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Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election
In the run up to the 2026 Israeli legislative election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls. The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence law, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).
This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated. This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.
Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) rather than the number of seats they would have received.
- Government
- Sum of the 37th government parties: Likud, Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. Coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
- Opposition bloc
- Sum of the following parties considered by pollsters as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government: The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz), National Unity and Yisrael Beiteinu. The sum also includes Together, which is an electoral alliance of Yesh Atid and Bennett 2026, a party founded by Naftali Bennett (who served as prime minister of the 36th government). Yashar is also included as part of the opposition.
- Unaligned parties
- The government and opposition blocs do not include non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, as well as Ra'am, which served in the 36th government. Some polls list the three parties as the proposed Joint List. These parties are seen by pollsters as unlikely to be invited to future governments, but they have stated that they would not support the incumbent government bloc. Noam, which had previously left the 37th government multiple times, is also excluded. Yoaz Hendel's Zionist Reservists party, which has said that it would be willing to join a government with Likud, is also considered unaligned for this page.
61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.
| Publisher | Polling firm |
|---|---|
| HaHadashot 12 | Midgam |
| Channel 14 | Direct Polls (until June 2025) |
| Filber (since June 2025) | |
| Maariv | Lazar |
| Panels Politics | |
| Zman Israel | Yossi Taktika |
| Channel 13 | Maagar Mochot |
| Hamidgam Project | |
| Camil Fuchs | |
| Stat-Net (Arab respondents) | |
| i24 News | Direct Polls |
| Timor Group | |
| Kan 11 | Kantar |
| Moshe Dayan Center forMiddle Eastern and African Studies | Stat-Net Research Institute |
| The Truth Machine | Smith Consulting |
| Israel Democracy Institute | Viterbi Center |
Since June 2025, polls from Channel 14 have been managed by Shlomo Filber, who is affiliated with Likud and its leader Benjamin Netanyahu. Filber is implicated in Case 4000 on charges of breach of trust; thus it may be advisable to approach their opinion polls with caution.
The following polls conducted by the Viterbi Center for the Israeli Democracy Institute reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:
Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.
Naftali Bennett forms a new party
Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party
Yoav Gallant forms a new party
Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties
Yossi Cohen forms a new party
Yoaz Hendel forms a new party
Yariv Levin forms a new party
New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party
New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders
New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party
Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity
Nir Barkat leads the Likud
Yossi Cohen leads the Likud
Yoav Gallant leads the Likud
Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope
United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel
Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party
Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan
New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid
Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett
Gadi Eisenkot joins Yisrael Beiteinu
Moshe Kahlon joins Blue and White
Merger of Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid and Gadi Eisenkot
Joint List reunification
Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel
Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett and Joint List reunification
Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Yair Lapid and Joint List reunification
Ofer Winter leads Religious Zionism, Naftali Bennett and Yoaz Hendel form two separate new parties
Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity
Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance
Ofer Winter, Deddi Simchi and Amir Avivi form a new party, merger of Yashar and Yesh Atid
Some surveys only polled the Arab population and estimated the strength of each Arab party. If predominantly Jewish parties were polled, their number will be italic.
· Leader of the Likud party
· Former Prime minister
. Leader of the Bennett 2026 party
| Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Netanyahu | Bennett | Neither | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 June 2025 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12 | 34 | 39 | 20 | – |
The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022. In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they would not. An additional 3% of those polled did not vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% did not and do not plan to vote, and 10% were undecided.
In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block. In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided. The Israel Democracy Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for.
| Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Would like | Would dislike | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 June 2024 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12 | 30 | 56 | 14 |
These questions were posed to the Arab population of Israel.
| Date | Polling firm | Publisher | Yes, in any coalition | Only in center-left coalition | Oppose, but support govt from outside | Oppose any government | Combined Yes | Combined No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 November 2025 | Stat-Net Research Institute | Konrad Adenauer Program for Jewish-Arab Cooperation | |||||||
| Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies | |||||||||
| Tel Aviv University | 45.6% | 31.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 77.4% | 18.9% | |||
| 25 June 2025 | 41.8% | 31.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 73.2% | 23% | |||
| 12 December 2024 | 47.8% | 24.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 71.8% | 25.4% | |||
| 20 June 2024 | 40.2% | 28.5% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 68.7% | 30.5% | |||
| 3 December 2023 | 46.9% | 18.9% | 7.2% | 20.2% | 65.8% | 27.4% | |||
| 26 June 2023 | 46.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 63.3% | 27.3% |
| Date | Polling firm | Publisher | November 2026, as scheduled | Now | At the end of the war | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–23 Oct 2025 | Yossi Taktika | Zman Israel | 39.11% | 45.05% | —N/a | 15.85% |
| 4 June 2025 | Midgam | HaHadashot 12 | 31% | 57% | —N/a | 12% |
| 23 May 2024 | Kantar | Kan 11 | 22% | 38% | 32% | 8% |
| 30 January 2024 | Viterbi Center | IDI | 21.5% | 33% | 38% | 7.5% |
- List of polls at themadad.co.il
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