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2012 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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2012 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States House of Representatives Election in North Dakota
countryNorth Dakota
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2010 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
previous_year2010
next_election2014 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex150px
image1File:Kevin Cramer, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg
nominee1Kevin Cramer
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1173,433
percentage154.89%
image2File:Pam Gulleson, 15 September 2012 (cropped) (cropped).png
nominee2Pam Gulleson
party2North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
popular_vote2131,869
percentage241.70%
map_imageNorth Dakota House of Representatives At-Large Election Results by County, 2012.svg
map_size250px
map_captionCounty results
Cramer:
Gulleson:
titleU.S. Representative
before_electionRick Berg
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionKevin Cramer
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Cramer:
Gulleson:

The 2012 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the U.S. representative from the state's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. A primary election was held on June 12, 2012; a candidate must receive at least 300 votes to appear on the general election ballot in November.

Rick Berg, a member of the Republican Party who was first elected to represent the at-large district in 2010, had announced that he would not seek re-election and would instead run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Kent Conrad. Republican Kevin Cramer won the open House seat.

Republican primary

The North Dakota Republican Party endorsed Public Service Commissioner Brian Kalk at their state convention, though general election ballot access is determined by a statewide primary election held on June 12, 2012. In contrast to state political tradition, fellow Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer did not seek the party endorsement, instead attempting to defeat Kalk on the June primary ballot.

Candidates

Nominee

  • Kevin Cramer, Public Service Commissioner

Eliminated in primary

  • Brian Kalk, Public Service Commissioner and state party endorsed candidate

Withdrew

  • Shane Goettle, U.S. Senator John Hoeven's state director
  • Bette Grande, state representative
  • DuWayne Hendrickson, perennial candidate
  • Kim Koppelman, state representative

Declined

  • Rick Berg, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Al Carlson, state House Majority Leader
  • Tony Clark, Public Service Commissioner
  • Cory Fong, North Dakota State Tax Commissioner
  • Tony Grindberg, state senator
  • Robert Harms, Tea Party activist and former treasurer of the North Dakota Republican Party
  • Kelly Schmidt, North Dakota State Treasurer

Debate

The North Dakota Republican Party held a candidates' debate on December 14 at the campus of Valley City State University. All five GOP candidates declared at the time—Cramer, Goettle, Grande, Kalk, and Koppelman—participated.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorKevin
CramerBrian
KalkUndecided
Mason DixonJune 4–6, 2012625± 4%60%21%19%
Forum Communications Co.May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3%38%25%27%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Pam Gulleson, former state representative

Declined

  • Ben Vig, former state representative

Results

Libertarian nomination

The Libertarian Party of North Dakota has selected small business owner Eric Olson as their nominee at a state meeting.

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program

Organizations

  • Blue Dog Coalition
  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorKevin
Cramer (R)Pam
Gulleson (D)Eric
Olson (L)Undecided
Mason DixonOctober 26–28, 2012625± 4.0%50%40%2%8%
Forum/EssmanOctober 12–15, 2012500± 4%52%32%1%15%
Mason-DixonOctober 3–5, 2012625± 4%49%37%2%12%
Mason DixonJune 4–6, 2012625± 4%49%35%4%12%
Forum Communications Co.May 3–8, 2012500± 4.3%61%23%15%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
NY TimesNovember 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Barnes (largest city: Valley City)
  • Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
  • Name (Largest city: Stanley)
  • Ramsey (Largest city: Devils Lake)
  • Towner (Largest city: Cando)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Richland (largest city: Wahpeton)

References

References

  1. (July 2011). "North Dakota election calendar". [[North Dakota Secretary of State.
  2. (August 2011). "North Dakota Century Code". [[North Dakota Secretary of State.
  3. Toeplitz, Shira. (May 16, 2011). "House Freshman Berg Will Run for Senate in North Dakota". [[Roll Call]].
  4. Wetzel}}{{Dead link, Dale. (November 3, 2011). "ND's Cramer uses Web video to open US House campaign; running for Congress for fourth time". The Republic.
  5. Trygstad, Kyle. (May 20, 2011). "Kalk to Run for House Instead of Senate in North Dakota". [[Roll Call]].
  6. Daum, Kristen M. (November 29, 2011). "Goettle declares as 4th GOP contender in 2012 U.S. House race". Flickertales from The Hill.
  7. Daum, Kristen M. (October 3, 2011). "Fargo legislator Bette Grande will announce U.S. House run Tuesday". areavoices.
  8. Smith, Nick. (January 12, 2012). "Hendrickson joins GOP race for U.S. House". [[The Bismarck Tribune]].
  9. Daum, Kristen M. (December 5, 2011). "West Fargo legislator seeks GOP nod in packed U.S. House race". Flickertales from The Hill.
  10. Catanese, David. (April 27, 2011). "Hoeven: Berg 'likely' to run". [[Politico (newspaper).
  11. Toeplitz, Shira. (May 3, 2011). "N.D. GOP Expecting Competitive House Race". [[Roll Call]].
  12. Schneider}}{{Dead link, Mark. (June 12, 2011). "North Dakota asks: Is anyone on the job?". [[The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead]].
  13. Daum, Kristen M. (October 13, 2011). "N.D. tax commissioner opts against congressional bid in 2012". Flickertales from The Hill.
  14. Daum, Kristen M. (November 2, 2011). "Grindberg not running for U.S. House in 2012". areavoices.
  15. Finneman}}{{Dead link, Teri. (February 20, 2012). "Kelly Schmidt to seek third term as North Dakota treasurer". [[The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead]].
  16. Daum, Kristen M. (December 1, 2011). "NDGOP announces Dec. 14th debate for its U.S. House candidates". Flickertales from The Hill.
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120614000351/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/18749610/nd-house-race-poll-shows-cramer-lead Mason Dixon]
  18. [https://web.archive.org/web/20160202010549/https://secure.forumcomm.com/?publisher_ID=1&article_id=361207&CFID=524950264&CFTOKEN=21867371 Forum Communications Co.]
  19. "North Dakota Secretary of State".
  20. Daum, Kristen M. (September 21, 2011). "Democrat Pam Gulleson running for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". [[The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead]].
  21. Daum, Kristen M. (September 28, 2011). "Former state legislator Vig declines U.S. House run". Flickertales from The Hill.
  22. Ames, Richard. (November 20, 2011). "Libertarians take a stand on measure #2". [[Libertarian Party of North Dakota]].
  23. "CANDIDATES".
  24. "Blue Dog Endorsements".
  25. "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
  26. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121103023432/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/19945942/valley-news-live-mason-dixon-poll Mason Dixon]
  27. [http://www.wdaz.com/event/article/id/15418/group/News/ Forum/Essman]
  28. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121011025651/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/19767078/poll Mason-Dixon]
  29. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120609002433/http://www.valleynewslive.com/story/18730731/exclusive-poll-results-5pm-6pm-tonight Mason Dixon]
  30. (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
  31. (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  32. [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  33. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
  34. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  35. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  36. (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
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