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1995 New Brunswick general election
Canadian provincial election
Canadian provincial election
| Field | Value | |
|---|---|---|
| election_name | 1995 New Brunswick general election | |
| country | New Brunswick | |
| type | parliamentary | |
| party_colour | no | |
| party_name | no | |
| previous_election | 1991 New Brunswick general election | |
| previous_year | 1991 | |
| outgoing_members | 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly | |
| election_date | September 11, 1995 | |
| elected_mps | members | |
| next_election | 1999 New Brunswick general election | |
| next_year | 1999 | |
| seats_for_election | 55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick | majority_seats = 28 |
| image1 | [[Image:Frank_McKenna2.jpg | 150x150px]] |
| colour1 | ||
| leader1 | Frank McKenna | |
| leader_since1 | 1985 | |
| party1 | ||
| leaders_seat1 | Miramichi-Bay du Vin | |
| last_election1 | 46 | |
| seats1 | 48 | |
| seat_change1 | 2 | |
| popular_vote1 | 201,150 | |
| percentage1 | 51.63% | |
| swing1 | 4.52% | |
| image2 | PC | |
| colour2 | ||
| leader2 | Bernard Valcourt | |
| leader_since2 | 1995 | |
| party2 | ||
| leaders_seat2 | Edmundston | |
| last_election2 | 3 | |
| seats2 | 6 | |
| seat_change2 | 3 | |
| popular_vote2 | 120,247 | |
| percentage2 | 30.87% | |
| swing2 | 10.17% | |
| image4 | NDP | |
| colour4 | ||
| leader4 | Elizabeth Weir | |
| leader_since4 | 1988 | |
| party4 | ||
| leaders_seat4 | Saint John Harbour | |
| last_election4 | 1 | |
| seats4 | 1 | |
| seat_change4 | ||
| popular_vote4 | 37,579 | |
| percentage4 | 9.65% | |
| swing4 | 1.13% | |
| image5 | CoR | |
| colour5 | ||
| leader5 | Greg Hargrove | |
| leader_since5 | 1995 | |
| party5 | ||
| leaders_seat5 | Mactaquac (lost re-election) | |
| last_election5 | 8 | |
| seats5 | 0 | |
| seat_change5 | 8 | |
| popular_vote5 | 27,684 | |
| percentage5 | 7.11% | |
| swing5 | 14.09% | |
| map_image | Nb1995.PNG | |
| map_size | 300px | |
| map_caption | Map of New Brunswick's ridings coloured in based on the winning parties and their popular vote | |
| title | Premier | |
| before_election | Frank McKenna | |
| before_party | ||
| after_election | Frank McKenna | |
| posttitle | Premier after election | |
| after_party |
]] The 1995 New Brunswick general election was held on September 11, 1995, to elect the 55 members of the 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly.
The Liberals won their third consecutive majority government, with Premier McKenna's personal popularity aiding the Liberals in retaining a large majority. The PCs managed only 6 seats, while the CoR lost all theirs. The combined PC-CoR vote exceeded that of the Liberals in an additional 10 ridings (Albert, Fundy Isles, Kings East, Mactaquac, Petitcodiac, Saint John-Fundy, Southwest Miramichi, Victoria-Tobique, Western Charlotte and Woodstock).
Background
The election marked the debut of Bernard Valcourt as a provincial politician, and as leader of a reinvigorated Progressive Conservative Party. A popular politician from Edmundston, Valcourt had served as an MP from 1984 to 1993, serving in the cabinets of Prime Ministers Brian Mulroney and Kim Campbell. The New Brunswick PCs had been in the political wilderness for the better part of a decade; they were shut out of the legislature in 1987, and only managed a third-place showing with 3 seats in 1991. The internal disarray of the CoR party had vacated room on the right for the PCs, and polls suggested a more competitive race than in the previous few elections.
Frank McKenna's Liberal Party sought a third term in government, as the Confederation of Regions (CoR) party struggled to survive after considerable internal strife. Elizabeth Weir tried to expand her New Democratic Party's foothold in the legislature.
This election was the first since 1974 to feature a boundary redistribution, with an overall reduction in the size of the legislature from 58 to 55 seats.
Opinion polls
| Polling firm | Last day | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| of survey | Source | NBLA | NBPC | NBNDP | CoR | Other | ME | Sample | NB | Liberal}};" data-sort-type="number" | NB | PC}};" data-sort-type="number" | NB | NDP}};" data-sort-type="number" | NB | CoR}};" data-sort-type="number" | CA | Indépendant}};" data-sort-type="number" | |||||
| Election 1995 | September 11, 1995 | 51.63 | 30.87 | 9.65 | 7.11 | 0.75 | |||||||||||||||||
| Omnifacts | September 4, 1995 | 66 | 21 | 9 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate Research Associates | August 1995 | 64 | 12 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Omnifacts | August 1995 | {{cite news | title=McKenna set to call vote for Sept. 11: Liberals' tough management line leaves Tories scrambling to come from behind | first=Kevin | date=August 12, 1995 | work=The Globe and Mail | page=A8}} | 56 | 15.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | ||||||||||||
| Election 1991 | September 23, 1991 | 47.11 | 20.69 | 10.78 | 21.18 | 0.24 |
Results
| Party | Party Leader | # of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| candidates | Seats | Popular Vote | 1991 | Dissolution]] | Elected | % Change | # | % | Change | 48 | 6 | 1 | 0 | Total | 226 | 58 | 58 | 55 | -5.45% | 389,562 | 100% | -5.65% | ||
| Liberal | Frank McKenna | 55 | 46 | 42 | +4.3% | 201,150 | 51.63% | +4.52% | Progressive Conservative | Bernard Valcourt | 55 | 3 | 6 | +100% | 120,247 | 30.87% | +10.17% | New Democratic | Elizabeth Weir | 55 | 1 | 1 | - | 37,579 |
- Natural Law did not contest the 1991 election.{{Bar box|title=Popular vote|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars=
Candidates
Many new and changed districts were used for the first time in this election as a result of an electoral redistribution.
Legend
- bold denotes a party leader
- italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
- † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election
-
- denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
Northern New Brunswick
|- || |Jean Paul Savoie 3,745 | |Luc LeBrun 3,230 | |Wendy Martin 200 | |Marcelle Lamontagne (Natural Law) 93 ||
| Jean-Paul Savoie |
|---|
| Edmond Blanchard 4,831 |
| |Florent Jim Levesque 1,207 | |Louis Renaud 425 | |Harold I. Hargrove (CoR) 368 Laurent Maltais (Natural Law) 93 ||
| Edmond Blanchard |
|---|
| Chris Jensen (Natural Law) 81 |
| Allan Maher† |
| - |
| - |
| Rayburn Doucett† |
| - |
| Albert Doucet 4,421 |
| |Maxime Lejeune 2,555 | |Ulric DeGrâce 662 | |Francine Richard (Natural Law) 126 ||
| Albert Doucet |
|---|
| Marcelle Mersereau 4,956 |
| |Graham Wiseman 695 | |Kim Power 824 | |William Parker (Natural Law) 88 ||
| Marcelle Mersereau |
|---|
| Alban Landry 3,715 |
| |Anne-Marie Gammon 1,953 | |Normand Savoie 690 | |Andie Haché (Natural Law) 87 ||
| Frank Branch† |
|---|
| Bernard Thériault 4,367 |
| |Bernard Haché 1,804 | |Jean-Marie Nadeau 1,792 | |Marc Boulay (Natural Law) 68 ||
| Bernard Thériault |
|---|
| Jean-Camille DeGrâce 4,124 |
| |Paul Robichaud 4,096 | |Daniel Brindle 222 | |Gilles Godin 56 ||
| Jean Gauvin† |
|---|
| Denis Landry 3,448 |
| |Roland Mallais 2,749 | |Pierre Cousineau 373 | | |- | |George McLaughlin 3,803 || |Elvy Robichaud 4,214 | |Aldoria Noël 172 | | || |Elvy Robichaud |}
Eastern New Brunswick
|- || |Danny Gay 3,504 | |Jim Gordon 3,334 | |Mary M. Parker 237 | |Allison Furlotte (CoR) 91 ||
| Danny Gay |
|---|
| Frank McKenna |
| - |
| - |
| Reg MacDonald |
| - |
| John McKay 4,081 |
| |Paul Dawson 3,803 | |Terry Carter 353 | | ||
| John McKay |
|---|
| Reg MacDonald* 3,227 |
| |Andy Dawson 2,326 | |Allan Goodfellow 337 | |Gerald Stewart (CoR) 1,055 Gayer Holmes (Ind.) 147 ||
| Brent Taylor† |
|---|
| Kenneth Johnson 3,530 |
| |Hermel Mazerolle 2,728 | |Charles Richard 493 | | |- ||
| Alan Graham |
|---|
| - |
| Conrad Landry† |
| - |
| Camille Thériault 6,313 |
| |Charles Ryan 1,774 | |Clifford Meunier 740 | | ||
| Camille Thériault |
|---|
| Bernard Richard 6,963 |
| |Jean-Claude Bourque 1,006 | |John Gagnon 543 | | || |Bernard Richard |}
Southeastern New Brunswick
|- || |Marilyn Trenholme 3,414 | |Eric Wheeler 654 | |Berkeley Fleming 844 | |Julia Stevens 553 | | ||
| Marilyn Trenholme Counsell |
|---|
| Greg O'Donnell 6,639 |
| |Bernard Lord 2,181 | |Bernice Butler 577 | |Robert Henry 177 | | ||
| Greg O'Donnell |
|---|
| Ray Frenette 4,466 |
| |Brian Donaghy 1,302 | |Gérard Snow 854 | |Gerry Fullerton 604 | | ||
| Ray Frenette |
|---|
| Jim Lockyer 4,332 |
| |Bob Leighton 1,236 | |Blair McInnis 577 | |Don Freeman 861 | | ||
| James E. Lockyer |
|---|
| Gene Devereux 4,333 |
| |Marc LeBlanc 1,139 | |Mark Robar 608 | |Cyril Flanagan 945 | |Michael Boucher (Natural Law) 40 ||
| vacant |
|---|
| Kenneth R. MacLeod 3,832 |
| |Barbara Winsor 1,489 | |Richard Hay 426 | |Dean Ryder 1,017 |
| Richard Mullins 227 |
|---|
| Hollis Steeves 2,398 |
| |Charles Harmer 1,650 | |Jennifer Stairs 310 | |Tom Taylor 1,673 | | ||
| Dennis Cochrane† |
|---|
| Al Kavanaugh 4,090 |
| |Scott MacGregor 1,712 | |David Bailie 317 | |Doug Roper 1,436 | | ||
| Gordon Wilden* |
|---|
| Harry Doyle 2,871 |
| |Wayne Steeves 1,964 | |Elizabeth Venart 353 | |Doug Duff 1,350 | | ||
| Beverly Brine† |
|---|
| LeRoy Armstrong 3,074 |
| |Hazen Myers 3,030 | |Brian Stone 325 | |Gordon Willden* 548 | |Brian A. Chown (Ind.) 193 || |Hazen Myers |}
Greater [[Saint John, New Brunswick|Saint John]] & Fundy Coast
|- || |Georgie Day* 3,310 | |Ronald Hatfield 2,837 | |Shirley Short 870 | |Ben Macaulay 456 |
| Neil Dickie (Natural Law) 69 |
|---|
| Peter LeBlanc 3,279 |
| |John van Kralingen 2,069 | |Elizabeth Thompson 1,522 | |Bob Ross 471 | | |- || |Stuart Jamieson 2,447 | |Rodney Weston 2,263 | |Aubrey Fougere 968 | |Bernard Toole 224 | |Phyllis Johnston (Natural Law) 49 ||
| Stuart Jamieson |
|---|
| Laureen Jarrett 3,176 |
| |Bill Artiss 2,561 | |Pam Coates 825 | | | |Gary Ewart (Ind.) 497 Allison Pring (Natural Law) 60 |- || |Roly MacIntyre 2,222 | |Lisa Keenan 1,547 | |Paula Tippett 1,888 | |Christina Green 200 | | ||
| George Jenkins† |
|---|
| John Mooney† |
| - |
| - |
| Elizabeth Weir |
| - |
| Leo McAdam |
| - |
| - |
| Shirley Dysart† |
| - |
| Jane Barry 2,954 |
| |Norm McFarlane 2,673 | |Kenneth Wilcox 1,030 | |Peter Whitebone 215 | |Richard Gerrior (Ind.) 188 Christopher Collrin (Natural Law) 49 ||
| Jane Barry |
|---|
| |Edward Kelly 1,583 || |Milt Sherwood 2,332 | |Julie Dingwell 1,471 | |Colby Fraser 527 | | |- ||
| Sheldon Lee |
|---|
| - |
| Eric Allaby |
| - |
| Eric Allaby* 1,201 |
| |Bob Jackson 1,111 | |Bill Barteau 77 | |John Cunningham 171 | | |- ||
| Reid Hurley† |
|---|
| - |
| Ann Breault |
| } |
Greater [[Fredericton, New Brunswick|Fredericton]]
|- || |Vaughn Blaney* 3,537 | |Jody Carr 1,861 | |Sandra Burtt 390 | |Ab Rector 914 | | ||
| Ab Rector |
|---|
| Doug Tyler* 3,743 |
| |Stephen McCready 2,177 | |Danny Young 420 | |Connie Webber 1,501 | | |- || |Jim Wilson 4,235 | |Walter Brown 1,778 | |Elaine Perkins 1,074 | |Ross Ingram 1,569 | | ||
| Ed Allen† |
|---|
| Greg Byrne 3,241 |
| |Brent Bishop 1,464 | |Patricia Kennedy 929 | |Nancy Curtis 857 | | |- || |Russ King 4,141 | |David Peterson 1,980 | |Dick Grant 1,042 | |Dave O'Brien 776 | |Jeanne Geldart (Natural Law) 108 ||
| Russ King |
|---|
| Joan Kingston 3,719 |
| |Robert Penney 1,759 | |Eric Keating 636 | |Max White* 1,873 | | |- || |John Flynn 3,632 | |Martin MacMullin 1,815 | |Mary van Gaal 546 | |Stephen Little 1,350 | |Patricia Carlson (Natural Law) 56 ||
| Danny Cameron† |
|---|
| David Olmstead 3,106 |
| |Donald Parent 2,131 | |Thomas Steep 505 | |Greg Hargrove 1,755 | | || |Greg Hargrove |}
Upper [[Saint John River (New Brunswick)|Saint John River]] Valley
|- || |Bruce Smith 3,306 | |Fred Hanson 3,058 | |David Kennedy 530 | |Lynn Avery (CoR) 687 ||
| Bruce Smith |
|---|
| Allison DeLong† |
| - |
| - |
| Dale Graham |
| - |
| Larry Kennedy 2,845 |
| |Greg Inman 2,838 | |Leslie Ferguson 114 | |Kevin Jensen (CoR) 592 Carter Edgar (Ind.) 109 ||
| Larry Kennedy |
|---|
| Paul Duffie 4,583 |
| |Jean-Guy Laforest 2,301 | |André Faust 264 | | ||
| Paul Duffie |
|---|
| Gérald Clavette |
| - |
| - |
| Percy Mockler |
| - |
| |Roland Beaulieu 2,803 || |Bernard Valcourt 4,215 | |Maureen Michaud 102 | | ||
| Roland Beaulieu |
|---|
| |Georges Corriveau 3,085 || |Jeannot Volpé 4,060 | |John Nowlan 103 | | ||
| Georges Corriveau |
|---|
| } |
References
References
- (September 6, 1995). "Poll predicts victory for N.B. Grits". The Globe and Mail.
- McIllroy, Anne. (August 13, 1995). "Miles in front of the pack, McKenna still runs scared". The Ottawa Citizen.
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