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2024 United States Senate election in Nevada
The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen narrowly won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Sam Brown. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump carried Nevada on the same ballot. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.
Incumbent Democratic senator Jacky Rosen was running for reelection to a second term in office, facing a strong challenge from Republican author and U.S. Army veteran Sam Brown. Brown was endorsed by Donald Trump, who was running for the presidency up the ballot. Given Nevada's status as a crucial swing state at the federal level, a competitive race was anticipated; although, Rosen led most all of preelection polling, and almost all major news organizations and firms predicted that she was likely to win, albeit by varying levels of confidence.
Come Election Day, Rosen was reelected by a narrow margin of around 1.7%, an advantage of around 24,000 votes among over 1.46 million cast statewide. This result reflected a somewhat more competitive result than expected, according to final polling averages, and was down from her 2018 margin of around 5 points against then-incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller. Rosen received 47.9% of the statewide vote to Brown's 46.2%. Rosen's victory came on the same ballot in which Democrat Kamala Harris lost the state of Nevada in the concurrent presidential election by 3.1%, becoming the first Democrat to do so since 2004.
To compare to the presidential race, Rosen ultimately overperformed Harris by around 4.8 percentage points. Rosen carried two of Nevada's seventeen counties – Clark County, home to Las Vegas and its suburbs, and Washoe County, home to Reno and its suburbs – which is somewhat of a traditional result in the state, as Harris did the same in the presidential election; however, their margins differed notably. Rosen carried Clark and Washoe counties by margins of 7.3% and 5.8% respectively, while Harris only carried them by 2.6% and 1.0% respectively. Rosen received around 4,000 less raw votes than Harris, while Brown received over 74,000 less raw votes than Trump.
A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2016 United States presidential election, when Hillary Clinton carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, majorities in both state legislative chambers, and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship and lieutenant governorship in 2022.
As of 2024, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012. This race was considered to be highly competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean; however, most polls and ratings showed Rosen to be the favorite to win.
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Jacky Rosen, incumbent U.S. senator
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Mike Schaefer, member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present) and perennial candidate
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Troy Zakari Walker, business consultant
| Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacky Rosen (D) | $27,387,983 | $17,316,743 | $10,249,429 |
| Troy Walker (D) | $705 | $675 | $0 |
Primary results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Rosen 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 144,090 | 91.51% | |
| Democratic | 5,899 | 3.75% | |
| Democratic | 3,951 | 2.51% | |
| Democratic | 3,521 | 2.24% | |
| 157,461 | 100.0% |
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Sam Brown, medical support company founder, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for Texas's 102nd House of Representatives district in 2014
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William Conrad, former Modesto, California city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022
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Tony Grady Jr., Reno Air Races director of flight operations and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2022
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Jeffrey Ross Gunter, former U.S. Ambassador to Iceland (2019–2021)
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Edward Hamilton, businessman and perennial candidate
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Ronda Kennedy, civil rights attorney and perennial candidate
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Barry Lindemann, real estate developer and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022
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Garn Mabey, former Minority Leader of the Nevada Assembly (2007) for the 2nd district (2003–2009) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010
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Jim Marchant, former state assemblyman for the 37th district (2016–2018), founder of the America First Secretary of State Coalition, nominee for Secretary of State in 2022, and nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2020
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Gary Marinch, real estate investor and perennial candidate
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Stephanie Phillips, real estate broker
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Vincent Rego, delivery driver
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Mark Amodei, U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)
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April Becker, attorney and nominee for Nevada's 3rd congressional district in 2022 (ran for Clark County Commission)
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Heidi Gansert, Minority Leader of the Nevada Senate
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Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019), grandson of former U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022, and nominee for governor in 2018
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Brian Sandoval, president of University of Nevada, Reno (2020–present) and former governor of Nevada (2011–2019)
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | SamBrown | TonyGrady | JeffGunter | JimMarchant | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | June 4–5, 2024 | 424 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| Kaplan Strategies | May 30, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 4% | 31% | 7% | 1% | 27% |
| Tarrance Group (R) | May 13–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | – | 14% | 7% | – | 27% |
| Tarrance Group (R) | April 7–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% | 3% | 3% | 6% | – | 29% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 296 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 39% | – | – | 26% | – | 35% |
| Tarrance Group (R) | October 23–26, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 9% | – | 41% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | August 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 44% |
| Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Brown (R) | $7,084,690 | $4,605,289 | $2,479,400 |
| William Conrad (R) | $12,476 | $7,098 | $9,161 |
| Tony Grady Jr. (R) | $278,061 | $255,593 | $22,467 |
| Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R) | $3,317,546 | $2,980,286 | $337,260 |
| Ronda Kennedy (R) | $27,786 | $18,620 | $9,165 |
| Barry Lindemann (R) | $64,106 | $63,947 | $2,783 |
| Jim Marchant (R) | $434,323 | $374,665 | $59,657 |
| Stephanie Phillips (R) | $82,761 | $81,427 | $1,333 |
Primary results by county Brown 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 103,102 | 60.17% | |
| Republican | 24,987 | 14.58% | |
| Republican | 11,190 | 6.53% | |
| Republican | 9,565 | 5.58% | |
| Republican | 7,164 | 4.18% | |
| Republican | 6,038 | 3.52% | |
| Republican | 3,828 | 2.23% | |
| Republican | 1,818 | 1.06% | |
| Republican | 1,786 | 1.04% | |
| Republican | 852 | 0.50% | |
| Republican | 478 | 0.28% | |
| Republican | 311 | 0.18% | |
| Republican | 231 | 0.13% | |
| 171,350 | 100.0% |
- Chris Cunningham (Libertarian), ecommerce consultant and esports commentator
- Joseph Destin (Independent), truck driver and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022
- Janine Hansen (Independent American), former Constitution Party national treasurer and perennial candidate
- Chris Mazlo (Independent)
- Allen Rheinhart (Independent), artist and perennial candidate
- Ed Uehling (Independent), real estate investor and perennial candidate
| Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Cunningham (L) | $800 | $16 | $809 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | August 15, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Lean D | October 18, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Lean D | October 3, 2024 |
| Elections Daily | Likely D | October 9, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | October 18, 2024 |
| Split Ticket | Likely D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538 | Likely D | October 23, 2024 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 17, 2024 | KLAS-TV | YouTube | P | P |
| Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacky Rosen (D) | $46,500,385 | $44,212,365 | $2,466,209 |
| Sam Brown (R) | $20,000,962 | $17,751,273 | $2,249,688 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of pollaggregation | Datesadministered | Datesupdated | JackyRosen (D) | Sam Brown (R) | Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.2% | 43.4% | 7.4% | Rosen +5.8% |
| RealClearPolitics | October 24 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.8% | 43.9% | 7.3% | Rosen +4.9% |
| 270toWin | October 22 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.7% | 44.2% | 7.1% | Rosen +4.5% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.6% | 44.7% | 6.7% | Rosen +3.9% |
| Average | 48.8% | 44.1% | 7.1% | Rosen+4.7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | .mw-parser-output .tooltip-dotted{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}±% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 701,105 | 47.87% | −2.54% | |
| Republican | 677,046 | 46.22% | +0.84% | |
| None of These Candidates | 44,380 | 3.03% | +1.46% | |
| Independent American | 21,316 | 1.46% | +0.73% | |
| Libertarian | 20,881 | 1.43% | +0.48% | |
| 1,464,728 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Jacky RosenDemocratic | Sam BrownRepublican | Various candidatesOther parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson City | 13,454 | 43.68% | 15,389 | 49.97% | 1,956 | 6.35% | −1,935 | −6.28% | 30,799 |
| Churchill | 3,278 | 24.45% | 9,179 | 68.47% | 949 | 7.08% | −5,901 | −44.02% | 13,406 |
| Clark | 514,662 | 50.71% | 441,057 | 43.46% | 59,118 | 5.83% | 73,605 | 7.25% | 1,014,837 |
| Douglas | 11,675 | 33.12% | 22,125 | 62.76% | 1,455 | 4.13% | −10,450 | −29.64% | 35,255 |
| Elko | 4,439 | 19.96% | 15,850 | 71.25% | 1,956 | 8.79% | −11,411 | −51.30% | 22,245 |
| Esmeralda | 72 | 15.72% | 345 | 75.33% | 41 | 8.95% | −273 | −59.61% | 458 |
| Eureka | 107 | 10.49% | 825 | 80.88% | 88 | 8.63% | −718 | −70.39% | 1,020 |
| Humboldt | 1,838 | 23.07% | 5,500 | 69.03% | 630 | 7.91% | −3,662 | −45.96% | 7,968 |
| Lander | 538 | 19.85% | 1,924 | 70.97% | 249 | 9.18% | −1,386 | −51.13% | 2,711 |
| Lincoln | 353 | 14.38% | 1,959 | 79.83% | 142 | 5.79% | −1,606 | −65.44% | 2,454 |
| Lyon | 9,182 | 27.58% | 21,892 | 65.77% | 2,213 | 6.65% | −12,710 | −38.18% | 33,287 |
| Mineral | 737 | 32.23% | 1,326 | 57.98% | 224 | 9.79% | −589 | −25.75% | 2,287 |
| Nye | 7,645 | 28.48% | 17,220 | 64.15% | 1,978 | 7.37% | −9,575 | −35.67% | 26,843 |
| Pershing | 519 | 22.65% | 1,618 | 70.62% | 154 | 6.72% | −1,099 | −47.97% | 2,291 |
| Storey | 919 | 30.05% | 1,964 | 64.22% | 175 | 5.72% | −1,045 | −34.17% | 3,058 |
| Washoe | 130,841 | 50.04% | 115,713 | 44.25% | 14,921 | 5.71% | 15,128 | 5.79% | 261,475 |
| White Pine | 846 | 19.52% | 3,160 | 72.91% | 328 | 7.57% | −2,314 | −53.39% | 4,334 |
Rosen won three of four congressional districts.
| District | Rosen | Brown | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 43% | Dina Titus | |
| 43% | 51% | Mark Amodei | |
| 49% | 45% | Susie Lee | |
| 50% | 43% | Steven Horsford |
- 2024 Nevada elections
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites
- Sam Brown (R) for Senate
- Chris Cunningham (L) for Senate
- Joseph Destin (I) for Senate
- Janine Hansen (IA) for Senate
- Allen Rheinhart (I) for Senate
- Jacky Rosen (D) for Senate
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