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2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

German state election


German state election

FieldValue
election_name2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
countryNorth Rhine-Westphalia
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
previous_election2000 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
previous_year2000
next_election2010 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
next_year2010
seats_for_electionAll 187 seats in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia, including 6 overhang and leveling seats
majority_seats94
election_date22 May 2005
turnout8,333,363 (63.0% 6.3 pp)
image1[[File:Juergen Ruettgers.jpg150x150px]]
candidate1Jürgen Rüttgers
party1Christian Democratic Union of Germany
last_election188 seats, 37.0%
seats189
seat_change11
popular_vote13,696,506
percentage144.8%
swing17.8 pp
image2[[File:Peer Steinbrück, Rhein-Ruhr-Halle Duisburg, 2005.jpg150x150px]]
candidate2Peer Steinbrück
party2Social Democratic Party of Germany
last_election2102 seats, 42.8%
seats274
seat_change228
popular_vote23,058,988
percentage237.1%
swing25.7 pp
image4[[File:Bhoehn.jpg150x150px]]
candidate4Bärbel Höhn
party4Alliance 90/The Greens
last_election417 seats, 7.1%
seats412
seat_change45
popular_vote4509,293
percentage46.2%
swing40.9 pp
image5[[File:Ingo Wolf-4530.jpg150x150px]]
candidate5Ingo Wolf
party5Free Democratic Party (Germany)
last_election524 seats, 9.8%
seats512
seat_change512
popular_vote5508,266
percentage56.2%
swing53.6 pp
map_image2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election.svg
map_size400px
map_captionResults for the single-member constituencies.
titleGovernment
before_electionSteinbrück cabinet
before_partySPD–Green
posttitleGovernment after election
after_electionRüttgers cabinet
after_partyCDU–FDP

The 2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election was held on 22 May 2005 to elect the 14th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia. The outgoing government was a coalition of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Peer Steinbrück.

The result was a landslide defeat for the SPD, as the party suffered its worst result in 50 years at 37% and was ousted from government for the first time since 1966. The opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) under Jürgen Rüttgers won a commanding victory with 45% of votes and came just short of a majority in the Landtag. The Greens also suffered losses, as did the Free Democratic Party (FDP), with both finishing on 6.2%. The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the FDP, and Rüttgers was elected Minister-President by the Landtag on 22 June.

The result had important ramifications outside North Rhine-Westphalia: such a crushing defeat for the SPD in a stronghold state was viewed as an indication of unpopularity of the federal government led by Gerhard Schröder. On the evening of the election, Schröder announced he would seek an early federal election.

Electoral system

The Landtag was elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 128 members were elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting, and 53 then allocated using compensatory proportional representation. A single ballot was used for both. The minimum size of the Landtag was 181 members, but if overhang seats were present, proportional leveling seats were added to ensure proportionality. Since the previous election in 2000, an electoral reform had been passed which reduced the number of single-member constituencies by 23 and the overall size of the Landtag by 20 members. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold are ineligible to receive seats.

Background

Main article: 2000 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

In the previous election held on 14 May 2000, the SPD suffered losses and slid to 43% of the vote, while the CDU recorded another poor performance with 37%. The Greens also declined to 7% while the FDP recovered to 10% and re-entered the Landtag. The outgoing SPD–Green government retained a reduced majority and was renewed for a second term.

In November 2002, Minister-President Wolfgang Clement resigned to join the second Schröder cabinet as minister for economics and labour. He was succeeded by state finance minister Peer Steinbrück, who continued the coalition with the Greens.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 13th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.

NameIdeologyLead
candidate2000 resultVotes (%)Seats
Social Democratic Party of Germany}}SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei DeutschlandsSocial democracyPeer Steinbrück42.8%
Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union DeutschlandsChristian democracyJürgen Rüttgers37.0%
Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}FDPFree Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische ParteiClassical liberalismIngo Wolf9.8%
Alliance 90/The Greens}}GRÜNEAlliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die GrünenGreen politicsBärbel Höhn7.1%

A total of 22 parties and lists ran in the election, as did 17 independent candidates. A total of 1,343 candidates stood for election, of which 273 (20.3%) were women. Only the four parliamentary parties as well as The Republicans and Labour and Social Justice ran candidates in all 128 constituencies. Due to the single-vote system, the number of constituencies in which each party stood determined how much of the electorate they were able to reach, and thus how many votes they could gather.

Campaign

Peer Steinbrück, who had been Minister-President for two and a half years by the time of the election, stood as lead candidate for the SPD. As in 2000, the CDU nominated state chairman Jürgen Rüttgers. Environment minister Bärbel Höhn led the Greens for a fourth time, and the FDP put forward Landtag group leader Ingo Wolf. The SPD and Greens aimed to continue their coalition, while the CDU and FDP sought to oust them with a coalition of their own. Polls showed the two blocs neck and neck at the start of the year, but the CDU and FDP established a strong lead by the start of March. Minister-President Peer Steinbrück remained popular and led Rüttgers in terms of personal polling; the SPD relied heavily on his personal image and placed less emphasis on the party brand, which was dragged down by federal issues The SPD also faced a challenge from the left in the form of WASG, a party founded by trade unionists and disgruntled SPD members opposed to the federal government's Agenda 2010. Important topics in the campaign were coal mining subsidies, wind energy, education, and the high unemployment rate.

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
sizeSPDCDUFDPGrüneWASGOthersLeadSocial Democratic Party of Germany}};"Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};"Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};"Alliance 90/The Greens}};"Labour and Social Justice – The Electoral Alternative}};"
2005 state election22 May 200537.144.86.26.22.23.5Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7.7
Forsa18 May 20051,3263643777Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
Infratest dimap12–13 May 20051,00037437.57.55Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
Infas10–12 May 20057503643876Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen9–12 May 20051,0623544795Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
Infratest dimap10–11 May 20051,00037437823Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
Forsa26 Apr–6 May 20051,01734457725Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
Infratest dimap2–3 May 20051,0103545785Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Emnid3 May 2005?34447924Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Forsa25–29 Apr 20051,10935457724Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Infratest dimap26–28 Apr 20051,0003445795Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
Emnid26 Apr 20051,00034456105Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
Emnid29 Mar–18 Apr 20051,0533545695Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Infratest dimap12–14 Apr 20051,0003545785Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5–7 Apr 20051,0393646684Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Infratest dimap4–5 Apr 20051,0003445795Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
Emnid24 Mar–3 Apr 20051,0633545794Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Forsa30 Mar–5 Apr 20051,0093645585Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
Infratest dimap15–17 Mar 20051,000354271015Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
Emnid2–14 Mar 20051,05835437105Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
Infratest dimap1–3 Mar 20051,0003543796Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
Forsa21 Feb–1 Mar 20051,0123642796Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"6
Infratest dimap9–10 Feb 20051,0003739798Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
Forsa10–12 Jan 20051,3023939796Tie
Infratest dimap4–6 Jan 20051,01038407105Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
Emnid3 Dec 20041,00033408136Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
Forsa2 Dec 2004?36398116Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
Infratest dimap29 Oct–4 Nov 20041,07536408115Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
Infratest dimap13–15 Sep 20041,00030437137Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Emnid8–9 Sep 20041,00030437119Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Infratest dimap24–26 Aug 20041,000324271234Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Emnid9 Aug 20041,00028448128Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
Psephos31 May–4 Jun 20041,00033476104Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen24 Apr 2004?29495125Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
Psephos18 Apr 20041,0033447784Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
dimap2–8 Mar 20041,00732486104Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
dimap20–25 Jan 20041,0013248893Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
dimap19 Jan 2004?3348784Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Psephos2 Nov 2003?31477105Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
dimap30 Sep–2 Oct 20031,05034476103Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Infratest dimap1 Jul 20031,00033477103Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14
Emnid13 Jun 2003?36456103Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
Forsa26–30 May 20031,5083745693Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
Infratest dimap26–27 May 20031,00033458113Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"12
dimap19 May 20031,0053248794Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
dimap11–14 Mar 20031,00033486103Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Psephos9 Feb 20031,00533468103Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"7
Emnid9–14 Jan 20031,0003645694Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
Psephos10 Nov 2002?3943873Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"4
Psephos15 Apr 2002?36381286Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
Psephos20 Jan 2002?39411064Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
Psephos30 Sep 2001?43381063Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5
Psephos13 May 2001?44351173Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"9
Psephos14 Jan 2001?4138984Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"3
2000 state election14 May 200042.837.09.87.13.3Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"5.8

Results

Aftermath

Immediate coverage of the election was overwhelmed by its impact on federal politics: only half an hour after the polls closed, first SPD chairman Franz Müntefering and then Chancellor Gerhard Schröder announced the government's intention to seek an early dissolution of the Bundestag. A federal election had originally not been due until September of 2006, but Schröder and Müntefering felt the need for a renewed mandate for the government's agenda in light of a string of defeats on the state level, of which North Rhine-Westphalia was the most significant as it was a longtime stronghold of the SPD. The result also marked the defeat of the last incumbent SPD-Green state government. This led to a knock-on effect as Schröder quickly brought and deliberately lost a motion of confidence in the Bundestag and subsequently dissolved it. With the election looming, parties were forced to accelerate the selection and announcement of candidates; Angela Merkel was announced as the CDU/CSU's Chancellor candidate just a week after the election in North Rhine-Westphalia. These developments greatly overshadowed the state election and its local consequences, which receded into the background of coverage.

Polling conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen reported that the poor economic situation, unpopular federal government, and weak perception of the state government were the most decisive factors in the outcome. On the key issue of unemployment, voters trusted the CDU much more than the SPD.

Government formation

The CDU and FDP quickly began negotiations for a coalition government. The former were led by Jürgen Rüttgers, while the FDP were led by lead candidate Ingo Wolf and state chairman Andreas Pinkwart. The draft coalition agreement was presented less than a month after the election on 17 June, and quickly ratified almost unanimously by both parties.

The new Landtag was inaugurated on 8 June, and Regina van Dinther was elected

President. Jürgen Rüttgers was elected Minister-President two weeks later on the 22nd, winning 99 votes in favour to 87 against. His cabinet took office on 24 June.

Notes

References

References

  1. (22 May 2005). "SPD voted out, CDU triumphs".
  2. (30 May 2005). "Merkel Chosen as Chancellor Candidate".
  3. (22 June 2005). "Rüttgers is Minister-President in NRW".
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