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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas |
| country | Arkansas |
| flag_year | 1924 |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas |
| next_year | 2012 |
| seats_for_election | All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 1 |
| seats1 | 3 |
| seat_change1 | 2 |
| popular_vote1 | 435,422 |
| percentage1 | 56.25% |
| swing1 | 28.91% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 3 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | 2 |
| popular_vote2 | 317,975 |
| percentage2 | 41.08% |
| swing2 | 11.70% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption | |
| map_size | 250px |
Republican Democratic The 2010 congressional elections in Arkansas were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent Arkansas in the United States House of Representatives. Arkansas has four seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. None of Arkansas's four representatives faced major party opposition in 2008. , this was the last election in which a Democrat won a congressional district in Arkansas or managed 40% or more of the House popular vote in the state.
Overview
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arkansas.
| United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas, 2010 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 435,422 | 56.2% | 3 | +2 | |
| Democratic | 317,975 | 41.1% | 1 | -2 | |
| Green | 16,048 | 2.1% | 0 | - | |
| Others | 4,680 | 0.6% | 0 | - | |
| Totals | 774,125 | 100% | 4 | — |
By district
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 93,224 | 51.78% | 78,267 | 43.48% | 8,525 | 4.74% | 180,016 | 100% | Republican Gain | ||||||||
| District 2 | 122,091 | 57.90% | 80,687 | 38.27% | 8,074 | 3.83% | 210,852 | 100% | Republican Gain | ||||||||
| District 3 | 148,581 | 72.44% | 56,542 | 27.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 205,123 | 100% | Republican Hold | ||||||||
| District 4 | 71,526 | 40.15% | 102,479 | 57.53% | 4,129 | 2.32% | 178,134 | 100% | Democratic Hold | ||||||||
| Total | 435,422 | 56.24% | 317,975 | 41.08% | 20,728 | 2.68% | 774,125 | 100% |
District 1
Crawford:
Causey:
This was an open seat, as Democratic incumbent Marion Berry retired.
Berry had always been reelected in this district by a wide margin since his first reelection campaign in 1998, and was unopposed in 2008. The district was very Republican (giving only 38% to Obama) on a national level despite a long history of electing Democrats to local and state level offices.
- AR - District 1 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Arkansas- 1st District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Democrat
- Chad Causey, attorney and chief of staff for Marion Berry
Republican
- Rick Crawford, businessman
Green
- Kenton Adler (campaign site, PVS)
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Rick | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawford (R) | Chad | ||||
| Causey (D) | Ken | ||||
| Adler (G) | Undecided | ||||
| Anzalone Liszt Research | September 13–16, 2010 | 44% | 46% | - | - |
| Talk Business Poll | August 17, 2010 | 48% | 32% | 4% | 16% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Results
District 2
Griffin:
Elliott:
This district was represented by seven term Democrat Vic Snyder who was unchallenged in 2008 and received 70% of the vote. Snyder announced that he would retire in 2010, reportedly after polls showed him trailing Republican Tim Griffin.
- AR - District 2 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Alabama - 2nd District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Democrat
- Joyce Elliott, State Senator
Republican
- Timothy Griffin, U.S. Attorney
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Tim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin (R) | Joyce | |||||
| Elliott (D) | Lance | |||||
| Levi (I) | Lewis | |||||
| Kennedy (G) | Undecided | |||||
| Talk Business Poll | August 17, 2010 | 52% | 35% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Results
District 3
Womack:
This district was represented by Republican John Boozman. Boozman has formally announced his 2010 plans for the U.S. Senate, against Blanche Lincoln. The district (comprising the northwest part of the state) has been held by the GOP since 1966.
- AR - District 3 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Arkansas - 3rd District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Democrat
- David Whitaker (campaign site, PVS), attorney
Republican
- Steve Womack, Mayor of Rogers
Independent
- Jerry Coon
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Steve | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Womack (R) | David | |||
| Whitaker (D) | Undecided | |||
| Talk Business Poll | August 25, 2010 | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Results
District 4
Ross:
Rankin:
This district was represented by Democrat Mike Ross. Ross ran for re-election.
- AR - District 4 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Alabama - 4th District from CQ Politics
- Race profile at The New York Times
Democrat
- Mike Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican
- Beth Anne Rankin (campaign site, PVS), teacher and former Miss Arkansas
Green Party
- Josh Drake
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Mike | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross (D) | Beth Anne | ||||
| Rankin (R) | Joshua | ||||
| Drake (G) | Undecided | ||||
| Talk Business Poll | August 25–26, 2010 | 49% | 31% | 4% | 16% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Results
References
References
- "New York Times Election Results 2010". The New York Times.
- Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100928021904/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/another-tuesday-means-more-dcc.html Anzalone Liszt Research]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100825061002/http://talkbusiness.net/article/CRAWFORD-AHEAD-OF-CAUSEY-IN-HEAD-TO-HEAD-BY-16-POINTS/784/ Talk Business Poll ]
- (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
- Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
- "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
- {{usurped
- Kraushaar, Josh. (January 15, 2010). "Vic Snyder retiring". [[Politico (newspaper).
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100821122554/http://www.talkbusiness.net/article/GRIFFIN-LEADS-ELLIOTT-IN-CONGRESSIONAL-BID/771/ Talk Business Poll ]
- {{usurped
- Stovall, Zack. (29 March 2009). "Republican Boozman on the outside looking in". Arkansas News Bureau.
- "Home". Jerryforcongress.com.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101001033126/http://www.talkbusiness.net/article/WOMACK-HAS-BIG-LEAD-IN-THIRD-DISTRICT-CONGRESSIONAL-RACE/804/ Talk Business Poll ]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100912104151/http://talkbusiness.net/article/ROSS-UP-IN-FOURTH-DISTRICT-DESPITE-POLITICAL-VOLATILITY/811/ Talk Business Poll ]
- {{usurped
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