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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
countryKansas
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
previous_year2008
next_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Republican Party (United States)
last_election13
seats14
seat_change11
popular_vote1528,136
percentage163.21%
swing16.10%
party2Democratic Party (United States)
last_election21
seats20
seat_change21
popular_vote2274,992
percentage232.91%
swing25.99%
map_image
map_caption

Republican Democratic

The 2010 congressional elections in Kansas were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would survive the state of Kansas in the United States House of Representatives. Kansas has four seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1142,28173.76%44,06822.85%6,5373.39%192,886100%Republican Hold
District 2130,03463.13%66,58832.33%9,3534.54%205,975100%Republican Hold
District 3136,24658.40%90,19338.66%6,8462.93%233,285100%Republican Gain
District 4119,57558.79%74,14336.45%9,6654.75%203,383100%Republican Hold
Total528,13663.21%274,99232.91%32,4013.88%835,529100%

District 1

When incumbent Republican Congressman Jerry Moran opted to run for Senate instead of seeking an eighth term in Congress, creating an open seat. Republican State Senator Tim Huelskamp won in a crowded Republican primary that included Jim Barnett, a fellow State Senator and the 2006 Republican nominee for Governor; Rob Wasinger, the former Chief of Staff to retiring Senator Sam Brownback; Sue Boldra, a college instructor; Tracey Mann, a real estate agent; and Monte Shadwick, the former Mayor of Salina. Huelskamp faced Alan Jilka, the Democratic nominee and another former Mayor of Salina and Jack Warner, the Libertarian candidate. As was expected in this solidly conservative"Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. . district that encompasses almost two-thirds of the state, Huelskamp overwhelmingly defeated Jilka and Warner and won his first term to Congress.

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredTim Huelskamp (R)Alan Jilka (D)Jack Warner (L)Undecided
Survey USAOctober 5–6, 201063%26%5%6%
SurveyUSAAugust 5–8, 201065%23%7%5%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

By county

Source

CountyTim Huelskamp
RepublicanAlan Jilka
DemocraticJack Warner
LibertarianMarginTotalVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Barber1,64680.84%32415.91%663.24%1,32264.93%2,036
Barton6,35678.19%1,51518.64%2583.17%4,84159.55%8,129
Chase77472.40%25223.57%434.02%52248.83%1,069
Cheyenne93583.93%14813.29%312.78%78770.65%1,114
Clark74081.23%12814.05%434.72%61267.18%911
Clay2,32879.95%53018.20%541.85%1,79861.74%2,912
Cloud2,19571.99%77125.29%832.72%1,42446.70%3,049
Comanche65884.04%10012.77%253.19%55871.26%783
Decatur93480.80%19416.78%282.42%74064.01%1,156
Dickinson4,42371.59%1,55525.17%2003.24%2,86846.42%6,178
Edwards84479.77%16615.69%484.54%67864.08%1,058
Ellis6,03970.28%2,33027.12%2242.61%3,70943.16%8,593
Ellsworth1,52668.52%63928.69%622.78%88739.83%2,227
Finney4,83975.91%1,30320.44%2333.65%3,53655.47%6,375
Ford4,59773.19%1,33621.27%3485.54%3,26151.92%6,281
Geary3,05563.71%1,58032.95%1603.34%1,47530.76%4,795
Gove88081.18%17616.24%282.58%70464.94%1,084
Graham82376.56%22621.02%262.42%59755.53%1,075
Grant1,45982.24%26715.05%482.71%1,19267.19%1,774
Gray1,23278.57%25216.07%845.36%98062.50%1,568
Greeley44272.34%14724.06%223.60%29548.28%611
Greenwood53677.79%12418.00%294.21%41259.80%689
Hamilton63278.80%13216.46%384.74%50062.34%802
Haskell97785.03%12911.23%433.74%84873.80%1,149
Hodgeman73981.12%12013.17%525.71%61967.95%911
Jewell86775.85%21919.16%574.99%64856.69%1,143
Kearny86782.65%15114.39%312.96%71668.26%1,049
Kiowa90386.99%11010.60%252.41%79376.40%1,038
Lane60579.82%11915.70%344.49%48664.12%758
Lincoln85872.90%26622.60%534.50%59250.30%1,177
Logan92985.15%14012.83%222.02%78972.32%1,091
Lyon5,18060.55%2,99835.04%3774.41%2,18225.51%8,555
Marion3,38675.73%97721.85%1082.42%2,40953.88%4,471
Marshall2,56069.55%95926.05%1624.40%1,60143.49%3,681
McPherson7,00773.51%2,27123.83%2542.66%4,73649.69%9,532
Meade1,24483.66%19312.98%503.36%1,05170.68%1,487
Mitchell1,64874.54%48722.03%763.44%1,16152.51%2,211
Morris1,49673.15%47223.08%773.77%1,02450.07%2,045
Morton86286.63%10510.55%282.81%75776.08%995
Nemaha2,12775.91%58020.70%953.39%1,54755.21%2,802
Ness95384.86%13111.67%393.47%82273.20%1,123
Norton1,36278.55%32618.80%462.65%1,03659.75%1,734
Osborne1,22978.58%28117.97%543.45%94860.61%1,564
Ottawa1,63275.42%46321.40%693.19%1,16954.02%2,164
Pawnee1,63575.31%47521.88%612.81%1,16053.43%2,171
Phillips1,60781.91%30015.29%552.80%1,30766.62%1,962
Pratt2,26775.49%62420.78%1123.73%1,64354.72%3,003
Rawlins98086.27%12711.18%292.55%85375.09%1,136
Reno12,74870.19%4,83726.63%5773.18%7,91143.56%18,162
Republic1,40974.91%41822.22%542.87%99152.68%1,881
Rice2,21575.78%61521.04%933.18%1,60054.74%2,923
Rooks1,64983.28%26213.23%693.48%1,38770.05%1,980
Rush98277.63%23218.34%514.03%75059.29%1,265
Russell2,01075.11%57921.64%873.25%1,43153.48%2,676
Saline10,87162.02%5,96134.01%6973.98%4,91028.01%17,529
Scott1,51584.64%22112.35%543.02%1,29472.29%1,790
Seward2,78178.27%64518.15%1273.57%2,13660.12%3,553
Sheridan84681.98%16415.89%222.13%68266.09%1,032
Sherman1,50078.99%33617.69%633.32%1,16461.30%1,899
Smith1,14977.06%30520.46%372.48%84456.61%1,491
Stafford1,17578.75%26918.03%483.22%90660.72%1,492
Stanton49385.15%6811.74%183.11%42573.40%579
Stevens1,31087.22%15510.32%372.46%1,15576.90%1,502
Thomas2,05580.43%44817.53%522.04%1,60762.90%2,555
Trego90177.87%21218.32%443.80%68959.55%1,157
Wabaunsee1,96172.74%59922.22%1365.04%1,36250.52%2,696
Wallace50483.44%8514.07%152.48%41969.37%604
Washington1,76682.56%32215.05%512.38%1,44467.51%2,139
Wichita62882.63%11715.39%151.97%51167.24%760

District 2

Freshman incumbent Republican Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins, who was initially sent to Congress after defeating previous Congresswoman Nancy Boyda in 2008, was the only member of the Kansas congressional delegation to seek re-election this cycle. This conservative district that consists of most of eastern Kansas normally elects Republicans by large margins, so Congresswoman Jenkins was in no real danger of losing her seat to the Democratic nominee, community organizer Cheryl Hudspeth. Though Democrats hoped to make hay out of Jenkins’ claim that Republicans needed a "great white hope" to challenge President Obama, Jenkins was not vulnerable in the slightest and was overwhelmingly elected to her second term.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

By county

Source

CountyLynn Jenkins
RepublicanCheryl Hudspeth
DemocraticRobert Garrard
LibertarianMarginTotalVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Allen3,10369.92%1,18626.72%1493.36%1,91743.20%4,438
Anderson1,94871.83%59521.94%1696.23%1,35349.89%2,712
Atchison3,00764.96%1,43931.09%1833.95%1,56833.87%4,629
Bourbon3,46272.72%1,14624.07%1533.21%2,31648.65%4,761
Brown2,19473.70%61620.69%1675.61%1,57853.01%2,977
Cherokee3,96465.35%1,87730.94%2253.71%2,08734.40%6,066
Coffey2,38979.85%47515.88%1284.28%1,91463.97%2,992
Crawford5,94654.06%4,66742.43%3863.51%1,27911.63%10,999
Doniphan1,71376.75%41518.59%1044.66%1,29858.15%2,232
Douglas7,58849.26%7,19746.72%6184.01%3912.54%15,403
Franklin5,32470.53%1,74823.16%4776.32%3,57647.37%7,549
Geary2477.42%722.58%00.00%1754.84%31
Jackson2,80466.12%1,22428.86%2135.02%1,58037.26%4,241
Jefferson4,01964.97%1,86430.13%3034.90%2,15534.84%6,186
Labette3,78966.80%1,69129.81%1923.39%2,09836.99%5,672
Leavenworth12,57267.52%5,29828.45%7504.03%7,27439.07%18,620
Linn2,48075.45%64619.65%1614.90%1,83455.80%3,287
Miami7,30073.49%2,15021.65%4834.86%59755.53%9,933
Nemaha94672.99%28121.68%695.32%66551.31%1,296
Neosho3,33070.02%1,25026.28%1763.70%2,08043.73%4,756
Osage3,70666.50%1,47226.41%3957.09%2,23440.09%5,573
Pottawatomie5,00174.54%1,33519.90%3735.56%3,66654.64%6,709
Riley8,77062.99%4,57032.83%5824.18%4,20030.17%13,922
Shawnee31,66255.42%22,72339.77%2,7484.81%8,93915.65%57,133
Wilson2,15579.67%45516.82%953.51%1,70062.85%2,705
Jewell83872.68%26122.64%544.68%57750.04%1,153

District 3

This conservative-leaning district, which is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and the college town of Lawrence, has been represented by Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore since he was first elected in 1998. This year, however, Moore declined to seek a seventh term to Congress, calling for a "new generation of leadership." On the Republican side, Kevin Yoder won the primary to became the Republican nominee; while Stephene Moore, a nurse and the wife of the retiring Congressman, won the Democratic nomination. Though the race was marked by sharp disagreement between Yoder and Moore on matters such as cap-and-trade and international outsourcing American jobs, Yoder won the election with a 20-point margin of victory. This was Yoder's first of four congressional election victories.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

By county

Source

CountyKevin Yoder
RepublicanStephene Moore
DemocraticJasmin Talbert
LibertarianMarginTotalVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Douglas6,01834.88%10,57561.30%6593.82%-4,557-26.41%17,252
Johnson118,87664.74%59,85832.60%4,8992.67%59,01832.14%183,633
Wyandotte11,35235.04%19,76060.99%1,2883.98%-8,408-25.95%32,400

District 4

Based around metro Wichita and rural counties in the south-central region of Kansas, this conservative district has been represented by Republican Congressman Todd Tiahrt since he was first elected in the Republican Revolution of 1994. This year, though, Congressman Tiahrt declined to seek a ninth term and opted to run for U.S. Senate instead. In the Republican primary, businessman Mike Pompeo edged out several rivals, including State Senator Jean Schodorf and businessman Wink Hartman. State Representative Raj Goyle, who raised eyebrows when he was elected to represent a conservative area in the Kansas House of Representatives, became the Democratic nominee. The general election was contentious, and sparks flew when the Pompeo campaign tweeted a link to a controversial blog that referred to Goyle as "just another 'turban topper' we don’t need in Congress or any political office that deals with the U.S. Constitution, Christianity, and the United States of America!" The tweet, recommending the piece as a "good read", led to an apology from Pompeo. The Goyle camp attacked Pompeo for what they called "bigoted attacks" when a supporter of the Republican candidate sponsored billboards that said "Vote American, [v]ote Pompeo" and "True Americans vote for Pompeo." Pompeo went on to defeat Goyle, 59%-36%.

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMike
Pompeo (R)Raj
Goyle (D)David Moffett/Shawn Smith* (L)Undecided
Survey USAOctober 25–28, 201054%38%2%*2%
Cole HargraveOctober 10–11, 201048%31%--
Survey USAOctober 6–7, 201053%40%2%*3%
Survey USASeptember 14–15, 201050%40%3%4%
Gerstein AgneSeptember 8–9, 201046%46%--
Gerstein AgneAugust 10–12, 201050%47%--
Survey USAAugust 9–11, 201049%42%4%5%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Results

By county

Source

CountyMike Pompeo
RepublicanRaj Goyle
DemocraticSusan G. Ducey
ReformShawn Smith
LibertarianMarginTotalVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Butler13,30863.64%6,47330.95%6122.93%5192.48%6,83532.68%20,912
Chautauqua1,01078.54%20415.86%403.11%322.49%80662.67%1,286
Cowley5,78657.11%3,85638.06%2302.27%2602.57%1,93019.05%10,132
Elk75666.49%30727.00%383.34%363.17%44939.49%1,137
Greenwood1,01762.62%48629.93%523.20%694.25%53132.70%1,624
Harper1,37365.19%60028.49%663.13%673.18%77336.70%2,106
Harvey6,59757.51%4,36238.03%2832.47%2292.00%2,23519.48%11,471
Kingman1,80167.18%68625.59%1114.14%833.10%1,11541.59%2,681
Montgomery6,80273.60%2,03021.96%2132.30%1972.13%4,77251.63%9,242
Sedgwick76,54856.69%52,47538.86%3,1012.30%2,8972.15%24,07317.83%135,021
Sumner4,57758.90%2,66434.28%2953.80%2353.02%1,91324.62%7,771

References

References

  1. Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  2. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5d22726a-91c8-45af-b3d3-db1092a3ff16 Survey USA]
  3. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=f4b11b0f-93d2-41a6-abd2-eacd609942de SurveyUSA]
  4. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
  5. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  6. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  7. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  8. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
  9. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
  10. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".
  11. (2010). "2010-11-02 U.S. House Election Results for Kansas (District 01)".
  12. "HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. And World News".
  13. (2010). "2010-11-02 U.S. House Election Results for Kansas (District 02)".
  14. "Kan. Congressman Moore won't seek re-election {{!}} wfaa.com Dallas - Fort Worth".
  15. "Sparks Fly Between Stephene Moore, Kevin Yoder and Jasmin Talbert In Third District Debate « State of the State, Kansas".
  16. (2010). "2010-11-02 U.S. House Election Results for Kansas (District 03)".
  17. "Pompeo apologizes to Goyle for link to slur {{!}} Wichita Eagle".
  18. Stein, Sam. (August 12, 2010). "Mike Pompeo, GOP Candidate, Apologizes For Tweet Attacking Challenger As An 'Evil' 'Turban Topper', Could-Be Muslim". [[The Huffington Post]].
  19. (31 October 2010). "Kansas Billboard Urges Residents to 'Vote American' Against Indian-American Candidate".
  20. "House Results Map". [[The New York Times]].
  21. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=759f73fc-dad6-43ae-899e-14c64d772118 Survey USA]
  22. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/house/kansas/4 Cole Hargrave]
  23. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a047e863-794b-4710-a470-5d0f1bc1fa49 Survey USA]
  24. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6c9f9da5-e62e-49b4-9324-af5f75ce3094 Survey USA]
  25. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/house/kansas/4 Gerstein Agne]
  26. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6f36940b-7106-42c2-b160-a258f7ad8897 Survey USA]
  27. (2010). "2010-11-02 U.S. House Election Results for Kansas (District 04)".
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