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2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota


The 2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and other state and local elections. Some Republican pundits and strategists believed Minnesota to be a potential pickup opportunity due to its perceived increasingly favorable demographics and unexpectedly close result in the 2016 presidential election, along with potential backlash from the 2020 George Floyd protests, originating after the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis. However, every poll showed incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith in the lead by varying degrees.

Smith was reelected to a full term in office by a margin of 5.2 points, making this the closest Senate election in Minnesota since 2008. The primary took place on August 11.

  • Tina Smith, incumbent U.S. senator

  • Steve Carlson, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and write-in candidate for president in 2016

  • Ahmad Hassan

  • Paula Overby, Green Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018

  • Christopher Seymore Sr.

  • W. D. "Bill" Hamm

  • Alexandra Marie Holker

Results by county: Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Smith—>90%   Smith—80–90%   Smith—70–80%

PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL)497,49887.14%
Democratic (DFL)30,4975.34%
Democratic (DFL)20,0373.51%
Democratic (DFL)16,4292.88%
Democratic (DFL)6,4801.13%
570,941100.00%
  • Jason Lewis, former U.S. representative for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district

  • John L. Berman

  • Bob Carney Jr.

  • Cynthia Gail, art teacher

  • James Reibestein

  • Rob Barrett Jr., assistant professor at North Central University

  • Christopher Chamberlin, candidate for governor, U.S. senator, and U.S. representative in 2018 and Libertarian activist

  • Forest Hyatt, Republican candidate for the 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota

  • Theron Preston Washington

  • Donna Bergstrom, nominee for lieutenant governor of Minnesota in 2018

  • Kurt Daudt, minority leader of the Minnesota House of Representatives

  • Bill Guidera, attorney and former 21st Century Fox executive

  • Karin Housley, state senator and Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018

  • Mike Lindell, CEO of My Pillow

  • Doug Wardlow, former state representative and Republican nominee for attorney general of Minnesota in 2018

Results by county: Map legend   Lewis—80–90%   Lewis—70–80%   Lewis—60–70%   Lewis—50–60%

PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican191,29078.11%
Republican17,6757.22%
Republican16,2136.62%
Republican10,5034.29%
Republican9,2103.76%
244,891100.00%
  • Oliver Steinberg
PartyCandidateVotes%
Grassroots—LC3,275100.00%
3,275100.00%
  • Kevin O'Connor

County results for Kevin O'Connor: Map legend   8%  7%  6%  5%  4%  3%

PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana Now6,996100.00%
6,996100.00%
  • George Dennis Jr.
  • Josh D. Ondich, perennial candidate

Two general election debates were held. The first, on October 2, 2020, was hosted by Minnesota Public Radio and was attended by Smith and Lewis. The second debate was hosted by Twin Cities PBS on October 23, 2020, and was attended only by Lewis.

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DOctober 29, 2020
Inside ElectionsSafe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DNovember 2, 2020
Daily KosLikely DOctober 30, 2020
PoliticoLikely DNovember 2, 2020
RCPTossupOctober 23, 2020
DDHQLikely DNovember 3, 2020
538Safe DNovember 2, 2020
EconomistLikely DNovember 2, 2020
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorTinaSmith (DFL)JasonLewis (R)OtherUndecided
Research Co.October 31 – November 1, 2020450 (LV)4.6%50%39%2%9%
Data for ProgressOctober 27 – November 1, 20201,259 (LV)± 2.8%54%44%2%
SwayableOctober 23 – November 1, 2020430 (LV)± 6.1%55%46%
Public Policy PollingOctober 29–30, 2020770 (V)51%42%6%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmartOctober 25–30, 20201,138 (LV)53%44%3%
St. Cloud State UniversityOctober 10–29, 2020372 (A)± 6.7%53%36%
SurveyUSAOctober 23–27, 2020649 (LV)± 4.3%45%42%3%10%
Gravis MarketingOctober 24–26, 2020657 (LV)± 3.8%53%39%8%
Civiqs/Daily KosOctober 17–20, 2020840 (LV)± 3.6%54%43%2%1%
SurveyUSAOctober 16–20, 2020625 (LV)± 5%43%42%3%12%
Change ResearchOctober 12–15, 20201,021 (LV)± 3.1%48%44%4%5%
SurveyUSAOctober 1–6, 2020929 (LV)± 3.9%44%37%4%16%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 20–24, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%45%35%6%14%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategySeptember 21–23, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%49%41%10%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSeptember 12–17, 2020718 (LV)± 3.7%51%36%2%11%
CBS News/YouGovSeptember 9–11, 20201,087 (LV)± 3.9%47%40%2%10%
Siena College/NYT UpshotSeptember 8–10, 2020814 (LV)± 3.9%49%40%0%11%
SurveyUSASeptember 4–7, 2020553 (LV)± 5.2%47%36%3%14%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 3–4, 2020877 (V)± 3.3%49%41%3%7%
Harper Polling (R)August 30 – September 1, 2020501 (LV)± 4.4%43%41%10%
Emerson CollegeAugust 8–10, 2020733 (LV)± 3.6%48%45%7%
Public Policy Polling (D)July 22–23, 20201,218 (V)± 3.2%48%39%13%
Harper Polling (R)May 26–28, 2020510 (LV)46%35%20%
PartyCandidateVotes%.mw-parser-output .tooltip-dotted{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}±%
Democratic (DFL)1,566,52248.74%−4.23%
Republican1,398,14543.50%+1.15%
Legal Marijuana Now190,1545.91%+2.21%
Grassroots—LC57,1741.78%N/A
Write-in2,2610.07%+0.03%
3,214,256100.00%N/A

Smith and Lewis each won four of eight congressional districts.

DistrictSmithLewisRepresentative
42%50%Jim Hagedorn
48%45%Angie Craig
53%40%Dean Phillips
62%30%Betty McCollum
73%18%Ilhan Omar
36%56%Tom Emmer
34%59%Collin Peterson
Michelle Fischbach
40%52%Pete Stauber
  • 2020 Minnesota elections

Partisan clients

Official campaign websites

  • Jason Lewis (R) for Senate
  • Tina Smith (DFL) for Senate
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