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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
| country | Iowa |
| flag_image | Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 3 |
| seats1 | 2 |
| seat_change1 | 1 |
| popular_vote1 | 772,387 |
| percentage1 | 50.26% |
| swing1 | 6.89% |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 2 |
| seats2 | 2 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 726,505 |
| percentage2 | 47.27% |
| swing2 | 6.72% |
| map_image | {{switcher |
| map_caption |
|[[File:2012IAUSHouse.svg|270px]] |District results |[[File:2012 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county copy 2.svg|270px]] |County results Democratic Republican The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the state's four U.S. representatives. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. Primary elections were held on June 5, 2012.
The new congressional map, drawn by the state's Legislative Services Agency and passed with bipartisan support in the state House of Representatives and Senate, was signed into law by Governor Terry Branstad on April 19, 2011. Reflecting population shifts recorded in the 2010 United States census, the new map decreases Iowa's representation from five congressional districts to four.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2012 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 772,387 | 50.26% | 3 | 2 | -1 | |
| Republican | 726,505 | 47.27% | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Socialist Workers | 6,286 | 0.41% | - | |||
| Independent | 30,291 | 1.97% | - | |||
| Write-In | 1,380 | 0.09% | - | |||
| Totals | 1,536,849 | 100% | 5 | 4 | -1 |
District 1
Braley:
Lange:
Bruce Braley, a Democrat the incumbent representative from the 1st district in northeastern Iowa since 2007, ran in the new 1st district. Fellow incumbent Dave Loebsack, who lived within the boundaries of the new 1st district in Linn County, but who had represented southeastern Iowa's 2nd district since 2007, moved to Johnson County and ran in the new 2nd district. The 1st district has become more favorable to Democrats with the inclusion of Linn County and its loss of Scott County. Braley won the Democratic nomination unopposed.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bruce Braley, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 2nd district
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ben Lange, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Rod Blum, businessman
Withdrawn
- Steve Rathje, businessman
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 2
Loebsack:
Archer:
None of Iowa's current members of Congress resided in the newly drawn 2nd district; however, Democrat Dave Loebsack moved from Linn County to Johnson County in order to avoid a primary against Bruce Braley and continue representing southeastern Iowa. The 2nd district became slightly more favorable to Republicans as a result of the inclusion of Scott County, but retains Democratic-leaning Johnson County.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Joe Seng, state senator
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Archer, senior legal counsel at John Deere
Eliminated in primary
- Dan Dolan, housing developer Withdrew
- Richard Gates, machinist and Tea Party activist
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Dave | |||||
| Loebsack (D) | John | |||||
| Archer (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Tarrance (R-Archer) | June 25–27, 2012 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 43% | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 3
Latham:
Boswell:
Leonard Boswell, a Democrat who represented the 3rd district in central Iowa since 1997, and Tom Latham, a Republican who represented the 4th district in northern and central Iowa since 1995, both ran in the new 3rd district. Latham, who lived in the new 4th district, moved south to avoid facing fellow Republican Steve King in a primary.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Leonard Boswell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Latham, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
General election
Campaign
Approximately half of the new 3rd district was at the time represented by Boswell, whereas the new 3rd district contained than 20 per cent of the area currently represented by Latham. However, Latham had $983,500 cash on hand at the end of March 2011, whereas Boswell had just $173,815.
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
Debate
The first debate was held October 10, 2012 at 7 pm, sponsored by KCCI and the Des Moines Register.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Key: | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | Democratic Party (US)}}" | Republican Party (US)}}" | Leonard Boswell | Tom Latham | 1 | |||||
| Oct. 10, 2012 | The Des Moines Register | |||||||||
| KCCI | Kevin Cooney | |||||||||
| Kathy Obradovich | C-SPAN |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Leonard | ||||||
| Boswell (D) | Tom | ||||||
| Latham (R) | Scott | ||||||
| Batcher (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| Benenson (D-DCCC) | September 18–20, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 4
King:
Vilsack:
Steve King, a Republican represented western Iowa's 5th district since 2003, ran in the new 4th district. The new 4th district comprises mostly territory which King represented and which tends to vote for Republican candidates.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve King, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Tom Latham, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 4th district
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christie Vilsack, former First Lady of Iowa
Primary results
Independents
Martin James Monroe also ran.
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 27, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Steve | ||||||
| King (R) | Christie | ||||||
| Vilsack (D) | Martin | ||||||
| Monroe (I) | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO) | September 24–25, 2012 | 577 (LV) | ± % | 48% | 45% | — | 7% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack) | September 22–25, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 44% | 4% | 6% |
| American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund) | September 23–24, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC) | January 18–23, 2012 | 974 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 43% | — | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| NY Times | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
References
References
- "3 Year Election Calendar". [[Iowa Secretary of State]].
- Wright, Allie. (April 20, 2011). "Branstad signs redistricting bill". [[The Daily Iowan]].
- "Secretary of State - Election Night Results - November 6th, 2012". Iowa Secretary of State.
- Waddington, Lynda. (April 14, 2011). "Loebsack makes re-election hopes in new 2nd District official". [[American Independent News Network.
- Toeplitz, Shira. (May 26, 2011). "Race Ratings: Competitive Races On Tap in Iowa". [[Roll Call]].
- "2012 Primary Election Canvass Summary". [[Iowa Secretary of State]].
- Lynch, James Q.. (October 12, 2011). "Lange: Rematch with Braley in Iowa 1st like an open seat race". Eastern Iowa Government.
- Clayworth, Jason. (October 24, 2011). "Dubuque businessman to challenge Braley". [[The Des Moines Register]].
- (July 20, 2011). "Rathje seeks Republican nomination in northeast Iowa's 1st Congressional District". The Republic.
- Petroski, William. (December 16, 2011). "Rathje quits Iowa's 1st District congressional race, returns nearly $100,000 to donors". [[The Des Moines Register]].
- "CANDIDATES".
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
- (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
- [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
- (March 16, 2012). "Seng enters race for Congress". [[Quad-City Times]].
- Lynch, James Q.. (July 7, 2011). "Quad Cities attorney to challenge Loebsack". [[The Gazette (Cedar Rapids)]].
- Lemmon, Dustin. (June 20, 2011). "Dolan is Loebsack's first GOP challenger". [[Quad-City Times]].
- Crippes, Christinia. (February 21, 2012). "Gates withdraws from GOP race". [[The Hawk Eye]].
- "2012 Frontline Democrats". DCCC.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120728041448/http://qctimes.com/news/local/government-and-politics/elections/poll-archer-moves-within-striking-distance-of-loebsack/article_a05edbae-cb59-11e1-b353-001a4bcf887a.html Tarrance (R-Archer)]
- Price, Dave. (April 18, 2011). "POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Boswell said he feels confident about his chances". [[WHO-DT]].
- Cillizza, Chris. (April 15, 2011). "Tom Latham to run in Iowa's 3rd district". [[The Washington Post]].
- "Candidates". NRCC.
- [http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20121010/NEWS09/121010015/Watch-tonight-Des-Moines-Register-KCCI-host-3rd-District-debate Watch tonight: Des Moines Register, KCCI host 3rd District debate], [[Des Moines Register]], October 10, 2012
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20170411215113/http://b.3cdn.net/dccc/aa3da553882c37dad6_u5m6i6ykr.pdf Benenson (D-DCCC)]
- Shea, Bill. (July 20, 2011). "Vilsack launches campaign". [[The Messenger (newspaper).
- "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
- "Help Our Candidates Win!".
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121004091517/http://www.scribd.com/doc/107176568/IA-04-PPP-for-CREDO-Sept-2012 Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20150907232821/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gqr-d-vilsack-15359 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack)]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20150907233717/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/american-viewpoint-r-american-future-fund-15381 American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund)]
- [http://www.thehousemajoritypac.com/press/2012/01/25/eight-gop-incuments-trouble/ Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC)] {{Webarchive. link. (2012-01-28)
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