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2014 Minnesota House of Representatives election
The 2014 Minnesota House of Representatives election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect members to the House of Representatives of the 89th Minnesota Legislature. A primary election was held in several districts on August 12, 2014.
The 2014 Minnesota House of Representatives election was held in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect members to the House of Representatives of the 89th Minnesota Legislature. A primary election was held in several districts on August 12, 2014.
The Republican Party of Minnesota won a majority of seats, defeating the majority of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL). This was the first election for the DFL since it won a majority of seats in the 2012 election, after losing a majority to the Republicans in the 2010 election. The new Legislature convened on January 6, 2015.
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John Benson, 44B
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Kathy Brynaert, 19B
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Tom Huntley, 7A
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Michael Paymar, 64B
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Steve Simon, 46B
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Jim Abeler, 35A
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Mike Beard, 55A
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Mike Benson, 26B
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David FitzSimmons, 30B
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Mary Liz Holberg, 58A
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Andrea Kieffer, 53B
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Ernie Leidiger, 47A
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Pam Myhra, 56A
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Kelby Woodard, 20A
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Kurt Zellers, 34B
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Governing | Lean D | October 20, 2014 |
According to an analysis by the Star Tribune, based on past election results, fundraising, and other factors, 16 seats were vulnerable to switching parties. 14 were held by the DFL and two by the Republicans. According to MinnPost, 15 seats had the best chance of switching parties, based on the district's political lean (as calculated by MinnPost), previous election results, and the strength of the respective candidates. 13 were held by the DFL and two by the Republicans.
| District | Incumbent | Party | Star Tribune(September 7, 2014) | MinnPost(October 28, 2014) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1B | Deb Kiel | Republican | Hold | ||
| 2A | Roger Erickson | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 2B | Steve Green | Republican | Hold | ||
| 4A | Ben Lien | DFL | Hold | ||
| 10B | Joe Radinovich | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 11B | Tim Faust | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 12A | Jay McNamar | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 14B | Zach Dorholt | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 17A | Andrew Falk | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 17B | Mary Sawatzky | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 27A | Shannon Savick | DFL | Republican gain | ||
| 36A | Mark Uglem | Republican | Hold | ||
| 48A | Yvonne Selcer | DFL | Hold | ||
| 49A | Ron Erhardt | DFL | Hold | ||
| 49B | Paul Rosenthal | DFL | Hold | ||
| 51A | Sandra Masin | DFL | Hold | ||
| 51B | Laurie Halverson | DFL | Hold | ||
| 56B | Will Morgan | DFL | Republican gain |
| District | Party | Candidates | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | Republican | Phillip Nelson | 1,289 | 100.00 |
| DFL | John Persell | 1,544 | 84.60 | |
| Lavern Pederson | 281 | 15.40 | ||
| 6A | Republican | Roger Weber | 977 | 100.00 |
| DFL | Carly Melin | 2,979 | 80.04 | |
| John Finken | 743 | 19.96 | ||
| 7B | Republican | Travis Silvers | 371 | 57.43 |
| Carla Bayerl | 275 | 42.57 | ||
| DFL | Erik Simonson | 1,601 | 100.00 | |
| 12A | Republican | Jeff Backer | 1,777 | 55.55 |
| Nancy Taffe | 1,422 | 44.45 | ||
| DFL | Jay McNamar | 1,512 | 100.00 | |
| 30B | Republican | Eric Lucero | 1,363 | 63.99 |
| Kevin Kasel | 767 | 36.01 | ||
| DFL | Sharon Shimek | 361 | 100.00 | |
| 35A | Republican | Abigail Whelan | 1,794 | 80.70 |
| Justin Boals | 429 | 19.30 | ||
| DFL | Peter Perovich | 781 | 100.00 | |
| 44B | Republican | Ryan Rutzick | 1,393 | 100.00 |
| DFL | Jon Applebaum | 1,053 | 37.58 | |
| Tony Wagner | 1,016 | 36.26 | ||
| Jon Tollefson | 733 | 26.16 | ||
| 47A | Republican | Jim Nash | 1,406 | 59.93 |
| Bob Frey | 940 | 40.07 | ||
| DFL | Matthew Gieseke | 474 | 100.00 | |
| 48B | Republican | Jenifer Loon | 1,925 | 60.63 |
| Sheila Kihne | 1,250 | 39.37 | ||
| DFL | Joan Howe-Pullis | 671 | 100.00 | |
| 51A | Republican | Andrea Todd-Harlin | 891 | 55.90 |
| Victor Lake | 703 | 44.10 | ||
| DFL | Sandra Masin | 970 | 100.00 | |
| 55A | Independence | Derek Thury | 21 | 100.00 |
| Republican | Bob Loonan | 721 | 50.60 | |
| Bruce Mackenthun | 704 | 49.40 | ||
| DFL | Jay Whiting | 512 | 82.85 | |
| Ronald Gray | 106 | 17.15 | ||
| 60B | Republican | Abdimalik Askar | 91 | 81.25 |
| Abdulkarim Godah | 21 | 18.75 | ||
| DFL | Phyllis Kahn | 2,332 | 54.47 | |
| Mohamud Noor | 1,949 | 45.53 | ||
| 63B | Republican | Andres Hortillosa | 543 | 100.00 |
| DFL | Jean Wagenius | 2,166 | 91.08 | |
| Roger Kittelson | 212 | 8.92 |
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State
| Polling firm/client | Polling period | Samplesize | Margin oferror | DFL | Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | October 27–30, 2014 | 596 LV | ± 4.1% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | October 14–16, 2014 | 597 LV | ± 4.1% | 46% | 42% | 5% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | September 30 – October 2, 2014 | 577 LV | ± 4.2% | 46% | 42% | 5% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | August 19–21, 2014 | 600 LV | ± 4.1% | 43% | 45% | 5% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 12–15, 2014 | 633 RV | ± 3.9% | 46% | 41% | — | 14% |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | June 5–9, 2014 | 1017 LV | ± 3.1% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 17–19, 2013 | 712 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 41% | — | 12% |
Districts won
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party of Minnesota | 133 | 958,667 | 50.01 | 4.88 | 72 | 11 | 53.73 | |
| Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party | 126 | 944,961 | 49.30 | 4.44 | 62 | 11 | 46.27 | |
| Independence Party of Minnesota | 4 | 2,846 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Green Party of Minnesota | 2 | 2,001 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Constitution Party of Minnesota | 1 | 1,924 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Write-in | N/A | 6,455 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Total | 1,916,854 | 100.00 | ±0.00 | 134 | ±0 | 100.00 | ||
| Invalid/blank votes | 75,712 | 3.80 | 3.60 | |||||
| Turnout (out of 3,945,136 eligible voters) | 1,992,566 | 50.51 | 25.91 | |||||
| Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, Minnesota Legislative Reference Library |
*Elected in a special election. †Elected to non-consecutive terms. ‡Retiring; not seeking re-election.
Seat gains and holds by party
| Party | Incumbent | District | First elected | Defeated by | Party |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFL | Zach Dorholt | 14B | 2012 | Jim Knoblach | Republican |
| Roger Erickson | 2A | 2012 | Dave Hancock | Republican | |
| Andrew Falk | 17A | 2008 | Tim Miller | Republican | |
| Tim Faust | 11B | 2006, 2012* | Jason Rarick | Republican | |
| Patti Fritz | 24B | 2004 | Brian Daniels | Republican | |
| Jay McNamar | 12A | 2012 | Jeff Backer | Republican | |
| Will Morgan | 56B | 2006, 2012* | Roz Peterson | Republican | |
| Joe Radinovich | 10B | 2012 | Dale Lueck | Republican | |
| Shannon Savick | 27A | 2012 | Peggy Bennett | Republican | |
| Mary Sawatzky | 17B | 2012 | Dave Baker | Republican | |
| John Ward | 10A | 2006 | Josh Heintzeman | Republican |
*Elected to non-consecutive terms.
The Republicans made most of their gains in rural districts, continuing a trend of rural districts leaning more towards the Republicans and suburban districts leaning more towards the DFL. Of the 11 districts they gained from the DFL, 10 are outside of the Twin Cities metropolitan area.
Seven rural DFL incumbents who voted for legalizing same-sex marriage lost their seats, despite their districts having supported a proposed constitutional amendment in 2012 to ban it. Yet two rural DFL incumbents who voted against legalizing same-sex marriage also lost their seats.
Split-ticket voters determined the outcome of several key races. Nearly 450,000 voters chose one party's candidate for a House seat, but then switched to pick a different party's candidate for the United States Senate or governor. Eight of the 11 districts the DFL lost featured at least some ticket splitting between DFL candidate for governor Mark Dayton and/or U.S. Senate candidate Al Franken and the Republican House candidate. Nearly all of the DFL candidates who lost came from districts in which many voters supported Republicans in previous elections, including candidates for governor Republican Tom Emmer over Democrat Mark Dayton in 2010 and presidential candidates Republican Mitt Romney over Democratic president Barack Obama in 2012.
Outside and party spending reached large levels in several House districts compared to what has been spent in the past as Republican groups focused their attention on the House rather than statewide races. In some races, spending reached $500,000.
Turnout was the lowest in more than 20 years, with slightly over 50 percent of eligible voters having voted. Turnout across the state was lower compared to 2010. It was slightly lower in the Twin Cities and surrounding suburbs, helping suburban DFL candidates win in those areas. In rural Minnesota, turnout was down by about 10 percentage points since 2010. Much of the drop-off was among DFL voters, while those who did vote in those districts were likely over the age of 45.
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Minnesota Senate election, 2012
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Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014
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Minnesota elections, 2014
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Elections & Voting - Minnesota Secretary of State
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