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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana |
| country | Louisiana |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana |
| next_year | 2012 |
| seats_for_election | All 7 Louisiana seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 6 |
| seats1 | 6 |
| seat_change1 | |
| popular_vote1 | 675,386 |
| percentage1 | 65.20% |
| swing1 | 8.39% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 311,221 |
| percentage2 | 30.04% |
| swing2 | 8.05% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Republican Democratic
Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determine Louisiana's seven members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on August 28, 2010, and a runoff election for the Republican Party nomination in the 3rd district took place on October 2, 2010.
Of the seven elections, the 2nd district was rated as competitive by CQ Politics and the 2nd and 3rd districts were rated as competitive by The Cook Political Report, The Rothenberg Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Five of Louisiana's seven incumbents (Republicans Steve Scalise of the 1st district, John Fleming of the 4th district, Rodney Alexander of the 5th district, Bill Cassidy of the 6th district and Charles Boustany of the 7th district) were re-elected. Of the two who were not re-elected, one (Republican Joseph Cao of the 2nd district) unsuccessfully sought re-election, and one (Democrat Charlie Melancon of the 3rd district) ran for the U.S. Senate instead of seeking re-election.
In Louisiana, candidates affiliated with parties that are not recognized by the state are listed on the ballot as "Other", while independent candidates are listed as "No Party". In total, six Republicans and one Democrat were elected. A total of 1,035,947 votes were cast, of which 675,386 (65 percent) were for Republican candidates, 311,221 (30 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 42,241 (4 percent) were for independent candidates and 7,099 (1 percent) were for unrecognized parties' candidates.
Overview
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 157,182 | 78.52% | 38,416 | 19.19% | 4,578 | 2.29% | 200,176 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 2 | 43,378 | 33.47% | 83,705 | 64.59% | 2,521 | 1.94% | 129,604 | 100.0% | Democratic gain | ||||||||
| District 3 | 108,963 | 63.77% | 61,914 | 36.23% | 0 | 0.00% | 170,877 | 100.0% | Republican gain | ||||||||
| District 4 | 105,223 | 62.34% | 54,609 | 32.35% | 8,962 | 5.31% | 168,794 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 5 | 122,033 | 78.57% | 0 | 0.00% | 33,279 | 21.43% | 155,312 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 6 | 138,607 | 65.63% | 72,577 | 34.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 211,184 | 100.0% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Republican hold | ||||||||
| Total | 675,386 | 65.20% | 311,221 | 30.04% | 49,340 | 4.76% | 1,035,947 | 100.0% |
District 1
In 2010 the 1st district included Metairie, Slidell, and parts of Kenner and New Orleans. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 72 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 26 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.
Republican Steve Scalise, who took office in May 2008, was the incumbent. Scalise was re-elected in November 2008 with 66 percent of the vote.
Scalise raised $1,358,024 and spent $1,007,474. Katz raised $64,420 and spent $60,708. Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Scalise a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 72 percent of the vote to Katz's 25 percent. On election day Scalise was re-elected with 79 percent of the vote to Katz's 19 percent. and 2014.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 2
The 2nd district included parts of New Orleans and Marrero. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 75 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 23 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.
Republican Joseph Cao, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Cao was elected in 2008 with 50 percent of the vote. Anthony Marquize, a minister and businessman; and Jack Radosta, a carpenter and actor, ran as independent candidates. Ron Austin, a lawyer, also ran as an independent candidate but ended his campaign in September 2010.
Eugene Green, the former chief of staff to U.S. Representative William J. Jefferson; Gary Johnson, a former research director for the United States House Committee on Rules; and Juan LaFonta, a member of the Louisiana House of Representatives, also sought the Democratic nomination. In a poll of 341 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted in June 2010 by Zata 3 Consulting for Richmond's campaign, 53 percent supported Richmond while 13 percent favored LaFonta and 34 percent were undecided. Karen Carter Peterson, a member of the Louisiana State Senate, said in July 2010 that she would not seek the Democratic nomination.
Cao raised $2,079,915 and spent $2,097,806. Richmond raised $1,139,879 and spent $1,134,506. Marquize raised $14,021 and spent the same amount. Austin raised $7,300 and spent the same amount. Green raised $85,248 and spent $85,395. Johnson raised $15,561 and spent $15,538. LaFonta raised $359,927 and spent $353,268.
In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Market Research Insights in May and June 2010, 51 percent of respondents supported Cao while 26 percent favored Richmond. A poll published by Anzalone-Liszt in September 2010 found Richmond leading Cao by 45 percent to 35 percent. In a poll of 605 likely voters, conducted by Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos on October 2 and 3, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 38 percent while 13 percent remained undecided. A poll of 500 likely voters, conducted by Zata|3 Consulting on October 20, 2010, found Richmond leading with 53 percent to Cao's 36 percent, while 2 percent supported Marquize, 1 percent chose Radosta and 8 percent were undecided. In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Anzalone-Liszt on October 20 and 21, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 32 percent.
Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Richmond a 92 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Cao's 42 percent. On election day Richmond was elected with 65 percent of the vote to Cao's 33 percent. Richmond was re-elected in 2012 and 2014.
Democratic primary results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 3
The 3rd district included Houma, Laplace and New Iberia. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.
Democrat Charlie Melançon, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. He was re-elected unopposed in 2008. Sangisetty was unopposed in the Democratic primary. Hunt Downer, a former speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives; and Kristian Magar, an oil field manager, also sought the Republican nomination. Both parties had attempted to recruit Scott Angelle, the Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, but he declined their overtures.
Sangisetty raised $828,014 and spent $836,316. Landry raised $1,362,786 and spent $1,360,649. Downer raised $698,604 and spent $700,614. Magar raised $37,751 and spent the same amount.
Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Landry a 94 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Sangisetti's 43 percent. On election day Landry was elected with 64 percent of the vote to Sangisetty's 36 percent.
Republican primary results
Republican primary runoff results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 4
The 4th district included Bossier City, Natchitoches and Shreveport. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 59 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 40 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.
Republican John Fleming, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Fleming was elected in 2008 with 48 percent of the vote. Fleming was unopposed in the Republican primary. Steven Gavi, a retail manager, also sought the Democratic nomination.
Fleming raised $1,448,369 and spent $1,271,950. Melville raised $229,079 and spent $228,313. Cash raised $350 and spent no money.
Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Fleming a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 63 percent of the vote to Melville's 35 percent. On election day Fleming was re-elected with 62 percent of the vote to Melville's 32 percent. and 2014.
Democratic primary results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 5
The 5th district included Alexandria, Monroe and Ruston. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.
Republican Rodney Alexander, who took office in 2003, was the incumbent. Alexander was re-elected unopposed in 2008. Todd Slavant, the owner of a construction and property management company, also sought the Republican nomination.
Alexander raised $1,260,755 and spent $1,239,963. Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Alexander a 100 percent chance of winning. On election day Alexander was re-elected with 79 percent of the vote to Gibbs's 21 percent. and resigned in 2013 to become secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs. He was succeeded by Vance McAllister.
Republican primary results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 6
The 6th district included Baton Rouge and Prairieville.
Republican Bill Cassidy, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Cassidy was elected in 2008 with 48 percent of the vote. Cassidy and McDonald were both unopposed in their parties' primaries.
Cassidy raised $1,584,256 and spent $738,171. Prior to the election ''FiveThirtyEight'''s forecast gave Cassidy a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 64 percent of the vote to McDonald's 33 percent. On election day Cassidy was re-elected with 66 percent of the vote to McDonald's 34 percent. and was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
General election results
District 7
The 7th district included Lafayette, Lake Charles and Sulphur. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 63 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 35 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.
Republican Charles Boustany, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. Boustany was re-elected with 62 percent of the vote in 2008. According to Louisiana law, candidates who are unopposed are declared elected and their names do not appear on the ballot. He was re-elected in the 3rd district in 2012
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
References
References
- (August 28, 2010). "Light turnout seen in today's primaries". [[The Advocate (Louisiana).
- Isenstadt, Alex. (October 2, 2010). "Jeff Landry wins Louisiana House runoff". [[Politico]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: House". [[CQ Politics]].
- (October 26, 2010). "2010 competitive House race chart". [[The Cook Political Report]].
- (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". [[The Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "Louisiana (02) House 2010". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Louisiana (03) House 2010". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Louisiana". [[The New York Times]].
- (November 2, 2010). "Cedric Richmond wins 2nd District House race; Joseph Cao concedes". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- Tilove, Jonathan. (August 27, 2009). "Rep. Charlie Melancon to run for Senate against David Vitter". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- (October 2012). "Louisiana Political Parties". [[Secretary of State of Louisiana]].
- Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the congressional election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives]].
- Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
- "Louisiana 1st District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana – 1st District". [[Roll Call]].
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- "Louisiana 1st District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- Torres, Manuel. (November 6, 2012). "Steve Scalise easily wins another term representing Louisiana's 1st Congressional District". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- McGill, Kevin. (November 4, 2014). "Scalise re-elected to area congressional seat". [[The Daily Comet]].
- (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
- Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
- "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
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- Donze, Frank. (September 15, 2010). "Lawyer Ron Austin drops out of 2nd Congressional District race". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- Donze, Frank. (August 11, 2010). "Four Democrats vie to challenge Rep. Anh 'Joseph' Cao in 2nd Congressional District". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- McArdle, John. (June 30, 2010). "Louisiana: Internal Poll Shows Richmond Crushing Competition". [[Roll Call]].
- Barrow, Bill. (July 8, 2010). "State Sen. Karen Carter Peterson says she won't run for Congress". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- "Louisiana District 02 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Eugene Green (D)". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Gary Johnson (D)". [[OpenSecrets]].
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- Sonmez, Felicia. (July 15, 2010). "Can Joseph Cao win?". [[The Washington Post]].
- Trende, Sean. (September 22, 2010). "What the Latest Polls Told Us: Paladino Surges". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- McArdle, John. (October 5, 2010). "Louisiana: Richmond Leads Cao By 11 Points". [[Roll Call]].
- Chism, Brad. (October 21, 2010). "IVR Survey Results for Zatapulse in LA CD 02". Zata|3 Consulting.
- McArdle, John. (October 26, 2010). "Democratic Poll: Richmond on Track to Defeat Cao in Louisiana". [[CQ Politics]].
- "Louisiana 2nd District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- Pope, John. (November 6, 2012). "Cedric Richmond wins second term in U.S. House". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- (November 4, 2014). "Richmond re-elected to US House seat". [[WWL-TV]].
- "Results for Election Date: 8/28/2010". [[Secretary of State of Louisiana]].
- "Louisiana 3rd District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana – 3rd District". [[Roll Call]].
- Blake, Aaron. (August 29, 2010). "W. Virginia race is set; Vitter cruises in Louisiana". [[The Washington Post]].
- Barrow, Bill. (August 12, 2010). "Three Republicans seek party nomination in 3rd Congressional District". [[The Times-Picayune]].
- (September 8, 2009). "Queue Begins to Form for Melancon's Open Seat". Roll Call.
- "Louisiana District 03 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Hunt Downer (R)". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Kristian Lee Magar (R)". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Louisiana 3rd District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- "Results for Election Date: 10/2/2010". [[Secretary of State of Louisiana]].
- "Louisiana 4th District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana – 4th District". [[Roll Call]].
- (August 28, 2010). "David Melville wins 80% of Democratic votes; will face Fleming". [[KSLA]].
- "Louisiana District 04 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Louisiana 4th District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- (November 4, 2014). "John Fleming re-elected in US House 4th District". [[The Times (Shreveport).
- "Louisiana 5th District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana – 5th District". [[Roll Call]].
- (July 2, 2010). "Monroe Republican Todd Slavant will challenge Alexander in 5th District race". The Town Talk.
- "Louisiana District 05 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Louisiana 5th District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- Blum, Jordan. (August 15, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Alexander joining Jindal administration". [[The Advocate (Louisiana).
- (November 16, 2013). "Vance McAllister wins 5th District congressional seat". [[WDSU]].
- "Louisiana – 6th District". [[Roll Call]].
- "Louisiana 6th District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana District 06 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- "Louisiana 6th District". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- Richard, Fausset. (December 6, 2014). "Mary Landrieu Is Defeated by Bill Cassidy in Louisiana Senate Runoff". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana 7th District Profile". [[The New York Times]].
- "Louisiana – 7th District". [[Roll Call]].
- "Louisiana District 07 Race". [[OpenSecrets]].
- (November 4, 2014). "Boustany re-elected in Louisiana's 3rd District". [[KNOE-TV]].
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