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2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota |
| country | South Dakota |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota |
| next_year | 2012 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| image1 | File:Kristi Noem portrait (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | Kristi Noem |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | 153,703 |
| percentage1 | 48.12% |
| image2 | File:SHS Official Headshot (cropped).jpg |
| nominee2 | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 146,589 |
| percentage2 | 45.89% |
| image3 | 3x4.svg |
| nominee3 | B. Thomas Marking |
| party3 | Independent (United States) |
| popular_vote3 | 19,134 |
| percentage3 | 5.99% |
| map_image | SD-AL 2010 by county.svg |
| map_size | 260px |
| map_caption | County results |
| Noem: | |
| Herseth Sandlin: | |
| title | U.S. Representative |
| before_election | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin |
| before_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
| after_election | Kristi Noem |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Noem:
Herseth Sandlin:
The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Voters selected a representative for their single at-large district, who run on a statewide ballot. On June 8, 2010, the Republicans nominated Kristi Noem, Assistant Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives and the Democrats nominated the incumbent Stephanie Herseth Sandlin. B. Thomas Marking ran as an Independent candidate. In the general election, Noem defeated Herseth Sandlin, winning 48.1 percent of the vote to 45.9 percent for Herseth Sandlin.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, incumbent
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kristi Noem, Assistant Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives
Lost in primary
- Blake Curd, member of the South Dakota House of Representatives
- Chris Nelson, Secretary of State of South Dakota (2003-2011)
Withdrawn
- Thad Wasson, technician
Declined
- Shantel Krebs, member of the South Dakota House of Representatives (2015-2019)
Primary results
Campaign
Issues
During the general election campaign, Republicans criticized Herseth Sandlin's voting record. They also criticized her lobbyist husband's list of clients, noting that the companies had interests in legislation that would come before Congress. Noem pointed out that the National Association of Broadcasters paid Herseth Sandlin's husband, Max Sandlin, a lobbyist and former Congressman, $320,000 during the years 2008 and 2009 to lobby on their behalf, including a bill co-sponsored by Herseth Sandlin called the Local Radio Freedom Act. Herseth Sandlin responded that Noem's example was "laughable". The Rapid City Journal editorial board stated that Herseth Sandlin should not be laughing at a legitimate concern. Roll Call called the Republican effort an attempt "to stoke anti-Beltway emotions". Herseth Sandlin's campaign responded that she did not allow family members to lobby her or her staff. According to a Washington attorney, Herseth Sandlin's policy seemed compliant with House ethics rules that had been tightened in 2007, though Republicans charged Herseth Sandlin was violating the spirit of the conflict interest rules. "The Sunlight Foundation, Public Citizen and other watchdog groups are highly critical of Herseth Sandlin and other Members whose relatives work Congressional corridors", according to Roll Call. The groups have said the House ethics rules should be comparable to the Senate's rules and should ban all lobbying "under the Dome" by relatives of Members.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Stephanie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herseth | |||
| Sandlin (D) | Kristi | ||
| Noem (R) | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 23, 2010 | 49% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 25, 2010 | 46% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 26, 2010 | 50% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2010 | 46% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 14, 2010 | 41% | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 6, 2010 | 44% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 3, 2010 | 42% | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8, 2010 | 47% | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2010 | 44% | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2010 | 44% | 49% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 20–22, 2010 | 42% | 40% |
On October 24, 2010, Nate Silver of The New York Times FiveThirtyEight.com blog predicted that there was a 69.9% chance that Noem would defeat Sandlin.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Fundraising
The race saw each candidate spend over $1.75 million and was the first in Herseth Sandlin's career where she was outspent.
Funding from political parties and interest groups totaled $2,651,621 for the race, with 78% benefiting Noem. Groups supporting Herseth-Sandlin included the DCCC and CUNA. Noem was supported by the American Action Network, the NRCC and the American Future Fund.
Results
By county
Source
| Kristi Noem | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin | ||||||||||||||
| Democrat | B. Thomas Marking | ||||||||||||||
| Independent | Margin | Total | County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |||
| Aurora | 593 | 42.54% | 707 | 50.72% | 94 | 6.74% | -114 | -8.18% | 1,394 | ||||||
| Beadle | 2,941 | 42.62% | 3,541 | 51.32% | 418 | 6.06% | -600 | -8.70% | 6,900 | ||||||
| Bennett | 499 | 47.16% | 502 | 47.45% | 57 | 5.39% | -3 | -0.28% | 1,058 | ||||||
| Bon Homme | 1,265 | 44.64% | 1,334 | 47.07% | 235 | 8.29% | -69 | -2.43% | 2,834 | ||||||
| Brookings | 4,147 | 37.19% | 6,195 | 55.56% | 808 | 7.25% | -2,048 | -18.37% | 11,150 | ||||||
| Brown | 5,712 | 39.46% | 8,100 | 55.95% | 665 | 4.59% | -2,388 | -16.50% | 14,477 | ||||||
| Brule | 971 | 45.20% | 1,017 | 47.35% | 160 | 7.45% | -46 | -2.14% | 2,148 | ||||||
| Buffalo | 91 | 20.09% | 351 | 77.48% | 11 | 2.43% | -260 | -57.40% | 453 | ||||||
| Butte | 2,357 | 63.43% | 1,128 | 30.36% | 231 | 6.22% | 1,229 | 33.07% | 3,716 | ||||||
| Campbell | 452 | 45.22% | 301 | 38.10% | 37 | 4.68% | 151 | 19.11% | 790 | ||||||
| Charles Mix | 1,710 | 48.69% | 1,620 | 46.13% | 182 | 5.18% | 90 | 2.56% | 3,512 | ||||||
| Clark | 773 | 45.85% | 787 | 46.68% | 126 | 7.47% | -14 | -0.83% | 1,686 | ||||||
| Clay | 1,642 | 35.01% | 2,802 | 59.74% | 246 | 5.25% | -1,160 | -24.73% | 4,690 | ||||||
| Codington | 4,983 | 48.16% | 4,684 | 45.27% | 679 | 6.56% | 299 | 2.89% | 10,346 | ||||||
| Corson | 362 | 41.51% | 450 | 51.61% | 60 | 6.88% | -88 | -10.09% | 872 | ||||||
| Custer | 2,378 | 59.91% | 1,278 | 32.20% | 313 | 7.89% | 1,100 | 27.71% | 3,969 | ||||||
| Davison | 3,467 | 47.64% | 3,437 | 47.22% | 374 | 5.14% | 30 | 0.41% | 7,278 | ||||||
| Day | 937 | 33.97% | 1,668 | 60.48% | 153 | 5.55% | -731 | -26.50% | 2,758 | ||||||
| Deuel | 877 | 42.86% | 999 | 48.83% | 170 | 8.31% | -122 | -5.96% | 2,046 | ||||||
| Dewey | 442 | 28.05% | 1,070 | 67.89% | 64 | 4.06% | -628 | -39.85% | 1,576 | ||||||
| Douglas | 1,083 | 65.12% | 489 | 29.40% | 91 | 5.47% | 594 | 35.72% | 1,663 | ||||||
| Edmunds | 838 | 46.69% | 834 | 46.46% | 123 | 6.85% | 4 | 0.22% | 1,795 | ||||||
| Fall River | 1,824 | 58.54% | 1,056 | 33.89% | 236 | 7.57% | 768 | 24.65% | 3,116 | ||||||
| Faulk | 553 | 50.87% | 466 | 42.87% | 68 | 6.26% | 87 | 8.00% | 1,087 | ||||||
| Grant | 1,597 | 45.63% | 1,638 | 46.80% | 265 | 7.57% | -41 | -1.17% | 3,500 | ||||||
| Gregory | 1,129 | 54.99% | 785 | 38.24% | 139 | 6.77% | 344 | 16.76% | 2,053 | ||||||
| Haakon | 718 | 69.37% | 254 | 24.54% | 63 | 6.09% | 464 | 44.83% | 1,035 | ||||||
| Hamlin | 1,463 | 55.29% | 963 | 36.39% | 220 | 8.31% | 500 | 18.90% | 2,646 | ||||||
| Hand | 906 | 49.24% | 804 | 43.70% | 130 | 7.07% | 102 | 5.54% | 1,840 | ||||||
| Hanson | 1,048 | 60.09% | 594 | 34.06% | 102 | 5.85% | 454 | 26.03% | 1,744 | ||||||
| Harding | 490 | 73.03% | 127 | 18.93% | 54 | 8.05% | 363 | 54.10% | 671 | ||||||
| Hughes | 3,849 | 49.95% | 3,432 | 44.54% | 425 | 5.52% | 417 | 5.41% | 7,706 | ||||||
| Hutchinson | 1,822 | 56.92% | 1,176 | 36.74% | 203 | 6.34% | 646 | 20.18% | 3,201 | ||||||
| Hyde | 412 | 57.22% | 277 | 38.47% | 31 | 4.31% | 135 | 18.75% | 720 | ||||||
| Jackson | 534 | 55.51% | 369 | 38.36% | 59 | 6.13% | 165 | 17.15% | 962 | ||||||
| Jerauld | 461 | 40.76% | 581 | 51.37% | 89 | 7.87% | -120 | -10.61% | 1,131 | ||||||
| Jones | 377 | 63.90% | 180 | 30.51% | 33 | 5.59% | 197 | 33.39% | 590 | ||||||
| Kingsbury | 1,044 | 42.18% | 1,229 | 49.66% | 202 | 8.16% | -185 | -7.47% | 2,475 | ||||||
| Lake | 2,414 | 46.39% | 2,458 | 47.23% | 332 | 6.38% | -44 | -0.85% | 5,204 | ||||||
| Lawrence | 5,431 | 53.26% | 4,019 | 39.41% | 747 | 7.33% | 1,412 | 13.85% | 10,197 | ||||||
| Lincoln | 9,440 | 52.44% | 7,699 | 42.77% | 862 | 4.79% | 1,741 | 9.67% | 18,001 | ||||||
| Lyman | 677 | 48.36% | 604 | 43.14% | 119 | 8.50% | 73 | 5.21% | 1,400 | ||||||
| Marshall | 660 | 35.64% | 1,107 | 59.77% | 85 | 4.59% | -447 | -24.14% | 1,852 | ||||||
| McCook | 1,216 | 48.41% | 1,126 | 44.82% | 170 | 6.77% | 90 | 3.58% | 2,512 | ||||||
| McPherson | 692 | 57.33% | 447 | 37.03% | 68 | 5.63% | 245 | 20.30% | 1,207 | ||||||
| Meade | 5,741 | 61.10% | 3,049 | 32.45% | 606 | 6.45% | 2,692 | 28.65% | 9,396 | ||||||
| Mellette | 320 | 42.22% | 373 | 49.21% | 65 | 8.58% | -53 | -6.99% | 758 | ||||||
| Miner | 458 | 41.08% | 581 | 52.11% | 76 | 6.82% | -123 | -11.03% | 1,115 | ||||||
| Minnehaha | 28,968 | 44.50% | 32,430 | 49.82% | 3,698 | 5.68% | -3,462 | -5.32% | 65,096 | ||||||
| Moody | 1,111 | 40.80% | 1,433 | 57.18% | 201 | 2.02% | -503 | -16.39% | 2,745 | ||||||
| Pennington | 21,489 | 57.94% | 13,597 | 36.66% | 2,002 | 5.40% | 7,892 | 21.28% | 37,088 | ||||||
| Perkins | 859 | 62.38% | 418 | 30.36% | 100 | 7.26% | 441 | 32.03% | 1,377 | ||||||
| Potter | 745 | 56.35% | 518 | 39.18% | 59 | 4.46% | 227 | 17.17% | 1,322 | ||||||
| Roberts | 1,507 | 39.12% | 2,077 | 53.92% | 268 | 6.96% | -570 | -14.80% | 3,852 | ||||||
| Sanborn | 514 | 44.16% | 578 | 49.66% | 72 | 6.19% | -64 | -5.50% | 1,164 | ||||||
| Shannon | 191 | 7.63% | 2,260 | 90.29% | 52 | 2.08% | -2,069 | -82.66% | 2,503 | ||||||
| Spink | 1,201 | 40.85% | 1,564 | 53.20% | 175 | 5.95% | -363 | -12.35% | 2,940 | ||||||
| Stanley | 726 | 50.88% | 601 | 42.12% | 100 | 7.01% | 125 | 8.76% | 1,427 | ||||||
| Sully | 427 | 57.24% | 270 | 36.19% | 49 | 6.57% | 157 | 21.05% | 746 | ||||||
| Todd | 421 | 21.03% | 1,500 | 74.93% | 81 | 4.05% | -1,079 | -53.90% | 2,002 | ||||||
| Tripp | 1,390 | 37.52% | 949 | 59.07% | 169 | 3.41% | 441 | 17.58% | 2,508 | ||||||
| Treasure | 1,875 | 49.30% | 1,676 | 44.07% | 252 | 6.63% | 199 | 5.23% | 3,803 | ||||||
| Union | 3,356 | 55.60% | 2,408 | 39.89% | 272 | 4.51% | 948 | 15.71% | 6,036 | ||||||
| Walworth | 1,229 | 54.89% | 871 | 38.90% | 139 | 6.21% | 358 | 15.99% | 2,239 | ||||||
| Yankton | 3,653 | 42.18% | 4,336 | 50.07% | 671 | 7.75% | -683 | -7.89% | 8,660 | ||||||
| Ziebach | 245 | 35.61% | 415 | 60.32% | 28 | 4.07% | -170 | -24.71% | 688 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Douglas (largest city: Armour)
- Union (Largest city: Dakota Dunes)
- Hutchinson (largest city: Parkston)
- Lincoln (largest city: Sioux Falls)
- Turner (largest city: Parker)
- Butte (largest city: Belle Fourche)
- Perkins (largest city: Belle Fourche)
- Tripp (largest city: Winner)
- Fall River (largest city: Hot Springs)
- Lawrence (largest city: Spearfish)
- Meade (largest city: Sturgis)
- Pennington (largest city: Rapid City)
- Gregory (largest city: Gregory)
- Stanley (largest city: Fort Pierre)
- Sully (largest city: Onida)
- Hughes (largest city: Pierre)
- Hyde (largest city: Highmore)
- McPherson (largest city: Eureka)
- Potter (largest city: Gettysburg)
- Walworth (largest city: Mobridge)
- Campbell (largest city: Herreid)
- Hanson (largest city: Alexandria)
- Codington (largest city: Watertown)
- Davison (largest city: Mitchell)
- Hamlin (largest city: Estelline)
- McCook (largest city: Salem)
- Charles Mix (Largest city: Wagner)
- Edmunds (largest city: Ipswich)
- Faulk (largest city: Faulkton)
- Hand (largest city: Miller)
- Jackson (largest city: Kadoka)
- Lyman (largest city: Lower Brule)
- Custer (largest city: Custer)
- Douglas (largest city: Armour)
- Haakon (largest city: Philip)
- Harding (largest city: Buffalo)
- Jones (largest city: Murdo)
References
References
- (2010-09-30). "Statewide Candidate List". sd.gov.
- "Herseth Sandlin running for reelection - The Scorecard". Politico.
- "Curd for Congress".
- "Help Chris Make South Dakota Better!".
- (2009-09-04). "Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > S.D. Legislator Considers U.S. House". Yankton.net.
- (2010-01-07). "It's Official: Thad Wasson Ends Congressional Campaign, Endorses Curd". Dakotavoice.com.
- (2009-11-12). "Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > Krebs Decides Against U.S. House Run". Yankton.net.
- "2010 South Dakota Official Primary Election Results".
- Murray, Matthew. (2010-07-26). "GOP Assails Sandlin Family Ties". [[Roll Call]].
- Montgomery, David. (2010-09-27). "Noem targets Herseth Sandlin's lobbyist husband in heated House race". [[Rapid City Journal]].
- Rapid City Journal Editorial Board. (2010-09-30). "Sandlin's job no laughing matter". [[Rapid City Journal]].
- "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - February 23, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".
- "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - March 25, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".
- "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - April 21, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".
- "Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - May 27, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".
- "Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - June 10, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".
- Woster, Kevin. [http://www.rapidcityjournal.com/news/article_ae39c8d2-8b83-11df-a88c-001cc4c002e0.html Poll: Herseth Sandlin gains back ground, but Noem still leads in House race], ''[[Rapid City Journal]]'', July 9, 2010.
- (May 2025). "Rasmussen Reports}}{{Dead link".
- Rasmussen, Scott. (2010-08-06). "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives". Rasmussen Reports.
- "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives".
- "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives".
- "Nielson Brothers Polling".
- Silver, Nate. (2010-10-20). "FiveThirtyEight Forecasts South Dakota At Large District". [[The New York Times]].
- (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
- Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
- "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
- Montgomery, David. (October 22, 2010). "Noem cruises past Herseth Sandlin in campaign funding in U.S. House race". [[Rapid City Journal]].
- "Campaign cash: South Dakota's 1st congressional district". [[The Washington Post]].
- "2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidate Races - November 2, 2010". South Dakota Secretary of State.
- "2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidates by County - November 2, 2010".
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