris Dudley says he won't run against Oregon Rep. Kurt Schrader". [[The Oregonian]].
- "Blue Dog Membership". Blue Dog Coalition.
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
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