2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

Overview

Redistricting

A new congressional map was passed by the Missouri General Assembly on April 27, 2011. The map was vetoed by Democratic Governor Jay Nixon on April 30, but Nixon's veto was overridden by the General Assembly on May 4, making the plan law. The map effectively eradicated the former 3rd district, which had been represented by Democrat Russ Carnahan since 2005, splitting it between the districts represented by Republicans Blaine Luetkemeyer and Todd Akin and Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr. The bulk of the old 9th district became the new 3rd district.

District 1

← 2010 (3rd district) |[[File:2020 Missouri's 1st congressional district election by county.svg|150px]] |County results Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr., who had represented Missouri's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Fellow U.S. Representative Russ Carnahan, part of whose district was drawn into the 1st district, challenged Clay in the Democratic primary.

Candidates

Nominee

• William Lacy Clay, Jr., incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Candice Britton
• Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district

Declined

• Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis

Endorsements

Local officials

• Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis

Polling

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Robyn Hamlin, insurance agent and nominee for this seat in 2010.

Eliminated in primary

• Martin Baker, political organizer

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Robb Cunningham, candidate for this seat in 2010

Primary results

General election

Polling

Clay vs Baker

Carnahan vs Hamlin

Carnahan vs Baker

Predictions

Results

District 2

|[[File:2012 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election by county.svg|200px]] |County results Republican Todd Akin, who had represented Missouri's 2nd congressional district since 2001, chose to run for the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ann Wagner, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg and former chair of the Missouri Republican Party

Eliminated in primary

• James Baker, businessman
• Randy Jotte, emergency room physician and former member of the Webster Groves City Council
• John Morris

Withdrawn

• Ed Martin, lawyer and nominee for the 3rd district in 2010 (running for state attorney general)

Declined

• Todd Akin, incumbent U.S. representative
• Jane Cunningham, state senator
• Joe Smith, former state representative

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Glenn Koenen, non-profit executive

Eliminated in primary

• George Weber, realtor
• Harold Whitfield, attorney
• Marshall Works, insurance executive

Declined

• Russ Carnahan, incumbent U.S. representative for the 3rd district

Campaign

3rd District Congressman Russ Carnahan briefly mulled over a run in this district, though the district was more Republican than his previous district, and he did not live in the district. A poll commissioned by Carnahan showed him being competitive with Ann Wagner and Ed Martin. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had preferred that Carnahan run in the district, and considered him a member of the Frontline program for vulnerable members. Ultimately, he ran unsuccessfully for the 1st district.

Primary results

Whitfield requested a recount, as the race was separated by less than 1%. By September 13, 2012, the recount was completed and Koenen was declared the winner.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bill Slantz, businessman

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Anatol Zorikova, business owner

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

• Maggie's List
• National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" Program
• Susan B. Anthony List

Predictions

Results

District 3

|[[File:2012 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election by county.svg|300px]] |County results

Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer ran in the reconfigured 3rd district, which includes most of the 9th district he had represented since 2009.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Eric Mayer, small business owner from Camdenton

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Steven Wilson, commercial artist

Primary results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Declined

• Cynthia Davis, former state representative

General election

Predictions

Results

District 4

|[[File:2012 Missouri's 4th congressional district election by county.svg|200px]] |County results Hensley:

Republican Vicky Hartzler, who represented the 4th district since January 2011, sought re-election. In redistricting, all of Boone, Cooper, Howard, and Randolph counties, and parts of Audrain County, were added to the 4th district, while Cole, Lafayette, Ray, and Saline counties were removed from the district.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Bernie Mowinski, U.S. Air Force veteran

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Teresa Hensley, Cass County prosecuting attorney

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Thomas Holbrook

Eliminated in primary

• Herschel Young, small business owner

Primary results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Greg Cowan, retired Navy lieutenant commander

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

• Maggie's List
• Susan B. Anthony List

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program

Predictions

Results

District 5

|[[File:2012 Missouri's 5th congressional district election by county.svg|250px]] |County results Turk:
Missouri's 5th Congressional district was perhaps the one most complicated by redistricting, and the legal challenges that have ensued. Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver successfully won re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary

Republican Jerry Nolte, who at first announced his intention to run in the 6th district, decided to run in the 5th. His residence lay on the court-contested border of the two districts.

Candidates

Nominee

• Jacob Turk, Marine Corps veteran and nominee for this seat in 2006, 2008, and 2010

Eliminated in primary

• Jason Greene
• Jerry Nolte, former state representative
• Ron Paul Shawd

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Randall Langkraehr

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 6

|[[File:2012 Missouri's 6th congressional district election by county.svg|300px]] |County results Due to realignment following the 2010 U.S. census, the district spanned most of the northern portion of the state, from St. Joseph to Kirksville, and also included most of the state's portion of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for reelection.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Bob Gough, high school mathematics teacher
• Christopher Ryan

Withdrawn

• Jerry Nolte, former state representative

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kyle Yarber, teacher

Eliminated in primary

• Ronald Harris, truck driver, Air Force veteran and candidate for the 5th district in 2000
• Bill Hedge, pastor of St. Francis Baptist Temple
• Ted Rights, physician

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Russ Lee Monchil, committeeman in Mirabile Township

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 7

Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Mike Moon, membership coordinator
• Tom Stilson, environmental geochemist

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Evans, retired businessman, teacher, and U.S. Army veteran

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kevin Craig, editor of Vine & Fig Tree

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 8

Emerson:
Republican Jo Ann Emerson, who had represented Missouri's 8th congressional district since 1996, was challenged by Democratic nominee Jack Rushin and Libertarian nominee Rick Vandeven.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jo Ann Emerson, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Bob Parker, rancher and real estate agent

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jack Rushin, chiropractor

Withdrawn

• Todd Mahn, businessman

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rick Vandeven

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

• Maggie's List

Predictions

Results

References

References

1. [http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/index.aspx Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives]
2. Toeplitz, Shira. (April 28, 2011). "Missouri Legislature Passes New Map, Awaits Nixon's Move". [[Roll Call]].
3. (April 30, 2011). "Missouri governor vetoes state redistricting plan". [[Reuters]].
4. Miller, Joshua. (May 4, 2011). "Missouri Legislature Overrides Nixon's Redistricting Veto". [[Roll Call]].
5. McDermott, Kevin. (August 8, 2012). "William Lacy Clay wins easily over Russ Carnahan". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
6. (February 28, 2012). "Mayor Slay endorses Clay over Carnahan". [[KTRS (AM).
7. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9b9b609b-b0e8-4c9a-b30f-c94bae2f3eb3 SurveyUSA]
8. (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
9. (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
10. [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
11. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
12. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
13. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
14. (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
15. "State of Missouri - Election Night Results".
16. Weiner, Rachel. (May 17, 2011). "Todd Akin running for Senate". [[The Washington Post]].
17. D'Aprile, Shane. (May 17, 2011). "Missouri Republican Wagner formally launches 2012 House bid". [[The Hill (newspaper).
18. Miller, Joshua. (October 25, 2011). "Ann Wagner Definitively Rules Out Senate Bid". [[Roll Call]].
19. Wagman, Jake. (January 24, 2012). "Doctor makes 3 in GOP race for 2nd Congressional District". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
20. Wagman, Jake. (May 9, 2011). "Ed Martin slides out of Senate race, into House fight". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
21. Wagman, Jake. (January 27, 2012). "Ed Martin switches races again, will now pursue attorney general's seat". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
22. Wagman, Jake. (July 6, 2011). "State Sen. Jane Cunningham won't run for Congress". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
23. Aldrich, Dick. (May 18, 2011). "Akin runs for Senate; field grows for current seat". Missouri News Horizon.
24. (2011-07-12). "Carnahan's keep 'em guessing". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
25. Catanese, David. (2011-08-17). "Carnahan poll shows him competitive in MO-2".
26. Miller, Joshua. (2012-01-20). "Is Russ Carnahan Eyeing Challenge to William Lacy Clay?".
27. "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates:". Maggie's List.
28. "CANDIDATES".
29. (27 June 2012). "2012 Candidate List".
30. Miller, Joshua. (May 13, 2011). "Luetkemeyer Passes on Missouri Senate Bid". [[Roll Call]].
31. Carnahan, Robin. "Missouri Secretary of State". Candidate Filing List.
32. Schlinkmann, Mark. (August 16, 2011). "Ex-GOP lawmaker Cynthia Davis switching to Constitution Party". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
33. Keller, Rudi. (January 23, 2012). "Democrat plans run in Fourth District". [[Columbia Daily Tribune]].
34. Xi, Yue. (January 30, 2012). "Cass County Democrat plans to run for congressional seat". [[Columbia Missourian]].
35. "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
36. (2012-01-27). "Missouri high court considers redistricting challenges". The Columbia Missourian via website.
37. (2012-02-27). "Here comes Jery Nolte". The Kansas City Star Midwest Democracy website.
38. Wagman, Jake. (February 3, 2011). "Sam Graves says no to running for U.S. Senate". [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]].
39. Newton, Ken. (October 10, 2011). "Yarber launches 6th District bid". [[St. Joseph News-Press]].
40. (2012-03-28). "Filing closes for state, Adair county races". Kirksville Daily Express.
41. [https://archive.today/20121205014304/http://enr.sos.mo.gov/ENR/Views/TabularData.aspx?Status=StateRaces Nov 6, 2012 General Election: Election Night Reporting: Missouri Secretary of State]
42. (February 22, 2011). "Emerson won't run for senate". [[American City Business Journals.