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2010 United States Senate election in Missouri

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in Missouri
countryMissouri
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in Missouri
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in Missouri
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1File:Rep Roy Blunt (cropped).jpg
nominee1Roy Blunt
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote11,054,160
percentage154.23%
image2File:SOS Robin Carnahan (cropped).jpg
nominee2Robin Carnahan
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2789,736
percentage240.63%
map_image2010 United States Senate election in Missouri results map by county.svg
map_size275px
map_captionCounty results
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionKit Bond
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionRoy Blunt
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Blunt:
Carnahan:
The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Roy Blunt, U.S. representative since 1997
  • Davis Conway
  • Tony Laszacs
  • Hector Maldonado, sales representative
  • Kristi Nichols, sales manager, activist, perennial candidate
  • R.L. Praprotnik
  • Chuck Purgason, state senator
  • Deborah Solomon
  • Mike Vontz

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRoy BluntChuck PurgasonUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 13–15, 200953%16%31%
Public Policy PollingMarch 27–28, 201048%18%34%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Robin Carnahan, Missouri Secretary of State, daughter of former U.S. Senator Jean Carnahan and former governor Mel Carnahan
  • Richard Charles Tolbert
  • Francis Vangeli

Results

Other primaries

Constitution

Candidates

Declared
  • Jerry Beck
  • Joe Martellaro
  • Mike Simmons

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared
  • Jonathan Dine
  • Cisse Spragins

General election

Candidates

  • Jerry Beck (C)
  • Roy Blunt (R), U.S. representative
  • Robin Carnahan (D), Missouri secretary of state
  • Jonathan Dine (L)
  • Mark S. Memoly (write-in)
  • Frazier Glenn Miller (write-in), perennial candidate
  • Jeff Wirick (write-in)
  • Richie L. Wolfe (write-in)

Campaign

Carnahan and national Democrats heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt." Blunt criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the Affordable Care Act.

Carnahan was endorsed by the Kansas City Star, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, and St. Louis American.

Blunt was endorsed by the Quincy Herald-Whig and St. Joseph News-Press.

Debates

  • October 14: Televised on Kansas City Public Television in Kansas City, Missouri.
  • October 18: Missouri Press Association convention in Lake of the Ozarks State Park.
  • October 29: Televised on KTVI in St. Louis.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 26, 2010
RothenbergOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorRoy Blunt (R)Robin Carnahan (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–11, 2009867± 3.3%44%45%––11%
Wilson Strategies (R)March 7–9, 2009600± 4.0%44%47%––9%
Democracy Corps (D)April 28–30, 2009800± 3.5%44%53%––3%
Momentum Analysis (D)September 19, 2009802± 3.5%45%48%––7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 21, 2009500± 4.5%46%46%2%5%
Public Policy PollingNovember 13–15, 2009763± 3.6%42%43%––15%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 15, 2009500± 4.5%44%46%4%6%
YouGovPolimetrixJanuary 6–11, 2010500––39%43%––19%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 19, 2010500± 4.5%49%43%3%5%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 10, 2010500± 4.5%49%42%3%6%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 9, 2010500± 4.5%47%41%4%8%
Public Policy PollingMarch 27–28, 2010495± 4.4%45%41%––13%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 6, 2010500± 4.5%48%42%3%7%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 3, 2010500± 4.5%50%42%4%4%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 2, 2010500± 4.5%45%44%4%6%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 28, 2010500± 4.5%48%43%3%6%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 13, 2010750± 4.0%47%45%2%6%
Mason DixonJuly 19–21, 2010625± 4.0%48%42%––10%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 27, 2010750± 4.0%49%43%4%4%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 10, 2010750± 4.0%50%43%3%4%
Public Policy PollingAugust 14–15, 2010––± 3.73%45%38%8%9%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 23, 2010750± 4.0%51%40%5%4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 7, 2010750± 4.0%53%43%2%2%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 21, 2010750± 4.0%52%44%2%3%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 2, 20101,000± 3.0%50%42%5%3%
CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchOctober 1–5, 20101,398± 2.5%53%40%4%––
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 5, 2010750± 4.0%51%43%3%2%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 16, 20101,000± 3.0%49%43%5%3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17–18, 2010646± 3.9%46%41%6%7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 19, 2010750± 4.0%52%43%4%3%
Mason-DixonOctober 18–20, 2010625± 4.0%49%40%3%8%
KSN3/Missouri State UniversityOctober 20–27, 2010821± 3.8%54%41%3%2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Roy Blunt (R)$8,203,670$4,537,049$4,003,030$0
Robin Carnahan (D)$7,297,929$3,658,278$3,639,651$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

References

References

  1. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/02/AR2010110207558.html Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010]
  2. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_1118.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  3. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_331.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  4. (August 3, 2010). "Missouri Senate Primary results". Missouri SOS.
  5. {{usurped
  6. [http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/political-fix/article_1e2253f2-94d6-11df-a724-00127992bc8b.html Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event]
  7. [http://www.kansascity.com/2010/10/23/2346050/recommendations-for-missouris.html Recommendations for Missouri’s top races], editorial board, [[Kansas City Star]], October 24, 2010
  8. [http://www.stltoday.com/news/opinion/columns/the-platform/article_9f40f59e-de2b-11df-b3fe-0017a4a78c22.html Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem], editorial board, [[St. Louis Post-Dispatch]], October 22, 2010
  9. [http://www.stlamerican.com/articles/2010/10/22/news/editorials/edit01.txt American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara Fraser]{{dead link. (July 2016)
  10. link. (October 23, 2010)
  11. link. (October 23, 2010)
  12. (June 2024)
  13. [http://www.lakenewsonline.com/news/x1389369414/Senate-candidate-heavyweights-debate-at-lake Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea...] {{webarchive. link. (July 13, 2011)
  14. [http://www.fox2now.com/news/ktvi-blunt-carnahan-fire-up-supporters-102910,0,5528248.story Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters – KTVI] {{webarchive. link. (November 7, 2010)
  15. "Senate". [[Cook Political Report]].
  16. "Senate Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  17. "Battle for the Senate". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  18. "2010 Senate Ratings". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  19. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". [[CQ Politics]].
  20. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_MO_114.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  21. [https://ky3.blogspot.com/2009/03/poll-pokes-at-blunts-negatives-in.html Wilson Strategies (R)]
  22. [https://web.archive.org/web/20090517031528/http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2009/05/a-carnahan-advantage-in-missouri-senate-race Democracy Corps (D)]
  23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101026175953/http://archcitychronicle.com/node/1026 Momentum Analysis (D)]
  24. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_september_21_2009 Rasmussen Reports]
  25. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_MO_1118.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  26. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_december_15_2009 Rasmussen Reports]
  27. [http://media.economist.com/images/pdf/StatesTables20100121.pdf YouGovPolimetrix]
  28. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_january_19_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  29. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_february_10_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  30. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_march_9_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  31. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_330.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  32. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_april_6_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  33. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_may_3_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  34. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_june_2_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  35. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_june_28_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  36. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_2010_missouri_senate_july_13_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  37. [http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_179c4b77-a3ff-5f91-a28a-09ccdc4499da.html Mason Dixon]
  38. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/election_2010_missouri_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  39. [http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/8/17/893720/-MO-Sen:-Dems-suffering-from-intensity-gap Public Policy Polling]
  40. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_missouri_senate_august_23_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  41. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_missouri_senate_september_7_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  42. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/toplines/toplines_missouri_senate_september_21_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  43. [http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/MO_Topline.pdf Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research]
  44. [https://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/06/topstate5.pdf CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
  45. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_1018.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  46. [http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_f20a056e-de4d-11df-8e3c-0017a4a78c22.html Mason-Dixon]
  47. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110714173849/http://blogs.news-leader.com/mopolitics/files/2010/10/KOLRPoll-2.pdf KSN3/Missouri State University]
  48. (April 2019). "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Missouri". fec.gov.
  49. "Official Election Returns 2010".
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