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2011 Hamburg state election

State election in Hamburg, Germany

State election in Hamburg, Germany

FieldValue
election_name2011 Hamburg state election
countryHamburg
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
previous_election2008 Hamburg state election
previous_year2008
next_election2015 Hamburg state election
next_year2015
seats_for_electionAll 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament
majority_seats61
election_date20 February 2011
turnout3,444,602 (57.3%)
6.2%
image1[[File:Olaf Scholz, August 2009 - by SPD-Schleswig-Holstein.jpg150x150px]]
leader1Olaf Scholz
party1Social Democratic Party of Germany
last_election145 seats, 34.1%
seats162
popular_vote11,667,804
seat_change117
percentage148.4%
swing114.3%
image2[[File:Christoph Ahlhaus.jpg150x150px]]
leader2Christoph Ahlhaus
party2Christian Democratic Union of Germany
last_election256 seats, 42.6%
seats228
popular_vote2753,805
seat_change228
percentage221.9%
swing220.7%
image3[[Image:Anja Hajduk IMG 6220 edit.jpg150x150px]]
leader3Anja Hajduk
party3Alliance 90/The Greens
last_election312 seats, 9.6%
seats314
popular_vote3384,502
seat_change32
percentage311.2%
swing31.6%
image4[[File:2011-06-23-Katja-Suding-06.jpg150x150px]]
leader4Katja Suding
party4Free Democratic Party (Germany)
last_election40 seats, 4.8%
seats49
popular_vote4229,125
seat_change49
percentage46.7%
swing41.9%
image5[[Image:2011-06-23-dora-heyenn-by-RalfR-06.jpg150x150px]]
leader5Dora Heyenn
party5The Left (Germany)
last_election58 seats, 6.4%
seats58
seat_change50
popular_vote5220,428
percentage56.4%
swing50.0%
titleMayor
before_electionChristoph Ahlhaus
before_partyChristian Democratic Union of Germany
after_electionOlaf Scholz
after_partySocial Democratic Party of Germany

6.2%

The 2011 Hamburg state election was held on 20 February 2011 to elect the members of the 20th Hamburg Parliament. The election was triggered by the collapse of the coalition government between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Green Alternative List (GAL), which had governed the state since 2008. The election was a landslide defeat for the CDU, which lost half its voteshare and seats. The margin of defeat for the incumbent Ahlhaus Senate is the largest in post-war German history and has not been met since. Much of this lost support flowed to the Social Democratic Party (SPD), which won 62 of the 121 seats in Parliament, forming a majority government led by Olaf Scholz.

Background

After the 2008 state election, the CDU formed a coalition government with the GAL. This was the first time such a government had been formed in Germany, as the Greens were seen as aligned with the SPD, typically in opposition to the CDU. Popular CDU mayor Ole von Beust was seen as a stabilising force for the government. After his retirement in August 2010 and the election of Christoph Ahlhaus as his successor, relations between the two parties became increasingly strained. In November 2010, GAL left the government. Ahlhaus formed a minority CDU Senate and the Parliament subsequently voted to dissolve itself and hold early elections.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 19th Hamburg Parliament.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2008 resultVotes (%)Seats
Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union DeutschlandsChristian democracyChristoph Ahlhaus42.58%
Social Democratic Party of Germany}}SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei DeutschlandsSocial democracyOlaf Scholz34.15%
Alliance 90/The Greens}}GALGreen Alternative List
Grün-Alternative-Liste HamburgGreen politicsAnja Hajduk9.58%
The Left (Germany)}}LinkeThe Left
Die LinkeDemocratic socialismDora Heyenn6.45%

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
sizeCDUSPDGALLinkeFDPOthersLeadChristian Democratic Union of Germany}};"Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"Alliance 90/The Greens}};"The Left (Germany)}};"Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};"
2011 state election20 Feb 2011–21.948.411.26.46.75.5Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"26.5
GMS15–17 Feb 20111,002254315656Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"18
Infratest dimap8–10 Feb 20111,00423.545145.557Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen7–10 Feb 20111,686234614.5655.5Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"23
Emnid4–10 Feb 20111,002244515655Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21
Infratest dimap28 Jan–2 Feb 20111,000254614654Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21
Trend Research Hamburg26–31 Jan 2011627254516644Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
Infratest dimap7–11 Jan 20111,000264317545Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"17
Trend Research Hamburg10–14 Dec 2010648244516834Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21
Infratest dimap10–12 Dec 20101,000224319745Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"21
Trend Research Hamburg2–7 Dec 2010678224517736Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"23
Trend Research Hamburg29 Nov–2 Dec 2010653244417745Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
Psephos29 Nov–1 Dec 20101,002284514634Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen29–30 Nov 20101,006224121745Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"19
Psephos6–10 Nov 20101,004354012643Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5
Trend Research Hamburg15–19 Oct 20106122535171148Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Psephos19–20 Jul 20101,005354110644Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
Psephos29 Jun–2 Jul 20101,007363911653Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
Psephos19–23 Apr 20101,00434371088?Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
Infratest dimap17–21 Feb 20091,0003131161075Tie
PsephosDecember 20091,001383411863Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
Psephos26–30 Nov 20091,004363313882Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
Infratest dimap19–22 Feb 20091,000363312892Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
Psephos22–27 Nov 20081,003443111653Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Psephos29 April–5 May 20081,00443341074.51.5Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
2008 state election24 Feb 2008–42.634.19.66.44.82.5Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8.5

Election result

References

References

  1. (29 November 2010). "Hamburg vote set for February after coalition collapses". The Local.
  2. (20 February 2011). "Merkel's party hammered in state elections". Deutsche Welle.
  3. Pidd, Helen. (20 February 2011). "Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats suffer heavy Hamburg defeat". The Guardian.
  4. (28 November 2010). "Germany's only CDU-Green coalition falls". The Local.
  5. Knight, Dennis. (February 18, 2011). "Trend-Setting Loss Would Spell Trouble for Merkel". Spiegel Online.
  6. [http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,731612,00.html "Veit Medick: 'Union schäumt, SPD träumt. Koalitionsbruch in Hamburg.'"] ''Der Spiegel'', 28 November 2010
  7. (29 November 2010). "Greens in Hamburg end coalition with CDU". Deutsche Welle.
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