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2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2012 Indiana gubernatorial election
countryIndiana
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 Indiana gubernatorial election
previous_year2008
next_election2016 Indiana gubernatorial election
next_year2016
election_date
image1File:Mike Pence in November 2013.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1Mike Pence
running_mate1Sue Ellspermann
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote11,275,424
percentage149.49%
image2File:John R. Gregg.jpg
nominee2John R. Gregg
running_mate2Vi Simpson
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,200,016
percentage246.56%
map_image{{switcher
map_captionPence:
Gregg:
titleGovernor
before_electionMitch Daniels
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionMike Pence
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
map_altIndiana Governor Election Results by County, 2012

|[[File:2012 Indiana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|160px]]|County results |[[File:2012 Indiana gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|160px]]|Congressional district results Gregg:
The 2012 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Incumbent governor Mitch Daniels was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. The Republican candidate, Congressman Mike Pence; the Democratic candidate, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives John R. Gregg; and the Libertarian candidate, youth mentor, small business owner and reality TV personality, Rupert Boneham, were all unopposed in their respective primaries or conventions and contested the general election. This is the first open Indiana gubernatorial election since 1996 and the first gubernatorial election since 1972 without the incumbent governor or lieutenant governor as a nominee.

When the polls closed, the election was very close, and continued to stay close throughout the night. Gregg performed well in Marion County (Indianapolis) and Lake County (Gary), which were Democratic strongholds. Pence performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs and the Fort Wayne area. At 12:34 am EST, the Associated Press called the race for Pence. At 1:06 am, Gregg called Pence to concede, realizing there were not enough votes left to overtake him. Pence ultimately won the election and took office on January 14, 2013. This was the closest race for governor since 1960.

Primaries

Democratic

  • John R. Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives

Results

Libertarian

  • Rupert Boneham, four-time contestant on Survivor and founder of Rupert's Kids. Boneham was nominated by delegates at his party's state convention.

General election

Candidates

  • Mike Pence (Republican), U.S. Representative :*Running mate: Sue Ellspermann, state Representative
  • John Gregg (Democratic), former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives :*Running mate: Vi Simpson, state Senate Minority Leader
  • Rupert Boneham (Libertarian), four-time contestant on Survivor and founder of Rupert's Kids :*Running mate: Brad Klopfenstein, former executive director of the Libertarian Party of Indiana
  • Donnie Harold Harris (Public Party) (write-in) :*Running mate: George Fish

Debates

The Indiana Debate Commission organized three televised debates between Indiana Gubernatorial candidates Republican Mike Pence, Democrat John R. Gregg and Libertarian Rupert Boneham. Debate schedule

The first debate was held on Wednesday, October 10, 2012, at the Zionsville Performing Arts Center in Zionsville, Indiana and was moderated by former Indianapolis Star editor Dennis Ryerson.

The second debate was held on Wednesday, October 17, 2012, at the DeBartolo Performing Arts Center in South Bend, Indiana and was moderated by Indiana Fiscal Policy Institute president John Ketzenberger.

The third debate was held on Thursday, October 25, 2012, at the WFWA PBS 39 studio in Fort Wayne, Indiana and was moderated by DePauw University Executive Director of Media Relations Ken Owen.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Pence (R)John R.
Gregg (D)Rupert
Boneham (L)OtherUndecided
Howey Politics/DePauwOctober 28–30, 2012800± 3.5%47%40%5%
Benenson Strategy GroupOctober 18–21, 2012701± 3.7%44%38%6%12%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012470± 5.6%49%38%13%
Howey Politics/DePauw UniversitySeptember 19–23, 2012800± 3.5%47%34%5%14%
Market Research InsightAugust 6–9, 2012600± 4%50%32%3%15%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120810045510/http://howeypolitics.com/main.asp?SectionID=39&SubSectionID=123&ArticleID=7615date=August 10, 2012 }}March 26–27, 2012503± 4.5%44%31%5%20%

Results

By county

Source

Mike Pence
RepublicanJohn R. Gregg
DemocraticRupert Boneham
LibertarianMarginTotalCountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Adams8,10862.60%4,51534.86%3292.54%3,59327.74%12,952
Allen78,65754.69%61,36542.67%3,7902.64%17,29212.02%143,812
Bartholomew17,41459.74%10,60736.39%1,1303.88%6,80723.35%29,151
Benton1,94454.81%1,37438.74%2296.46%57016.07%3,547
Blackford2,43252.23%2,01243.21%2124.55%4209.02%4,656
Boone17,41556.43%8,70931.59%1,0193.70%8,70631.58%27,565
Brown3,77340.30%3,40744.52%4555.95%3664.78%7,653
Carroll4,16453.62%3,13240.33%4706.05%1,03213.29%7,766
Cass7,10450.19%6,24644.13%8035.67%8586.06%14,153
Clark24,32252.90%20,10843.73%1,5483.37%4,2149.17%45,978
Clay5,52550.98%4,74743.80%5655.21%7787.18%10,837
Clinton5,41154.93%3,87539.34%5655.74%1,53615.59%9,851
Crawford2,09646.63%2,26650.41%1332.96%-170-3.78%4,495
Daviess5,38653.52%4,39643.68%2812.79%9909.84%10,063
Dearborn14,35366.64%6,21028.83%9744.52%8,14337.81%21,537
Decatur6,47963.04%3,18230.96%6165.99%3,29732.08%10,277
DeKalb9,58359.89%5,84736.54%5713.57%3,73623.35%16,001
Delaware19,97845.56%21,90149.95%1,9674.49%-1,923-4.39%43,846
Dubois10,93159.64%6,95837.97%4382.39%3,97321.68%18,327
Elkhart38,96957.91%26,34039.15%1,9782.94%12,62918.77%67,287
Fayette4,57352.64%3,66242.15%4525.20%91110.49%8,687
Floyd18,98254.74%14,73842.50%9542.75%4,24412.24%34,674
Fountain3,76053.27%2,88440.86%4145.87%87612.41%7,058
Franklin6,96767.89%2,85827.84%4394.28%4,10940.03%10,264
Fulton4,53256.03%3,19439.49%3624.48%1,33816.54%8,088
Gibson7,73152.86%6,50844.50%3872.65%1,2238.36%14,626
Grant13,82455.15%10,31341.14%9313.71%3,51114.01%25,068
Greene5,48641.74%7,30755.60%3502.66%-1,821-13.86%13,143
Hamilton88,06265.19%41,76130.91%5,2653.90%46,30134.27%135,088
Hancock20,28862.17%10,46432.07%1,8795.76%9,82430.11%32,631
Harrison9,98757.07%6,95939.77%5543.17%3,02817.30%17,500
Hendricks40,24261.33%22,11533.70%3,2574.96%18,12727.63%65,614
Henry9,43749.63%8,27743.53%1,3016.84%1,1606.10%19,015
Howard17,76849.24%16,51545.77%1,8024.99%1,2533.47%36,085
Huntington9,62362.68%5,21233.95%5173.37%4,41128.73%15,352
Jackson9,61357.78%6,37738.33%6483.89%3,23619.45%16,638
Jasper6,98756.10%5,05540.59%4123.31%1,93215.51%12,454
Jay4,32455.05%3,18340.52%3484.43%1,14114.53%7,855
Jefferson6,71552.76%5,61044.08%4033.17%1,1058.68%12,728
Jennings5,64855.76%4,02339.72%4584.52%1,62516.04%10,129
Johnson35,80562.67%18,09731.68%3,2315.66%17,70830.99%57,133
Knox5,03133.11%9,91165.23%2531.67%-4,880-32.12%15,195
Kosciusko20,52769.01%8,30027.90%9193.09%12,22741.10%29,746
LaGrange5,65361.01%3,25735.15%3553.83%2,39625.86%9,265
Lake55,75030.70%122,25167.32%3,5841.97%-66,501-36.62%181,585
LaPorte16,15938.48%24,18657.59%1,6533.94%-8,027-19.11%41,998
Lawrence10,09457.14%6,83038.67%7404.19%3,26418.48%17,664
Madison24,04846.06%25,39248.64%2,7655.30%-1,344-2.57%52,205
Marion129,12536.27%209,32558.80%17,5184.92%-80,200-22.53%355,968
Marshall9,90056.22%7,11240.39%5983.40%2,78815.83%17,610
Martin2,47152.36%2,05043.44%1984.20%4218.92%4,719
Miami6,88254.48%4,98239.28%7676.07%1,90015.04%12,631
Monroe14,53036.76%22,98158.14%2,0195.11%-8,451-21.38%39,530
Montgomery8,10556.41%5,48238.16%7805.43%2,62318.26%14,367
Morgan17,07960.81%9,29533.10%1,7116.09%7,78427.72%28,085
Newton3,01554.28%2,28741.17%2534.55%72813.11%5,555
Noble9,40558.78%6,04737.80%5473.42%3,35820.99%15,999
Ohio1,55456.57%1,08439.46%1093.97%47017.11%2,747
Orange4,11253.85%3,27342.86%2513.29%83910.99%7,636
Owen4,16451.43%3,45642.69%4765.88%7088.75%8,096
Parke3,36651.78%2,81843.35%3164.86%5488.43%6,500
Perry3,13240.04%4,52357.82%1682.15%-1,391-17.78%7,823
Pike2,66145.18%3,06652.05%1632.77%-405-6.88%5,890
Porter29,32141.06%39,89355.86%2,1983.08%-10,572-14.80%71,412
Posey6,45553.30%5,34044.10%3152.60%1,1159.21%12,110
Pulaski2,80953.88%2,18941.99%2154.12%62011.89%5,213
Putnam7,55055.03%5,30738.68%8646.30%2,24316.35%13,721
Randolph5,70856.51%3,93939.00%4544.49%1,76917.51%10,101
Ripley7,01864.99%3,22429.85%5575.16%3,79435.13%10,799
Rush4,12059.20%2,37034.05%4706.75%1,75025.14%6,960
St. Joseph47,20843.11%59,41054.25%2,8972.65%-12,202-11.14%109,515
Scott4,06947.26%4,28749.79%2542.95%-218-2.53%8,610
Shelby9,64357.70%5,99435.87%1,0846.49%3,64921.83%16,712
Spencer5,05952.38%4,38545.40%2152.23%6746.98%9,659
Starke3,82845.27%4,29150.75%3373.99%-463-5.48%8,456
Steuben7,77257.19%5,30839.06%5093.75%2,46418.13%13,589
Sullivan2,94835.33%5,17962.06%2182.61%-2,231-26.73%8,345
Switzerland1,66650.73%1,48945.34%1293.93%1775.39%3,284
Tippecanoe25,70945.70%27,61549.09%2,9295.21%-1,906-3.39%56,253
Tipton4,13656.74%2,57235.29%4015.50%1,56421.46%7,289
Union1,96364.40%94030.84%1454.76%1,02333.56%3,048
Vanderburgh36,45951.16%32,83046.07%1,9692.76%3,6295.09%71,258
Vermillion2,61739.76%3,63955.29%3264.95%-1,022-15.53%6,582
Vigo15,01337.98%22,98858.15%1,5283.87%-7,975-20.18%39,529
Wabash7,52460.41%4,45935.80%4713.78%3,06524.61%12,454
Warren2,01353.25%1,57941.77%1884.97%43411.48%3,780
Warrick13,65456.25%10,03041.32%5882.42%3,62414.93%24,272
Washington6,12957.71%4,10838.68%3833.61%2,02119.03%10,620
Wayne13,89154.66%10,26140.38%1,2624.97%3,63014.28%25,414
Wells8,51766.18%3,99731.06%3552.76%4,52035.12%12,869
White5,03250.93%4,27943.31%5705.77%7537.62%9,881
Whitley9,08461.44%5,20935.23%4933.33%3,87526.21%14,786
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
  • Delaware (largest city: Muncie)
  • Greene (Largest city: Linton)
  • Madison (largest city: Anderson)
  • Marion (Largest city: Indianapolis)
  • Scott (Largest city: Scottsburg)
  • Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
  • Vigo (largest city: Terre Haute)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
  • Switzerland (Largest city: Vevay)

By congressional district

Pence won six of nine congressional districts; while Gregg won three including one, the 8th district, that elected a Republican.

DistrictPenceGreggRepresentative1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
33.61%63.98%Pete Visclosky
50.63%46.15%Joe Donnelly (112th Congress)
Jackie Walorski (113th Congress)
58.24%38.77%Marlin Stutzman
53.82%40.87%Todd Rokita
55.34%40.44%Dan Burton (112th Congress)
Susan Brooks (113th Congress)
56.56%38.49%Mike Pence (112th Congress)
Luke Messer (113th Congress)
33.07%61.73%André Carson
48.28%48.69%Larry Bucshon
53.08%42.70%Todd Young

References

References

  1. Rader, Kevin. (May 16, 2011). "Former speaker Gregg to run for Indiana governor". [[WTHR]].
  2. (June 5, 2012). "Indiana Primary Election, May 8, 2012-United States Senator". [[Secretary of State of Indiana]].
  3. (October 22, 2011). "'Survivor's' Rupert Boneham Announces He'll Run for Governor of Indiana". [[The Hollywood Reporter]].
  4. "Rupert Receives Libertarian Nomination".
  5. Kelly, Niki. (May 21, 2012). "Pence names running mate". [[The Journal Gazette]].
  6. (May 21, 2012). "Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike Pence chooses running mate". [[WXIN (TV).
  7. Shella, Jim. (May 21, 2012). "Gregg to name Sen. Simpson as running mate". [[WISH-TV]].
  8. Rodgers, Lauren. (May 7, 2012). "State executive primary preview: No surprises in Indiana tomorrow". Ballotnews.
  9. "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
  10. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  11. "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  12. "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics.
  13. [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/howey-depauw-16445 Howey Politics/DePauw]
  14. [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/benenson-d-gregg-16164 Benenson Strategy Group]
  15. [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-15863 YouGov]
  16. [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/howey-depauw-15346 Howey Politics/DePauw University]
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20130609000317/http://www.indianachamber.com/pollingreport/IndianaStatewideVoterSurveyEXECSUMAug2012.pdf Market Research Insight]
  18. link. (August 10, 2012)
  19. (November 28, 2012). "Election Results". in.gov/apps/sos.
  20. (2012). "2012 Indiana Governor Results".
  21. "Daily Kos".
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