2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware

Background

The state of Delaware is completely contained in a single at-large district. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7. Since 1993, the district had been represented by Republican Michael Castle.

Castle announced in 2009 he would run for the United States Senate seat held by Ted Kaufman (D) who had been appointed to the seat when his predecessor, Joe Biden (D), resigned to become Vice President. Castle was defeated by Christine O'Donnell in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

Democratic primary

Candidates

• John Carney, former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware

Results

Carney announced his candidacy on April 15, 2009, and was unopposed in the primary after Scott Spencer, a transportation consultant, dropped out.

Republican primary

Candidates

• Glen Urquhart, businessman
• Michele Rollins, businesswoman and former Miss District of Columbia USA and former Miss World America 1963
• Rose Izzo, columnist

Results

General election

Campaign

According to a September 2010 poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, "likely voters in Delaware split 45%-40% on whether they prefer[ed] to have the U.S. Congress controlled by the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, suggesting that the First State's open congressional seat might be hotly contested," yet in the same poll, Carney led Urquhart by 51%-36%. Peter Woolley, the poll director, remarked that "candidates matter, not just parties" and that in Delaware candidates matter "more than in most states."

Polling

Predictions

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• New Castle (largest city: Wilmington)

References

References

1. [http://projects.usatoday.com/news/politics/2010/elections/DE/#house Elections 2010:Delaware]
2. (June 20, 2008). "Cook Political Report, PVI for the 110th Congress". [[Cook Political Report]].
3. Josh Kraushaar. (October 6, 2009). "Castle running for the Senate". Politico.
4. "Delaware Con Carney - Hotline On Call". Hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com.
5. (March 30, 2009). "Courierpostonline - Transportation consultant plans congressional bid". Content.usatoday.net.
6. "State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware".
7. "[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/de1010/ Delaware Republicans Losing House Seat]," FDU PublicMind, Oct. 5, 2010. Retrieved 2/24/11.
8. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101103115505/http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP37_DE_2.pdf Monmouth University]
9. [http://publicmind.fdu.edu/carney/ Fairleigh Dickinson]
10. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101125210326/http://monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP37_DE.pdf Monmouth University]
11. [http://publicmind.fdu.edu/de1010/ Fairleigh Dickinson]
12. [http://www.udel.edu/udaily/2011/oct/images/CPC_Poll_data.pdf University of Delaware]
13. {{usurped
14. [https://web.archive.org/web/20100928021904/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/another-tuesday-means-more-dcc.html Grove Insight]
15. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_DE_916.pdf Public Policy Polling]
16. [http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/8/10/891639/-DE-Sen,-DE-AL:-Castle-(R)-under-50,-Coons-(D)-still-unknown Public Policy Polling]
17. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
18. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
19. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
20. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
21. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
22. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
23. "State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware".