2011 Navarrese regional election

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Navarrese people abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote ().

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.

Election date

After legal amendments in 2010, fixed-term mandates were abolished, instead allowing the term of the Parliament of Navarre to expire after an early dissolution. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 26 June 2011.

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Navarre was officially dissolved on 29 March 2011, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Navarre. The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre.

Results

Aftermath

Government formation

After legal amendments in 2010, investiture processes to elect the president of the Government of Navarre required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If such majorities were not achieved, successive candidate proposals would be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.

2013 motion of no confidence

Notes

References

;Opinion poll sources

;Other

References

1. (10 August 1982). "Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra".
2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara. (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote".
3. (17 December 1986). "Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra".
4. (19 June 1985). "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General".
5. Arnedo, Beatriz. (21 May 2011). "El presidente deberá ser elegido antes del 22 de agosto o se repetirán las elecciones". [[Diario de Navarra]].
6. (29 March 2011). "Decreto Foral 1/2011, de 28 de marzo, del Presidente del Gobierno de Navarra, por el que se convocan elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra.". Boletín Oficial del Estado.
7. "Memoir 2010–2011". [[Parliament of Navarre]].
8. Reviriego, José Mari. (30 October 2008). "Sanz descarta presentarse a la reelección como presidente de UPN". El Correo.
9. (19 April 2009). "Yolanda Barcina, elegida presidenta de UPN con el 89% de los votos". Diario de Navarra.
10. Álvarez, Amaia. (27 August 2010). "Aralar propone a Patxi Zabaleta como cabeza de lista de NaBai al Parlamento". Noticias de Gipuzkoa.
11. Menéndez, María. (6 May 2011). "Las escisiones de partidos marcan las elecciones en Navarra con UPN como favorita". [[RTVE]].
12. (14 October 2008). "Miguel Sanz dice que no le 'preocupa en exceso' que el PP se presente en Navarra". [[El Mundo (Spain).
13. (22 October 2008). "El PP rompe su pacto con UPN por no apoyar su enmienda a los Presupuestos del Gobierno". RTVE.
14. (12 December 2009). "Santiago Cervera, elegido presidente del Partido Popular de Navarra". El Imparcial.
15. (26 March 2011). "Sortu intenta burlar la ilegalización con una coalición llamada Bildu". El País.
16. (5 May 2011). "El Constitucional da vía libre a Bildu para acudir a las elecciones". El País.
17. "VIII Legislature (2011–2015)". Parliament of Navarre.
18. (26 July 2011). "Parliament of Navarre election results, 22 May 2011". Electoral Commission of Navarre.
19. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (1979 - 2019)".