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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 11 U.S. representatives from the state of Virginia, one from each of the state's 11 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other states' elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on June 12.
The state congressional delegation flipped from a 7–4 Republican majority to a 7–4 Democratic majority. Democrats last held a majority of seats in the state in 2010.
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 11 | 1,867,061 | 56.69% | 7 | 3 | 63.64% | |
| Republican | 10 | 1,408,701 | 42.77% | 4 | 3 | 36.36% | |
| Libertarian | 3 | 13,995 | 0.42% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
| Write-in | 11 | 4,050 | 0.12% | 0 | 0.0% | ||
| Total | 35 | 3,293,807 | 100% | 11 | 100% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 148,464 | 44.70% | 183,250 | 55.18% | 387 | 0.12% | 332,101 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 139,571 | 51.05% | 133,458 | 48.81% | 371 | 0.14% | 273,400 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 3 | 198,615 | 91.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 19,107 | 8.78% | 217,722 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 187,642 | 62.58% | 107,706 | 35.92% | 4,506 | 1.50% | 299,854 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 145,040 | 46.65% | 165,339 | 53.18% | 547 | 0.18% | 310,926 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 113,133 | 40.21% | 167,957 | 59.69% | 287 | 0.10% | 281,377 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 176,079 | 50.34% | 169,295 | 48.40% | 4,429 | 1.27% | 349,803 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 8 | 247,137 | 76.10% | 76,899 | 23.68% | 712 | 0.22% | 324,748 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 85,833 | 34.75% | 160,933 | 65.16% | 214 | 0.09% | 246,980 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 10 | 206,356 | 56.11% | 160,841 | 43.73% | 598 | 0.16% | 367,795 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 11 | 219,191 | 71.11% | 83,023 | 26.93% | 6,036 | 1.96% | 308,250 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 1,867,061 | 56.36% | 1,408,701 | 42.52% | 37,194 | 1.12% | 3,312,956 | 100.0% |
Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Wittman was unopposed for the Republican nomination.
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Rob Wittman, incumbent U.S. representative
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Vangie Williams, strategic planner, professional genealogist, historian, and professional speaker
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Edwin Santana, former Marine
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John Suddarth, Army veteran and businessman
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Ryan Sawyers, Prince William County School Board chair
Vangie Williams defeated both Edwin Santana and John Suddarth in the Democratic primary, becoming the first woman of color to ever win a primary for congressional office throughout Virginia.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 11,008 | 40.0 | |
| Democratic | 9,059 | 32.9 | |
| Democratic | 7,471 | 27.1 | |
| 27,538 | 100.0 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 22, 2018 | University of Mary Washington | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 183,250 | 55.2 | |
| Democratic | 148,464 | 44.7 | |
| Write-in | 387 | 0.1 | |
| 332,101 | 100.0 | ||
Incumbent Republican Scott Taylor, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3. This was one of only two GOP held seats that voted for Democrat Ralph Northam in 2017.
Taylor was challenged in the Republican primary by former James City County Supervisor Mary Jones, who attacked Rep. Taylor for his moderate stances and because she believed he had not backed President Donald Trump's proposals strongly enough.
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Scott Taylor, incumbent U.S. representative
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Mary Jones, former James City County Supervisor
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 28,515 | 76.1 | |
| Republican | 8,982 | 23.9 | |
| 37,497 | 100.0 |
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee supported Elaine Luria, a United States Naval commander, for the nomination.
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Elaine Luria, United States Naval commander
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Karen Mallard, teacher
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Shaun Brown, community activist and nominee for this seat in 2016
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 17,552 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | 10,610 | 37.7 | |
| 28,162 | 100.0 |
- Shaun Brown, community activist and Democratic nominee for this seat in 2016
- Padraig-Eoin Dalrymple, entrepreneur
Roanoke Commonwealth's Attorney Donald Caldwell had been appointed as a special prosecutor to investigate claims that Taylor's aides forged signatures, including those of Delegate Glenn Davis and his wife, on Shaun Brown's petitions to make the ballot as an independent candidate. Taylor had already cut ties with his campaign manager when these irregularities came to light and promised to cooperate with the investigation, and said that the irregularities in the petitions should have no bearing on Brown's right to be on the ballot.
Shaun Brown submitted 2,163 petition signatures which actually went through the verification process. 1,030 of those were considered valid. Democrats asked the Virginia State Board of Elections to remove Brown from the ballot for falling short of the 1,000 signatures required, and filed suit. They also asked Attorney General of Virginia Mark Herring to investigate.
A review of the signatures also revealed that more than 50 Virginia Beach sheriff's employees had signed petition forms at work to get Brown on the ballot during the closing days of the petition drive, when petitioners were scrambling to meet the deadline.
Brown was accused by federal prosecutors of lying to the Federal Election Commission about donating $700,000 to her campaign and bilking the government by falsifying the number of meals her nonprofit fed to needy children, but her trial—in which Brown testified in her own defense and was subjected to a lengthy cross-examination—ended in a mistrial after the jury deadlocked 11–1. In a new trial the following October, Brown was convicted of fraud conspiracy, two counts of wire fraud and theft of government property. In March, 2019 Brown was sentenced to three years in prison.
In September, circuit judge Gregory Rupe ordered Brown off the ballot. Brown subsequently appealed to the Virginia Supreme Court but justices declined to hear her case. The Virginia Attorney General's office argued that it was too late for her to appear on the ballot.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 23, 2018 | Hampton RoadsChamber of Commerce | Bob Hollsworth | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Margin oferror | ScottTaylor (R) | ElaineLuria (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) | November 2–4, 2018 | 710 | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 18–22, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Christopher Newport University | October 3–12, 2018 | 798 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 26 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Change Research (D) | September 26–28, 2018 | 758 | – | 46% | 46% | – |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-Luria) | September 5–8, 2018 | 404 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 51% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | April 16–17, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 139,571 | 51.1 | |
| Republican | 133,458 | 48.8 | |
| Write-in | 371 | 0.1 | |
| 273,400 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican |
Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
- Bobby Scott, incumbent U.S. representative
No Republicans filed.
Scott ran unopposed as no Republican candidates filed for the district.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 198,615 | 91.2 | |
| Write-in | 19,107 | 8.8 | |
| 217,772 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold |
Incumbent Democrat Donald McEachin, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+10.
McEachin ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
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Donald McEachin, incumbent U.S. representative
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Ryan McAdams, pastor
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Shion Fenty, fashion designer
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David Leon
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 17,513 | 72.6 | |
| Republican | 6,621 | 27.4 | |
| 24,134 | 100.0 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 187,642 | 62.6 | |
| Republican | 107,706 | 35.9 | |
| Libertarian | 4,233 | 1.4 | |
| Write-in | 273 | 0.1 | |
| 299,854 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold |
Incumbent Republican Tom Garrett, who had represented the district since 2017, did not run for re-election. He was elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+6.
Garrett announced on May 28, 2018, that he would not run for reelection due to his struggle with alcoholism. Instead of a traditional primary to elect the Democratic and Republican nominees, party delegates voted to hold district conventions instead.
The Republican convention was held on June 2, 2018, less than one week after Garrett announced he would not seek reelection. Denver Riggleman edged out Cynthia Dunbar, who had just lost the Republican nomination in the 6th district just weeks before, in the final round of voting to get the Republican nomination.
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Denver Riggleman, distillery owner
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Martha Boneta, farmer
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Michael Del Rosso, technology executive
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Cynthia Dunbar, national GOP committee member
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Michael Webert, state delegate
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Joe Whited, veteran
The Democratic convention was held on May 5, 2018. The party delegates chose Leslie Cockburn as the Democratic nominee.
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Leslie Cockburn, investigative journalist
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Roger Dean "RD" Huffstetler, Marine veteran
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Andrew Sneathern, former Albemarle County assistant attorney
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep. 28, 2018 | Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public PolicyUniversity of Virginia Center for Effective LawmakingUniversity of Virginia College RepublicansUniversity of Virginia University Democrats | Craig VoldenGerald Warburg | P | P | ||
| Oct. 8, 2018 | Piedmont Virginia Community College | Tyler Hawn | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Margin oferror | DenverRiggleman (R) | LeslieCockburn (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 16–22, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 46% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 165,339 | 53.2 | |
| Democratic | 145,040 | 46.7 | |
| Write-in | 547 | 0.2 | |
| 310,926 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold |
Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte, who had represented the district since 1993, did not run for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
The 6th district was an open seat in 2018, after Goodlatte announced his retirement in November 2017.
Republican delegates decided to hold a party convention instead of the primary to choose their nominee. Eight Republicans ran in the convention in this district, where State Delegate Ben Cline was chosen as the GOP nominee.
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Ben Cline, state delegate
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Mike Desjadon
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Cynthia Dunbar, national GOP committee member
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Chaz Haywood, Rockingham County Clerk of Court
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Ed Justo, lawyer
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Kathryn Lewis, small business owner
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Elliot Pope, businessman
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Douglas Wright, dentist and U.S. Navy veteran
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Chan Park
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Bob Goodlatte, incumbent U.S. representative
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Jennifer Lewis, hospital liaison
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Sergio Coppola
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Charlotte Moore, former Roanoke County supervisor
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Peter Volosin, regional planner
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 8,202 | 47.7 | |
| Democratic | 4,678 | 27.2 | |
| Democratic | 3,175 | 18.5 | |
| Democratic | 1,150 | 6.68 | |
| 17,205 | 100.0 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 167,957 | 59.7 | |
| Democratic | 113,133 | 40.2 | |
| Write-in | 287 | 0.1 | |
| 281,377 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold |
Incumbent Republican Dave Brat, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+6.
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David Brat, incumbent U.S. representative
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Abigail Spanberger, former CIA operations officer
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Dan Ward, former U.S. Marine Corps EA-6B Prowler pilot
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Helen Alli, Army veteran and small business owner
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Janelle Noble
-
Joseph B. Walton
County and independent city results Spanberger 50–60% 70–80% Ward 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 33,210 | 72.7 | |
| Democratic | 12,483 | 27.3 | |
| 45,693 | 100.0 |
- Joe Walton, former chair of the Powhatan Board of Supervisors
Helen Alli originally was going to run as a Democrat but failed to turn in enough signatures. She was then nominated by the Modern Whig Party, but again failed to turn in enough signatures. She finally ran as a write-in candidate.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 15, 2018 | Culpeper Media Network | Jonathan Krawchuk | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Margin oferror | DaveBrat (R) | AbigailSpanberger (D) | JoeWalton (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 30 – November 4, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 9% |
| Christopher Newport University | October 18–27, 2018 | 871 | ± 4.2% | 45% | 46% | 4% | 3% |
| Monmouth University | September 15–24, 2018 | 329 LV | ± 5.4% | 47% | 47% | <1% | 6% |
| 400 RV | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 9% | ||
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D) | September 18–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 10–11, 2018 | 501 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 176,079 | 50.3 | |
| Republican | 169,295 | 48.4 | |
| Libertarian | 4,216 | 1.2 | |
| Write-in | 155 | 0.1 | |
| 349,745 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican |
Incumbent Democrat Don Beyer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
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Don Beyer, incumbent U.S. representative
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Thomas Oh, federal contractor
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 247,137 | 76.1 | |
| Republican | 76,899 | 23.7 | |
| Write-in | 712 | 0.2 | |
| 324,748 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold |
Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.
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Morgan Griffith, incumbent U.S. representative
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Anthony Flaccavento, farmer, sustainability consultant and nominee for this seat in 2012
-
Justin Santopietro
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 10,756 | 78.6 | |
| Democratic | 2,921 | 21.4 | |
| 13,677 | 100.0 |
- Scott Blankenship
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Margin oferror | MorganGriffith (R) | AnthonyFlaccavento (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies (D-Flaccavento) | June 24–28, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 160,933 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | 85,833 | 34.7 | |
| Write-in | 214 | 0.1 | |
| 246,980 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold |
Incumbent Republican Barbara Comstock, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Six Democratic candidates, encouraged by the fact that Republican incumbent Barbara Comstock's district voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, submitted the required number of signatures to run for that seat. Republicans believed, however, that given that Comstock was an excellent fundraiser and fierce campaigner, she would be able to keep the seat. April polling was favorable to a generic Democrat against Comstock, although Comstock performed much better in polling when her name was on the ballot against a named Democratic opponent.
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Barbara Comstock, incumbent U.S. representative
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Shak Hill, combat pilot
County and independent city results Comstock 50–60% 60–70% Hill 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 28,287 | 60.7 | |
| Republican | 18,311 | 39.3 | |
| 46,598 | 100.0 |
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Jennifer Wexton, state senator
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Julia Biggins, scientist
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Lindsey Davis Stover, senior advisor to Barack Obama's Veterans Affairs Secretary Eric K. Shinseki
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Alison Friedman, former State Department official
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Dan Helmer, Army veteran
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Paul Pelletier, federal prosecutor
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Kimberly Adams, teacher and former president of the Fairfax County Education Association
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Shadi Ayyas, physician
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David Hanson
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Julien Modica, former president of the JMA Foundation
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Michael Pomerleano, retired banker
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Deep Sran, teacher, tech entrepreneur and lawyer
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Dorothy McAuliffe, attorney and former First Lady of the Commonwealth of Virginia
County and independent city results Wexton 30–40% 40–50% Davis Stover 20–30% 30–40% 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 22,405 | 41.9 | |
| Democratic | 12,283 | 23.0 | |
| Democratic | 8,567 | 16.0 | |
| Democratic | 6,712 | 12.5 | |
| Democratic | 2,010 | 3.8 | |
| Democratic | 1,513 | 2.8 | |
| 53,490 | 100.0 |
Patriarchist libertarian Nathan Larson filed to run as an independent, but then withdrew his candidacy on August 13 and endorsed Wexton, calling her "the accelerationist choice"; Wexton, through a spokesman, declined the endorsement. Comstock tweeted, "It is good news for all voters in the 10th District that Nathan Larson, a convicted felon who served time in prison for threatening to kill the President and is an admitted pedophile, an admitted rapist, white supremacist, and misogynist, is now off the ballot in the 10th Congressional District."
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep. 21, 2018 | Loudoun CountyChamber of Commerce | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s)administered | Samplesize | Marginof error | BarbaraComstock (R) | JenniferWexton (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School | October 25–28, 2018 | 446 | ± 6.5% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 2% |
| Washington Post/Schar School | October 15–21, 2018 | 430 | ± 6.5% | 43% | 56% | – | 1% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 11–15, 2018 | 484 | ± 4.8% | 41% | 48% | – | 11% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) | October 7–9, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 49% | – | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Comstock) | October 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
| Washington Post/Schar School | September 19 – October 5, 2018 | 866 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 55% | – | 2% |
| Christopher Newport University | September 23 – October 2, 2018 | 794 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 51% | – | 5% |
| Monmouth University | September 26–30, 2018 | 374 | ± 5.1% | 44% | 50% | <1% | 5% |
| Monmouth University | June 21–24, 2018 | 338 LV | ± 5.3% | 41% | 50% | 3% | 6% |
| 400 RV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 10% | ||
| DCCC (D) | March 20–21, 2018 | 400 | – | 43% | 46% | – | – |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 206,356 | 56.1 | |
| Republican | 160,841 | 43.7 | |
| Write-in | 598 | 0.2 | |
| 367,795 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican |
Incumbent Democrat Gerry Connolly, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 88% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+15.
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Gerry Connolly, incumbent U.S. representative
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Jonathan Park
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Jeff Dove, U.S. Army veteran
-
Stevan Porter
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 219,191 | 71.1 | |
| Republican | 83,023 | 26.9 | |
| Libertarian | 5,546 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 506 | 0.2 | |
| 308,266 | 100.0 | ||
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2018 Virginia elections
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Candidates at Vote Smart
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Candidates at Ballotpedia
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Campaign finance at FEC
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Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites for first district candidates
- Vangie Williams (D) for Congress Archived September 8, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- Rob Wittman (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
- Scott Taylor (R) for Congress Archived May 24, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- Elaine Luria (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
- Bobby Scott (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates
- Ryan McAdams (R) for Congress Archived March 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- A. Donald McEachin (D) for Congress
- Pete Wells (L) for Congress
Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates
- Leslie Cockburn (D) for Congress
- Denver Riggleman (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for sixth district candidates
- Ben Cline (R) for Congress
- Jennifer Lewis (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for seventh district candidates
- Dave Brat (R) for Congress
- Abigail Spanberger (D) for Congress
- Joe Walton (L) for Congress
Official campaign websites for eighth district candidates
- Don Beyer (D) for Congress
- Thomas Oh (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites of ninth district candidates
- Anthony Flaccavento (D) for Congress Archived December 22, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- Morgan Griffith (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for tenth district candidates
- Barbara Comstock (R) for Congress
- Jennifer Wexton (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for eleventh district candidates
- Gerry Connolly (D) for Congress
- Jeff Dove (R) for Congress Archived November 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- Stevan Porter (L) for Congress
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