2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

Overview

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:

District 1

Campaign

First elected in 2008, incumbent Democratic Congressman Martin Heinrich ran for re-election for the first time this year. This moderate"Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. . district, based in metro Albuquerque, has a tendency of supporting both Republican and Democratic candidates for office. In the general election, Congressman Heinrich faced Jon Barela, the Republican nominee for the seat and a former high-ranking official in the New Mexico Republican Party. Barela hammered at Heinrich for being "too far left" for what he described as a "center-right seat." The Albuquerque Journal endorsed Jon Barela in the general election, citing the fact that he "would boost the economy by nurturing predictability for investors and job creators" and urging New Mexico voters to vote for a candidate who would "[help] restore balance to Congress and [place] an emphasis on people over government programs to right the ship." Polling indicated that the race would be close, and on election day, Heinrich won a second term by nearly a four-point margin and 8,000 votes.

Polling

†Internal poll (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for the Heinrich campaign and Public Opinion Strategies for the Barela campaign)

Predictions

Results

District 2

Campaign

This conservative-leaning district, which has historically supported Republican candidates for higher office, has been represented by moderate Democratic Congressman Harry Teague since he was first elected two years prior. The previous Congressman, Republican Steve Pearce, retired in 2008 to run for Senate, a race that he lost. Coming off from a large electoral defeat at the hands of Democrat Tom Udall, the former Congressman Pearce re-entered the political sphere and challenged Congressman Teague when he sought election to a second congressional term. A tough campaign ensued, with Pearce taking the lead in most polls. Pearce's advantage widened when the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced that it was shifting resources from the 2nd district to the 1st district, a decision that the Pearce campaign responded, "The DCCC is realizing what we knew all along. Voters do not want the Teague-Pelosi agenda of out-of-control spending and lost jobs." In late October, Congressman Teague declined to participate in a debate with Steve Pearce, giving Pearce solo airtime that was broadcast statewide and providing some observers with evidence that Teague was essentially conceding defeat to Pearce. As political prognosticators indicated, on election day, Pearce defeated the incumbent Congressman and returned to Washington for his fourth nonconsecutive term.

Polling

†Internal poll (Hamilton Campaigns polls commissioned by Teague; Tarrance Group poll for Pearce)

Predictions

Results

District 3

Campaign

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Ray Luján has represented this liberal district based in northern New Mexico since he was first elected in 2008 to replace outgoing Democratic Congressman Tom Udall, who successfully ran for Senate. Seeking a second term, Congressman Luján faced Republican businessman Tom Mullins in the general election. The Albuquerque Journal endorsed Mullins, praising his plans to "trim federal spending" and "help the private sector create jobs…[by] lowering taxes." Despite this, however, Luján was able to use the district's natural liberal leanings to his advantage and won re-election to a second term in Congress.

Republican primary

Polling

Predictions

Results

References

References

1. "Archived copy".
2. Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
3. "Jon Barela to Politico: Martin Heinrich is 'too far left' {{!}} New Mexico Independent".
4. "ABQJOURNAL OPINION/EDITORIALS: Journal Endorsements for U.S. Congress".
5. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nm/new_mexico_1st_district_barela_vs_heinrich-1294.html Research and Polling Inc.]
6. {{usurped
7. [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-1/6/FXqDs Public Policy Polling]
8. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110811104122/http://americanactionforum.org/files/NM%2001%20Toplines.pdf American Action Forum]
9. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101001013525/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/08/heinrich-barela-poll.html Research and Polling Inc.]
10. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=adf9b20f-3136-4546-a7a9-ff5912aa73b1/ Survey USA]
11. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/34910193/Heinrich10m3-Public-Release-Memo Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research]
12. {{usurped
13. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
14. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
15. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
16. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
17. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
18. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
19. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
20. "Capitol Report {{!}} New Mexico » National Dems cut back on Teague ads".
21. "Did Harry Teague just forfeit the election to Steve Pearce Thursday night?".
22. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nm/new_mexico_2nd_district_pearce_vs_teague-1257.html Research and Polling Inc.]
23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101103222948/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/10/steve-pearce-poll-shows-him-le.html Tarrance Group]
24. [http://thehill.com/images/polls/nm-2.pdf The Hill/ANGA] {{dead link. (April 2024)
25. [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-2/7/0oIck Public Policy Polling]
26. {{usurped
27. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100527154547/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/04/teague-poll-tktktk.html Hamilton Campaigns]
28. "Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010 – State of New Mexico". State of New Mexico.
29. [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-3/8/lBegk Public Policy Polling]